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U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen

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USDJPY trade ideas

USDJPY - 4HR Trend20SMA - Blue 200SMA - Pink Key Confluence Areas - Grey Lines Market Structure Support/Resistance - Green/Red Dashed Lines Your interest motivates me: If you find my analysis helpful, please boost and follow me for future analysis at your service. How I see it: Perfect 4HR Trend Zoomed in analysis to follow hereafter... The most important to consider always, before you leap: When you jump in the river, make sure you are "WITH" the current!! I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view.
Long
by ANROC
UJ Trade Recap - Profit Secured!This morning, I entered a trade on USD/JPY with an aggressive setup as price showed promising upward momentum. After entry, price quickly retested my EMA, allowing me to secure profit along the way. Although I was aiming for a better risk-to-reward (RR) ratio, the sudden retest was a good opportunity to lock in gains and stay cautious. 🟢 Trade Details: Risk %: 1% Entry TF: 15min SL Mode: ATR TP Mode: Trailing 💬 Will continue monitoring for a stronger momentum push and a higher RR on the next setup. Patience is key! #Trading #USDJPY #WiseOwlIndicator #Forex #EMA #RiskManagement #Profit
by TraderOuss_LumaNex
USDJPY InsightHello, everyone! Welcome to the channel. Please feel free to share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to like and subscribe. Key Points - Japan's special Diet session has reappointed Shigeru Ishiba as Prime Minister, keeping political uncertainty in place. - According to the minutes from the October BOJ Monetary Policy Meeting, the Bank of Japan indicated a cautious stance on rate hikes for the time being, citing the rise in U.S. long-term interest rates as an external risk. - The increased number of Republican seats in the U.S. House raises the likelihood of a "Red Wave" becoming a reality. - Concerns persist that the Trump administration may impose substantial tariffs on neighboring trading partners. Key Economic Indicators - November 12: Germany October CPI - November 13: U.S. October CPI - November 14: U.S. October PPI - November 15: Fed Chair Powell’s speech, Japan Q3 GDP, U.K. Q3 GDP, U.S. October Retail Sales USD/JPY Chart Analysis As the "Trump trade" trend continues, the U.S. dollar remains strong, pushing USD/JPY upward as well. Having already breached the 152 level, there is a significant possibility it could rise further to the 158 level. If the 158 level is broken, additional gains could extend to 162. However, if resistance is met at 158, a pullback to around the 149 level can be expected. If the trend diverges from expectations, we will promptly adjust our strategy.
Long
by shawntime_academy
1
Yen VS Dollar; Trade with cautionGlobal financial markets are bracing for a possible Fed rate cut. Accordingly, forex markets have priced in the anticipated rate cut. September CPI data indicated US inflation is on course towards 2%; seems like the prevailing interest rates are working. Blackrock thinks the Fed will be cautious with a 25-bps rate cut as opposed to a 50-bps rate cut. There is also the remote possibility that the Fed will be cautious and maintain the rates. Ostensibly, it seems the markets have aggressively priced in a rate cut that has seen the dollar weaken against major currencies. Looking at cross Yen pairs, bearish momentum is dominant in Q3 OF 2024. However, we have seen price imbalance and price inefficiency across all Yen pairs that must be corrected. For this imbalance to be corrected, we require the US Dollar to rise. All factors held constant, retaining rates or cutting rates lesser than expected will spook the markets and we could see the dollar strengthen against the Yen and other major global currencies. Turning to the US Dollar index, we see a potential for further weakening before the index rises targeting 105 to 110 price levels.
by morrisgitau
USDJPY - Will the yen continue to weaken?!The USDJPY currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its medium-term bullish channel. In case of correction due to the release of today's economic data, we can see the demand zones and buy within those two zones with the appropriate risk reward. John Thune, the senator from South Dakota, has been elected as the Republican Senate Majority Leader. This election received broad support from Trump-aligned Republicans, though some factions within the GOP, particularly the far-right, were less welcoming of the choice. In this race, Thune faced competition from John Cornyn of Texas and Rick Scott of Florida, although Scott was not seen as a significant threat. Thune ultimately won in a direct, closed-ballot vote against Cornyn, securing the Senate leadership position. Moody’s has announced that financial risks concerning the United States’ fiscal strength have escalated. In a statement, Moody’s highlighted the outlook on U.S. national debt, identifying the “decisive victory of Republicans” as a specific risk factor. Moody’s stated, “In the absence of policy measures to curb the budget deficit, federal fiscal strength will deteriorate, increasingly impacting the U.S. sovereign credit profile.” Given the fiscal policies promised by Trump during his election campaign—and the high likelihood of their passage due to the shift in Congress—U.S. fiscal strength-related risks have increased. While Trump’s victory has been seen as positive for certain risk assets, it has had negative implications for bonds. Meanwhile, a Bank of Japan official indicated that Japan is not currently in need of extensive financial support, allowing the central bank to resume interest rate hikes after a brief pause to assess U.S. economic developments. Another Bank of Japan member warned that raising rates could cause market shocks, disrupting the normalization path of Japan’s monetary policies, as the divergence in policy directions between the U.S. and Japan could heighten foreign exchange market volatility. Additionally, one member emphasized the need to be prepared for potential market fluctuations due to the U.S. presidential election results.
