USDJPY SellLimit Trade Ideausdjpy setup , from watching the fibo level ,
there's another fibo level above , so i rather to put my stoploss higher , to capture both of the fibo allowances .
cheers !
USDJPY trade ideas
USDJPY H4 | Bearish FallBased on the H4 chart, price is approaching our sell entry level at 153.880, which aligns with a key resistance zone and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
A rejection from this level could trigger a bearish move towards our take profit at 152.805, which sits near a previous support level.
The stop loss is set at 154.853, above the previous swing high, ensuring the bearish setup remains valid while allowing for minor fluctuations.
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BUY USDJPYGood day traders, hope you're having a profitable day, tune into this next move on USDJPY making a long, evident of a weak trend, a bullish pullback will occur before USDJPY continues downward.
USDJPY CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS CONFIRM TARGET WIN USD/JPY Chart Technical Analysis: TARGET WIN!
Congratulations on a successful trade!
Your technical analysis skills and market insight have paid off, and you've reached your target on the USD/JPY chart!
Take a moment to review your strategy and analyze what worked well. This will help you refine your approach and achieve even more success in your future trades!
What's your next move? Are you setting new targets, adjusting your strategy, or taking a break?
USDJPY short positionwould like to see some correctiveness in the pullback to the 0.71 level in order to take the trade because it also reacts on a 0.71 level on the higher timeframe leg
Buy SetupOur analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view the price will rise to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
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USDJPYShort Fundamental Analysis – USD/JPY
1. Context
• Federal Reserve (Fed)
• Maintains high interest rates to combat persistent inflation in the US.
• Solid macro data (GDP ~+2.6%, unemployment ~3.7%) supports a strong US dollar.
• Bank of Japan (BoJ)
• Continues an ultra-loose monetary policy with interest rates near zero.
• Possible minor tweaks (e.g., yield curve control adjustments), but no firm signal of a major tightening cycle yet.
2. Possible Direction
• Bias: Bullish for USD/JPY, driven by the favorable interest rate differential for the dollar and the lack of clear indication that the BoJ will abandon its ultra-accommodative stance.
• Alternate Scenario:
• A more “hawkish” tone from the BoJ (e.g., rate hikes, withdrawing yield curve control) could trigger sharp downward corrections in USD/JPY.
3. Factors to Watch This Week
1. US Economic Data: Indicators like Inflation (CPI/PCE) and Labor Market (NFP, Unemployment) can strengthen or weaken the dollar.
2. BoJ Communications: Any unusually firm signals of tightening could boost the yen.
3. Geopolitical Events: In periods of uncertainty, the yen may act as a safe haven, potentially tempering USD/JPY’s bullish momentum.
4. Overall Conclusion
• USD remains strong due to higher rates and a resilient US economy.
• JPY stays under pressure given the BoJ’s very accommodative policy.
• In the absence of major surprises from Japan, the upward trend in USD/JPY is likely to remain intact in the near to medium term.
Disclaimer
This analysis is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a trading recommendation. Financial markets can be volatile and carry significant risks. Always align your strategy with your personal risk profile and consult official sources before making trading decisions.
USDJPY CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS TARGET WIN CONFIRMED!
Your target has been officially reached!
Congratulations on a successful trade! Your analysis and strategy paid off.
Now that your target is confirmed, what's your next step? Are you closing the trade, adjusting your strategy, or setting new targets?
USDJPY - Trendline reached, watching the FVGThe price has recently reached and reacted to a significant descending trendline that has been acting as resistance since mid-January 2025. The current interaction with this trendline around 154.00 is particularly noteworthy as it coincides with a short-term pullback.
Below the current price action, there's a Fair Value Gap (FVG) marked by the orange box approximately at the 153.00 level. This FVG represents an inefficiency in price that often tends to get filled. Should the price pull back to this zone, it could present an interesting long opportunity for traders for several reasons:
1) The FVG zone could act as support, as these areas often attract price action
2) The pullback would allow for a better risk-reward ratio for potential longs
3) The recent upward momentum from the early February lows suggests underlying strength
For traders considering long positions, the FVG zone would be the key area to watch for potential entries.
