USDNZD trade ideas
5 Trading Beliefs That Keep Me Untouchable! Do you check off 5?Everyone talks about edge, but few talk about identity.
These are the thoughts I rehearse every day.
Not to hype myself up, but to root myself deeper in who I must become.
These beliefs don’t just sharpen my trading — they shield my mind from chaos.
Welcome to The Part 2
1. Money is not important
It’s fuel, not the fire.
I don’t chase paper — I chase precision.
The second money becomes my reason, fear walks in the door.
But when it’s just the byproduct of execution and clarity?
That’s when I move with power.
> “He who chases the outcome loses the process. He who masters the process controls the outcome.”
2. It’s OK to lose in markets
Losses don’t mean I’m off-track — they mean I’m engaged.
Some trades are tuition.
And I pay them with purpose.
Because every great trader I study… bled first, banked later.
I lose like a winner — with awareness, not emotion.
3. Mental rehearsal is essential
Every night before bed — every morning before I trade —
I see it first.
I walk through the setup, the entry, the hold, the exit.
I rehearse calmness, I rehearse precision.
So when the real trade shows up?
I don’t react.
I recognize.
I’ve already been there.
4. Trading is a game
Serious results. Serious purpose.
But never serious emotion.
A game has rules. Patterns. Levels.
And like every master of any game —
I study, train, and outlast those who play sloppy.
> “The market isn’t trying to beat me. It’s just the board I’m learning to dominate.”
5. I’ve already won before I start
I walk in as the version of me who’s already achieved the outcome.
Not hoping — knowing.
I act from the future I’ve already decided is mine.
And when I operate from that space?
The market bends to meet me there.
> These aren’t just beliefs.
They’re mental armor.
If you’re walking this path to elite performance,
I’m not here to motivate you —
I’m here to remind you of who you already are.
Stay locked in.
If you trade, which one of these are you still working on?
NZDUSD: Weak Market & Bearish Forecast
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current NZDUSD chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the downward direction.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NZDUSD → A retest of resistance may end in a false breakout.FX:NZDUSD bounces off the upward support line and forms a distribution towards the liquidity zone located above 0.597...
Strong resistance lies ahead at 0.5969 - 0.5975 (liquidity pool). If the current movement continues (distribution), the market will exhaust all its potential and the situation may end in a false breakout. There is no trend as such in the market, the price is inside the flat, and thus bearish pressure may resist the upward price movement.
Resistance levels: 0.5969, 0.5974
Support levels: 0.5932, 0.5917
Against the backdrop of a falling dollar, the currency pair is likely to continue its growth and may test 0.5969 in the short term, but based on the nature of the movement, we can assume that a downward correction will follow.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Heading into overlap resistance?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which is overlap resistance, and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.5930
1st Support: 0.5893
1st Resistance: 0.5951
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Kiwi H4 | Rising into a multi-swing-high resistanceThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.6019 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 0.6095 which is a level that sits above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 0.5854 which is a swing-low support.
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NZDUSD Bearish Setup🔍 Market Structure Analysis
WSD Zone Rejection (Top):
Price tapped a wick-based supply & demand (WSD) zone at the top around 0.59486.
That zone also aligns with the previous liquidity grab + mitigation of the OB.
Price is now rejecting that area — forming a lower high (LH) inside the zone → classic sign of distribution.
Rising Channel Break:
Price was rising inside the red ascending channel.
Currently showing bearish intent, with multiple internal BOS (breaks of structure).
If price closes below the channel, that confirms bearish expansion.
Downtrend from Premium Zone:
We're clearly in premium pricing, where institutions prefer to offload longs.
This area also completes a liquidity sweep of prior highs inside the WSD zone.
🧠 Trade Logic (Sell Setup)
🔺 Entry Zone: Inside or after rejection of WSD at 0.59486.
🛑 Stop Loss: Just above the WSD zone and local high.
🎯 Take Profits:
TP1: 0.58669 → Local support + lower WSD zone (reaction zone).
TP2: 0.58398 → Previous liquidity pool and external low.
🧾 R:R = Clean 1:4.5+, textbook SMC setup.
📌 Confluences for Bearish Bias
✅ Multiple WSD zones tested with bearish rejection.
✅ Rising channel inside premium is breaking.
✅ Mitigation + BOS on smaller TF.
✅ News candle marked by blue vertical line may act as final volatility spike before continuation.
✅ Price is near VWAP/50% equilibrium → Ideal for smart money to expand to downside.
🧯 Invalidation Conditions
❌ If price closes above 0.59486, we reassess the bias.
❌ A re-entry into the upper WSD with strong bullish volume invalidates the current bearish flow.
🔮 Forecast Summary
This is a classic distribution setup with liquidity engineered into a WSD zone, now showing early mitigation and markdown signs. Unless major manipulation occurs, expect price to expand toward the 0.58398 low in the next 24–48 hours.
