USDJPY trade ideas
USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Bank Bullish Heist Plan (Swing Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk Yellow MA Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!
Place buy limit orders most recent or swing, low level for Pullback entries.
Stop Loss 🛑:
📍 Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (138.500) Day/Swing trade basis.
📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 147.500 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
💰💵💸USD/JPY "The Ninja" Forex Money Heist Plan is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. .☝☝☝
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets & Overall Score... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗🌎🌏🗺
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
USD/JPY holds within trend line - positive NFP news supports USD🔔🔔🔔USD/JPY news:
➡️ USD/JPY price decreased to 143.80 due to the weakness of the USD after the US employment report decreased compared to the previous month and Average Hourly Earnings m/m decreased slightly, However, NFP was better than the previous forecast, so this is probably support for the USD
Personal opinion:
➡️ USD/JPY is still maintained in the trend line, the buyers have returned after the RSI almost entered the oversold zone and there are signs of slowing down of the sellers.
➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and trend lines combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Personal plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy USD/JPY 143.80- 144.00
❌SL: 143.40 | ✅TP: 144.50 – 145.00
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
USD/JPY..4h Chart pattern..### **USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Bearish Setup**
#### **Key Observations:**
1. **Break of Structure:**
- **H4 Chart:** Price broke below the **lower trendline of the ascending channel**, signaling a potential trend reversal.
- **Alligator Indicator (Williams):**
- **Lips crossed below Jaw** → Confirms bearish momentum.
- **Chaikin Oscillator:**
- **Fell below 0** → Indicates selling pressure and outflow.
2. **Daily Chart – Bearish Flag Pattern:**
- A **bearish flag** (consolidation after a sharp decline) suggests continuation downward.
- Confirms the **H4 breakdown**, increasing bearish probability.
---
### **Trade Plan: Sell USD/JPY**
#### **Entry Zone:**
- **Sell on consolidation below 143.300** (confirms bearish control).
#### **Targets:**
1. **TP1: 142.000** (initial support level).
2. **TP2: 140.000** (next psychological & structural support).
#### **Stop-Loss (SL):**
- **Above 144.000** (above recent swing high for risk management).
---
### **Key Indicators to Monitor:**
✅ **MACD:** Bearish crossover & histogram below zero.
✅ **RSI (14):** Below 50 (confirms bearish momentum).
✅ **Price Action:** Rejection at 143.300 strengthens the sell signal.
### **Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):**
- **Entry: 143.30**
- **SL: 144.00 (70 pips risk)**
- **TP1: 142.00 (130 pips reward) → ~1:1.85**
- **TP2: 140.00 (330 pips reward) → ~1:4.7**
---
### **Final Verdict:**
- **Strong bearish confirmation** on both H4 & D1.
- **Sell below 143.30**, targeting **142.00 → 140.00**.
- **Invalidation:** A break above **144.00** negates the bearish structure.
Would you like a deeper analysis on Fibonacci retracement levels or order flow confirmation? 🚀
EUR/CAD Short, AUD/CAD Short, USD/CHF Long and USD/JPY ShortEUR/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
AUD/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
USD/CHF Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
USD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
USDJPY: Detail Technical Analysis and USDJPY CharacteristicsIn this long video, I go through USD/JPY short idea in 2 parts:
Part 1: Detailed Technical Analysis and Elliott Waves
1. Head and shoulders - daily
2. Completion of Elliott Waves
3. Breaking down of A-B-C
4. Measurement rules on profit targets.
Part 2: USDJPY as a product (characteristics)
1. It's a flight-to-safety product similar to Gold
2. thus also a short equity markets product.
2. It is a short dollar product.
USDJPY Tuesday AMThe overall weekly direction is quite bearish as there has been a recent bullish days retracement. If by 9:30 AM Eastern standard time we see this pair break internal liquidity by the time the market opens then we can expect this pair to go for more shorts. But given the timing of the week with the news, I’m expecting this pair to build momentum to take buyside liquidity before stamping through lower price. I expect to see this pair range a bit until Wednesday’s news.
USDJPY NEXT MOVE Assumption of a Bullish Continuation (Without Confirmation)
• Disruption: The projected upward path to the “Double Top Resistance” presumes a bullish continuation without confirming signals (e.g., bullish candlestick patterns, volume spikes, or RSI divergence).
• Alternative View: Price is currently rejecting the resistance zone and heading downward—this could be the start of a deeper retracement or trend reversal, not just a dip.
⸻
2. “Strong Support” Zone is Based on a Single Bounce
• Disruption: The “Strong Support” zone is derived from a single historical reaction. It might not hold on the next test, especially if momentum and volume increase on the way down.
• Counterpoint: Stronger support typically comes from multiple prior reactions or a broader consolidation zone.
⸻
3. Lack of Consideration for Bearish Structure
• Disruption: The broader structure is bearish (from left to right on the chart), with lower highs and lower lows. The analysis skips over this longer-term downtrend context.
• Alternative: Instead of anticipating a return to 148, traders might watch for short setups if price fails to break back above the resistance cleanly.
