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U.S. Dollar / New Zealand Dollar

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USDNZD trade ideas

Is NZDUSD Set to Explode Higher? Next Stop 0.635?NZDUSD has been in free fall since late September last year, barreling straight toward the 0.55 Monthly support—a level that’s triggered two explosive reversals before. Could this be the third? I’m already in the trade, and here’s why I’m feeling confident. Let’s rewind a bit. Two weeks ago, we saw a clean break of the weekly trendline. Now, this is where a lot of “textbook” traders made a rookie mistake—jumping in on the trendline break, expecting the crash to continue, only to get blindsided. Pro tip: When you see a trend breakout, don’t chase it. Wait for the first pullback and then dive into the lower timeframes to spot divergence signals or slowing momentum. That’s how you catch the real move. On the daily chart, this setup was screaming at me. After a brutal drop, the price action shifted from a downtrend into accumulation mode as we approached the 0.55 support. The MACD confirmed my suspicions—it started to flatline, then flashed bullish divergence, with price moving down while the MACD crept higher. Then came Monday’s candle, and it was chef’s kiss. The market gapped down at the open, creating a new low, but buyers swooped in and gobbled it up, pushing the price right back to where it started. That’s a textbook bullish signal. Why does this matter? When you see a gap down like this, after a long downtrend, inside an accumulation zone with divergence signals—BAM! It’s the market telling you the current cycle is done, and we’re shifting into a bullish phase. Now, if you’re a cautious trader, you could wait for a break and close above 0.57 (the top of the accumulation zone). But when you know how to read these clues, you can front-run these moves and ride the wave alongside the whales. My targets: First target: 0.585, the level of previous support that got taken out in December. We’ll likely see some resistance here. Second target: 0.635, the top of the range that’s held for years. I’m strapped in and ready for the ride. Let me know what you think below! 🚀
Long
by TheFxAce
11
NZDUSD Falling Wedge Breakout – 400+ Pips Opportunity!NZDUSD forex pair is currently trading at 0.56800, with a target price of 0.60000, offering a potential gain of 400+ pips. This bullish outlook is supported by a falling wedge breakout, a technical pattern indicating a reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend. The breakout is further strengthened by a good bounce from a key support level, suggesting strong buying interest at lower prices. The rising momentum and breakout signal a shift in market sentiment, potentially attracting more buyers. The target of 0.60000 represents a significant resistance level, and reaching it would require sustained upward pressure. Traders may view this as a buying opportunity, aligning with the breakout’s direction. However, factors like economic data, global risk sentiment, and commodity prices (e.g., dairy exports for NZD) should be monitored. Proper risk management, including stop-loss orders below the support level, is crucial to manage potential reversals. This setup combines a strong technical pattern with clear profit potential, making it appealing for short-to-medium-term trading strategies.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
NZD/USD Analysis: Recovery from 27-Month LowNZD/USD Analysis: Recovery from 27-Month Low This morning, New Zealand’s labour market data was released, showing unfavourable results. The unemployment rate rose to 5.1% in Q4, the highest since Q3 2020, signalling economic slowdown and reinforcing expectations of a rate cut by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand at its meeting in late February. However, the weak labour market figures were widely anticipated and already priced in. A greater source of uncertainty is the ongoing trade war between the US and China, a key trading partner for both Australia and New Zealand. Donald Trump stated that he is "in no rush" to speak with Xi Jinping after China retaliated against the 10% US tariffs on Chinese imports. Technical analysis of the NZD/USD chart shows that: → The pair remains in a downward trend (marked in red), driven by a strengthening US dollar. The price is currently near the upper boundary of this trend. → The 0.555 level acted as support twice in 2025, as indicated by arrows. Notably, the price also reversed upwards from this area in 2022. It is possible that buyers will gain confidence and attempt to break the upper boundary of the channel. The future trajectory of NZD/USD will largely depend on news related not only to central bank interest rate decisions but also to government actions on tariffs. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
