USDJPY trade ideas
Bullish FlagHello traders! 👋
We've just spotted a classic Bullish Flag breakout on USDJPY (30m chart) — one of the cleanest continuation patterns in price action trading.
After a strong impulse leg to the upside, price formed a downward-sloping flag — a textbook consolidation pattern. The breakout above 144.749 confirms buyer control and sets the stage for continuation toward 145.42, the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
📌 Pattern: Bullish Flag
📌 Breakout Level: 144.749
📌 Target: 145.42
📌 Stop: Below 143.60 (flag low / invalidation zone)
🧠 Structure Note:
The symmetry of the flag is clean, with measured move projection aligning with the extension target. This setup shows clear impulsive energy, consolidation, and breakout — ideal continuation behavior.
🎯 Trading Plan:
If price holds above 144.75, we’re looking at a move toward 145.00 first, with extended continuation to 145.42. If price fails and drops back below the flag, the setup is invalidated — as always, risk management first.
Let the structure guide you, not your emotions. Stay disciplined.
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📈 Trade Chart Patterns Like The Pros
Market Analysis: USD/JPY Recovers Above 145.00Market Analysis: USD/JPY Recovers Above 145.00
USD/JPY is rising and might gain pace above the 145.50 resistance.
Important Takeaways for USD/JPY Analysis Today
- USD/JPY climbed higher above the 144.00 and 145.00 levels.
- There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 144.80 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/JPY at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh upward move from the 142.80 zone. The US Dollar gained bullish momentum above 143.40 against the Japanese Yen.
It even cleared the 50-hour simple moving average and 144.00. The pair climbed above 145.00 and traded as high as 145.43 before there was a downside correction. It is now moving lower toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 142.79 swing low to the 145.40 high.
The current price action above the 144.50 level is positive. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at 144.80. Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near 145.40.
The first major resistance is near 146.20. If there is a close above the 146.20 level and the RSI moves above 60, the pair could rise toward 147.50. The next major resistance is near 148.00, above which the pair could test 148.80 in the coming days.
On the downside, the first major support is 144.80 and the trend line. The next major support is visible near the 144.40 level. If there is a close below 144.40, the pair could decline steadily.
In the stated case, the pair might drop toward the 143.40 support zone and the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 142.79 swing low to the 145.40 high. The next stop for the bears may perhaps be near the 142.80 region.
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Break out and retest strategyOn the 4 hour time frame shows an uptrend, of which it has provided the third touch marking a buy. And it has been in an uptrend that has been creating higher lows. It has provided a breakout on the H4, and on the 30 minute timeframe it gave a support level markin a buy set up amd entry. Sculping to take first take profit and second
USDJPY 1H – 5-WaveHello awesome traders!
USDJPY (1H) is shaping up beautifully with a textbook 5-wave structure into a potential reversal zone.
After completing the 5th wave at 145.442, we’re seeing a controlled pullback targeting the TARGET ZONE 1, which aligns perfectly with:
127% Fib Extension of the last impulse
161.8% Full Projection
200 SMA Dynamic Support
We’re watching closely for price to reach this high-confluence area (144.471 – 144.207), which also aligns with the previous Wave 4 region and the trendline break. If buyers step back in with strong price action, we’ll look to long from this zone toward a retest of 145.255, and possibly beyond if structure shifts bullish again.
Key Outlook:
🔸 Short-term retracement into value
🔸 Bullish continuation possible from PCZ
🔸 Patience pays — let the setup complete
We'll monitor the TARGET ZONE 1 for signs of accumulation and a fresh breakout setup.
🔥 Structure. Patience. Execution.
🟠 Follow for more clean structural setups and trade-ready charting ideas
TradeChartPatternsLikeThePros.
Leg Based Continuation Possible Play📈 USD/JPY – 15M Chart (Scalping to Intraday Play)
🕒 June 17, 2025 – Lower Time Frame Setup
Bias: Short-term Bullish Continuation
Structure: Leg-Based Impulse-Pullback-Impulse Model
🔹 Market Structure Insight:
Price recently completed a strong impulsive move (LEG 1) on increasing volume.
After a shallow correction into dynamic support (EMA 60), price is attempting a LEG 2 continuation.
EMAs (15 & 60) have bullish alignment and acted as dynamic support.
✅ Buy #1 – Market Execution
Entry: 144.91 (current or recent execution)
SL: 144.38
TP: 145.25
R:R ≈ 1
🧠 Entry based on continuation after bullish flag breakout
✅ Price held higher low structure + EMA confluence
✅ Buy Limit #2 – Pullback Opportunity
Entry: 144.59 (highlighted zone between EMAs)
SL: 144.37
TP: 145.25
R:R ≈ 3.0
🧠 Designed to catch a retest into the mid-range and volume base
➕ Risk minimized, reward optimized
➕ Matches possible HL (higher low) setup if price dips before pushing
⚠️ Risk Management Notes:
Overlap with prior resistance zone just above TP (145.20–145.40): partial TP or trail advised.
Invalidated if price closes below 144.30 on strong volume (breaks structure).