⸻
4. Volume Decline During the Recent Rally
• Disruption: The bullish leg into early May shows diminishing volume. This divergence between price increase and falling volume weakens the bullish case.
• Warning Sign: Could indicate a bull trap, followed by a sharper fall through the support.
⸻
5. Overemphasis on “Double Top” without Neckline Break
• Disruption: The projected double top at ~148 assumes that level will be revisited. But without a confirmed breakout through 144.000, it’s premature to predict such a move.
• Risk: Traders buying now on this expectation may be caught in a pullback that dips below the “Strong Support.”
UJ Impulse Wave 5 IncomingFX:USDJPY seems to have finished Wave 4 being a Correction Wave of the Elliot Wave Theory and looks to be prepping for the start of Wave 5 being an Impulse Wave!
Now Price has not only made a 38.2% Retracement to 143.6 of the 145.941 Swing High that ended Wave 3 but is testing Break of Previous Structure being Past Resistance attempting to turn it into Support if enough Buyers enter the market in this opportune area.
Price Action during the Correction of Wave 4 has formed a Falling Wedge Pattern, typically seen as a Continuation Pattern. For this to be fact, we will need to see a Bullish Breakout to the Falling Resistance followed by a successful Retest of the Break where the Long Opportunities should present themselves.
Once Wave 5 is confirmed, we can expect Price to work from here and potential reach the Potential Range Target of ( 148.662 - 150.245 )
USDJPY Analysis week 19🌐Fundamental Analysis
Signs of rising inflation in Japan still open the door for the BoJ to tighten interest rates further. Moreover, persistent geopolitical tensions and uncertainty over US President Donald Trump’s trade policies have kept investors on edge. Moreover, bets on more aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve will limit any meaningful gains in the dollar and help limit deeper losses for the lower-yielding yen.
🕯Technical Analysis
After a breakout and bounce late Friday, USDJPY is looking to continue its strong uptrend. Last week’s high of 145.900 will act as a temporary buffer before the pair heads towards the weekly resistance around 148.000. On the other side, last week’s liquidity sweep converging with the trendline also creates an important buying zone for the week if the pair reverses. The support level that the bears are strong at is also the weekly support level of interest around 142.000.
📈📉Trading Signals
SELL USDJPY 148.000-148.200 Stoploss 148.500
BUY USDJPY 142.000-141.800 Stoploss 141.500
USDJPY Technical Expert Review - 3 May 2025🔮 USDJPY Price Forecast – 1H Timeframe
📈 Bullish Scenario:
Price may bounce from the LPP Inducement + HL (Higher Low) area and push upward.
The first target would be the upper blue LQ Close zone, which is still untouched.
If we observe weakness or an “M-shaped” reaction within that blue zone, a sell setup could be valid (inducement trap).
However, if price breaks and closes above the blue zone, further bullish continuation is expected — possibly toward the higher green liquidity zone around 147+.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If the HL (blue zone) fails and breaks down, forming a new Lower Low (LL),
Then we can expect price to retrace toward the lower green demand zone, around 141.000, which aligns with higher timeframe liquidity and unmitigated demand.
Can USD/JPY hold THIS key support after a mixed NFP report? The US dollar traded mixed shortly after the NFP was released, as risk-on sentiment remained the prevailing trend. As index futures rose further, commodity dollars extended their gains against the greenback, while the USD/JPY attempted to find support around the key 144.00 - 144.50 area. This zone was resistance in the past so let's see if the UJ will be able to rebound from here later in the session, and in early next week.
NFP comes in stronger, but...
The nonfarm payrolls data “beat” forecasts, with a headline print of 177K vs. 138K eyed. But data for March was revised lower to 185K rom 228K. Revisions to prior two months have taken out 58K from initial estimates. Taken together, this is hardly a beat. But the good news was that full-time employment rose sharply. The unemployment rate, meanwhile, was unchanged at 4.2%.
On the inflation side of things, average earnings came in slightly lower than expected, rising 0.2% on a month-over-month basis, compared with 0.3% expected. Nothing to get too excited over, but potentially good news as far as inflation is concerned – especially after we saw a slightly weaker Core PCE Price Index in mid-week.
NFP was never going to matter much
The market’s focus is on trade war and trade negotiations. We were never going to see any wild market reactions, and so it has so far proved. The US dollar initially spiked then quickly returned to pre-NFP levels. Gold fell, and index futures added onto earlier gains.
Up next: ISM Services PMI on Monday and FOMC on Thursday.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
USDJPY: Bullish Trend Reversal?! 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY formed a strong bullish reversal pattern on a daily,
breaking the underlined daily resistance and confirming
a Change of Character CHoCH.
I believe that the pair will steadily return to a global bullish trend.
The price may grow at least to 147.0 level after a completion of a retracement.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
USDJPY 1 day ⚙️ Technical Overview (USD/JPY – 1D)
📉 Trend & Structure:
Rising wedge pattern has been broken to the downside, which is typically a bearish reversal signal.
Price has retested the broken trendline from below near the 147.30 resistance level, confirming structure rejection.
Clear breakdown below both ascending trendlines.
