U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen forum
Long incoming.

2/2 Summary of Key Levels
Daily & 4-Hour Support and Resistance
Daily Resistance: 145.000, 145.470, 146.000
Daily Support: 143.500, 142.792, 142.500
4-Hour Resistance: 144.800, 145.000, 145.200
4-Hour Support: 144.200, 143.800, 143.500
Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Levels
Daily Time Frame
EMA 50: 143.900
EMA 100: 143.500
EMA 200: 143.000
EMA 400: 142.500
4-Hour Time Frame
EMA 50: 144.200
EMA 100: 144.000
EMA 200: 143.800
EMA 400: 143.500
Weekly Pivots
Weekly Pivot: 144.250
Resistance: 145.000, 145.500
Support: 143.500, 143.000
Daily Pivots
Daily Pivot: 144.200
Resistance: 144.800, 145.000
Support: 143.800, 143.500
Fibonacci Retracement Levels
23.6%: 143.600
38.2%: 144.000
50.0%: 144.082
61.8%: 144.400
Fundamental Analysis and Upcoming USD News
📈 Looking ahead, significant economic events are scheduled that may impact the USDJPY market. Key upcoming reports include:
U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP): Scheduled for the first Friday of July, this report will provide insights into employment trends and economic health.
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision: Set for mid-July, this meeting will be crucial in determining future monetary policy and interest rates.
U.S. GDP Growth Rate: The quarterly GDP report, expected later this month, will give traders a clearer picture of the economic landscape.
These economic indicators are vital as they influence investor sentiment and market movements. The upcoming NFP and interest rate decisions could lead to increased volatility in the USDJPY pair.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the USDJPY market is currently at a pivotal point, with various technical indicators suggesting potential movements in both directions. Traders should remain vigilant, monitoring key support and resistance levels, Fibonacci retracement levels, and upcoming economic news that could significantly impact the market.
1/1 USDJPY Daily Market Analysis—June 26, 2025
Introduction
The USDJPY currency pair has been experiencing notable volatility, currently trading at 144.384 USD. This analysis aims to provide a comprehensive overview of the market dynamics on both daily and 4-hour time frames using various technical indicators, including Fibonacci Retracement Levels, Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), RSI divergence, and more. By examining these indicators, traders can make informed decisions based on current trends and potential reversals.
Market Analysis
Current Price Overview
As of today, the USDJPY is positioned at 144.384 USD, nestled between significant swing high and low levels of 145.470 and 142.792, respectively. This range provides a critical framework for our analysis.
Support & Resistance Levels
Daily Time Frame
Resistance Levels:
R1: 145.000
R2: 145.470 (Swing High)
R3: 146.000
Support Levels:
S1: 143.500
S2: 142.792 (Swing Low)
S3: 142.500
4-Hour Time Frame
Resistance Levels:
R1: 144.800
R2: 145.000
R3: 145.200
Support Levels:
S1: 144.200
S2: 143.800
S3: 143.500
Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Using the recent swing high of 145.470 and swing low of 142.792, we can identify the following Fibonacci levels:
23.6%: 143.600
38.2%: 144.000
50.0%: 144.082
61.8%: 144.400
These levels highlight potential reversal points and areas of interest for traders.
Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)
Daily Time Frame
EMA 50: 143.900
EMA 100: 143.500
EMA 200: 143.000
EMA 400: 142.500
4-Hour Time Frame
EMA 50: 144.200
EMA 100: 144.000
EMA 200: 143.800
EMA 400: 143.500
The EMAs indicate bullish momentum on the 4-hour chart, while the daily EMA levels suggest a more cautious approach.
RSI Divergence
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently showing divergence on the daily time frame. While the price has reached a new high, the RSI has not confirmed this movement, suggesting a potential reversal or correction may be imminent. Traders should watch for signs of weakness in the bullish trend.
Order Blocks
Order blocks are crucial for understanding market structure. In the daily time frame, we can identify a strong order block around the 144.800 level, where buying interest has previously emerged. Conversely, a significant sell order block is noted near 145.200.
MACD Analysis
The MACD indicator shows a bullish crossover on the 4-hour time frame, indicating potential upward momentum. However, on the daily time frame, the MACD is flattening, suggesting that the bullish trend may be losing steam.
(18 hours ago)


Source Bureau of Economic Analysis (latest release)
Measures Annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy;
Usual Effect 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency;
Frequency Released quarterly, about 85 days after the quarter ends;
Next Release Sep 26, 2025
FF Notes While this is q/q data, it's reported in an annualized format (quarterly change x4). The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Preliminary release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 3 versions of GDP released a month apart - Advance, Preliminary, and Final. The Advance release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact;
Why Traders
Care It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health;
Acro Expand Gross Domestic Product (GDP);
View full details for US Final GDP q/q
History Actual Forecast Previous
Mar 27, 2025 2.4% 2.3% 2.3%
Dec 19, 2024 3.1% 2.8% 2.8%
Sep 26, 2024 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%
Jun 27, 2024 1.4% 1.4% 1.3%
Mar 28, 2024 3.4% 3.2% 3.2%
More
Graph
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USD
Unemployment Claims
244K 245K
Specs © Fair Economy
Source Department of Labor (latest release)
Measures The number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week;
Usual Effect 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency;
Frequency Released weekly, usually on the first Thursday after the week ends;
Next Release Jul 3, 2025
FF Notes This is the nation's earliest economic data. The market impact fluctuates from week to week - there tends to be more focus on the release when traders need to diagnose recent developments, or when the reading is at extremes;
Why Traders
Care Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions. Unemployment is also a major consideration for those steering the country's monetary policy;
Also Called Jobless Claims, Initial Claims;
View full details for US Unemployment Claims