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USDJPY trade ideas

USD/JPY Buyers Target Three-Month High as Yen WeakensTrump's familiar rhetoric on trade tariffs has led to renewed concern for Japanese exporters, particularly at a time when Japan's economic stability relies heavily on external support to maintain growth momentum. These concerns, coupled with increased risk aversion, have weakened the yen against the U.S. dollar. As a result, USD/JPY managed to erase losses from the previous week, signaling renewed strength for the dollar. Technical Analysis From a technical standpoint, USD/JPY has approached a critical level on the daily chart, with buyers testing the resistance at 153.875. This price level represents a key inflection point, as it marks the upper limit of the pair's rally that commenced on September 16. A decisive break above this resistance would open the door for further gains, targeting subsequent levels at 154.582, 155.481, 156.473, and eventually 157.180. On the other hand, a failure to break through the 153.875 resistance level would embolden sellers, putting the focus back on the support levels at 152.883 and 151.277. Key Events to Monitor The minutes of the Bank of Japan's latest meeting indicated that policymakers remain cautiously optimistic about Japan's economic recovery and see opportunities for future rate hikes. This news has already prompted a reaction in U.S. Treasury yields, with the focus now turning to the upcoming 30-year Treasury bond auction on Wednesday. The outcome of this auction, along with ongoing U.S. election developments, could significantly impact the direction of U.S. yields, thereby affecting USD/JPY price action.
Long
by Errante
USD/JPY: Bullish Outlook with Key Support at 151.79USDJPY Analyze The overall trend remains Bullish as long as the price stays above 151.790, with bullish targets at 154.260 and potentially 156.58. A corrective move toward the pivot line at 151.79 is possible before the bullish trend resumes. However, if the price stabilizes above 151.790 with a daily candle close, a bullish move of 151.790 extend toward 154.26. otherwise, the closing daily candle below 151.780 will drop to 149.82 Key Levels: Pivot Line: 151.790 Resistance Levels: 153.60, 154.26, 156.58 Support Levels: 149.82, 147.82, 146.4 Expected Range: 151.78 - 154.26 Trend: Bullish while above 151.79
Long
by SroshMayi
USDJPY / TRYING TO REACH DEMAND ZONE AFTER SUPPLY ZONE / 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Price Action: The prices are trying to reach a demand zone between 150.210 and 148.835. A demand zone typically indicates an area where buying interest is expected to increase, potentially causing prices to rise if they stabilize here. Upward outlook: If prices remain and stabilize inside or above this demand zone, it suggests the possibility of an upward move. This would be a bullish indicator, pointing towards an increase in price to the next supply zone between 152.763 and 153.914. Supply zones are areas where selling pressure may occur, potentially leading to price resistance. Downward outlook : If the prices break below the current demand zone (148.835), this would imply bearish pressure, suggesting a possible further decline. The next target in this scenario is another demand zone between 146.422 and 145.917, where buyers might step in again. Overall Market Sentiment: Despite the potential for a decline if the current demand zone is broken, the analysis notes that prices are currently under bullish pressure. This means the overall market trend is upward, but staying above the key demand zone is crucial for this bullish outlook to remain valid.