📊 Key Levels:
Resistance:
147.32 (marked on chart, rejected after trendline break)
Minor resistance around 145.90–146.50, former support area turned resistance.
Support:
Nearest horizontal support: 135.00 – 136.00 zone
Major support (and target of measured move): 122.73, also aligned with prior consolidation zone from 2022.
📏 Measured Move:
A measured move suggests a potential drop of -8.43% (~1,229 pips) from the wedge top to the lower trendline support around 133.00–122.70 range.
This aligns with a long-term target near 122.73, which is a major structural level.
🧠 Outlook & Bias:
Bias: Bearish
Momentum: Strong breakdown with retest failure indicates bearish momentum is intact.
Confirmation: A daily close below 144.50 could further confirm downside continuation.
📌 Potential Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice):
Entry: After confirmation below 144.50 or aggressive entry on current retest failure.
SL: Above 147.50 (last swing high & trendline).
TP: First target at 136.00; second target at 122.70
USDJPY:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Technically speaking, the USD/JPY has been blocked by the 200-period SMA on the 4-hour chart for three consecutive trading days. The RSI has broken below the neutral level of 50, indicating that the bears are in the dominant position. Fundamentally, the global geopolitical risks have escalated, leading to the inflow of safe-haven funds into the Japanese yen. Moreover, the Bank of Japan maintains a dovish stance, while the policy direction of the Federal Reserve is unclear. The FOMC meeting will be held this week. In terms of trading operations, one can lightly open a short position near 143.50.
Trading Strategy:
sell@144.500-143.5000
TP:142.5000-141.7500
The signals in the Signature have brought about continuous profits, and accurate signals are shared every day. Hurry up and click to get them!
👇 👇 👇 Obtain signals👉👉👉
USDJPY WILL FLY TO 161 !!HELLO TRADES
As you can see a harmonic pattren on Daily Chart for this pair udsjpy we have a great oppritunity to join the Us Dollar Rally we can see a horizontal Support was tested and and its moving to given Targets chart is simple and easy to ready make a proper research before taking any trade these are only dail based valid targets if not break given Stop loss We need ur Supports and comments Stay Tuned for more update ...
Simple and clear as making tea, 4hr1. Market Structure & Patterns
• Bearish Structure:
The pair has been consistently forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming a bearish trend. I follow structure first — it gives the most reliable roadmap before looking at patterns or indicators.
• Bearish Flags (Continuation Patterns):
These are rising channels within a downtrend, usually forming after a strong impulse drop. Think of them as “breathers” before price continues down.
Every flag here broke down, confirming that sellers are still in control after short pullbacks.
• Rejection Zones (Supply Areas):
Marked in pink, these zones are where price previously reversed sharply. Every time price returns to these levels, it shows hesitation or reversal, especially when followed by a bearish candle or wick rejection.
⸻
2. Strong Levels & Liquidity Zones
• Liquidity Zones:
Areas like 140.450 are key because price reacted strongly there in the past — either as a turning point or a fakeout. These zones often hold pending orders, so I mark them as targets for potential bounces or breakouts.
• Confluence of Structure + Liquidity:
When a strong level (like previous demand) lines up with a structural level (like a lower low), it becomes a high-probability target.
• Dynamic Resistance (Trendlines/Channels):
The upper trendline of the flag acted as a form of resistance. Once price broke below it and retested the area, it confirmed a potential continuation.
⸻
3. Fundamentals (Light Touch )
• USD Side:
Recent uncertainty around Fed rate cuts, inflation reports, and mixed labor data have caused the USD to fluctuate, but overall sentiment is leaning slightly dovish. This weakens the USD.
• JPY Side:
The Bank of Japan has started hinting at a possible shift away from ultra-loose policy, which could strengthen the Yen in the medium term.
• Macro Context:
If global risk sentiment turns negative (e.g., stocks fall or geopolitical tensions rise), safe-haven flows into JPY typically increase.
Together, these fundamentals support the technical bearish outlook on USDJPY in the short to mid term.
⸻
Final Thoughts
This setup is built on:
• Clean structure
• Pattern recognition
• Key zone reactions
• Light macro context
Patience and confirmation are key — I wait for price to reject zones and form clear price action (like bearish engulfing or strong wicks) before executing.
⸻
#USDJPY #ForexEducation #BearishSetup #SmartMoney #SupplyAndDemand #TradingPatterns #FundamentalAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #LiquidityZones #PriceActionTrader
USDJPY LONGMarket structure bullish on HTFs DH
Entry at both daily and weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 144.000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 5.63
Entry 90%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
USDJPY | Testing Supply & Trendline Resistance at 145.40USDJPY 4H Analysis
Price has rallied back into a confluence zone:
• Descending trendline resistance
• Key supply zone around 145.40
This area has rejected price multiple times in the past. I’m watching closely for:
Bearish Setup:
• Rejection candle or wick above 145.40
• Entry on confirmation below zone
• Target 143.20–141.50
Bullish Breakout Scenario:
• Clean close above trendline + 145.50
• Retest of broken structure
• Target: 147.80+
RSI and momentum tools will help confirm the move.