JPY/USD Bullish bias following BOS and FVG respect.1. Order Block (OB) – Bottom-left (late March to early April):
Marked in green with a red overlay.
Indicates institutional buying pressure — a likely demand zone where price began its bullish run.
Price later respects this level, showing accumulation behavior.
2. Trend Line Channel – Mid-April:
A parallel ascending channel (blue and red zone).
Price respected the upper and lower bounds, indicating bullish momentum.
Eventually led to a Fair Value Gap (FVG) breakout.
3. FVG (Fair Value Gap) – Mid-April:
Highlighted as an inefficiency in price where a rapid bullish move occurred.
Typically a magnet for price to retrace and fill the gap before continuation or reversal.
Price respected this zone, confirming its significance.
4. Trend Lane / Demand Zone – Late April to Early May:
Green box labeled "TREND-LANE."
Significant support area; market structure shifted upward after testing this zone.
5. Opening Gap – Mid-May:
Market opened with a gap down and then rallied.
Indicates a potential imbalance or reaction to news.
Often used as a liquidity pocket or point of interest.
6. BOS (Break of Structure) – Late May:
Circled and labeled clearly.
A bullish BOS indicating a potential reversal or confirmation of a bullish trend.
Sets the stage for a long setup.
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📈 Trade Setup Insight
Current Price Zone: Around 0.00702
Entry: Around 0.00702 (Buy zone)
Risk Zone: Red box below entry — stop loss placed just below a minor support level (~0.006913)
Target Zone: Green box above entry — target around 0.00722+
Reward-to-Risk Ratio: Favorable, appears to be at least 2:1
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🔍 Technical Analysis Summary
Market Structure: Bullish bias following BOS and FVG respect.
Smart Money Concepts in Play:
Order block ➜ Entry zone
Fair Value Gap ➜ Magnet for retracement
Break of Structure ➜ Trend confirmation
Liquidity Engineering:
Stop-hunts visible before major moves
Gap fill and OB bounce suggest institutional activity
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🧭 Projection
📌 Expectation is a bullish continuation towards the upper target zone (~0.00722), especially if price retests the breakout level (shown with the “N” retracement path).
USDJPY trade ideas
USD/JPY Bearish Setup from Lower High RejectionUSD/JPY showing signs of rejection at previous resistance, forming a potential lower high. The bearish setup aligns with overall downward momentum. RSI remains below the 60 level, suggesting limited bullish strength. Watching for continuation to the downside, targeting a break below 142.00 while managing risk above 143.84 resistance.
USDJPY Buy Setup! OB + 61.8% Fib + Trend Channel ConfluenceUSDJPY | 30-Min Chart – High Probability Buy Setup in Progress
USDJPY is currently respecting a bullish market structure within a well-defined ascending trend channel. Smart Money Concepts (SMC) traders are watching for a precise reaction at the confluence of a key Order Block (OB), Fibonacci retracement levels, and mid-channel support.
🔍 Trade Breakdown:
Bullish Market Structure
Price has shifted from bearish to bullish after forming a key higher low and continuing with higher highs within the trend channel. The structure is being respected with multiple taps on both upper and lower channel boundaries.
Internal Liquidity & Order Flow:
Price previously swept sell-side liquidity below the recent swing low and sharply reversed, confirming internal liquidity engineering and institutional involvement.
Currently, we’re seeing price stall after rejecting the upper channel and OB zone. A retracement into the discount zone is anticipated before continuation.
🟣 Order Block Zone (OB): 143.032 – 143.137
A clear bullish OB formed after a strong impulsive move, marking the last down candle before the bullish break of structure.
Located just above the 61.8% Fibonacci level — strong confluence.
📐 Fibonacci Levels from Last Swing Low to High:
61.8% = 143.137
70.5% = 143.032
Potential reaction zone aligns perfectly with OB + trendline + psychological round level (143.000 area)
📊 Buy Setup Expectation:
USDJPY is expected to retrace into the OB/Fib confluence zone before a bullish continuation toward the upper boundary of the trend channel and beyond.
