ujsdjpy H4 TFI'm still bearish on UJ, H4 set up.
went in a little too early, took a 50 L
higher TF structure always win in the end. this is a 500 + pip move to the down side.
USDJPY trade ideas
As Goes USD/JPY, so goes the USD USD/JPY continues to drive impact in broader USD themes and given the fact that there's still considerable carry remaining in the pair, the consequences of a deeper sell-off could bring impact to several macro markets. USD/JPY is about 40% above the early 2021 lows when the carry trade began to build on the back of stronger US inflation, and even as US rate cuts started last year and BoJ rate hikes began, the carry trade only started to unwind - until the bounce from 140.00 in Q3 of last year.
That same 140.00 level was back in action in April, right around the time that the USD bounced from a big spot of support on its own chart. And the four weeks that followed showed similar bounces in both markets. The pain for bulls last week was, similarly, felt in both markets.
But this week has shown a different tone as a higher-low has held in USD/JPY around 142.50 and for DXY, around the 98.98 Fibonacci level. As looked at in the USD post, there's now the possibility of a monthly doji and if that completes, there's turn potential for the US Dollar.
This would need to be supported by continued recovery in USD/JPY and for that, we're likely going to be looking for continued softening in longer-dated Japanese yields. Or else - as the divergence between Japanese and US rates continues to narrow, so too could the motivation for hedges and carry trades to close, putting downward pressure on the pair and the US Dollar.
In that scenario, I think USD/CAD and GBP/USD could remain as attractive venues for USD-weakness to play out. But in the opposite, with USD-strength showing, I'm still favoring EUR/USD for USD-strength to continue playing out. And also for the Yen, USD/JPY has been 'trappy' on both sides and I'd instead look to work with Yen-weakness against the British Pound (GBP/JPY) and Yen-strength against the Euro. - js
USDJPY | Smart Money Long Setup – Deep Fib + OB Reaction💴 USDJPY | Institutional Long Play with Perfect OB + Fib Confluence
Price gave us an aggressive push off the demand zone, showing clear Smart Money accumulation behavior. This setup is high probability based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC).
🔍 1. Technical Breakdown
Strong impulse move upward
Clean pullback into the Order Block
Confluence with 70.5%–79% Fibonacci retracement zone
Price respected the OB zone and printed higher highs
That reaction was institutional — no cap 🧢.
🧱 2. Bullish Confluences
🔥 Order Block (OB): Purple demand zone = unmitigated
📐 Fib Sweet Spot: 70.5%–79% = institutional re-entry levels
✅ Strong Wick Rejection: Shows absorption of sell-side liquidity
📈 Market Structure Shift: Break of structure to the upside
🎯 3. Trade Plan
Entry: 142.89 (within OB + 70.5%)
Stop Loss: 142.00
Take Profit: 145.49 zone
This setup targets the -27% fib extension — a classic institutional TP level.
⚖️ 4. RRR (Risk-Reward Ratio)
💰 Entry: 142.89
🔒 SL: 142.00
📍 TP: 145.49
✅ RRR ≈ 1:2.9
Solid intraday-to-swing play with clean structure.
🧠 5. Key Confirmation Points
Break and close above 144.36 = confirmed bullish intent
Price respecting 143.44 OB = bulls still in control
SL below OB = protected by demand block
💬 Comment “SMC Long Sniper 💹” if you caught this move!
🔄 Share this if you love OB + fib sniper entries
📌 Save this setup for your next demand zone playbook
Bullish momentum to extend?USD/JPY has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 144.07
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 143.21
Why we like it:
There is a pullback supoprt level.
Take profit: 145.88
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Market next move
📊 Current Analysis Summary:
Pair: USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe.
Bias: Bullish breakout above a minor consolidation (highlighted box).
Target: Set higher, implying continuation of upward momentum.
Arrows: Show bullish path with a minor pullback, then a breakout continuation.
