NZDUSD BUYSNZDUSD is expected to buy to complete the crab pattern around 0.61200 psychological level BOUNCING FROM A 1HR FVG(Fair value Gap). we saw an expected rate cut of NZD interest rate at 25 basis point(0.25%) was was a dovish stand by the central bank. with investment sentiment still high on risk-on assets, I expect nzd to bully the green-back which is struggling with low interest rate figures as a result of declining inflation figures nearing its 2024 inflation target of 2% and global trade wars.
USDNZD trade ideas
NZD_USD RISKY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅NZD_USD has been growing recently
And the pair seems locally overbought
So as the pair is approaching a horizontal resistance of 0.6030
Price decline is to be expected
SHORT🔥
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NZD/USD Setup – Smart Money Demand Zone ReactionPrice has been respecting a well-defined demand zone with multiple rejections and clear signs of accumulation. We're now seeing strong bullish intent building up, especially with the current weakness in the U.S. Dollar (DXY).
This trade idea is structured around:
🔹 A clean liquidity sweep below recent lows
🔹 Strong reaction from institutional demand
🔹 Favorable RRR and market structure support
🔹 Aligns with broader macro sentiment
Momentum is shifting — and this looks like the beginning of an expansion leg to the upside.
#nzdusd #forextrading #smartmoneyconcepts #priceaction #liquidityzone #supplyanddemand #forexsetup #tradingview #telegramsignals #forexcommunity
adm:I would like to apologize especially to EuroMotif, for breaking a rule and I am sure that this will not happen again. I am responding through the post because unfortunately the SMS does not arrive. I thank you in advance for the opportunity.
Bullish bounce?NZD/USD is has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5931
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.5898
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.6017
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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NZDUSD: weekly overviewTraders, this is weekly view of the pair.
Our long-term TP is the 0.6300 but for now we have a strong trendline on our way! the only tradable zone for this week is 0.58497.
In case of bullish trades, from 0.60264 level. Please consider the trend line as mid-way TPS.
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The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
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Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
NZDUSD: Move Up Ahead 🇳🇿🇺🇸
Thursday's and Friday's sessions were bullish on NZDUSD.
After a test of a rising trend line, the price formed
a double bottom pattern on a 4H time frame and violated its neckline.
I think that the pair may rise next week and reach at least 0.6 level.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NZDUSD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear friends,
NZDUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 0.5954 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.5969
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZDUSD poised to break out after 38 days stuckNZDUSD is forming a key pattern after 38 days of consolidation. Whether it’s an inverse head and shoulders or an ascending triangle, a break above 0.6030 could trigger a big move. Learn how to trade it.
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Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support, which is also a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6024
1st Support: 0.5846
1st Resistance: 0.6131
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New Zealand central bank sees less growth, FOMC says it will remThe New Zealand dollar declined as much as 0.67% earlier but has recovered. In the European session, NZDS/USD is trading at 0.5969, up 0.04% on the day.
A day after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand lowered interest rates, Governor Christian Hawkesby testified before a parliamentary committee on Thursday. Hawkesby said the central bank could hold rates in July and that rate decisions would be data-dependent. The Governor said he expected slower global growth would dampen New Zealand's recovery and there was uncertainty around the impact of the US tariffs.
The RBNZ has been aggressive, chopping 225 basis points in the current easing cycle, which has brought the cash rate down to 3.25%, its lowest level in almost three years. At yesterday's meeting, the RBNZ said that the cash rate was currently in a neutral zone, where it neither stimulates nor curbs economic growth.
FOMC minutes: Increasing uncertainly could mean "difficult tradeoffs"
In the FOMC minutes of the May 7 meeting, members expressed concern about the government's fiscal and trade policy. Members said that "uncertainty about the economic outlook had increased further", making it appropriate to remain cautious until these policies became clearer. Members warned that if inflation remained high and growth and employment weakened, the Fed might have to make "difficult tradeoffs".
There was another twist to the Trump tariffs saga as the US Court of International Trade declared the tariffs illegal. The Court ruled that Trump had exceeded his authority by imposing wide-sweeping tariffs against US trading partners. The decision puts a hold on the tariffs, but that may not last long as the US Justice Department has filed an appeal.
NzdUsd Trade IdeaWith NU flipping bullish on higher time frames my priority was to go long on the pair as long as the smaller time frame could give some type of long opportunity to support the higher time frame bias. NU broke and retested a level of resistance with bullish structures in play to support the long idea. If all goes well we could expect price to tap back into the high and potentially end the week creating a new high. I'll be targeting a 1:3rr on this set up. We'll see how it goes.