Long
by ArinaKarayi
USDJPY What Next? BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for USDJPY is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 152.06 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 152.68 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
USD/JPY "The Ninja" Bank Money Heist Plan on Bullish SideOla! Ola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰 This is our master plan to Heist USD/JPY "The Ninja" Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2h timeframe Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰. Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update. Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target. Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style. Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
Long
by Thief_Trader
USDJPY Analysis for November 6, 2024: Slight Bullish Bias DrivenUSDJPY Analysis for November 6, 2024: Slight Bullish Bias Driven by Key Market Fundamentals As of November 6, 2024, USDJPY appears to have a slightly bullish bias, influenced by various fundamental factors and recent shifts in market conditions. Traders and investors are paying close attention to developments affecting both the US dollar (USD) and the Japanese yen (JPY) as economic data and policy expectations guide market sentiment. Here’s a look at the key drivers contributing to USDJPY’s bullish outlook today. Key Drivers Supporting a Bullish Bias for USDJPY 1. Federal Reserve’s Hawkish Stance The Federal Reserve has maintained a hawkish stance, signaling a commitment to keeping interest rates elevated for an extended period. This approach supports the USD as higher yields attract investors, driving demand and potentially leading to further gains in USDJPY. If the Fed continues to prioritize inflation control, this could provide a steady tailwind for the dollar against the yen. 2. Divergent Monetary Policies Between the US and Japan While the Fed remains hawkish, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is expected to maintain its ultra-loose monetary policy. The BoJ has shown little intention of changing its low-interest-rate environment, making JPY less attractive in comparison to USD. This divergence in monetary policy provides a bullish edge for USDJPY as the yield differential widens. 3. Strong US Economic Data Recent economic data from the US, including robust GDP growth and stable employment figures, further supports USD strength. These indicators suggest a resilient economy, giving the Federal Reserve more flexibility to maintain or even raise rates. Consequently, the USD is positioned favorably against the yen in the near term. 4. Risk Appetite Supporting USD over JPY Although JPY traditionally benefits as a safe-haven currency during periods of market uncertainty, today’s risk sentiment leans toward moderate optimism. As risk appetite grows, traders are more likely to favor the USD over JPY, adding another layer of support to the USDJPY’s bullish momentum. Technical Indicators Highlight Potential Upside From a technical perspective, USDJPY is trading above its key support level at 150.00, a sign of bullish resilience. If USDJPY can break above the 150.80 resistance, it may pave the way for further gains toward the 151.50 mark. Conclusion In summary, today’s analysis indicates a slightly bullish bias for USDJPY, driven by the Fed’s hawkish stance, divergent monetary policies, positive US economic data, and favorable risk sentiment. Traders should watch for potential resistance levels that could influence USDJPY’s momentum in the short term. Tags: #USDJPYanalysis #Japaneseyenforecast #Forexmarkettrends #USdollaroutlook #FederalReservepolicyimpact #USDJPYNovember62024 #Interestratedivergence #Forexbullishtrends #Riskappetitecurrencytrading
Short
by PERFECT_MFG
USDJPY H4 | Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our sell entry at 153.79, which is a pullback resistance (waiting for the pullback) Our take profit will be at 152.52, a pullback support. The stop loss will be placed at 154.59 which aligns with the 127.2% Fibo extension High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
4
**USD/JPY 15-Minute Forecast: Watching Key Levels Closely!**⏱ **USD/JPY 15-Minute Forecast: Watching Key Levels Closely!** 📉📈 USD/JPY is currently at **151.840** on the 15-minute chart. We're closely watching the **152.336** level—if it breaks and reverses, we could see a dip toward **151.556** as a target. 🔍 **Key Levels:** - **Current Price:** 151.840 - **Resistance:** 152.336 - **Support:** 151.707 💡 **Quick Insight:** A break and reversal at 152.336 may trigger a bearish move down to 151.556. Keep an eye on these levels for potential trade entries! 👉 Do you see a similar setup? Share your view below! #USDJPY #ForexTrading #15MinChart #PricePrediction #Pipnest
Short
by pipnest
USDJPY Is Bouncing Toward The NWOGLike many other currency pairs on the US dollar, USDJPY also opened with a downgap this week. This was still not closed and turned out to be a break-away gap with further price losses. The upcoming decision in the race for the US presidency is likely to be accompanied by high volatility. We expect USDJPY to close its gap soon. This assumption is also based on the fact that the price reacted with a bounce after reaching a Fibonacci retracement at 151.36.
