USDJPY has breakout the descending channel bullish strong nowFX:USDJPY Alert – Bullish Breakout in Play!
1H Timeframe | Descending Channel Breakout
📈 Entry: 144.300
🎯 Target 1: 146.000 (Key Resistance)
🛡️ Stop Loss: 142.700 (Demand Zone / Bullish OB)
After a clean breakout above the descending channel, USDJPY is showing strong bullish momentum. Price action confirms a potential move toward the next resistance level.
🔍 Technicals are lining up. Risk managed. Eyes on the prize.
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USDJPY trade ideas
USDJPY Daily Analysis – Bullish Opportunity Brewing USDJPY has bounced off the strong demand zone (orange box) multiple times, signaling solid buyer interest near 140.550 – 141.855. Price is currently reacting bullishly after testing this zone again, forming a potential higher low—a classic bullish continuation signal.
🔵 The 150.635 resistance remains a mid-term target, but a clean break above it could open the way toward the major supply zone around 160.606 where heavy institutional interest may come in.
🟨 Notice how price has respected this demand zone since late 2023, forming a possible accumulation range. With upcoming U.S. economic data (highlighted by the flag icons), volatility is expected—traders should be prepared for a strong breakout move.
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📌 Trade Idea:
Buy Limit: 141.800 (inside demand zone)
SL: 139.800 (below support structure)
TP1: 150.635
TP2: 160.000+
✅ Risk-Reward: Favorable
📈 Trend: Bullish on confirmation of higher low
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🔍 Watchlist Add-On: If price fails to hold above 140.550, sellers might retest 137.000 zones. Manage risk accordingly.
📅 Upcoming Events: Watch for NFP, CPI, and BoJ pressers—high volatility expected.
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💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments—Bullish or Bearish bias on USDJPY?
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Can PCE data rescue the dollar? JPY, EUR, GBP setup in playThe latest U.S. PCE report is set for release at 8:30am EDT, with both headline and core inflation expected at 0.1% month-on-month.
As the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, today’s figures could influence interest rate expectations. A stronger print may reduce the case for a July rate cut, while a softer result could add pressure on the U.S. dollar.
The dollar has already weakened this week amid speculation over central bank independence (trump is reportedly considering nominating Fed chair Jerome Powell’s successor earlier than normal in order to undermine the current chair).
Pairs to watch include, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY with symmetrical triangle formations suggesting breakout potential in either direction for all once the data hits.
UJ correlating with the dollar?We see price creating LL's and LH's heading to the downside. Structure retested at a LH with a perfect bearish engulfing printing right after the retest of support which turned resistance! Counter trend line was broken. I was also looking at multiple brokers & it looks like the 4hr bearish engulfing only printed on a select few brokers . . Although we did align on a 15 min which is lower time frame. Trade management is key, we shall see what happens next!
Long trade
30sec TF entry
📍 Pair: USDJPY
📅 Date: Thursday, June 26, 2025
🕒 Time: 4:15 AM (London Session AM)
⏱ Time Frame: 15min
📈 Direction: Buyside
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Metric Value
Entry Price 143.803
Profit Level 144.825 (+0.71%)
Stop Loss 143.733 (−0.05%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 14.6 : 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes
🔄 15 Minute Structure Support:
The trade was based on a reactive low from the 5-minute TF, aligning with a buy-side imbalance zone formed on the 5-minute chart (Monday, 16th June, 10:00 AM).
📉 RSI in Low Region:
RSI was observed in an oversold condition on LTFs, providing additional confluence for a short-term reversal setup.
30sec TF entry overview
Is USDJPY in a Downtrend?USDJPY is supported by the trendline and the price is facing the resistance zone of 144.500. If the candle cannot close above this resistance zone, the sellers can push the price to break the trendline and head towards the support zone of 142.700. This support zone plays an important role in shaping the trend if broken the downtrend can be extended and no support zone can be strong enough to push the price of the pair until 140.300.
There is still a high possibility of a reaction so the BUY strategy at the support zone of 142.700 is still ready
On the other hand, if the candle closes above the resistance zone of 144.500, the uptrend is still maintained and heading towards this week's peak around 147.500. Pay attention to the price reaction at 146.000.
USDJPYCurrent Price Action:
The USD/JPY pair is trading at 144.414, down -0.842 (-0.588%).
The price is hovering near the 20-period BMA (144.384) and OXIDA level (141.784), suggesting a potential inflection point.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: 144.500, 145.000, 145.500.
Strong Resistance: 146.000, 146.530, 147.000 (profit target).
Immediate Support: 144.000, 143.850 (double-bottom level), 143.500.
Strong Support: 144.270 (near current price), 143.850 (critical).
Technical Indicators:
BMA (20-period): The price is slightly above the BMA at 144.384, indicating neutral momentum.
OXIDA: The OXIDA level at 141.784 is far below, acting as a long-term support.
Market Sentiment:
The downtrend is mild (-0.588%), but the proximity to key support (143.850-144.000) suggests potential consolidation or reversal if buyers step in.
A break below 143.500 could signal further downside, while a rebound above 145.000 may target 146.000-147.000.
Trading Strategy:
Bullish Scenario: If price holds above 144.000, consider longs with targets at 145.000, 145.500, and 146.000. Stop loss below 143.850.