Potential bullish rise?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance. Pivot: 0.5630 1st Support: 0.5590 1st Resistance: 0.5716 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
1
NZD/USD – "Kiwi Surge: Elliott Wave Roadmap"🌊 NZD/USD – "Kiwi Surge: Elliott Wave Roadmap" 📢 Hello traders! Today, we’re diving deep into the Elliott Wave structure of NZD/USD (Kiwi). If you're trading AUD/USD, you'll notice how both pairs move similarly against the US Dollar. Currently, NZD/USD has completed a major corrective phase, and we're at a potential turning point where an impulsive bullish wave could take shape. Let's break it down! 🏆 Elliott Wave Breakdown: ✅ Macro Perspective: 1️⃣ The long-term structure suggests a corrective ABC pattern has completed, with Wave C reaching exhaustion. 2️⃣ A potential bullish impulse could now begin, with early confirmation levels. 3️⃣ The key trendline resistance must break to validate the bullish scenario. 📈 Bullish Scenarios: 🚀 Scenario 1 – Aggressive Bullish Idea: ✔️ A five-wave impulse should form from the current lows. ✔️ Breaking 0.5726 – 0.6039 confirms an early trend reversal. ✔️ First target: 0.6150 – 0.6540 (Wave C Projection). ✔️ A clear impulse structure in lower timeframes will add confirmation. 🔄 Scenario 2 – Conservative Bullish Idea: ✔️ If a corrective pullback occurs, it must hold above 0.5511 (Wave C low) to stay valid. ✔️ A three-wave correction (ABC) before five impulsive waves. ✔️ Breakout level: 0.6039, signaling a sustained uptrend. 📉 Bearish Invalidations: ❌ If price breaks below 0.5511, the corrective structure could extend further. ❌ Failure to break trendline resistance = continued range-bound movement. 🔥 Final Thought: 🌍 NZD/USD is at a critical inflection point. If the current wave count is correct, we could see a major rally similar to previous Elliott Wave patterns. Watch for confirmation signals—especially a strong five-wave structure on lower timeframes! 📊 What’s Your Bias? 💬 Will NZD/USD follow through with the bullish scenario or remain corrective? Comment below! ✅ Like & Share for more in-depth Elliott Wave insights! 🚀📈
Long
by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP
NZDUSD Technical Analysis! BUY! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on NZDUSD and concluded the following: The market is trading on 0.5566 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 0.5613 Safe Stop Loss - 0.5539 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
NZDUSDThe upcoming JOLTS Job Openings data, scheduled for release today, February 4, 2025, at 10:00 AM ET, is expected to show a decline in job openings t down from the previous figure of 8.10 million. This decline may indicate a cooling labor market, which could have significant implications for the U.S. dollar (USD) and other currency pairs. Expected Impact on the USD Bearish Sentiment: A decrease in job openings could suggest reduced demand for labor, potentially signaling a slowdown in economic growth. This might lead to bearish sentiment for the USD as investors reassess the strength of the U.S. economy. Market Reaction: If the actual figures come in lower than expected, it could exert downward pressure on the USD against other currencies (e.g., EUR/USD, GBP/USD). Conversely, if the data surprises positively and shows more job openings than forecasted, it could bolster the USD. Influence on Other Pairs: The impact of JOLTS data is typically medium for currency pairs involving the USD. A stronger labor market indicated by higher job openings tends to be bullish for USD pairs (USD/XXX), while lower job openings can be bearish for XXX/USD pairs. Conclusion In summary, today's JOLTS Job Openings report is anticipated to show a decline, which could create bearish pressure on the U.S. dollar if confirmed. Traders should closely monitor this release and its immediate market reaction, as it will provide insights into labor demand dynamics and overall economic health, influencing trading strategies across various currency pairs. While The upcoming New Zealand Employment Change data, scheduled for release on February 4, 2025, is expected to show a forecasted decline of -0.2% compared to the previous quarter's increase of 0.5%. Additionally, the unemployment rate is projected to rise from 4.8% to 5.1%, while the Labor Cost Index is anticipated to remain at 0.6%. Potential Effects on the NZD and Other Currency Pairs Impact on NZD: A decrease in employment and an increase in the unemployment rate could lead to bearish sentiment for the New Zealand dollar (NZD). If the actual employment change comes in worse than expected (e.g., a larger decline), it may