USDJPY - NEW BREAKOUT !Hello Traders !
After a huge bullish move,
The USDJPY broke the resistancce level (144.748 - 144.566).
So, I expect a new bullish move🚀
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TARGET: 145.280🎯
USDJPY trade ideas
In my opinion it will cone down to get the LIQIn my opinion it will cone down to get the LIQ
Trend is Bearish
USDJPY Bearish BreakdownChart Overview
The USDJPY pair on the 2-hour chart is currently forming a descending triangle pattern — a typical bearish continuation setup.
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Key Observations:
Resistance Line (Upper Trendline): Price is repeatedly rejected from lower highs.
Support Line (Lower Horizontal): Price maintains support around the 144.00–144.20 region.
Bearish Bias: The red arrow projection suggests a breakdown from the triangle, with a potential move toward 140.00 if the lower support fails.
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Potential Bearish Scenario:
1. Break below ~144.00 confirms the triangle breakdown.
2. First target around 142.00, second target near 140.00.
3. Stop-loss ideally above 145.00 if entering short.
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Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes and not financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
USDJPY Swing trade Signal for the Sell Once in a while we like to give a free signal. So here is one of the many trades we will have running for our subscribers.
Wait for the 1 hour candle to close below the Entry, and then a response to our entry, then you can sell.
Remember the rules, and remember your risk/reward
USDJPY Sell
🦇Entry: 143.525
⚠️Sl: 145.036
✔️TP1: 142.153
✔️TP2: 140.346
✔️TP3: 138.109
Happy trading. Any problems feel free to contact me, as over 10 years as a professional trader I can assure you there is no such thing as a stupid question.
Best,
Sarah
USDJPY - UniverseMetta - Signal#USDJPY - UniverseMetta - Signal
D1 - Formation of a triangular structure + the price is at the upper border.
H4 - It is better to wait for the trend line to break through. It is better to reduce risks if we consider entering at the market. Stop behind the maximum of wave D.
Entry: 144.367 - *144.705
TP: 143.402 - 142.094 - 140.023 - 138.706
Stop: 145.473
USD/JPY TESTS RESISTANCE AMID BOJ CAUTION, FED OUTLOOKIn the wake of the escalating geopolitical tension in the Middle East, markets have been reacting sharply. Focusing on USDJPY pair, as the conflict shows signs of intensifying, investors turned to traditional safe-haven assets notably the Japanese yen amid fears of a broader regional spillover.
Beyond geopolitical tension in the Middle East, both economies are set to announce their interest rate decisions this week alongside economic outlook. At the end of Bank of Japan two days policy meeting earlier today, the Yen became a little stronger after the Bank of Japan said that it would keep interest rates at 0.5% and that it would slow down the process of reducing its balance sheet in 2025. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda maintained a cautious tone, noting global risks and keeping the door open for further policy tightening if needed.
On the other hand, the U.S., the retail sale would be on the wire by 4:30 PM GMT+4 (Dubai time). This key economic indicator will offer details about consumer spending trends, a major driver of the U.S. economy. Markets will closely watch the data for signs of economic strength or weakness, as it could influence expectations around future Federal Reserve policy decisions.
While the most important on the calendar, is that Fed committee is due to convene today for a two-day policy meeting, which would end on Wednesday the 18th.Meanwhile, Markets has priced in 99.9% for the rate unchanged at 4.25-4.50%.
TECHNICAL VIEW OF USDJPY; AND PRICE LEVELS TO WATCH OUT
Away from the fundamental drivers, the USD/JPY pair initially dropped on Friday the 13th and was resisted around 142.79 as risk aversion drove demand for the yen. However, the move was tempered by ongoing strength in the U.S. dollar, underpinned by resilient U.S. economic data and expectations the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates higher for longer, hence the change of character (CHOCH) at 143.89, hence the reversal of trend from downtrend to uptrend on the one-hour time frame, whereby price is seen trading inside the channel with the green trendline acting as support and the red, resistance. The pair was recently supported at 144.40 and hovers around 145.
