📌 Fundamental Analysis (Why USD/JPY Long is High-Probability)
✅ USD Strength Factors:
• Empire State Manufacturing Index: 5.7 (Above Expectations) → Signals economic resilience → USD bullish
• Fed’s Hawkish Stance → U.S. economy showing signs of inflation persistence → Supports USD
• Treasury Yields Holding Strong → Higher yields = increased foreign investment in USD assets → USD demand rises
✅ JPY Weakness Factors:
• Bank of Japan (BOJ) Ultra-Loose Policy → No signs of rate hikes → JPY remains weak
• Risk Sentiment: Neutral to Slightly Risk-On → No global panic = Less JPY demand as a safe-haven
📌 Conclusion: USD fundamentals align for strength, JPY fundamentals align for weakness → Bullish USD/JPY Bias 🔥
📌 Technical Analysis (Why This Entry is Strong)
✅ HTF (4H/1H) Structure is Bullish
• Price made Higher Highs & Higher Lows → Clear uptrend
• Rejection from 151.300 Demand Zone → Strong buy orders seen in this region
✅ Liquidity Sweep Before Entry
• Market grabbed liquidity below weak lows at 151.300 before reversing → Smart money accumulation
• Previous imbalance filled → Confirmation of institutional buying
✅ Key Technical Levels Supporting the Trade
• Entry: 151.300 (Tapped demand zone + liquidity grab)
• Stop-Loss (SL): 150.750 (Below structural invalidation zone)
• Take-Profit (TP1): 152.200 (First resistance zone)
• Take-Profit (TP2): 152.900 (Next major resistance level)
📌 Conclusion: All technical signs point to bullish continuation. The trade is following clean Smart Money Concepts (SMC) execution. 🎯
🚀 Final Verdict
✅ Both fundamental & technical factors align for a high-probability long setup
✅ Entry at a perfect zone with liquidity grab confirmation
✅ USD strength + JPY weakness confluence makes this trade valid
USDJPY it's want to buy 153,400