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❌ Disruptive Breakdown:
🔴 1. Fake Breakout Risk
Price is testing the upper bound of the consolidation box. If this breakout fails to hold, it could trap late buyers. A rejection back inside the box might trigger a bearish reversal—a textbook bull trap scenario.
🔴 2. Volume Divergence
Despite the green breakout candle, the volume spike is not aggressive enough. If volume fails to increase further, it may suggest exhaustion, not momentum. This divergence undermines the breakout’s credibility.
🔴 3. Fundamental Uncertainty
Several U.S.-related economic icons (e.g., high-impact news) are visible. A hawkish BoJ or weaker-than-expected U.S. data could sharply reverse USD strength, causing a retracement or dump back below 145.000.
🔴 4. Overextended Short-Term Move
The steep rise could signal near-term exhaustion. RSI or other momentum indicators (not shown here) likely suggest overbought conditions, increasing the probability of a cool-off retracement.
🔴 5. Liquidity Grab & Drop Setup
Price might poke just above the box (to trigger stop losses and attract breakout traders), then reverse aggressively downward—a liquidity sweep or stop-hunt move before the real direction emerges.
USDJPY Breakout - Bullish reversal setup in progress...The price has once again respected the 142.100–142.500 support zone, showing strong buying pressure and a potential trend reversal.
🔍 Market Structure Update:
Break of descending trendline ✔
Higher lows forming ✔
Bullish breakout above 144.500 in progress ✔
🔷Two Bullish Scenarios:
🔹Aggressive Continuation: Break and retest above 144.500 could lead to a sharp push toward the 150.700 resistance zone.
🔹Conservative Entry: A potential retest back into the support zone before the next impulsive leg up.
Support Zone: 142.000–142.500
Target Zone: 150.700
Key Level to Break: 144.500
🚨 Watch for confirmation before entering.
Always manage your risk and never trade without a plan!
📊 Let me know your bias in the comments – Bullish or Bearish?
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USDJPY: Neutral View! One of The Hardest Forex Pair To TradeUSDJPY has not yet shown a clear move, ranging between 141 and 144. We are currently neutral as the price could go in either direction. Trade cautiously and manage risk according to your trade plan.
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USDJPY INTRADAY bearish below 145.60The USDJPY pair is exhibiting a bearish sentiment, reinforced by the ongoing downtrend. The key trading level to watch is at 145.60, which represents the current intraday swing low and the falling resistance trendline level.
In the short term, an oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at the 145.60 resistance, could lead to a downside move targeting support at 141.00, with further potential declines to 139.50 and 138.40 over a longer timeframe.
On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above the 145.60 resistance level and a daily close above that mark would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could pave the way for a continuation of the rally, aiming to retest the 147.90 resistance, with a potential extension to 149.00 levels.
Conclusion:
Currently, the USDJPY sentiment remains bearish, with the 145.60 level acting as a pivotal resistance. Traders should watch for either a bearish rejection at this level or a breakout and daily close above it to determine the next directional move. Caution is advised until the price action confirms a clear break or rejection.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USDJPY Bullish Signal | Technical + Custom AlgoSmart Trend Signal | Technical Analysis + Custom Algorithm
This signal is the result of a combination of classic technical trend analysis and a proprietary software I personally developed.
UsdJpy H4 TF (Bearish)following structure and pice actions:
UJ- broke structure, price has correct before sell off continues.
JPY/USD Deep Analysis Using MMC – Curve Zone + Volume Burst Zone📌 Overview:
Today’s chart setup on JPY/USD demonstrates a classic Mirror Market Concept scenario, where price mimics past structure and behavior to create high-probability trade setups. We are looking at a textbook reversal with a rounded bottom forming right above a key Support Zone—signaling a strong potential move upward.
This is not just a basic support bounce. It’s a multi-layered confluence where structure, volume, and price action come together to build a strong bullish narrative.
🌀 Phase 1: The Curve Zone Support (Accumulation)
The Curve Zone Support (marked clearly on the chart) sits right above 0.006890–0.006910.