🔵 Projected Path:
Price dips into OB → reacts to 61.8–70.5% retracement → bullish reversal → break to fresh highs near 143.510 or higher
🧠 Chart Ninja Entry Plan:
🔹 Entry Zone: 143.032 – 143.137 (OB + 61.8–70.5% Fib)
🔻 SL Below: 143.000 (beneath OB and psychological level)
📈 Target: 143.510 (channel top + previous supply zone)
⚖️ RRR: Approx. 1:3+ — high precision Smart Money entry
💬 Ninja Wisdom:
Patience before profit. Wait for price to return to the zone where institutions left footprints — the OB at equilibrium pricing. Combine OB + Fib + channel and you're trading like the banks.
Retail buys the breakout. Smart Money buys the pullback. 🥷📚
📍 Save this chart before the setup triggers!
🧠 Do you see the same confluence? Comment your entry/TP/SL plans ⬇️
👣 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for more sniper setups on major FX pairs every session!
USDJPY InsightWelcome, everyone!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to hit the booster and subscribe!
Key Points
- Japanese local media, including Kyodo News, reported that the U.S. and Japan are likely to hold the 5th round of high-level tariff negotiations later this week in the U.S.
- The Eurozone’s preliminary Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May rose by 1.9% YoY, slightly below the market forecast of 2.0%. The ECB is expected to cut interest rates this Thursday, and further stimulus measures are anticipated through the end of the year.
- Caroline Leavitt, White House Press Secretary, stated that “dialogue between the U.S. and China will take place soon,” reaffirming that communication between President Trump and President Xi Jinping remains valid and active.
- The U.S. job openings in April stood at 7.39 million, exceeding the market expectation of 7.10 million, suggesting continued strength in the U.S. labor market.
This Week’s Major Economic Events
+ June 4: Bank of Canada Interest Rate Decision
+ June 5: ECB Interest Rate Decision
+ June 6: U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls for May, U.S. May Unemployment Rate
USDJPY Chart Analysis
The pair has recently shown significant movement around the 144 level. The downtrend has been completely broken, and in the short term, USDJPY is expected to fluctuate within the 140–149 range. Due to resistance at higher levels, there's a strong chance the price could fall back to the 140 support zone. However, if the pair turns upward, a rise toward the 149 level is also likely.
USD/JPY Triangle Squeeze – Watch for Breakout or BreakdownThe USD/JPY pair is currently trading within a symmetrical triangle pattern, with a descending resistance line (red) and a rising support line (green), clearly defining a consolidation phase. This type of price structure indicates growing indecision in the market, where buyers are stepping in at higher lows, while sellers are capping gains at lower highs. Such formations usually precede a strong breakout or breakdown move, as pressure builds up toward the apex of the triangle.
🔼 Bullish Breakout Scenario
If the price breaks above the descending resistance trendline, it will confirm a bullish breakout from the triangle. This would signal that buyers are regaining control and could trigger an impulsive rally toward the 145.50–146.50 area. The upside potential is supported by the structure of higher lows forming from May 27th onward, suggesting building bullish pressure. A successful breakout above 143.30–143.50, ideally with a retest and bullish candle confirmation, could offer a high-probability long setup with targets extending toward the previous swing highs.
🔽 Bearish Breakdown Scenario
On the flip side, if the price breaks below the rising support line, a bearish continuation could unfold, targeting levels as low as 140.00–139.50. This would indicate that sellers have overcome the ascending demand and could lead to a retest of prior support levels. A breakdown below 142.30 with strong bearish volume would be a key signal to short, especially if the market rejects further attempts to climb back into the triangle zone.
🧠 Strategy Outlook
This is a neutral setup until either side is broken. Traders should wait for confirmation of breakout or breakdown before entering. Once confirmed, a simple breakout trading strategy can be applied:
For longs: buy after breakout and retest above resistance
For shorts: sell after breakdown and retest below support
Stop losses can be placed just below the support for bullish trades and just above the resistance for bearish ones, ensuring clean invalidation levels.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDJPY Analysis week 23Fundamental Analysis
Tokyo's core CPI (excluding fresh food) - a key inflation gauge - rose 3.6%, higher than forecast and last month. This increases the possibility that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to raise interest rates this year, although most experts predict the BoJ will keep rates unchanged until September.