Recovery or Just a Bull Trap? All Eyes on PCE This WeekNZDUSD – Recovery or Just a Bull Trap? All Eyes on PCE This Week
🌐 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW
After the FOMC’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged, the US Dollar has shown signs of recovery driven by expectations that core inflation remains persistent — especially ahead of the upcoming US Core PCE Price Index release this Friday.
On the New Zealand side, the Kiwi remains under pressure due to recent weak economic data and negative sentiment from China — its largest trading partner. The RBNZ continues to maintain a neutral stance, offering little support for the currency in the near term.
Market sentiment remains cautious as investors await the PCE data to determine inflation trends and potential Fed policy shifts.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1–H2 TIMEFRAME)
NZDUSD is forming a technical rebound after a strong bearish leg from the 0.60300 region. Current price is trading around the 38.2%–50% Fibonacci retracement zone (0.5964–0.5976), struggling to break above EMA89 and EMA200 resistance.
Overall structure: Bearish bias remains intact with lower highs.
EMA alignment: EMA13, EMA34, and EMA89 are in bearish formation.
Key support zone: 0.5926–0.5940, trendline confluence + consolidation base.
🔑 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
Resistance:
0.5976 – Fibonacci 0.5 retracement + previous rejection zone
0.5990 – Structural resistance of the week
0.6007 – 78.6% Fib + liquidity sweep potential
Support:
0.5940 – Trendline retest + short-term structure
0.5926 – Key demand zone with previous fake breakout
🎯 TRADE IDEAS
SELL SETUP – Fade the pullback into resistance:
Entry: 0.5976 – 0.5990
Stop Loss: 0.6010
Take Profit: 0.5940 → 0.5926
BUY SCALP – On strong bullish rejection from support:
Entry: 0.5926 – 0.5930
Stop Loss: 0.5900
Take Profit: 0.5960 → 0.5976
Note: Confirm with bullish candlestick and volume spike before entry.
⚠️ STRATEGY OUTLOOK
NZDUSD remains in a corrective phase. This week’s PCE inflation data will be critical. A hotter-than-expected reading could strengthen the USD and push NZDUSD below 0.5926, resuming the medium-term downtrend.
Avoid chasing mid-range price action. Focus on price reactions near the key resistance and support levels.
NZDUSD to form a higher low?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
The correction lower is assessed as being complete.
A move through 0.5960 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6000.
Pivot resistance is at 0.6000.
We look to Buy at 0.5940 (stop at 0.5915)
Our profit targets will be 0.5990 and 0.6000
Resistance: 0.5975 / 0.5990 / 0.6000
Support: 0.5940 / 0.5925 / 0.5900
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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NZD/USD Falls Following Failed Attempt to Test November HighNZD/USD carves a series of lower highs and lows following the failed attempt to test the November high (0.6038), and the bearish price action may persist as it continues to fall from a fresh yearly high (0.6032).
A move/close below the 0.5920 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) to 0.5930 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) zone may push NZD/USD toward the monthly low (0.5847), with the next area of interest coming in around 0.5740 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement) to 0.5760 (100% Fibonacci extension).
Nevertheless, NZD/USD may snap the bearish price series should it defend the advance from the monthly low (0.5847), with a breach above the November high (0.6038) bringing 0.6070 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) on the radar.
--- Written by David Song, Senior Strategist at FOREX.com
Bullish bounce for the Kiwi?The price has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5931
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.5898
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.6017
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZDUSD What Next? SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for NZDUSD is below:
The market is trading on 0.5966 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.5933
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.5989
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZDUSD holds near 60c after the RBNZ’s cutNZDUSD has remained in a sideways trend since peaking in late April as trade tension has generally calmed down significantly and traders reevaluated probabilities for monetary policy in the second half of the year. Of the two central banks, the RBNZ seems clearly more dovish than the Fed, which creates potential headwinds for the Kiwi dollar. The normal situation before 2020 of a carry from buying seems likely to remain reversed until early next year at least.
Strong recovery in mid-late April moderated fairly quickly, with somewhat lower volume and volatility for most of May so far. The 20 SMA is a potential dynamic support but not a very strong one; the 50 SMA from Bands might be more reliable as a dynamic support. The influence of fundamentals seems generally negative and 60c looks like a strong static resistance, having been tested three times, so the upside might be limited for NZDUSD for now.
55c would be the obvious medium-term target for sellers as last month’s low, but a new downtrend from here would probably depend on the Fed’s minutes late on 28 May and American second estimate GDP the next day being received broadly positively. Traders are also looking ahead to personal consumption expenditures on Friday 30 May.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.