NZDUSD's bounce could have potentialRecent American data generally in line with expectations supported the impression that the Fed will continue to cut gradually, while the RBNZ’s double rather than triple cut on Wednesday also gave some support recently to NZDUSD. The selection of Scott Bessent as incoming American Treasury Secretary has somewhat decreased the likelihood of immediate large tariffs.
The 20 SMA is an important dynamic resistance on the chart of NZDUSD and might push the price lower in the next few days, but a close above there could signal an ongoing bounce. There’s no clear signal from volume though so a new sideways trend is also a possibility.
58c on 26 November was the lowest price since around this time last year, so it might be difficult to break below there without a clear fundamental driver, possibly 6 December’s NFP. A move back above 60c seems very unlikely in the next few days unless sentiment shifts notably.
This is my personal opinion which does not represent the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