Price touched this zone multiple times without breaking it, forming higher lows—a typical sign of accumulation.
This pattern resembles a “rounded bottom” or cup shape, indicating that sellers are getting exhausted and buyers are slowly stepping in.
💡 Market Psychology: This is where smart money begins to accumulate positions, absorbing panic sellers while price coils up.
🧱 Phase 2: SR Interchange + Central Zone Reaction
Notice the SR Interchange Zone around 0.006950. Previously it acted as a resistance, but price broke above and now respects it as support.
This is a textbook SR flip, confirming that this level holds weight.
The Central Zone, formed earlier, is where a battle between bulls and bears took place. Now price is creeping back toward it.
🧠 Mirror Market Concept Insight: Market tends to repeat structure. The earlier bullish rally from the same base level is a mirrored version of what’s forming now. That’s why this concept gives us confidence in projecting future price moves.
🔊 Phase 3: Volume Burst Area – The Target Zone
We’ve marked a Volume Burst Area around 0.007040. This is where heavy buying occurred before a sharp decline.
According to MMC, these areas often act like magnets—price gravitates back toward them once demand builds up below.
If price clears the midpoint (50% retracement) around 0.006960, it opens the door for a bullish breakout toward the volume cluster.
🎯 Trade Plan Based on This Setup:
Component Details
Entry Zone 0.006920 – 0.006930 (buy zone)
Stop Loss Below 0.006890
First Target 0.006980 (mid-level reaction)
Final Target 0.007000 – 0.007040 (Volume Zone)
🧬 MMC Confluences That Make This Setup Powerful:
✅ Curve Zone Support – Foundational base for entry.
✅ SR Flip (Interchange) – Old resistance turned support.
✅ Volume Burst Area – Target based on prior aggressive moves.
✅ Structure Break – Bullish structure shift as price forms higher lows.
✅ Psychology – Accumulation turning into expansion.
🏁 Final Thoughts:
This chart is a great example of how Mirror Market Concepts can unlock the hidden patterns of the market. It’s not just technicals, it’s also about understanding how traders think and how price reflects those emotions.
When you combine curve structures, SR interchanges, and volume dynamics, you’re not guessing—you’re anticipating. If price respects this structure, this could be a clean move toward 0.007000+, offering a great risk-to-reward ratio.
USDJPY PLAN – Will FOMC Be the Next Big Catalyst?USDJPY PLAN – Will FOMC Be the Next Big Catalyst?
💬 After several sessions of sideways movement, USDJPY is showing signs of a potential breakout, supported by both technical signals and macro fundamentals. As the FOMC meeting approaches, the market is poised for a major shift — making this the perfect time to prepare actionable trade plans.
🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Primary Trend: Short-term bullish retracement within a broader downtrend – currently testing the 200 EMA on H2.
EMAs in use: EMA13 (black), EMA34 (orange), EMA89 (red) – effective dynamic support/resistance indicators.
Key Resistance Levels:
145.35: Major confluence zone with 0.618 Fibonacci and trendline resistance.
146.11 – 147.20: Previous highs and Fibonacci extension targets.
Key Support Zones:
144.61: EMA200 acting as immediate pressure point.
143.43 – 143.02: Crucial demand zone with strong reaction expected on pullback.
🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL FACTORS
FOMC Outlook: With recent CPI data softening and labor numbers moderating, markets anticipate a hold on rates. However, any hawkish tone from Chair Powell could trigger a sharp bullish move on USDJPY.
BOJ’s Dovish Stance: The Bank of Japan remains accommodative, showing no clear intent to hike rates. This weakens the Yen and supports mid-term upward momentum for USDJPY.
Interest Rate Differentials & Carry Trade Flows continue to drive volatility and directional bias in this pair.
🎯 TRADE SETUP SUGGESTION
If price breaks and sustains above 144.61 (EMA200): look to BUY on pullback toward 144.15–144.20, targeting 145.35 and 146.11.