In view of the economic releases, a break above 145.00 would likely usher in 145.40 and 145.80, while a break below 144.40 would mean that the bears are momentarily in control and price would potentially tank further towards 144.00 and 143.50 according to analyst, meanwhile break out of these levels are not ruled out.
Squeeze in Progress: Will BOJ Trigger the Next Breakout?USDJPY 17/06 – Squeeze in Progress: Will BOJ Trigger the Next Breakout?
The USDJPY pair is currently consolidating just below the key 144.650 resistance, stuck within a tightening triangle structure. As markets await more clarity from both the Bank of Japan (BOJ) and the Fed, price action is showing signs of indecision — but pressure is building.
🌐 Macro & Sentiment Overview
BOJ maintains a neutral stance: Despite growing speculation of a hawkish shift, the BOJ held rates steady, providing no strong forward guidance. Markets remain cautious.
US Dollar remains resilient amid stable bond yields and expectations that the Fed may delay rate cuts, adding short-term support to USDJPY.
Geopolitical risk is on the rise: Ongoing Middle East tensions are fueling safe-haven demand for JPY, capping bullish momentum.
🔍 Technical Setup (M30 Chart)
Price is trapped inside a symmetrical triangle, tightening between 144.652 resistance and 143.126 support.
EMA 13/34/89 are aligned bullishly, but EMA 200 (red) is acting as a dynamic ceiling near 144.300.
Key support zones:
144.071: Minor structural level and trendline test.
143.126: Major liquidity zone and untested demand.
🎯 Trade Scenarios
📉 Scenario 1 – Sell on Rejection at 144.652
Entry: 144.650–144.700
Stop Loss: 145.250
Take Profit: 144.071 → 143.600 → 143.126
Ideal if BOJ shifts tone or USD weakens post-Fed comments.
📈 Scenario 2 – Buy on Bullish Reaction at 143.126
Entry: 143.100–143.150
Stop Loss: 142.700
Take Profit: 143.600 → 144.071 → 144.650 → 145.200
Valid only with clear bullish confirmation on M15–M30 structure.
🧠 Final Thoughts
USDJPY is coiling tightly ahead of a potential breakout. Macro uncertainty from central banks, geopolitical instability, and upcoming CPI data make this week highly volatile. Instead of chasing, let price come to your zones and react accordingly.
🔔 Focus on structure, confirm with price action, and avoid emotional trades. Patience and discipline are key in this compression phase.
USDJPY Descending channel breakout ahead bullish strongFX:USDJPY Breakout Alert – Bullish Momentum on 4H Chart 💥
The pair has broken out of the descending channel with strong bullish confirmation. Price action is showing solid momentum and market structure shift.
🟢 Entry Level: 144.700
📍 Technical Targets:
1st Target: 146.000 (Key Supply Zone)
2nd Target: 148.500 (Major Resistance)
🔴 Stop Loss: 143.000 (Demand Zone)
📊 This setup is based on the 4H time frame, offering a favorable risk-reward ratio for swing traders.
💬 Like, follow, and drop a comment if you’re riding this move!
💎 Join us for more updates, signals & insights.
Let’s trade smart, not hard. 😜
#USDJPY #ForexSignals #BreakoutTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexTrading #LiviaTrades
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 17, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) continues to experience significant pressure against the US dollar (USD), showing a three-day decline and trading above the key psychological level of 145.000. This weakening is largely due to growing market expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may delay raising rates until the first quarter of next year. The main reason for this delay is said to be the continuing uncertainty surrounding future US tariff policy, which could have a significant impact on global trade flows and Japan's economic growth. Moderate but steady growth in the US dollar is also contributing to the strengthening of the USD/JPY position, pushing the pair to new highs during the Asian trading session.
However, market participants are cautious about aggressive bearish bets against the yen ahead of the upcoming Bank of Japan monetary policy meeting. This meeting is seen as a critical event that could provide additional signals about the central bank's long-term policy outlook. Any hints of a change in tone or new assessments of the economic situation will be carefully analyzed by traders.