trigger further selling pressure on the NZD against major pairs like USD and AUD. Conversely, if the employment data surprises positively, it could provide support for the NZD, potentially leading to gains against other currencies. Market Sentiment: The labor market data is closely watched by traders as it reflects economic health. A significant decline in employment could raise concerns about economic growth, which may influence the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) monetary policy decisions. If traders perceive that the RBNZ may need to adopt a more accommodative stance due to weakening labor conditions, this could further weaken the NZD. Influence on Other Currency Pairs: The NZD/USD pair may react strongly to this data release, as a weaker employment figure could lead to a decline in the NZD against the USD. Other pairs, such as NZD/JPY and NZD/AUD, will also be influenced by these labor statistics, with potential volatility expected around the announcement time. Conclusion In summary, the anticipated decline in New Zealand's employment change and rise in unemployment rate are likely to exert bearish pressure on the NZD. Traders should monitor these releases closely, as they will significantly impact market sentiment and trading strategies involving the New Zealand dollar against other currencies. TRADE WITH CAUTION
by Shavyfxhub
Kiwi H4 | Overlap resistance at 78.6% Fibonacci retracementThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 0.5679 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 0.5732 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 0.5582 which is an overlap support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
NZD/USD Made H&S Pattern , Is It The Time To Change Direction ?The price made head and shoulders pattern which is will change the direction , also we have a very good confirmation and closure below neckline , so i think the price will go down next days , let`s see what will happen . This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Short
by FX_Elite_Club
1
NZD/USD "The Kiwi Dollar" Forex Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the NZD/USD "The Kiwi Dollar" Forex Market market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long & Short entry. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade 💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!" Buy entry above 0.56500 Sell Entry below 0.55300 Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 0.55600 (swing Trade) for Bullish Trade Thief SL placed at 0.56200 (swing Trade) for Bearish Trade Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many orders you have to take. Target 🎯: -Bullish Robbers TP 0.58750 (or) Escape Before the Target -Bearish Robbers TP 0.54000 (or) Escape Before the Target 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: The NZD/USD "The Kiwi Dollar" Forex Market market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (slightly Bearishness),., driven by several key factors. 🟢Fundamental Analysis: The NZD/USD pair is currently experiencing modest recovery gains below mid-0.5600s, with upside seeming limited The Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) prospect for more rate cuts could further weigh on the NZD 🔴Macro Economics: New Zealand's GDP growth rate and inflation data will be crucial in determining the NZD/USD's direction. The US economy's growth rate, inflation, and employment data will also impact the pair. 🔵COT Report: Unfortunately, I couldn't find the latest COT report data for NZD/USD. However, I can suggest checking the official CFTC website or reliable financial websites for the latest reports. 🟡Market Sentiment: The market sentiment for NZD/USD is currently bearish, with 60% of traders holding short positions. Investors are cautious due to the prospect of more RBNZ rate cuts and global economic uncertainty. 🟣Institutional and Retail Banks Positioning: Institutional investors are bearish on NZD/USD, citing the prospect of more RBNZ rate cuts and global economic uncertainty. Retail traders are also bearish, with some expecting a price decline due to weak economic data and others expecting a price increase due to strong technical indicators. ⚪Overall Outlook: The NZD/USD pair is expected to move bearish in the short term, Bullish sentiment: 30% Bearish sentiment: 70% ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤗
by Thief_Trader
Update : NZD/USD Closed +140 Pips 0 Drawdown , Did You Enter ?Here is our NZD/USD Setup Hit Final Target +140 Pips 0 Drawdown , And Now We Have A Big Gap and i`m waiting until tomorrow to see what will happen and i will update it if i have any new setups on it . Congratulations . This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Short
by FX_Elite_Club