Long
by Ali_PSND
USD/JPY Long Long on USD/JPY after a retracement from 50% level of fib, and with the bullish trend , I am expecting the liquidity to be cleared , 1R:3R trade idea with price rejecting from FVG created with trump won last week. Disclaimer: The ideas and strategies presented here are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk, and you should carefully consider your financial situation and seek professional advice before making any decisions. I am not responsible for any losses or damages incurred as a result of following or acting on these ideas. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research (DYOR).
Long
by Singh_DayTrader
1
USD/JPY may rise 88 - 131 pipsOur pivot point is at 154.93. Our preference The upside prevails as long as 154.93 is support. Alternative scenario The downside breakout of 154.93 would call for 154.21 and 153.78. Comment The RSI is above 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 155.12 and 154.94). Supports and resistances 157.72 ** 157.29 * 156.86 ** 156.43 155.55 last 155.21 154.93 ** 154.21 * 153.78 ** Number of asterisks represents the strength of support and resistance levels.
Long
by Daniel_Thompson
Just an update of USDJPY LongBecause I decided to publish my "moves" now, there are positions that are live and developed further from entries. Im just trying to show my approach my reasoning and management. As for technical analysis goes. We had a break down of JPY strength With alot of LTF warnings but now even the daily gave us BOS. With this my confidance rank closed above 90% confirmig confluence with fundemental analysis and I took a long position. For the fundamental analysis the long USDJPY position is fundamentally supported by the policy divergence between the Fed and BoJ, stronger U.S. economic data, yield differentials favoring the USD, and the USD’s relative safe-haven appeal. If the BoJ maintains its accommodative policies and the Fed stays hawkish, USD/JPY could see further upside. so the update, technical analysis, yesterdays bear close did warn us, but thats pretty much it, one signal is just that a signal and nothing more, decisions to actually act need to be derived with confluence and proof. Fundamentals still support the Long position and so does the chart.
Long
by JureBrumen
2
USDJPY - Long, A Closer Look 20SMA - Blue 200SMA - Pink Key Confluence Areas - Grey Lines Market Structure Support/Resistance - Green/Red Dashed Lines Your interest motivates me: If you find my analysis helpful, please boost and follow me for future analysis at your service. How I see it: Speculative USD Longs will persist to respect the trend in the short term. Any hint of red corrections offers up buying opportunities. If the current resistance can force a correction, we could be treated to fresh long opportunities in the short term. CPI Data release today, possible high volatility ahead! Keynote: The most important to consider always, before you leap: When you jump in the river, make sure you are "WITH" the current. I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view.
Long
by ANROC
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 12, 2024 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) managed to strengthen slightly against its US counterpart in Tuesday's Asian session, but looks like it could weaken further. Japan's fragile minority government is expected to make it difficult for the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to tighten monetary policy. Moreover, the BoJ's summary of opinions from its October meeting showed that policymakers were divided on whether to raise interest rates again. This, along with fears of President-elect Donald Trump's tariffs returning, is putting pressure on the Japanese yen. Trump's policies and corporate tax cuts should put upward pressure on inflation, which could limit the Federal Reserve's (Fed) ability to ease policy. This, in turn, supports rising US Treasury yields and confirms a negative outlook for the low-yielding JPY in the near term. The US Dollar (USD), on the other hand, maintains the positive trend that followed Trump's victory in the US presidential election and suggests that the path of least resistance for the USD/JPY pair remains to the upside. Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Buy orders from the current price level.
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USD/JPY Bullish Run SetupI’m currently monitoring USD/JPY for a strong bullish push, leveraging both HTF structure and 15-minute trend confirmation to guide my entry and trailing strategy. 🔹 Market Structure : The higher time frame (HTF) shows a bullish bias, and we’ve just witnessed a bullish shift on the 15-minute chart. This setup aligns well with my strategy, where I look for confirmation of market direction on both time frames. 🔹 Trade Objective : My goal is to ride this momentum to at least the previous 4-hour high, but with a trailing stop in place, I’m prepared to capture additional upside if the trend remains favorable. 🔹 Risk Management : Employing my trailing system with ATR-based stop loss, I’m managing risk at 1%, aiming for a steady risk-to-reward balance while allowing room for potential larger gains. 🔹 Stats : So far, the indicator has shown promising results with a net profit of 254.62 R and a profit factor of 4.18, based on my backtests. This approach helps me stay disciplined and make data-backed decisions. Let’s see if USD/JPY continues to hold this momentum and pushes higher! 🚀 #USDJPY #Forex #TradingSetup #MarketStructure #RiskManagement
Long
by TraderOuss_LumaNex