USDJPY trade ideas
The Consolidation Zone and the UncertaintyIn this trade, I’m going to enter with a short position.
Analyzing the pair on the higher time-frames, it has reached a reversal zone for the second time, previously located around the 158.874 price level.
Moving to the daily time-frame and after the pair hit that same area twice again, there’s the possibility of opening a sell position — but a few points should be considered:
**1st point: Pay attention to the reversal the pair is currently making after reaching the area near 139.576 *and try to understand whether a future pullback might occur, which would strengthen the case for the sell (a Fibonacci tool can be used as support for this).
*Something similar happened between January 16, 2023 and December 28, 2023.
**There’s also the chance that the pair might continue its downward movement without making a reversal or pullback.
2nd point: There’s also a possibility that the pair is in a consolidation zone and could later make a strong bullish move, breaking through the reversal zone around 158.874 and invalidating the selling opportunity.
Taking everything mentioned above into account — and despite the uncertainty around this pair’s future movement — it’s possible to consider both buying and selling at different moments. That’s why it’s important to closely monitor all the movements and try to time it right, because I believe that when the pair chooses a direction, it’ll move with strength.
In this analysis, several moving averages and a Parabolic SAR were also used, and they should be given close attention.
TOP DOWN ANALYSIS ON USDJPY DAILY BIASOn the Daily timeframe, price reacted to the major zone and reversed upwards, rhyming with the established bullish bias on the monthly/weekly timeframe, price is currently sitting on the daily trend line almost broken but we will head to the 4hr timeframe for further confirmation.
TOP DOWN ANALYSIS ON USDJPY WEEKLY BIASOn the weekly timeframe, price had a strong rejection weekly candle close right at the monthly/weekly established major zone that closed very bullish hence signaling bullish reversal rhyming with the monthly bullish bias already established!!
TOP DOWN ANALYSIS ON USDJPY MONTHLY TIME FRAME BIASOn the MONTHLY timeframe, we established a major support zone and price is currently rejecting from the zone as the monthly candle have not yet closed. We keep our eyes on it while we go check out the weekly timeframe.
Major Support being testedClean sell would be ideal if the Major support breaks.. until then bias remains bullish.
USDJPY BULLISHMy deeply studied quantitative analysis indicates that price bears an overall bullish sentiment and that it will get to 150.150
USDJPY Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my USDJPY analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
The beginning of the carry trade unwind part 2?If we look at the chart, the current structure looks very similar to what happened right before the market decline in August.
We've formed a head and shoulders (albeit not perfect as it's slanted), and price seems to be breaking down.
If price action accelerates to do downside, it's likely to take the market with it just like it did the last time.
Paying attention to this over the coming weeks.
USDJPY 4HUSDJPY Analysis
Continuing the previous analysis
Although the main trend remains bearish with targets at 138.70, 136.15, and potentially lower,
a temporary bullish correction is expected.
Short-term bullish targets:
◾ 144.76
◾ 146.87
With a lower probability:
◾ 148.24
USDJPY: Bulls Eye Key Support as Trade Optimism Lifts DollarHey Traders, We are currently monitoring USDJPY for a potential buying opportunity as price approaches the 143.200 level, an important area that has acted as both support and resistance in recent sessions. Technically, the pair remains in a well-defined uptrend, and this pullback appears to be part of a healthy correction phase rather than a trend reversal. The 143.200 zone also aligns with a dynamic trendline support, increasing the likelihood of a bullish reaction if price holds above this level. From a fundamental perspective, recent developments have started to tilt in favor of the dollar. News of progress toward a trade agreement between the U.S. and India has sparked optimism, as it may lay the groundwork for similar deals with other key global partners. This has been compounded by unconfirmed reports out of China suggesting potential tariff exemptions in specific sectors, which has further boosted investor sentiment and triggered a broader “risk-on” shift in markets. As geopolitical tensions around trade show signs of easing, the U.S. dollar is regaining strength, fueling the case for further upside in USDJPY. Taken together, the convergence of technical support and improving macroeconomic signals presents a compelling opportunity for bulls, provided we see signs of price stability or a confirmed bounce near the 143.200 area.