NZDUSD - Potential BuyHi Traders,
Here is my view on CMCMARKETS:NZDUSD
BIAS: BUY
Logical Analysis:
From the 9th of April 2025 price has been rising, this makes me believe that the demand of this pair is very high and the BUYER is willing to pay a high price to get some.
Business has been great between 0.59 and 0.60 level.
I am wondering if the demand is till high?
Technical Analysis: see chart
Good Luck.
NzdUsd Trade UpdateNU shorts were published earlier with an update on why I was gonna go long! My main set up was to look for price break and retest below but instead price ended up coming back above the 1hr HL where structures were than flipped bullish. Once price CLOSED above 59450 that's when I decided to execute long positions on this pair! Targets were just at the next level with stops below structure! The set up played out well! I closed my profits once price got to the next level above. Solid rr.
NzdUsd Trade Idea/UpdateI published NU shorts and stated my reasoning for looking to go short on the pair. With NU flipping back bullish and closing above 59450 I've decided to go long with stops just underneath the level. IF all goes well we could expect the next level to get hit being at 59674. We'll see what happens.
NzdUsd Trade IdeaNU is currently sitting at a strong level of resistance. We do have a structure shift on the 15m at that level of resistance but the hourly is still showing signs of bulls taking over. In order for me to execute shorts here I'll have to see price break and retest below to confirm the shift in structure. We'll see what happens.
NZDUSD – Short-Term Push Lower ExpectedNZDUSD – Short-Term Push Lower Expected
🔻 Short Bias | 🎯 Target: 0.59060 | ⏱️ 15-Min Outlook
Currently watching this for a drop toward 0.59060. Price appears to be curling and momentum could follow through soon. I'm in the trade already, short setup in motion.
🚨 Not financial advice. Use your own judgment.
#NZDUSD #ForexTrade #PriceAction #ShortSetup #GlobalHorns #TradingView
NZD/USD TRADING PLAN – MAY 21 | RETEST OR CONTINUATION?NZD/USD TRADING PLAN – MAY 21 | RETEST OR CONTINUATION? 🔍
After several steady bullish sessions, NZD/USD is pulling back slightly from the 0.5961 resistance zone. The pair remains within a well-defined ascending channel on the H1 chart and is approaching a key support area around 0.5910 — a zone that could trigger a technical bounce and continuation of the current bullish trend.
🌍 MACRO CONTEXT:
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of weakness following disappointing CPI and PPI data. This opens up room for commodity currencies like NZD to recover further.
Meanwhile, New Zealand's domestic consumption data has exceeded expectations, and the RBNZ continues to maintain a stable policy outlook — a medium-term bullish sign for NZD.
Market sentiment is leaning cautiously against the USD, especially as the Fed holds its “no cut but no hike” stance — boosting interest in alternative currencies.
📊 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H1):
NZD/USD is trading within an ascending price channel.
EMA 13 is above EMA 34 and EMA 200 — a positive short-term trend signal.
Two important zones to watch today are 0.5910 (key support) and 0.5961 (key resistance).
🎯 TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY:
✅ SCENARIO A – BUY THE RETEST:
If price tests the 0.5910 zone and shows strong reaction:
BUY ZONE: 0.5910 – 0.5915
SL: 0.5890
TP: 0.5960 → 0.5980 → 0.6000 → 0.6006
→ This zone aligns with ascending channel support + prior FVG → strong rebound probability.
✅ SCENARIO B – BREAKOUT & CONTINUATION:
If price breaks and holds above 0.5961:
BUY SCALP: 0.5965 – 0.5970
SL: 0.5950
TP: 0.5980 → 0.6000 → 0.6006
❌ SCENARIO C – BEARISH BREAKDOWN:
If price fails to hold above 0.5910 and closes H1 candle below it:
SELL SCALP: 0.5900 – 0.5895
SL: 0.5915
TP: 0.5870 → 0.5850 → 0.5820
📌 FINAL THOUGHTS:
NZD/USD is at a critical decision point — this could be a retest before continuation to 0.6000 or the beginning of a deeper drop.
Watch the 0.5910 level closely to determine market direction.
⚠️ Risk management is key — high volatility expected as U.S. PMI data is set for release during today’s NY session.
🧠 Be patient. Let price come to your zone. React, don’t predict.
CURRENT OUTLOOK ON NZDUSDThe pair is in an uptrend and has broken out of its consolidation/correction phase, forming a bullish flag. This suggests the uptrend is likely to continue. We're watching for a potential retest of the broken structure around 0.59276, which could present a buying opportunity.
NZDUSD to find sellers at market price?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart.
Pivot resistance is at 0.5925.
A move through 0.5875 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.5750.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
We look to Sell at 0.5925 (stop at 0.5975)
Our profit targets will be 0.5805 and 0.5750
Resistance: 0.5925 / 0.5950 / 0.5975
Support: 0.5850 / 0.5800 / 0.5750
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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