the USD/JPY pair may form a short-term BUY trendBased on the analysis, the USD/JPY pair may form a short-term BUY trend. Based on this analysis, we can try to enter a Buy position OANDA:USDJPY
with a small risk margin.
USDJPY trade ideas
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?USD/JPY has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 148.24
1st Support: 145.92
1st Resistance: 150.25
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USDJPY Short: Video WalkthroughHello, this is the video walkthrough on the USDJPY short idea that I posted 7 hours earlier. Price has since moved down so you would either scale in your short position, or do this on a smaller size based on your risk management. But definitely for this idea, the invalidation point, and thus the stop loss, will be if price moves above the wave Y high.
Good luck!
USDJPY 15 MINUTE This chart shows a USD/JPY 15-minute timeframe analysis with a visible trade setup involving a break of a rising trendline:
Bearish Trade Setup: The price broke below the ascending trendline, indicating a potential bearish reversal.
Entry Point: Likely entered just after the trendline break.
Stop Loss: Placed above the recent highs (~148.639).
Take Profit: Set around 146.213, which the price has successfully hit (marked as "target successful").
Pattern: The chart seems to include a possible double top pattern near the circled high, which often signals bearish reversal.
This looks like a well-executed short trade based on classic
USDJPY InsightWelcome to all our subscribers!
Please feel free to share your personal thoughts in the comments. Don't forget to hit the booster and subscribe!
Key Points
- The U.S. and China have agreed to reduce tariffs by 115% during a high-level trade negotiation held in Geneva, Switzerland. As a result, the U.S. will impose a 30% tariff on Chinese imports, while China will impose a 10% tariff on U.S. imports.
- U.S. President Donald Trump stated that he "might be able to speak with Chinese President Xi Jinping later this week." However, he warned that if the two countries fail to reach an agreement within 90 days, tariffs could be "significantly higher" than the current 30%.
- The possibility of a ceasefire in the Russia–Ukraine war remains uncertain. While the U.S., Europe, and Ukraine proposed a 30-day ceasefire, Russia has not responded and has instead continued drone attacks on Ukraine.
Major Economic Events This Week
+ May 13: U.S. April Consumer Price Index (CPI)
+ May 14: Germany April Consumer Price Index
+ May 15: U.K. Q1 GDP, U.S. April Retail Sales, U.S. April Producer Price Index (PPI), Speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell
+ May 16: Japan Q1 GDP
USDJPY Chart Analysis
Although it briefly stalled near the 146 level, USDJPY has ultimately broken through resistance and is showing a steep upward trend. It is currently trading near the 149 level, and unless there is a major shift, the pair is expected to continue its climb toward the 151 range. We will reassess its direction once it approaches that level.
ORB Strategy What’s good ChartGeqs 👑
I know it’s been a minute — just wanted to check in and see what’s new with y’all?
We’re still locked in on the mission, but I always wanna hear how the team is doing too. Drop a quick update. 📊🔥
Confirmed by Coach D.R – we don’t guess, we confirm.
USD/JPY SHORT SET UP📉 USD/JPY – Short Setup in Play After Major Rally
🗓️ Published May 12, 2025 | 4H Chart | OANDA
After a strong bullish surge in USD/JPY, price has now tapped into a key resistance zone near 148.875, aligning closely with prior supply and the declining 200 EMA. This area also coincides with a psychological resistance level.
💡 A short position has been initiated following rejection from the supply zone, marked by a clean bearish candle and fading momentum. The blue arrow highlights the entry confirmation area.
USDJPY Wave Analysis – 12 May 2025- USDJPY broke the resistance area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 150.00
USDJPY currency pair continues to rise strongly inside the c-wave, which recently broke the resistance area between the resistance level 146.00 (top of the previous wave a), 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from March and the resistance trendline of the daily down channel from January.
The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the minor c-wave of the active ABC correction (2) from the end of April.
USDJPY currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 150.00 (target price for the completion of the active c-wave).