In addition to central bank decisions, growing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East may help limit deeper losses for the Japanese yen. As a traditional “safe haven,” the yen typically attracts investors during periods of global instability, which may offset some of the negative impact of interest rate differentials. In addition, the outlook for the USD/JPY pair is influenced by the growing recognition that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may lower borrowing costs in 2025. Expectations of future Fed rate cuts could hinder further strengthening of the US dollar and thus limit the upside potential of the USD/JPY pair. Overall, the market remains in anticipation of key decisions that will determine the future trajectory of one of the world's most actively traded currency pairs.
Trading recommendation: SELL 144.550, SL 145.000, TP 143.600
USDJPY Looking Very Strong sideUSD/JPY Poised for Breakout: Bullish Momentum Ahead?
USD/JPY to be gearing up for a significant breakout. Based on current market data, we are observing strong bullish momentum, suggesting the potential for a major upward move.
Key Observations:
Technical Structure: Pattern seems to be forming a breakout pattern rather than a breakdown, indicating that upward price movement is more likely the U.S dollar remains one of the strongest global currencies, supported by robust economic data and interest rate differentials.
Resistance zone 148.500
Support Levels 143.000
you may find more details in the chart thanks you and Good luck Ps Support with like and comments for more insights.
USDJPY - Bearish Trend Continuation Story : USDJPY is forming a series of LH and LL (Bearish Trend). market has retraced to a Fib level of 50 Percent of long rally - thus forming a Bearish Flag Pattern. There is no divergence on the chart therefore we are not looking for any Harmonic or trend reversal patterns.
Anticipate : It is anticipated that market will follow a bearish trend
Plan: we plan our entry on the break of neckline which is our entry point and we keep our Stop loss as defined in the charts (above HH)
Our TP1 would be as defined in the chart (which is also projection based on continuation pattern) - TP1 would respect the support level of 121.680
Our TP2 would be as defined on the chart.
USD/JPY – Bullish Breakout Setup (1H Timeframe)I’m currently monitoring the USD/JPY pair on the 1-hour chart. The pair was in a bearish trend earlier, but after forming a Bullish Divergence, it has started to print a series of Higher Highs (HHs) and Higher Lows (HLs) — a classic sign of trend reversal and strength.
I’m planning a Buy Stop entry above the most recent Higher High. If the breakout occurs, I’ll execute the trade based on this bullish continuation setup.
🧠 Technical Confluences:
✅ Bullish Divergence observed — signals momentum shift.
✅ Market Structure shifting to HHs and HLs.
✅ Entry planned above recent HH to confirm breakout.
📊 T rade Setup:
Pair USD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Trend: Bullish
Entry: Buy Stop @ 144.789
Stop Loss: 143.834
Take Profit 1: 145.744
Take Profit 2: 146.699
Lot Size: 0.15
Risk–Reward 1:1 and 1:2
Risk $200
Reward $300
📌 Trade will be activated only upon confirmation — a break above the previous high. Stick to proper risk management.
🔖 Hashtags:
#USDJPY #Forex #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #BullishBreakout #ForexSetup #TradeIdeas #MarketStructure #ForexSignals #BuySetup #DivergenceTrading #1HChart #FXMarket #RiskManagement
USD/JPY 1H ShortUSD/JPY 1H – Analysis
🔍 1. Context: Macro Fundamentals
BOJ (Bank of Japan) remains dovish, showing little intention of raising rates significantly.
USD strength continues due to sticky inflation and delayed rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.
Geopolitical risks and U.S. economic resilience further strengthen the dollar.
This macro backdrop supports bearish JPY bias, hence a long USD/JPY setup aligns with the fundamentals.
🧠 2. Structure and Liquidity Analysis
Price recently swept sell-side liquidity (marked by the dip into demand zone).
Strong bullish reaction from a demand block confirms interest from smart money.
The market has now printed a short-term higher low, signaling a possible intent to create a new leg up.
📌 3. Entry, Stop Loss, Target (SMC-Based)
✅ Entry:
At 144.180–144.250 (refinement inside the lower bullish reaccumulation zone).
This zone represents a mitigation of a lower imbalance and offers a favorable risk-reward long.