Trade safe, Joe.
What the Institutional traders are doing on USDJPYExpect liquidity sweep to fillup FVG and wideout inducement.
Enjoys your weekends Lads!
USDJPY Weekly Rejection at Support-Revisit Bearish Order Block?USDJPY pair last trading week got rejected at the same level that the pair has previously acted as a support level. Will this rejection cause USDJPY to rally towards a bearish order block above 147.50?
Risk Zones: 146.50
N.B!
- USDJPY price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#usdjpy
#usd
#jpy
USDJP WEEKLY UPDATESHello folks, if you're following
this idea since, then the higher chances are, you win the trade on my short idea before.
Now I'm expecting lows again, This idea is on weekly gap to be filled.
Chart are on 4HTF. this idea are on weekly.
It might retrace, but the weekly timeframe still on bearish.+
This is not a financial advice, follow for more.
Why Yen — When the Dollar Pays 4.5%?USD/JPY recently dropped to its lowest level since September 2024, hovering near the weekly moving average. The market buzzes with concerns over potential U.S. instability and speculation that a Trump administration could weigh on the dollar — prompting some investors to seek safety in the yen.
However, the yield story tells a different tale.
The U.S. still offers an attractive 4.5% overnight interest rate, while Japan lags far behind at just 0.5%. With USD currently undervalued, the yield differential may once again tilt investor preference back toward the dollar.
Looking ahead, a potential rebound toward resistance at 148.639 could be in play in the coming weeks.
buy is coming on USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair recently experienced a bearish movement, which is largely influenced by heightened concerns surrounding the ongoing trade and tariff tensions between the U.S. and its global counterparts. This risk-off sentiment triggered a flight to safe-haven assets, weighing on the pair.
However, price action has now approached a key trendline support zone, which has held firmly in previous sessions. Technical indicators like RSI are also beginning to show signs of bullish divergence, suggesting a potential reversal. If this trendline continues to act as strong support, we may see a bullish bounce from the current level, aligning with the overall ascending trend structure but if the trade break these support zones, then the bearish movement might continues
for now we will be watching for confirmation signals such as bullish candlestick patterns or a break above near-term resistance levels to validate the upward movement.
USDJPY 15M FORECASTHello guys, I hope you are well let me tell you that the price will sell by filling the FVG and our target will remain until the Bullish OB.
USDJPY - Already Over-Sold!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈USDJPY has been overall bearish trading within the falling wedge pattern marked in blue and it is currently hovering around the lower bound of it.
Moreover, the orange zone is a strong weekly support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #USDJPY approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDJPY Possible SellUSDJPY has a high probability to do down and reach liquidity therefore a sell entry is possible on pullback up .
Good LUck
USD/JPY(20250425)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Federal Reserve-①Hamack: If economic data is clear, the Fed may cut interest rates in June
②Waller: It will take until July to get a clearer understanding of how tariffs affect the economy. If tariffs lead to higher unemployment, interest rate cuts may be initiated. ③The Atlanta Fed GDPNow model predicts that the US GDP growth rate in the first quarter will be -2.5%. ④Kashkari: The frequent announcements from Washington have brought challenges to policymakers and everyone.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
142.79
Support and resistance levels:
143.94
143.51
143.23
142.34
142.06
141.63
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 142.79, consider buying, the first target price is 143.23
If the price breaks through 142.34, consider selling, the first target price is 142.06
USDJPY - Analysis and Potential Setups (Intraday- 25.04.25)Overall Trend & Context:
This pair is in an overall uptrend and has reacted off the 140.00 support levels (as well as the 200 EMA on the Daily chart).
Technical Findings:
Price is trading above 25, 50,100 and 200 EMA's on intraday charts.
Powerful break of structure which leaves no question about bullish force.
Current consolidation - Demand needs to be built before continuation.
Notes:
Price is currently at a historic support level however has not closed above daily supply, we are still in the area of doing so.
Manage your risk, take the trade with confirmations only.
USDJPY | 2nd | Bullish momentemUSDJPY is gaining bullish momentum with new higher highs , and once it clears the significant lower high resistance area then it is expected to go upwards.
