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U.S. Dollar / New Zealand Dollar

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USDNZD trade ideas

Possible ignition candle in the NZD/USD daily chartThe NZD/USD pair has experienced a decline of over 12% in recent weeks, showing no significant pullbacks on the daily chart. Currently, the price has reached an important support zone on the daily timeframe (D1), marked as a crucial decision point for the market. This notable depreciation of the New Zealand dollar is primarily due to the substantial rise of the US dollar, which gained momentum following Donald Trump's election. His commitments to bolster the US economy have fueled optimism in the American market, putting pressure on other currencies. Potential Buying Opportunity The current candle suggests characteristics that could indicate the start of a buying movement. If the daily close exceeds the 0.5664 level (indicated by the black line), it may form a bullish engulfing pattern on the daily chart, signaling a strong reversal after the recent steep decline. If this pattern is validated, the price might target the 0.5860 area initially, representing a potential movement of around 196 pips. This level coincides with the 38.6% Fibonacci retracement, which may act as temporary resistance. A prudent risk management strategy could involve placing a stop loss just below the recent low on the daily chart, around 0.5564 (approximately 100 pips), to safeguard against potential false reversals. Alternative Scenario Should the price fail to maintain its recovery and drop below the recent low (0.5585), the pair could continue its downward trend, potentially testing new lower support levels, including 0.5500 and 0.5400. This would suggest the continuation of the prevailing downtrend. Macroeconomic Considerations Investors should keep a close eye on this week's macroeconomic reports, such as the NonFarm Payroll (NFP) and the US unemployment rate, which could introduce greater volatility into the market and directly impact the NZD/USD pair's performance. These events may be pivotal in confirming or refuting the outlined scenarios. By tracking both technical and fundamental developments, strategies can be adjusted with greater precision throughout the week. Disclaimer 74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. Consider whether you understand how CFDs work and if you can afford the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investment values may fluctuate, and you may not recover your initial investment. This content is not intended for residents of the UK.
Long
by Marketscom
NZDUSD to find sellers at current resistance?NZDUSD - 24h expiry Price action looks to be forming a top. An Evening Star formation has been posted at the high. This is negative for sentiment and the downtrend has potential to return. We look for a temporary move higher. Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 0.5657 level. We look to Sell at 0.5657 (stop at 0.5690) Our profit targets will be 0.5587 and 0.5520 Resistance: 0.5705 / 0.5775 / 0.5850 Support: 0.5590 / 0.5520 / 0.5320 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
Bearish Pennant on NZD/USD @ D1A bearish pennant is visible on this NZD/USD daily chart. If the pair closes significantly below the pennant's lower border, it might signal a continuation of the preceding downtrend. The pennant and its pole are shown with the yellow lines. My potential stop-loss level is marked with the red line (0.56726), it is placed at the high of the pennant area. My potential take-profit level is marked with the green line (0.54873), it is placed at the pole's length below the stop-loss. I will wait for the price to close well below the lower border of the pennant area to enter a short position.
Short
by AndriyMoraru
NZDUSD - Weekly Forecast - Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas!💡 Midterm forecast (Daily Time-frame): The price is in a Down Trend, but Beginning of Up Trend is forecasted! 0.5799 is Major Resistance. Take Profits: 0.57500 0.57992 0.58630 0.59164 0.60369 0.61187 0.62591 0.63680 0.65327 0.67156 0.70330 0.72150 0.74650 💡 Short-term forecast (H4 Time-frame): Bullish Divergence Correction wave toward the Buy Zone Another Upward Impulse wave toward Higher TPs SL: Below 0.5587 __________________________________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . Please show your support back, . . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 BOOST button, . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment! 🙏 Your Support is appreciated! Let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
Long
by ForecastCity
20
Welcome The New Yearly Candle!We have another yearly candle print, the 2024 candle. It is an especially interesting one due to the US elections and the how the candle printed. In this video I go through analyzing the charts starting with the yearly candle, all the way down to the daily and hourly. I begin on the Dollar Index (DXY) and then have a look at the EURUSD chart, with some intermarket analysis on USDCAD and NZDUSD. So as to make the video not too long, I just demonstrate how I would do my analysis on these pairs. With that framework, you can perform the same analysis on the assets of your choice. Good luck this year and may it be a prosperous trading year for you all! - R2F Trading
by Road_2_Funded
1
Bullish Outlook on NZDUSD: Positioned for GrowthThe NZDUSD pair is poised for a bullish move, and I recommend entering with a buy position at 0.56096. Based on the analysis from the EASY Trading AI strategy, current market conditions suggest a strong upward momentum supported by positive market indicators. The key factors influencing this forecast include favorable economic data from New Zealand, which reflects resilience in demand, alongside relative stability in the U.S. economy. The recent strengthening of the Kiwi against major currencies highlights its robust position in the market. Setting a Take Profit at 0.56202667 allows for a substantial gain while minimizing risk, given that the Stop Loss is positioned at 0.55919667. This strategic placement creates a favorable reward-to-risk ratio, essential for effective trading. As the market continues to react to economic news and shifts in trader sentiment, capitalizing on this potential uptrend in NZDUSD through proactive trading strategies can yield significant profits. If you're seeking automated support, consider using our custom trading algorithms for MT5 based on the same EASY Trading AI principles to enhance your trading endeavors.