If LEG 2 matches or exceeds LEG 1 in strength, extended targets above 145.50 possible.
USDJPY What Next? SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the USDJPY next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 145.13
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 145.55
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clearshort signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 144.31
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPY – 4H . [[ TRIANGLE PATTERN ]]Technical Breakdown:
Symmetrical triangle pattern clearly formed with clean ABCDE wave structure.
The price has broken out from the upper resistance (trendline), confirming a bullish breakout scenario.
Next key area to watch is the supply zone near 145.800 – 146.200, where price may either:
Face resistance and retrace,
Or break through for continuation.
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🔍 Key Levels:
Support Base (Retest zone): ~143.000
Breakout Entry Trigger: Above 144.200
Supply Zone Target: 145.800 – 146.200
Invalidation Level (Break Below Triangle): <142.500
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🧠 Analysis Insight:
This is a classic triangle consolidation breakout, with price respecting both ascending and descending boundaries before thrusting upward.
Look for possible pullback retest entries before continuation to the supply zone.
Volume and momentum confirmation on breakout is key for sustainability.
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🎯 Strategy Note:
Use low-risk entry setups on breakout retest.
Ideal for scalp to swing trades, with strong risk-reward structure.
USDJPY – Triangle Complete? Wave (v) Setup BuildingWave (iv) appears to be ending with an (e) wave tag into the 0.764 retracement.
📉 Price remains capped within the contracting triangle — watching closely for breakdown confirmation.
If this plays out, wave (v) of C could now begin unfolding with initial focus on 140.00 and below.
🧩 Structure: (a)-(b)-(c)-(d)-(e) triangle complete
📏 Final wave (e) aligns with 0.764 retracement and structural resistance
⚠️ RSI divergence + weakening momentum support the bearish scenario
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 20, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) strengthened slightly against the US dollar during Friday's Asian session and moved away from the monthly low reached the day before. Data released by the Japanese government showed that the annual consumer price index (CPI) in May remained well above the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) target of 2%. This confirms market expectations that the BoJ will raise interest rates again and is a key factor driving the moderate growth of the JPY.
Meanwhile, ongoing trade uncertainty and further escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to weigh on investor sentiment, further strengthening the JPY's status as a safe haven. In addition, the moderate decline in the US dollar (USD) is pulling the USD/JPY pair back towards the psychological level of 145.000. However, expectations that the BoJ may keep rates unchanged until the first quarter of 2026, as well as the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish pause earlier this week, may limit the pair's losses.
Market participants are paying extra attention to upcoming economic releases from the US, including inflation and labor market data, which could influence the Fed's monetary policy trajectory. If the statistics prove strong, this could strengthen the dollar and put pressure on the yen. However, the continuing weakness in the global economic recovery and high Japanese inflation continue to support expectations of a gradual tightening of BoJ policy, creating an ambiguous outlook for the USD/JPY exchange rate in the short term.
Trading recommendation: SELL 145.400, SL 145.700, TP 144.300
USDJPYUSDJPY Trading Plan.
"Now let’s look at the Smart Money Concept behind USD/JPY.
A classic liquidity grab took place in the 142.8 to 143.0 zone — triggering stop-losses and then sharply reversing upward. This is a textbook example of institutional accumulation after sweeping retail traders."
"We also see a bullish order block and a fair value gap forming in the same area on both the daily and H4 charts. That makes this zone a high-probability entry point for smart money traders."
"A change of character is clearly visible as the price structure on H4 and H1 shifts from bearish to a more consolidative and bullish tone — especially after a strong reversal candle near the FVG support."
"In summary, institutions are quietly building long positions around 142.8 to 143.0 — and it’s a highly favorable entry zone, with a logical stop-loss just below 142.3."
USD/JPY...1h chart pattern..Here's a quick summary of MY USD/JPY trade setup:
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Trade Idea: SELL USD/JPY @ 144.000
Entry Point: 144.000
Target 1 (TP1): 143.400 → +60 pips
Target 2 (TP2): 142.400 → +160 pips
Suggestions:
Stop Loss (SL): Consider setting a stop loss above recent resistance (e.g., 144.500 or 144.800) to manage risk.
Risk/Reward Ratio:
For TP1: 1:1 with SL @ 144.600
For TP2: ~2.6:1 with SL @ 144.600
Key Technical Zones:
Watch for support near 143.400 (TP1); possible bounce or consolidation.
142.400 is a deeper move — stronger confirmation needed (e.g., a break below 143.400 with volume).
Let me know if you’d like a chart analysis or updates on news that could impact this trade.
DXY: STEP BY STEP.There was not much to yesterday as we awaited the FOMC minutes to know the Fed's rates decision.Interest rates remain unchanged so unless there are geopolitical catalysts I expect the dollar to rebound to 100.00 if there is successive break above 99.00. Subsequently leading to a higher price in dollar v yen. Patiently waiting to long this pair step by step. If London sessions fails then we wait for NY session.
#Happy Trading Y'all.