USDJPY Technical analysis - Scanning for ShortsUJ Approaching the resistance zone we will anticipate a retest then continue to drop more..
Lets see how will it play out..
#patience
USDJPY Short: Completion of Double Combination Wave 2 of 3Over here, I present to you what I think is an excellent risk-reward idea.
I’ve drawn a double combination wave structure for a wave 2 of 3. And wave Y itself you can see that A=C.
The stop for this will be just above end of wave Y.
Good luck!
USDJPY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS.This chart represents the technical analysis of the U.S. Dollar (USD) against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on the FXCM exchange, using a 1-hour timeframe.
Key Observations:
1. Current Price Movement:
The price is at approximately 148.305 JPY, showing an increase of around 2.02%.
The chart shows a significant bullish movement before reaching the current level.
2. Potential Reversal:
The downward arrow indicates a possible short or sell signal, suggesting that the price might decline after the recent upward move.
The projected target for the potential drop is around 146.179 JPY.
3. Risk and Reward Zones:
The green shaded area indicates a potential profit zone for a short position.
The red shaded area indicates a risk zone, highlighting where the trade might be stopped out.
4. Resistance and Support:
The marked horizontal resistance zone around 149.726 JPY suggests that this is where selling pressure might increase.
The support zone near 146.179 JPY indicates where buyers could step in.
Would you like an analysis of possible trade setups or risk management strategies based on this chart?
Potential short to buy ideaExpecting this chart to continue buying to the top end, make a fake out, then sell to the bottom where it will buy again. Prone to be disturbed by fundamentals
Japanese yen tumbles to five-week low on US-China tariff dealThe Japanese yen has started the week with sharp losses. USD/JPY is trading at 148.18, up 1.9% on the day. Earlier, the yen strengthened to 148.59, its strongest level since April 3.
The US and China have reached an agreement to slash tariffs on each other's products for 90 days. This would be a major de-escalation in the bruising tariff war between the world's two largest economies. Under the agreement, the US and China will slash tariffs by 115%, leaving US tariffs on China at 30% and China's tariffs on the US at 10%.
The tariff agreement has boosted risk appetite, sending global stock markets higher. The deal has weighed on safe-haven assets like the yen, which is sharply lower on Monday. Gold, another safe-haven, has plunged 3.1% today.
In Japan, household spending and wage growth were down in March. Household spending decelerated to 0.4% m/m, down sharply from 3.5% in February. Average Cash Earnings declined to 2.1% y/y, down from a downwardly revised 2.7% a month earlier. There was more bad news as service-sentiment for April eased, reflecting concern over US tariffs.
These numbers support the case for the Bank of Japan to continue its wait-and-see stance before raising interest rates. The BoJ wants to see inflation remain sustainable at 2%, which will require higher wage growth and stronger consumer spending.
Over the weekend, a host of Fed members made public statements. New York Fed President John Williams and Fed Governor Adriana Kugler both noted that current rate policy was in an appropriate place and suggested patience was needed. This message echoed Fed Chair Powell's remarks at last week's FOMC meeting, when he said the Fed would take a wait-and-see attitude due to the uncertainty over US tariffs.
USD/JPY has pushed above resistance at 146.83 and 147.48 and is testing resistance at 148.47. Above, there is resistance at 149.04
146.11 and 145.36 are the next support levels
USDJPY BEARISH SETUP ONFIRMED.?USD/JPY Bearish Scenario Analysis
Trend: Downtrend (bearish bias confirmed by lower highs and lower lows on the daily timeframe)
Current Price Action: After a failed attempt to sustain above the 148.200 resistance level, USD/JPY has shown rejection patterns such as bearish engulfing candles and increasing selling volume. Price is now breaking below key moving averages (e.g., 50 and 100 EMA), confirming momentum shift to the downside
Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 148.200 – Strong supply zone, multiple rejections seen here.
1st Bearish Target: 143.900 – Recent swing low and minor support zone; break below confirms bearish continuation.