❌ Stop Loss:
Below 143.880, beneath the refined demand zone and last liquidity sweep — if broken, the bullish narrative is invalidated in this leg.
🎯 Target 1 (Partial):
145.400 — first major supply zone where prior imbalance sits and price previously reversed. Could see first reaction here.
🎯 Target 2 (Final TP):
146.280 – 146.400 — a higher timeframe buy-side liquidity pool and previous distribution origin.
Risk-to-reward is well-optimized at 1:4+, depending on execution precision.
🔄 4. Price Action Expectations
Price may retest the 144.200–144.250 zone (demand).
If order flow remains bullish, expect a clean break of internal high at 145.180.
Watch for reaction at 145.400, but holding partials for a liquidity run toward 146.280+ is justified.
📉 5. Invalidation Scenario
If price breaks and closes below 143.880, we consider:
The demand was not institutional.
A deeper mitigation into the lower demand block near 142.100–141.800 may be required.
✅ Final Outlook
“USD/JPY has completed a sweep of liquidity and is now forming bullish internal structure. With macro favoring USD strength, and current order flow signaling institutional positioning, a long from 144.200 toward 146.280 is a high-probability setup — provided price protects the latest demand block.”
USDJPY COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend.
🎯 Non Commercials added significant longs and closed shorts at the same time. So for that reason I see the highs as a liquidity for their longs profits taking.
📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage.
💊 Tip
if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci support?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 143.43
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 142.88
Why we like it
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 144.38
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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USDJPY TRADE SETUPWait for retest the entry level then take a trade for Sell otherwise skip this setup
USD/JPY Technical Analysis – Wave 5 Upside Target at 144.67USD/JPY is currently consolidating around the 144.00 level, suggesting the end of wave 4 within a 5-wave impulsive structure. Price action indicates potential for wave 5 to begin, with a projected target near 144.67.
Wave 1 to 3 appears clean and impulsive, with wave 3 extending strongly — a common trait in trending markets.
Wave 4 seems to be forming a flat or shallow zigzag correction, respecting typical retracement territory (between 23.6%–38.2% of wave 3).
If wave 4 holds above 143.80 (your stop), this level serves as the ideal invalidator for the current bullish structure.
Wave 5 would likely aim for 144.67, aligning with the 100% or 123.6% Fibonacci extension of wave 1, projected from wave 4's bottom.
Momentum indicators on lower timeframes are stabilizing, supporting the idea that downside pressure is waning and that the next leg higher may be imminent.
A break above 144.20–144.30 could confirm the wave 5 initiation. As long as price holds above 143.80, the risk-reward remains favorable toward the upside.
USDJPY| Bearish Structure in FocusUSDJPY broke a major lower high on the 4H, creating new external liquidity that has yet to be swept. This shift opened the door for potential bearish continuation.
On the 30-minute, I confirmed bearish intent with a major low taken. Structure aligns, but patience is key — I’m only interested in entries within premium pricing.
Now watching for buy-side liquidity to be swept into my marked order block. That reaction will be the signal for possible downside continuation.
Setup is clear. Execution comes with precision.
— Inducement King 👑
Bless Trading!
USDJPYWhat do you think about this? For me I think we should wait for price to clearly move out of the price range to either ways before looking to trade it.
ResellWe are seeing a loss of bullish momentum and we hope that with this analysis the price will resume its downward movement.
USDJPY IdeaGuys we got tight sl and huge rr so guys wait for market structure form on low tf then enter from the given zone .
I as well inform when i take order in thegroup.
Please follow to support me . Thank you !
USDJPY Strong support formed. Excellent buy opportunity.The USDJPY pair is trading within a Channel Down since the start of the year but following the April 22 Low, it has been rising on Higher Lows. Today that trend-line was tested and again produced a rebound (so far).
Since the April 22 Low was very close to the 139.600 Support (from the September 16 2024 Low), there are higher probabilities that we will have a trend change to bullish, at least for the medium-term.
The natural Resistance now is the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), so we will target just below it at 148.675 (Resistance 1).
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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