USDJPY 1W tf forecast until August 2025 Current midterm bias is bullish. 150,64 and 142,78 are extreme levels to be respected by the price action. One more week of red week of sideways movement will actually form a reversal pattern followed by a strong upward spike. A powerful breakout to 148,27 is to be retested at 145,34 - healthy retest. July will show an organic growth topping at 149.66 in the beginning of August 2025
USDJPY - Technical AnalysisThere is a possibility to open a short position in this pair.
By analysing the pair on higher timeframes and using a 45-period exponential moving average along with two simple moving averages of 70 and 95 periods (supported by a Parabolic SAR), a selling opportunity arises.
Although the pair has shown a strong bullish move on the monthly timeframe, I believe it will reach the price level of 139.885 again.
This prediction is based on the fact that in April a strong bearish candle was formed, followed in May by a bullish candle that failed to sustain a strong move, unlike what happened previously.
This does not mean the pair won’t continue its bullish trend, but I expect the bullish momentum to strengthen after it reaches the 139.885 level again, possibly with a stronger upward move.
It is important to note that, despite this technical analysis, attention should be paid to news, economic data, and any other factors that may influence this pair, as this is purely a technical perspective.
The short position tool shown on the chart is only meant to support the entry decision for the trade.
USD/JPY Trade Setup – 1H Timeframe- Wk 9We are currently observing the USD/JPY pair on the 1-hour chart, and the trend remains strongly bullish. There is no divergence present, which confirms trend continuation. A bullish flag pattern has formed, suggesting a potential breakout to the upside.
The pair has recently completed a healthy retracement and tested the 0.5 Fibonacci level, which further supports our bullish bias. Based on this setup, we are executing an instant buy trade with a well-calculated risk-to-reward strategy.
🔹 Pair: USD/JPY
🔹 Trend: Bullish
🔹 Pattern: Bullish Flag
🔹 Fibonacci Level: 0.5 Tested
🔹 Entry Point: 144.942 (Instant Buy)
🔹 Stop Loss: 144.345
🔹 Take Profit 1: 145.539
🔹 Take Profit 2: 146.136
🔹 Lot Size: 0.24
🔹 Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1 and 1:2
🔹 Risk: $200
🔹 Potential Reward: $300
🎯 Outlook: Expecting bullish continuation.
📌 #USDJPY #ForexSignals #BullishFlag #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceActionTrading #FibonacciRetracement #BreakoutSetup #ForexStrategy #RiskRewardRatio #ForexTradeIdea #1HChart #ForexMarket #FXTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts
The Day Ahead - Fed rate decision day 🇺🇸 US
Housing & Jobless Data: Signs of slowdown could boost rate cut bets and weaken the USD. Strong numbers may do the opposite.
TIC Flows: Shows foreign demand for US assets—important for long-term USD strength.
🇬🇧 UK
May Inflation (CPI): A hot reading could delay Bank of England rate cuts and strengthen the pound. A weak reading would do the opposite.
🇯🇵 Japan
Trade & Machinery Orders: Weak data could weaken the yen further.
🇳🇿 New Zealand
Q1 GDP: Poor growth could drag the NZD lower. A surprise beat might boost it.
🇸🇪 Sweden
Riksbank Rate Decision: No change expected, but any dovish hints may weaken the krona.
🇪🇺 Eurozone
ECB Speakers (Lane, Villeroy, etc.): Markets are watching for clues on whether more rate cuts are coming. Dovish talk could push the euro lower.
Trading Themes Today:
Watch UK inflation for big GBP moves.
US data could shift Fed expectations and USD direction.
NZD and JPY sensitive to economic data.
EUR direction depends on ECB tone.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USD/JPYIn my previous analysis, I held a long bias on USD/JPY; however, recent geopolitical tensions and market-moving news have shifted the outlook. The pair has now broken below a key trendline, forming new lower lows, suggesting a potential change in structure.
At this point, two possible scenarios could unfold:
Scenario 1: USD/JPY may retest the breakout zone around the 145.000 level before continuing its move downward.
Scenario 2: The pair may continue its bearish momentum, break through the next significant support at 142.480, and potentially offer a shorting opportunity following a confirmed retest of that level.
Although the chart has shown mixed signals with both bullish and bearish formations, I’m reminded of an insightful quote I read this morning by Mihai_Iacob: “Trade the chart, respect the world around it.”
With that in mind, I will continue to focus on technical structure while remaining mindful of external factors such as geopolitical events and high-impact news that could influence volatility and market direction.
USDJPY - Medium term prediction - 16/06/25For USD/JPY at 144.11, weighing the daily range (139.58–148.65) and recent price action, I’d estimate roughly:
Slide below 139.58 first ~60%
Rally above 148.65 first ~40%
Reasoning
Range position: We’re in the upper half of a well-defined 139.58–148.65 band—mean regression favors a move back toward the lower boundary.
Failed rallies: Price has tried three times (Feb, Apr, May) to breach 148.65 and faltered, suggesting that resistance remains firm.
Momentum: Recent advances lack conviction—the daily candles are indecisive with wicks on both ends, hinting at exhaustion.
Bearish longer‐term tilt: From last summer’s high (~162), USD/JPY has carved lower highs, putting the overall bias slightly skewed to the downside until a clean break above 148.65.