USDJPY H1 | Falling to swing-low supportUSDJPY is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 151.60 which is a swing-low support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 150.82 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 153.16 which is an overlap resistance that aligns under the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Outlook on USDJPY for ShortsWe're currently in a sell opportunity in USD/JPY. The pair has been trending upwards, but has now faced resistance at the 154.251 level. A sell position has been a entered here, with a target of 152.657
SHORT TRADE SPECULATION ON USDJPYFollowing CPI , the price has went to retest the previous breakout point , patiently waiting if the price will reverse to make the FVG form. What's your opinion on this?
Key zones for Thursday Yesterday CPI pushed yield up, into extreme zones for breakdown entries:
Today's zones we looking at for USDJPY
Downside hedging (against main idea longs) are great potential plays due to upcoming headwinds into and at Friday.
Check out our socials for some nice insights.
Let us know if there're any pair you like to see or if this is something you like.
information created and published doesn't constitute investment advice!
NOT financial advice
USDJPY & YCSFX:USDJPY AMEX:YCS
my thesis:
based on my view on the market with usdjpy, price been trending consistently throughout all. i see the price approaching to 159 even will trend high to 162 as price keep making highs. i should see the market drop to liquidity zone underneath or possibly make its another trend again without taking liquidity underneath.
as YCS & USDJPY have strong correlation, i have the same vision to go long on YCS.
USDJPYWe have a bullish trend and as we see the price show a strong demand zone with strong movement now if the price come back to the zone and show as a confirmation we take it long to the next supply zone
LR
USD/JPY: Fibonacci Support Sparks a ReboundChart Analysis:
USD/JPY finds support at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level (151.50), leading to a sharp recovery above the 200-day SMA.
1️⃣ Fibonacci Retracement Levels Holding:
The recent pullback tested key Fibonacci retracement levels, with buyers stepping in at 151.50 (38.2%).
Further support levels sit at 149.23 (50%) and 146.95 (61.8%), which remain key downside targets if weakness resumes.
2️⃣ Moving Averages as Key Pivot Points:
50-day SMA (154.97): Price is testing this level after the rebound.
200-day SMA (152.74): Successfully held as dynamic support, confirming broader uptrend remains intact.
3️⃣ Momentum Indicators Show Recovery:
RSI: 49.69, recovering from oversold conditions but still lacking bullish confirmation.
MACD: Bearish momentum is fading, but a crossover signal is yet to emerge.
What to Watch:
Sustained move above 155.00 could trigger a fresh rally toward December’s highs.
A break back below 152.00 would shift focus to deeper Fibonacci support levels.
Watch for a MACD crossover as a confirmation of renewed upside momentum.
USD/JPY remains at a critical inflection point, with Fibonacci support holding but further strength needed for a bullish confirmation.
-MW
USDJPY Long1)Trend defined. 4h uprend.
2)Contradictory limit order entry. At a previous key level after a pullback move.
3)Default loss. Below the last low.
4)Default target level. 7.37 target.
5)Risk <= 3%.
6)Singular trade.
7)Trades placed today <= 5.
High time frame distribution on USD/JPYWe are building a model 1 while coming into the supply zone from last year, so i think this would be a good place to look for shorts.
15m USDJPY soon ready to come out of consolidationthere is going to be a tiny dip. I plan to buy the absolute bottom for the best RRR risk reward ratio. Take a quick short pop up. This will happen within the next two hours or sooner. A quick little day trade for me.
Pricing extreme, CPI soonWe like hedging with shorts here after catching the EURJPY longs from past setup:
look for momentum crash setups, no LTF confirmation, no entries
CPI causing yield miss can turn it into runners
Souring in risk sentiment can increase the momentum as well (while not our base case yet, we sure on the look out on how the news print)
Check out our socials links for some nice insights
information created and published doesn't constitute investment advice!
NOT financial advice
USDJPY (KEY LEVELS AND BULLISH TARGETS)The price has rebounded after touching the support zone and the lower boundary of the ascending channel, signaling a potential bullish continuation. Currently, it is approaching the 152.65 level, which acts as an immediate resistance. A breakout above this level could confirm further bullish momentum, targeting the next key resistance at 155.14. On the bearish side, a decisive breakdown below the 151.45 support and the channel structure would invalidate the bullish scenario, potentially leading to further declines.