2nd Bearish Target: 141.600 – Major horizontal support from previous consolidation area.
Support: 140.100 – Long-term support level; likely to attract strong buying interest or signal a trend exhaustion.
Bearish Scenario Setup
1. Entry Zone: Between 147.500 - 147.800 (pullback/retest of broken structure)
2. Stop Loss: Above 148.500 (just beyond the resistance zone to avoid false breakouts)
3. Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 143.900
TP2: 141.600
4. Bonus Target (extended move): 140.100 – if selling momentum continues and macro conditions favor JPY strength.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which ofThe MACD indicator shows that the DIFF line has formed a golden cross with the DEA line, and the red histogram has continuously expanded, indicating that the upward trend has been established. At the same time, the RSI indicator has rebounded from the oversold area to the level of 59.777, suggesting that there is still room for the exchange rate to rise. It is worth noting that the CCI indicator has broken through the 200 level, implying that there is a possibility of a short-term technical correction.
In terms of volatility analysis, the Bollinger Bands have widened. The upper band is at 147.845 and the lower band is at 139.942, indicating that market volatility is increasing. Currently, the exchange rate is moving within an upward-sloping triangular consolidation pattern. 150 constitutes an important resistance level in the near term, while 146 forms a key support level. In the short term, if the exchange rate can effectively hold above the 148 mark, it will further confirm the continuation of the upward trend.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
USDJPY / 1 DAY / BULLHello Guys;
My USDJPY target level is 147,500.
My target may come a bit late because this trade is a swing trade.
I would appreciate it very much if you do not miss your likes within the framework of Respect for Labor Thank you very much in advance
"USDJPY Just Printed a Trap — Smart Money Is In. Are You?"🧠 Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Setup Alert: USDJPY | 15-Min Timeframe
We’re spotting a high-probability bullish continuation setup on USDJPY backed by Smart Money logic. Let’s unpack what’s happening:
🧭 1. Liquidity Grab at the Low
Notice how price created a false breakdown below prior structure — a classic liquidity hunt. Late sellers got trapped before price snapped back aggressively, triggering a Bullish Break of Structure (BOS).
Smart Money needed to grab liquidity before running price higher. Textbook manipulation.
🟩 2. Refined Entry Zone: Discount + Bullish Order Flow
Price has now retraced back to a discount zone, entering the premium-to-discount pullback area. Buyers are expected to defend this level, creating the potential for a bullish continuation.
This entry is cleanly defined by a buy-side imbalance (light green area) which overlaps with a bullish order block and internal trendline support.
📐 3. Risk-to-Reward (R:R) Setup
We’ve got an excellent R:R opportunity here:
🎯 Entry: Near 145.910
❌ Stop Loss: Just above 146.314 (invalidate bullish bias)
✅ Take Profit Zone: 145.367 (with continuation possible beyond)
This gives us roughly a 2.3R setup, highly favorable for swing entries.
🎯 4. Confluence
Trendline support holding
Bullish BOS confirmed
Imbalance filled
Liquidity grabbed
Order block respected
FVG forming structure for propulsion
Smart Money is likely to push price back toward internal liquidity highs — and possibly sweep them for a final exit.
📊 Strategy:
Wait for bullish engulfing or strong rejection wick from this discount zone to confirm entry.
Trail stop as structure develops on lower timeframes. This setup can also be compounded if price forms another internal BOS.
⚠️ Risk Reminder:
Don’t chase. Let price come to you.
Manage risk at all times.
One setup doesn’t define the day — consistency wins.
🧪 Summary:
USDJPY is giving Smart Money vibes — from the liquidity grab, clean BOS, internal order block, to an excellent R:R setup.
This is the kind of trade where you want to be the hunter, not the prey.
💬 Drop a 🔥 if you caught this move.
📩 Tag a trading buddy who needs to learn SMC.
📊 Stay smart. Trade with purpose.