Meanwhile, the USD rose sharply after a US appeals court overturned the decision to remove most of the tariffs imposed by Mr. Trump. However, the Yen still appreciated slightly against the USD.
Technical Analysis
After consecutive declines on Friday, the pair is sideways waiting for the next development. 142.900 is the next support zone that the pair faces, this is the breakout zone and also the trendline meeting. Break this price zone must wait 141,200 for weekly support zone
145,900 last week's peak resistance zone acts as resistance for the pair's price reaction towards this week's resistance peak around 148,000
USDJPYJust a thought , Understand first we're looking at a reversal , those are not for the faint of hearts , They can be rough with a lot of people looking to just destroy the pair once and for all, Mind you a lot more money wants to save it , we're talking about two of the most stable currencies , Lets see who wins , Hope you leverage the right side .
USDJPY: 300+ Pips From Previous Idea, What Hold Next? Hey Everyone
USDJPY is on a roll! It’s rebounded a whopping 300+ pips and is now on the positive side. We reckon it’s going to keep climbing in the coming days as DXY is starting to regain its strength.
And here’s the cherry on top: there’s some exciting news coming up, including the NFP tomorrow. This could really boost the USDJPY to a new record high.
But remember, when trading, it’s crucial to manage your risk carefully.
Now, let’s talk about the potential for a significant market movement. We’ve spotted a chance for a substantial bullish swing that could reach around 2050 pips. We’ve also identified three potential targets, so you can choose the one that best fits your analysis.
The main driver behind this move is the reversal of the Japanese Yen (JPY) from a bullish trend to a bearish one. So, let’s be cautious and use precise risk management techniques during this period.
Good luck and happy trading! 😊
Oh, and if you’d like to help us out, here are a few things you can do:
- Like our ideas
- Comment on our ideas
- Share our ideas
Thanks a bunch for your support! 😊
Cheers,
The Setupsfx_ Team
USDJPY 30M CHART PATTERNThe chart you've shared is a 30-minute candlestick chart of the USD/JPY pair, and it appears to depict a bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern, which is typically a reversal signal from a downtrend to an uptrend.
Key Elements of the Chart:
Pattern Highlighted: Inverse Head and Shoulders
Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder are clearly marked.
The neckline has been broken, indicating a bullish signal.
Entry Zone: After the breakout and successful retest of the neckline (marked by the blue arrow going up).
Stop Loss: Placed just below the right shoulder/neckline support area, as shown in the red zone.
Take Profit: The green area targets a move upward, typically measured as the height from the head to the neckline projected upwards from the breakout point.
Interpretation:
This setup suggests a long (buy) position is being considered based on the confirmation of the inverse head and shoulders breakout.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio looks favorable, as the potential gain (take profit zone) is significantly larger than the risk (stop loss zone).
A break below the stop loss would invalidate the bullish thesis.
Let me know if you’d like help calculating the exact price levels or potential pip gain/loss from this setup.
UJ| Counter-Flow Intraday Setup4H structure still showing bearish signs going into next week, but I’m not forcing shorts.
Instead, I’m eyeing intraday buys to play a move back up into 4H supply.
Dropped to the 30M—now just waiting for that inducement sweep into the order flow zone.
Once mitigation hits, I’ll look to the LTFs for that final confirmation.
This is how you ride against the current without getting swept. 🎯
– Inducement King
Bless Trading!
USDJPY - Setting Up for a Potential LongAnalysis:
On the USDJPY 30-minute chart, we're observing price action that suggests a potential continuation of the bullish trend after a recent pullback. Applying "Smart Money Concepts" to our analysis, here's what we're seeing:
Previous Structure Break & Bullish Order Flow: Looking left, we can see that price has recently broken significant previous highs, indicating a shift towards a bullish market structure. The general order flow has been upwards, despite recent retracements.