If price gets rejected at 145.35: consider a short-term SELL toward 144.00 – 143.43 for a corrective leg.
⚠️ STRATEGY NOTE:
Avoid entering right at the time of the FOMC release. Wait for post-event confirmation. Prioritize strong breakouts or rejections, and manage risk carefully under volatile conditions.
USD/JPY Falls to Near 144.20 Amid Dollar Weakness
The USD/JPY currency pair has reversed its early gains and is trading near 144.20 during Wednesday’s European session. This pullback comes as the US Dollar (USD) struggles to maintain the momentum of Tuesday's recovery.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the dollar's strength against a basket of six major currencies, has retreated from its intraday high of 99.85 and is stabilizing around 99.50, signaling a lack of bullish follow-through.
Key Drivers:
Weaker USD sentiment is weighing on the pair, likely influenced by a shift in US Treasury yields or expectations regarding future Fed rate moves.
A stronger Japanese Yen could also be at play, potentially supported by safe-haven demand or policy signals from the Bank of Japan.
Technical Perspective:
If USD/JPY continues to decline, the next support level might be found near 144.00, followed by 143.50.
On the upside, resistance is seen near 145.00, a psychological and technical barrier.
USDJPY Sell nowCurrently market has shown significant signals that it will be bearish soon. keeping in view the PRZ formed there are high chances that it will go down. accordingly SL and TP1 , TP2 and TP3 are highlighted.
Buy JPYAfter reaching the order block, there is a possibility to buy up to the Tokyo high after 5 minutes and the session's low in the high-volume area from yesterday.
USD/JPY Bulls Awakening from Demand Zone | 4H Smart Money AnalysUSD/JPY just bounced cleanly from a well-defined demand zone (140.550 - 144.206). This area aligns perfectly with volume accumulation and prior rejection zones, hinting at smart money activity.
🔰 Bullish Structure Confirmation:
Double bottom formation at demand
Bullish engulfing candle closing above minor resistance
Price reacting to macro support & strong U.S. news expected 🇺🇸
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📌 Key Levels to Watch:
🔸 Demand Zone: 140.550 – 144.206
🔹 First Target Resistance: 148.419
🔹 Main Supply Zone: 155.589
📈 Short-Term Bias: Bullish
📉 Invalidation Zone: Break below 140.550
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🔍 What’s Fueling This Setup?
Price entering fresh demand + volume spike
Potential DXY strength pushing USD up
Buyers clearly stepping in after a long corrective wave
June data catalysts ahead (NFP, FOMC – shown with calendar icons)
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🎯 Trading Plan:
✅ Buy entry: On 4H retest around 143.900–144.100
🎯 TP1: 148.419
🎯 TP2: 155.589
❌ SL: Below 140.400 (outside demand box)
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🧠 Pro Tip:
Don’t chase price – wait for a clear retest or confirmation. Let the market come to you. Also, combine this setup with DXY analysis for stronger confluence.
💬 Are you riding this bullish wave or waiting for more confirmation? Drop your chart views or trade ideas 👇
🔔 Follow for more setups on USD majors and smart money analysis.
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USD/JPY BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
USD/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 144.107
Target Level: 141.877
Stop Loss: 145.579
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 6h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USD/JPY Poised for Upside: Momentum Building Toward Key TargetsBy examining the USD/JPY chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around 144. Given the momentum, I expect this pair to rise soon. The potential bullish targets are 145.5, 147.35, and 148.65 respectively.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
USDCHF H1 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 143.02, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 145.03, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 142.09, a swing low support
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Could the price reverse from here?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 144.85
1st Support: 142.56
1st Resistance: 145.85
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USDJPYGot a reaction off the daily/H4 major support zone. H1 resistance got broken with a retest that was made. Looking for buy signals to next resistance levels. keeping an eye on the FOMC later on.
usdchf droppingThe monthly and the weeklt time frame a going to the downside , we saw a slight bullish move on the daily time frame but there is already a shift of trend .
