USDNOKOn the monthly charts we have a confirmed bearish trend with a bullish correction in play.
On the weekly charts we have a shift in order flow confirming our bearish bias though its a long term view. We have an impulsive bearish move that has necessitated a bullish correction to clear previous disequilibrium.
The break in daily structure confirms shift in order flow from bullish to bearish. Presently we are bearish, in consonance with our monthly and weekly view.
USDNOK trade ideas
$USDNOK Analysis - Harmonic Patterns and OutlookFX_IDC:USDNOK
The USDNOK pair continues to demonstrate remarkable complexity with multiple harmonic patterns. Let's review the previous analyses and see how the latest setup fits into the overall picture.
๐ Current Analysis:
As of September 12, USDNOK is trading with intraday support at 10.765. A drop below this level might indicate a significant decline, with a potential new bullish shark pattern emerging at 10.675, aligning with the target zone of the previous pattern seen at 10.876.
๐ Context of Previous Patterns:
Recent patterns include a bullish alt-bat formation on August 28, leading to a resistance level at 10.737, with further upward movement towards 10.861. On September 11, the pair reached the 224% Fibonacci extension at 10.876, forming a bearish shark pattern that suggests possible downside moves with retracement targets below 10.677. Monitoring the support level at 10.765 will be crucial for assessing the next potential moves.
Happy Trading,
Andrรฉ Cardoso
Trading Signal: USD/NOK MovementAttention Traders,
Our latest analysis using the EASY Quantum Ai strategy indicates a selling opportunity for the USD/NOK currency pair.
Direction: Sell
Enter Price: 10.8384
Take Profit: 10.78341333
Stop Loss: 10.87778333
Reason for the Signal:
1. Technical Analysis: Our proprietary algorithm, EASY Quantum Ai, identifies a bearish pattern forming on the USD/NOK charts. Key indicators such as moving averages and momentum oscillators are signaling a downward trend.
2. Economic Data: Recent economic reports from the US show signs of slowing growth, which typically weakens the USD against other currencies. Simultaneously, Norway's economy remains steady, boosting the NOK.
3. Market Sentiment: There is an observable shift in investor sentiment favoring the NOK. This is evidenced by increased trading volume in NOK-related assets and a general optimism around Norway's economic stability.
Trading Plan:
- Entry Point: Initiate the sell order at 10.8384.
- Take Profit: Close your position at 10.78341333 to secure gains.
- Stop Loss: Set your stop loss at 10.87778333 to limit potential losses.
Stay sharp and manage your risk appropriately.
Best of luck and trade wisely,
The EASY Quantum Ai Team
USDNOK Is Still Eyeing June LowsUSDNOK is sideways for the last two years that looks like a triangle within uptrend. It's an ABCDE pattern where wave E can be in play, ideally still to the lower side of a range for subwave (C) after the recent subwave (B) rally. Notice that we see price turning sharply and impulsively from the upper triangle resistance line as expected, so wave (C) is in full progress which can push the price down to 10.30 - 10.00 support zone before we will see stabilization and recovery.
USDNOK is not at the June lows yet, so we believe it's still in wave 4 correction before a continuation lower for wave 5 towards 10.30 โ 10.00 zone. Ideal resistance is at 10.60 โ 10.70 area.
USD/NOK 1-Hour Long Signal Based on SMA/EMA Crossover and Bull BDescription
In this idea, I want to highlight a potential long trading opportunity on the IBKR:USDNOK 1-hour chart, identified through a combination of technical indicators and thorough market analysis.
1-Hour Chart Analysis:
A signal was generated as the 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) crossed under the 26-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), triggering a long entry condition. This crossover, highlighted by the yellow background on the chart, marks a potential shift in market momentum, signaling a possible bullish move.
The strategy also incorporated the Bull Bear Power indicator to confirm this signal. The indicator showed that the bear power has weakened, falling below a predefined threshold of 0.00140, which further supports the idea of a potential upward move.
Additionally, the strategy includes an ATR-based stop-loss and take-profit calculation, providing clear risk management levels for the trade. The stop-loss is set using a 1.2 ATR multiplier, while the take-profit is calculated with an 8.0 ATR multiplier, both rounded to the nearest value ending in 0 or 5 for precision.
Daily Chart Analysis:
Looking at the daily chart, we can observe that the previous day's candle left a significant shadow, indicating possible rejection of lower prices and potential buying pressure. The MACD histogram on the daily chart shows early signs of upward momentum, suggesting that the market might be gearing up for a bullish move.
Moreover, the price is currently hovering around a key Fibonacci retracement level, adding another layer of support to the bullish scenario.
Trade Details:
Entry Price: 10.5439
Stop Loss: 10.46065
Take Profit: 10.6218
Norges CB keeps rates unchanged Intraday Update: The Norges central bank kept rates unchanged and as most other central banks are cutting, they may keep rates at current levels in the coming meetings which may support the NOK near term. The USDNOK is approaching some very critical daily triangle support at 10.60 and 10.35.
USDNOK nearing major triangle supportIntraday Update: FX_IDC:USDNOK has broken lower to test the 78% retracement, and below here will be long term triangle support near the 10.50's. Keep in mind the Norges CB meets on interest rates in less than 24hrs which could allow for a major test/break of this technical level.
USDNOK-SELL strategy Daily chart Heikin AshiThe 4-hourly charts show some upside potential, but daily chart shows we may see a correction back below 10.8500 area. Stochastic is high up and it feels turning coming days.
Strategy SELL @ 11.0675 - 11.1100 and take profit @ 10.8975 and SL above 11.1450.
Trade Signal Alert: USDNOKWe have identified a bullish trading opportunity for the USDNOK currency pair. Here are the details of the trade signal:
Direction: Buy
Enter Price: 10.8108
Take Profit: 10.85828667
Stop Loss: 10.72256667
Our prediction is based on the EASY Quantum Ai strategy, which leverages advanced algorithms and data analysis to forecast market movements. This Buy signal is supported by several key factors:
1. Technical Analysis: The USDNOK pair recently broke a significant resistance level, indicating strong upward momentum and the potential for further gains.
2. Economic Indicators: Recent economic reports suggest improving conditions in the US economy, which is likely to strengthen the USD against NOK.
3. Market Sentiment: Current market sentiment indicates a preference for USD over NOK due to geopolitical and economic uncertainties affecting Norway.
We recommend entering the trade at 10.8108 with a Take Profit target set at 10.85828667 and a Stop Loss at 10.72256667 to manage risk effectively.
Keep an eye on market developments and trade responsibly.
USDNOK Buy opportunity above the 1D MA50.The USDNOK pair has been trading within a Triangle pattern for the past 2 years (since June 2022) and right now is consolidating right below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) after holding the Higher Lows Zone.
Within this 2-year pattern, every time the price broke above the 1D MA50 following a bottom bounce, the new Bullish Leg was initiated. Our Target is 11.000 (just below the Lower Highs trend-line).
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USDNOK Is Looking For More Short-Term WeaknessUSDNOK is sideways for the last two years that looks like a larger triangle within uptrend. It's an ABCDE pattern where wave E can be in play as pair stops at the upper side of this contracting range.
Ideally, market is coming down for a pullback within higher degree wave E, where pair can complete the sideways price pattern. So for now, seems like there is room for more weakness within a three-wave (A)-(B)-(C) decline to the lower side of a range.
Wave (B) looks to be a bearish triangle pattern, unless it's going to be more complex, but sooner or later it can send the price lower within wave (C) of E towards to 10.30/10.00 support area.
One of the reasons why USDNOK could face more weakness is also bullish looking Crude oil, which can boost the Norwegian Krone.