Long
by Ochlokrat
USD / JPYKey Characteristics of USD/JPY: Volatility: USD/JPY often shows moderate to low volatility relative to some other major pairs, although it can experience significant movement in response to economic data and policy changes. Economic Influences: The pair is highly sensitive to economic indicators from both the U.S. and Japan, including interest rate decisions by the U.S. Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan (BoJ), inflation rates, GDP, and trade balances. Interest Rate Differential: A key driver of USD/JPY is the interest rate differential between the two countries. The U.S. has maintained relatively high interest rates recently, while Japan has had ultra-low or negative rates, which often leads to a stronger dollar against the yen. Global Sentiment and Safe-Haven Demand: The yen is often considered a "safe-haven" currency, meaning that during times of global risk or uncertainty, the yen may strengthen as investors seek safer assets. Conversely, during periods of risk-taking, the dollar typically strengthens relative to the yen.
by ChartsWithAI
USDJPY-bias short bearish indications: Fib level 0.618 respected in day time frame. Bearish divergence. Trend line support broken in 4 hr timed frame. Moving average respected with the red candle indicates bearish movement. Head and shoulder pattern in 4 hrs. look for proper head and shoulder pattern to short in this pair. Head and shoulder pattern in 15 min time frame Bullish indications: Resistance broken and forming as support in day time frame. Bullish divergence in 4 hr time frame but not major. Possible temporary movement of long before it falls Trade plan bias short @ 152 SL:152.600 TP1:151.71 TP2:150.787
Short
by gouthamkulal1
1
USDJPY Slightly Bearish Bias Today: Key Fundamental Drivers !Introduction Today, USDJPY exhibits a slight bearish bias amid shifting fundamental factors and evolving market conditions. The yen’s appeal as a safe-haven currency and recent developments in the US economy are shaping USDJPY’s direction. In this article, we’ll analyze the main drivers that contribute to this bearish outlook for USDJPY and highlight what traders should watch in today’s forex market. --- Key Drivers of the Bearish Bias in USDJPY 1. Weakening US Dollar on Mixed Economic Data The US dollar has recently shown signs of softening, driven by mixed economic reports. Data from the past week, including non-farm payrolls and the ISM Manufacturing PMI, indicated a slowdown in US economic activity. This uncertainty around US growth is weakening the dollar’s position against safe-haven currencies like the yen. A weaker USD generally supports a bearish outlook for USDJPY as traders adjust their positions based on changing expectations for the Federal Reserve's policy direction. 2. Dovish Signals from the Federal Reserve Recent signals from the Federal Reserve suggest that it may be nearing the end of its rate-hiking cycle, with a possible pivot in sight for 2025. The Fed’s cautious stance has dampened expectations for further rate increases, which reduces demand for the USD. This dovish shift makes the dollar less attractive, especially when paired against the yen, a currency that typically benefits from safe-haven demand. The reduced rate differential between the US and Japan lends further support to a bearish USDJPY outlook. 3. Bank of Japan’s Monetary Policy Adjustments The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has recently hinted at making adjustments to its ultra-loose monetary policy, indicating a slow but potential shift toward normalization. Although the BOJ has maintained a dovish stance overall, any sign of policy tightening is significant for USDJPY. Market participants are speculating on a gradual shift, which could increase the yen’s appeal relative to the dollar, contributing to the current bearish bias for USDJPY. 4. Global Risk Sentiment and Safe-Haven Demand for Yen The yen’s safe-haven status provides it with support in times of risk aversion, and today’s market sentiment reflects a cautious tone. Geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty in other major markets are heightening safe-haven demand. As investors seek safety, the yen becomes more attractive, leading to bearish pressure on USDJPY as funds flow into Japan’s currency. 