USDNOK trade ideas
USDNOK REVERSALUSDNOK has seen a reversal pattern formation. We have also seen DXY retreat last week as fears of the fed rate hike eased a little allowing the DXY to print a new low. DXY could see a move down to 102 allowing more dollar weakness and this pattern to play out. All eyes on thursdays inflation data
$USDNOK - Now we wait...$USDNOK - Now we wait...
Another week for us traders to take advantage of
Excellent set up for usdnok - now we wait for a break to either direction we do have key fundamental data this week. Will Powell be as before dovish or will he hawkish as well as that softer cpi coming our way expected and then taking into consideration the technical view of usdnok it's not bad R/R either direction.
Trade Journal
USDNOK 27/10/2022Weekly:
-ICI pattern.
-Previous resistance is now acting as support aligning with the 61.8.
-Expecting at least a reaction to the upside.
Daily:
-M formation.
-Expecting a retracement at least to the previous zone of support that could be acting as resistance.
4H:
-Inverse H&S pattern.
USDNOK: Descending TriangleI think DXY may lose some ground in the next few weeks, to where no one knows
against NOK there seems to be one of the clearest patterns
a descending triangle, confirmed by the volumes on NOK Futures
I expect a clear break below 10.40 and confirmation volumes on the futures, even if on the descending triangle they are not essential
Krona should benefit from weakening Dollar.
USDNOK H4 23-10-22:
- Norway is making huge profits replacing Russian gas to EU at elevated prices
- If Dollar is going to weaken, Norwegian Krona should take advantage
- Looking for a to push lower to 10.00 (minimum)
- 10.00 = MS1 = Previous Month Open
- Convincing break and close below BUY-VWAP is confirmation
- Convinsing break above Sell-VWAP is invalidation of setup
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USD/NOK End of trend. 3rd shot.USDNOK: Price has been in a uptrend, i am going for a double top/SR play on this one.
1H Closed below SR so 1/3rd of the position is now short.
IF price breaks down from this area i will use fibs from recent high to the new lows and go for a fill at 61.8% fib to add the other part of the position.