Long
by ForexRobotEasy
NZDUSD FORECASTINGSo traders! We have this pair which is developing nicely. I really love the way how higher timeframes interconnect with the lower timeframe. The way that price has broken structure and closed below it gives me a clear signal that price has the highest chance of dropping. In this pair I'm very interested with the insurance entry rather than taking risk entry because of how the price looks. So traders! use well timeframes do not skip the higher timeframe because this will help you to understand where the price is exactly going, however I don't know the strategy you are trading but, making decision based on lower timeframes only, increase risk in your trading.
Short
by Richard_Mkude
2
NZDUSD Is Bearish! Short! Take a look at our analysis for NZDUSD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 0.560. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 0.555 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
NZDUSD - The uptrend of the dollar is over?!The NZDUSD currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe. In case of upward correction, we can see the supply zone and sell within that range with appropriate risk reward. A valid break of the support area will provide us with the continuation of the downward path of this currency pair. At the beginning of 2025, the US dollar has continued its upward trajectory, solidifying its position as one of the leading global currencies. After delivering a strong performance in 2023 and 2024, the dollar has now risen by more than 1% against the euro and the British pound, outpacing other major currencies. From an economic news perspective, recent reports have had little impact on the market. While data on jobless claims, affected by holiday factors, were assessed positively, reports such as construction spending and manufacturing PMI fell short of expectations. However, these statistics failed to create significant market movement, with US Treasury yields seeing only a slight uptick. According to data published by S&P Global, the US manufacturing PMI for December 2024 stood at 49.4, a slight decline from 49.7 in November. This figure remains below the 50-point threshold, indicating contraction in manufacturing activity. Nonetheless, there has been a slight recovery from the mid-month figure of 48.3. Manufacturing output in November declined for the fourth consecutive month, hitting its lowest level in 18 months. Additionally, new orders continued to fall, though at a slower pace compared to previous months. However, export orders experienced a steeper decline, primarily driven by economic weakness in Europe and Australia. In the employment sector, there has been modest yet positive growth for the second consecutive month, reflecting manufacturers’ efforts to retain their workforce. Input cost inflation has reached its highest level since August 2024, largely due to concerns over trade tariffs and potential protectionist policies. Approximately 25% of firms attributed their increased purchases to tariff threats, highlighting concerns over the inflationary effects of such policies. Despite current challenges, manufacturers are increasingly optimistic about the future. This optimism, which has reached its highest level in two and a half years, stems from reduced uncertainties following the elections and positive expectations of stronger economic growth and supportive government policies in 2025. However, the gap between current production levels and future expectations has reached its widest point in a decade, excluding the COVID-19 pandemic period. The main driver behind the strength of the US dollar is capital inflows. While the US economy appears robust, this alone does not explain the dollar’s growth. A confluence of positive factors has made US assets attractive, with the country’s stock markets outperforming other global markets. Currently, a significant portion of global capital formation is concentrated in the US dollar and its markets. Nevertheless, risks such as rising tariffs or restrictive fiscal policies could alter the dollar’s trajectory. For now, the market shows little concern about the Republican-led Congress, and the US dollar continues to assert its dominance in global markets. Donald Trump, the US President-elect, recently tweeted that tariffs have brought immense wealth to the country and that he plans to continue these policies after assuming office on January 20. Trump also referenced border issues, calling Joe Biden the “worst president in US history.” The chief asset strategist at HSBC Bank highlighted the hawkish messages from the Federal Reserve’s December meeting as a cause for concern. January is expected to be highly volatile, but these fluctuations could present intriguing investment opportunities.
Short
by Ali_PSND
NZDUSD H4: The bears steering down...NZDUSD H4: The position of the price in relation to the EMAs and to the TL confirms a bearish trend. While the price stays below the TL and the EMAs any short position is in the table. The Support at 0.55814 has been tested and the price had been above that since October 2022 what could give 2 options: another rejection level that may will have a short life(due the TL pattern) or will be break pushing the price further down. In that case a confirmation on that break is a must before any short entries. The RSI hovering around 45 may will test the 50 but with expectations of heading to an oversold level. The candles around the Support suggesting indecisions may represents the bears are preparing for a continuation but we have to wait. For any short entry around the support level will be wise to go for a tight SL so any weird volatility will not take much of our money.
Short
by cyberFX2019