5. US-Japan Yield Spread Narrowing One important factor influencing USDJPY is the yield differential between US Treasuries and Japanese government bonds (JGBs). Recently, the gap has begun to narrow, as US Treasury yields decline amid expectations of a more dovish Fed, while Japanese yields remain steady or inch slightly higher. A narrower yield spread weakens the case for holding USD over JPY, adding weight to a bearish USDJPY outlook. --- Technical Analysis of USDJPY Technically, USDJPY appears to be trading near resistance levels, suggesting potential for a pullback. The pair’s price action is testing support around the 148.50 mark, a critical level that could dictate near-term momentum. Should bearish sentiment intensify, traders could look for downside targets near 148.00 or lower. Conversely, any break above resistance near 149.50 could challenge the bearish bias, although today’s fundamentals lean towards a slightly bearish trend. --- Conclusion In summary, today’s bearish bias in USDJPY is driven by a combination of US dollar weakness, potential adjustments from the BOJ, safe-haven demand for the yen, and a narrowing yield differential. As these factors continue to play out, USDJPY may face further downside pressure unless there is a significant shift in either US or Japanese economic policy. Traders should keep a close watch on upcoming US data releases and any new BOJ policy commentary, as these events could shape the pair’s movement in the near term. --- SEO Tags: #USDJPYAnalysis #USDJPYForecast #USDJPYToday #USDJPYFundamentalAnalysis #USDollarYenOutlook #BankofJapanPolicy #ForexMarketUpdate #TradingUSDJPY #USDJPYBearishBias
Short
by PERFECT_MFG
USD/JPY Reversal from Premium Zone with Inefficiency FillAnalysis Summary Premium Zone and Strong High: The premium zone, marked between 153.100 and 153.300, highlights an area where selling pressure could intensify. The strong high at 153.100 reinforces this resistance level, suggesting it may act as a turning point if tested. Inefficiency (Fair Value Gap): The inefficiency (or FVG) zone at around 152.700–152.900 may act as a magnet for price to fill this imbalance. This zone could be targeted before a potential reversal from the premium area. Break of Structure (BOS) and Discount Zone: A previous BOS to the downside suggests bearish momentum. The discount zone around 151.500–151.700 below the current price could act as a support level if the price reverses from the premium zone and resumes a bearish trend. Weak Low: The weak low near 151.700 may serve as a target if the price resumes its downtrend, confirming a bearish continuation. Potential Scenarios: Bearish Reversal from Premium Zone: If the price moves up to test the premium zone around 153.100–153.300 and encounters resistance, a bearish reversal is likely. This could result in a move down to fill the inefficiency around 152.700 and potentially target the weak low at 151.700. Continued Bullish Momentum: If buyers push through the premium zone and the strong high at 153.100, this could invalidate the bearish outlook and suggest a continuation to higher levels. Conclusion USD/JPY is approaching a premium zone where a bearish reversal could unfold, targeting the inefficiency at 152.700 and the weak low at 151.700. Traders should watch for rejection signals near 153.100–153.300 to confirm a potential bearish setup.
Short
by SwiftSignalFX
1
USD/JPY on the Rise: Aiming for 154 and Beyond if 151 HoldsHere’s the lowdown: USD/JPY is hanging out at the 151 support level. If this zone holds, we’re looking at a nice ride up to 152.47—and possibly higher! First take-profit at 154.23, and if we break that, we’re cruising to 155.80 and even 157. Simple Breakdown: Solid Support at 151 Right now, 151 is the key spot to watch. If we hold above this, it’s a good sign USD/JPY has the strength to keep climbing. Target Levels on the Way Up First Stop: 152.47 This is our first target, so keep an eye on the price action here to see if we’ve got the momentum. Take-Profit Zone 1: 154.23 If we reach this level, it’s a great spot to lock in some gains. Think of it as the first surf break! Take-Profit Zone 2: 155.80 If 154 clears, next stop is 155.80. This is where the ride gets exciting. High-End Target: 157 If USD/JPY stays strong and keeps moving, 157 is the ultimate stretch goal on this wave. Trading Tip Stay flexible with your levels. If 151 holds, ride the trend and take profits at each level to keep it smooth. Relax, set your zones, and let the market show you the way! MINDBLOOME TRADING / KRIS Where Trading Meets Wellness : Mindbloome Exchange
Long
by Mindbloome-Trading