Bearish Scenario: A break below 143.850 could lead to a test of 143.500. Shorts may target 143.000 with a stop above 144.270.
Conclusion:
The pair is in a short-term downtrend but near critical support. Watch for reactions at 144.000-144.500 to determine the next directional move. Risk management is key given the tight range.
Ceasefire Supports Yen’s StrengthThe Japanese Yen stayed strong near a one-week high around 145.5 on Wednesday, supported by risk-off sentiment and dovish commentary from the Bank of Japan. Several BOJ members favored steady rates with concerns over U.S. tariffs and their impact on Japan’s economy.
May’s Services PPI remained above 3% yearly, strengthening speculation that the BOJ could still raise rates later this year. Meanwhile, lingering geopolitical uncertainty and expectations of Fed rate cuts continued to pressure the US Dollar.
The key resistance is at $146.20, and the major support is at $144.85.
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 25, 2025 USDJPYEvents to pay attention to today:
17:00 EET.USD - Fed Chair Jerome Powell will deliver a speech
17:30 EET.USD - Crude oil inventory data from the Department of Energy
USDJPY:
The Japanese yen (JPY) remains in the lead against the US dollar during Wednesday's Asian session and remains close to the weekly high reached the day before, amid a combination of favourable factors. The summary of opinions from participants at the Bank of Japan (BoJ) meeting in June showed that some policymakers called for interest rates to be kept unchanged due to uncertainty about the impact of US tariffs on the Japanese economy. In addition, the fragile truce between Israel and Iran and trade uncertainty are supporting the Japanese yen as a safe-haven currency.
Meanwhile, investors seem convinced that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates again amid mounting inflationary pressure in Japan. These forecasts are confirmed by Japan's producer price index (PPI), which rose for the third consecutive month in May and remained above 3% year-on-year. In contrast, traders are factoring into their prices the likelihood that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will further lower the cost of borrowing this year. This, in turn, is causing US dollar (USD) bulls to tread cautiously and suggests that the path of least resistance for the lower-yielding Japanese yen remains upward.
Trading recommendation: SELL 144.900, SL 145.100, TP 144.000
Market next target ⚠️ Disruption Analysis – USD/JPY
1. Sideways/Flat Price Action
Price is consolidating in a tight range with small-bodied candles.
This indicates indecision and lack of momentum, not strength.
The upward arrows suggest bullish bias, but no strong signal confirms a breakout yet.
2. Bearish Momentum
The recent red candles dominate, showing a clear drop from above 146.000 earlier.
The overall trend (short-term) is down, and the support area could be tested again.
3. Decreasing Volume
Volume is fading out, especially the most recent bar (around 1.01K).
This suggests waning interest—any bullish breakout without volume support is likely to fail or reverse.
4. Resistance Area is Strong
The resistance zone near 145.800–146.000 is clearly tested before and held.
Without a significant catalyst, it's unlikely to break in the near term.
5. False Breakout Risk Above Target
The marked "target" just below resistance could trigger false bullish entries.
UJ - Perfect Shorts....📉 ELFIEDT - X-REVERSION | USDJPY SHORT CASE STUDY (4H)
🧠 Perfect reversal from our proprietary ELFIE 3SD Reversion Zone with a confirmed "DOWN" signal.
🔻 Entry: 147.575
🎯 Current Move: Over 290+ pips in profit and still running!
🕐 Indicator spotted the exhaustion perfectly after RSI divergence + 3SD extension.
💡 How to Trade It:
Wait for ELFIE DOWN signal in the red zone.
Enter at close of signal candle.
SL = high of signal candle.
Ride the move until opposite signal or reversion.
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USD/JPY Bearish Correction in Progress – Key Supports in Focus
USD/JPY is showing signs of weakness after rejecting the 146.00 level. The pair has started a corrective move on the 1H timeframe, trading below the previous support at 145.455, which has now turned into resistance.
As long as the price remains below this level, the current momentum suggests a possible drop toward the next support zones at:
First target: 144.78
Second target: 144.343
Any bullish retracement toward 145.455 may serve as a retest before continuing lower. This idea reflects the current price structure and does not constitute financial advice.
USD/JPY Bull is back to push the price upHi All,
Firstly, I want to congrats to traders who short the market for the last few months. Well done!!!
Those who is waiting for LONG opportunity, let's get ready for sniper entry.
Here is my prediction and entry on USD/JPY. As you can see, the orange zone around $139-$140 is extremely strong zone. Prices reverse 3 times on this level. On 22 March 2025, the closed daily candle was formed a hammer candle and followed by a strong bullish candle next day which indicates potential reversal to upward.
The RSI indicator lines were crossed on 22 March 2025. Now, the indicator is showing upward momentum as the both lines are about cross 50%.
We also have bullish divergence on the volume indicator. As you can see, the volume was going to sideway where as the price was heading to the orange zone.
These confluence is supporting me to enter LONG. Therefore, I entered 3 entry at different price point which is $143.50, $142.996, $144.70.
Yen Rebounds as Ceasefire Calms MarketsThe Japanese yen recovered to around 145.5 per dollar on Tuesday, gaining strength after the ceasefire announcement. Although Iran launched missiles at a US base in Qatar, causing no casualties, the gesture was largely seen as symbolic. Tehran’s decision not to target the Strait of Hormuz further eased fears of major disruptions.
The key resistance is at $146.20 while the major support is at $144.85.