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USDJPY trade ideas

Elliott Wave View: USDJPY Rallying in Double ZigzagShort Term Elliott Wave view in USDJPY suggests that rally from 3.11.2025 low is in progress as a double zigzag structure. A double zigzag structure is a 7 swing double three Elliott Wave structure. There are 2 sets of ABC zigzag structure connected together, thus why the name is double zigzag. Up from 3.11.2025 low, wave A ended at 149.2 and wave B ended at 147.4. Wave C higher ended at 150.1 and this completed the first zigzag structure and end wave (W) in higher degree as the 45 minutes chart below illustrates. Pullback in wave (X) ended at 148.1 and pair has resumed higher in wave (Y). Internal subdivision of wave (Y) is unfolding as another zigzag structure. Up from wave (X), wave ((i)) ended at 149.66 and wave ((ii)) pullback ended at 148.6. Up from there, pair is nesting higher in wave ((iii)). Wave (i) ended at 149.95 and wave (ii) pullback ended at 149.48. Wave (iii) higher ended at 150.94. Expect pullback in wave (iv) to find support for more upside. Near term, as far as pivot at 148.16 low stays intact, expect dips to find buyers in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
by Elliottwave-Forecast
1
USD/JPY TRENDLINE BREAK OUT BUY ZONETrade Setup Rationale Entry Point: 149.500 Likely triggered by a bullish breakout above a descending trend line (resistance). Entry might be near the breakout level, assuming the price retests the trend line (now support). Example: If the breakout occurs around 150.00, a pullback to the 150.00-151.00 zone could serve as the entry point. Take Profit (TP) Targets TP1: 152.60 (near prior resistance or a measured move). TP2: 154.80 (extension of the bullish momentum, possibly a multi-month high). Stop Loss (SL) 148.25 (placed below the trend line/swing low to protect against false breakouts). Risk-Reward Considerations Scenario: Entry at 150.00, SL at 148.25 (175 pips risk). TP1 (152.60): +260 pips (1:1.5 risk-reward). TP2 (154.80): +480 pips (1:2.7 risk-reward). Note: Wider stops may suit swing traders, but ensure alignment with your strategy. Key Factors to Validate Trend Confirmation: Confirm bullish momentum with indicators (e.g., RSI > 50, MACD crossover). Fundamentals: Monitor BoJ intervention risks or Fed policy shifts impacting USD/JPY. Price Action: Watch for a clean breakout with volume.
by JAMES_GOLD_MASTER_MQL5
USDJPY Buy Setup – Breakout Confirmation & Seasonal TailwindTechnical: USDJPY has broken above a downtrend resistance line after finding support at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 146.95 . This breakout suggests the corrective phase may have ended, signaling potential for further upside. Pullbacks toward 149.70 (a retest of the broken trendline) present an attractive entry opportunity. Upside targets are 152.74 and 157.10 in the short to medium term. The setup is invalidated below 147.97 , with a break below 146.33 negating further bullish expectations. Fundamental: Commercial selling of the Japanese Yen and renewed dollar purchases indicate a shift favoring USD over JPY, supporting the bullish technical outlook. Seasonal: Over the past 25 years , USDJPY has risen 76% of the time between March 25 – April 8 , with an average gain of 1.04% . Trade Idea: Entry: On pullbacks toward 149.70 Stop Loss: 147.97 (or 146.33 for extended risk management) Targets: 152.74 and 157.10 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by Signal_Centre1
USD/JPY - Playing the Retracement SmartThe 4H is locked in a bearish structure, breaking a major recent low—confirming downside intent. But before further drops, I see a play. Liquidity needs to be grabbed, and that means a bullish retracement is on the table. Dropping to the 30M, I’m looking for confirmation to ride the bulls up into the 4H supply zone—the red zone where sellers are likely waiting. Precision over impulse, patience over noise. Let’s see how price delivers. Bless Trading!
by Juicemannn
USDJPY My Opinion! SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for USDJPY is below: The market is trading on 149.96 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 148.72 Recommended Stop Loss - 150.69 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
Charting the Path Forward: Key Levels to WatchPrevious Analysis: Successful Bullish Breakout In our previous analysis, we identified a Falling Wedge pattern accompanied by bullish divergence, forecasting a breakout above 147.807. The price hit our target, confirming the bullish momentum and reaching key Fibonacci levels. What’s Next: Upon analyzing the chart, we observe that price has found support at 147.535 after a pullback during the American session. We anticipate the price to reach our first target, and after consolidation and a possible pullback, we expect to hit our second target near the upper line of the channel. However, if the price declines from the first target and breaches support at 147.535, the next key support level is at 146.306. Remember to follow your risk management strategies to protect your capital.
Long
by SpicyPips
USDJPY → Resistance retest (wedge) before the Fed meetingFX:USDJPY is forming a correction to trend resistance as part of the dollar index consolidation. An interesting situation is forming which could be a continuation of the downtrend. Fundamentally, today is an important day. The FED interest rate meeting is ahead. Traders are waiting, the dollar is consolidating at this time. Most likely the rate will remain unchanged, but in this key everyone is interested in Powell's comments on monetary policy and their future actions. USDJPY at this time is forming a correction to the bearish trend resistance, before the news the currency pair may test the resistance conglomerate: a wedge, 0.79 fibo, or an orderblock located outside the channel Resistance levels: 150.16, 150.95 Support levels: 148.92 False breakout of the resistance zone can provoke a fall, as well as breakdown of the support of the “wedge” with the subsequent consolidation of the price in the selling zone. The price may test the zone of interest at 147.6, 146.54. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
USD/JPY - Strong rejection of lower pricesOn USD/JPY , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 148.890. There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again. Strong rejection of lower prices and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade. Happy trading Dale
by Trader_Dale
1
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 150.14 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 150.92 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 148.97 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
USDJPY is Testing 150 AgainLast week, USDJPY got rejected from the cup&handle's 150 resistance, then break the 149 support, fell sharply. The recovery is in process but the broken trendline is a major hinderance in front of USDJPY bulls. Now the trendline and 150 resistance converged and USDJPY is trying another attempt towards this key resistance. As long as it holds, there is a good chance another downward reaction to begin. Hovewer, after testing it 5 times, if USDJPY regain control of 150, the short term outlook might turn bullish.
by ftdsystem
1
USDJPY Analysis week 14Fundamental Analysis The US dollar continues to attract cash flows as the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is unlikely to cut interest rates in the near future. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell stressed that the Fed is in no hurry to adjust policy amid growing economic uncertainty under President Donald Trump, while warning of the negative impact of tariff policies on growth and inflation. In the Asia-Pacific region, weak Japanese CPI data in February put pressure on the Yen (JPY), although the growth rate still reached 3%. However, expectations of tightening policy by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) remained after the Rengo union announced a 5.4% wage increase this year. Technical Analysis The short-term range is limited to 150,100-148,200. This border area is also very easy to break because there is a lot of buying and selling in this area and just enough factors will break the border area. Krado is aiming for the resistance area of ​​150,900 which will be the weekly resistance area. Important support when the price breaks out of the trendline is extended to 147,300 for buying force to jump into the market.
by TVS-Trader
USDJPY: Critical moment for the 2 month Channel Down.USDJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 46.506, MACD = -0.960, ADX = 25.882) as it is on the tightest range possible between the 4H MA50 and 4H MA200. This consolidation is taking place at the top of the 2 month Channel Down. As long as it holds, the trade is short, aiming for a -3.20% bearish wave (TP = 145.500). If the price crosses above the 4H MA200 though, go long, aiming for the R1 level (TP = 154.835). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
by InvestingScope