USDJPY Long Trade - 150.000!!!! NEXT TARGETI normally don't post on here but have seen for the past month that 95% of any trades are accurate. Based on liquidity, common sense and price targets, in my believe this shall be the next big move. Entry shall be between 148.250-148.500. Target will hopefully hit by this upcoming Thursday. NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE
Risk assets rally amid trade talk developmentsFollowing the agreement between the United States (US) and China to temporarily reduce tariffs, there has been a notable unwinding of safe-haven assets and an increase in demand across risk. Recent developments show the US is preparing to lower levies from 145% to 30%, while China is set to decrease tariffs from 125% to 10%.
Safe-haven assets weighed
Along with the Swiss franc (CHF) and Spot Gold versus the US dollar (XAU/USD), the Japanese yen (JPY) is on the back foot today. The USD/JPY currency pair is up 2.0% today and has rallied nearly 4.0% on the month, poised to snap a four-month losing streak.
USD/JPY bulls to remain on the offensive, targeting ¥149.00?
Technically, support remains clear on the monthly scale of USD/JPY at ¥140.31, a base that is complemented by the Relative Strength Index demonstrating signs of rebounding from the 50.00 threshold (and the lower boundary of a falling wedge taken from 86.72 and 56.82). Buyers certainly have room to stretch their legs on the monthly timeframe, with resistance calling for attention at ¥160.20.
As long as the unit closes above the ¥148.28 high (9 April) on the daily chart today, this will not only provide support around ¥148.15 to work with but also unlock the door for further upside towards the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at ¥149.68. This is closely shadowed by another layer of possible resistance between ¥150.99 and ¥150.16, as well as Fibonacci resistance at ¥152.05-¥151.61.
If you drill down to the H1 chart, you will note another support that warrants attention at ¥147.43. Should daily price fail to close above ¥148.28, I will closely monitor H1 support from ¥147.43 as another potential floor, with an immediate upside objective at ¥149.00, followed by the 200-day SMA at ¥148.69, as mentioned above.
Written by FP Markets Chief Market Analyst Aaron Hill
NEXT MOVE Bearish Disruption Analysis:
1. Support Breakdown Risk
The chart highlights the 145.000–145.200 area as a support zone.
If price breaks below this support with strong bearish momentum, it could invalidate the bullish reversal expectation.
A close below 144.800 would confirm weakness, suggesting a potential shift in sentiment
USDJPY will it go higher?Hello everyone!
I want share my idea about USDJPY.
last few week we saw USD weaker than other Currencies, but now we see Trend Change after test 140.000 LVL. If we look at JPY index we will see price moving with strong seller but still uptrend, i think JPY will move lower and dollar will still dominant in the race.
If we look at technical with simple Support/Resistance strategy price going higher it broke some resistance levels and had pretty nice reactions from supports i think price will brake easy 140 LVL and will go to check 151 Resistance.
Soon we will have China and America meeting which will be about rates, i think it will affect at dollar index and it is starting place which is signal the meeting will go well.
FOR COLLABORATION TEXT ME DM!
ALWAYS MAKE YOUR OWN RESEARCH!
USDJPY see Re-accumulate for short term goal.
We might see 150 again or higher. I see only equal highs.
This idea base on accumulation at lower timeframe 1h.
This is not a financial advice.
Follow for more.
USD/JPY Breaks Out – Bulls Eye 149.35 Fibonacci TargetUSD/JPY surged nearly 2%, breaking above both its 50-day SMA and short-term downtrend line, signaling a potential trend reversal:
📈 Strong bullish candle, clearing the 146.50–147.50 zone
📊 RSI climbing through 60, showing accelerating bullish momentum
📉 MACD crossing the zero line, reinforcing the bullish signal
🔺 Next upside targets:
149.35 = 50% Fib retracement of the Dec–April decline
151.60 = 61.8% Fib and near 200-day SMA
Staying above 146.30 keeps the bias bullish. A close above 149.35 would open the door for a potential run toward 154.80.
-MW