Liquidity Sweep & Institutional Interest (Potential): The sharp move down on June 5th, while looking bearish to some, could be interpreted as a "liquidity sweep" or a "stop hunt" by larger players. This often happens to absorb sell-side liquidity before a significant move higher. Price then moved back into an area of interest.
"Fair Value Gap" / Imbalance Filling: Price has recently come back into (or is approaching) an area where there was a rapid move up, leaving behind what's often referred to as a "Fair Value Gap" or an "Imbalance." Smart money often revisits these areas to "fill" or "mitigate" these gaps before continuing the trend. This suggests that the current pullback might be a retest of such an area.
"Order Block" / Demand Zone: We've identified a potential "order block" or a strong demand zone (the highlighted pink box) where institutional buying pressure was likely present previously. Price is currently interacting with this zone, and we anticipate a reaction from here. This is an area where we would expect smart money to step back in and push price higher.
Trading Idea:
Entry: We're looking for confirmation of bullish momentum around the current price levels, ideally within or just above the identified demand zone (pink box). A clear break and retest of the immediate resistance at approximately 143.600 could provide a good entry.
Target: Our primary target is the previous swing high around 145.770, representing a potential expansion of the bullish trend.
Invalidation: Our invalidation level (stop loss) would be placed below the identified demand zone, specifically below 143.000. A break below this level would invalidate our bullish thesis and suggest a deeper retracement or a potential trend reversal.
In Summary:
We are anticipating a continuation of the bullish trend on USDJPY, predicated on the idea that the recent pullback was a liquidity sweep and a retest of a significant demand zone/order block. We're looking for price to respect this area and push towards new highs.
Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trade responsibly and manage your risk.
Closing out the week Reports:
U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for May 2025.
This economic indicator provides insight to jobs added or lost in the economy, excluding farm workers, private household employees, and non-profit organization employees.
Policymakers pay close attention as it reflects the labor market and can influence decisions related to monetary policy.
The forecast is about 130,000 jobs with unemployment rate around 4.2%
With our last report was 177,000 and the forecast being 130,000 could signal weakness or consolidation if target is exact or lower.
Price is currently testing this week's high of 114.396 which is near our key resistance of 114.784 it might test that before the report is released but if not, I expect more consolidation until 8:30am.
Targets:
Buy: open and close above 114.784
Sell: open and close below 143.282
With the news coming soon be aware that price is sensitive to this report and based off the numbers we could see a move where price isn't subject to much consolidation between the target areas.
please be sure to lock in profits from my last trade.
Why I Think USDJPY Will Sell...Technical AnalysisHey Rich Friends,
Happy Tuesday! I wanted to share my USDJPY analysis and why I think it will sell. This is only a technical analysis so please check the news and cross-reference your own charts. Here is what I am looking at:
- Momentum is picking up for the sellers with red candles forming on H4, H1 and M15.
- The stoch is facing down, both lines have crossed below 80, slow line (orange) is above the fast line (blue) which is a bearish confirmation for me.
Additional information:
- I will also wait to see if both lines of the stoch cross below 50 to confirm the down trend.
- I will be setting sell stops and using previous highs as my SL and previous lows as my TPs.
Good luck if you decide to take this trade, let me know how it goes.
Peace and Profits,
Cha
USD/JPY M15 Support & Resistance Levels🚀 Here are some key zones I've identified on the 15m timeframe.
These zones are based on real-time data analysis performed by a custom software I personally developed.
The tool is designed to scan the market continuously and highlight potential areas of interest based on price action behavior and volume dynamics.
Your feedback is welcome!
Is the 144 level becoming a key battleground for positioning?The USD/JPY exchange rate has staged a mild rebound for the second consecutive day, though it remained capped below the 144.00 level during the European session. Despite short-term signs of stabilization, the pair remains broadly pressured by a dual combination of fundamental expectations and technical resistance. Persistently constrained by selling pressure above 144.00 and failing to achieve a volume-supported breakout, the exchange rate is expected to continue trading within a range-bound consolidation between 142.00 and 144.80. Focus remains on the multi-empty battles in the 143.40 and 142.30 zones.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
USDJPY Sell- Go for sell if setup given
- could be just a small move, manage your trade
- Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if your strategy allow
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