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U.S. Dollar / New Zealand Dollar

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USDNZD trade ideas

Continued Pressure on NZD/USD Following a Brief Seller RespiteTechnical Outlook The NZD/USD pair has resumed its downtrend following a brief consolidation phase. Sellers have aggressively pushed the pair toward the most recent low at 0.58217. A confirmed break below this level could open the door for further declines, with immediate support targets at 0.58177, 0.58126, and the psychological threshold of 0.58070. The Bollinger Bands exhibit a pronounced downward slope, signaling heightened bearish volatility. Additionally, the moving averages are aligned in a bearish crossover, reinforcing the dominance of sellers in the current market structure. Alternative Scenario To counter this bearish outlook, buyers would need to reclaim the immediate resistance at 0.58364. Key Events to Watch Market participants are closely monitoring US economic data, including non-farm productivity and unit labor costs, as well as a long-term Treasury bond auction. These reports are expected to influence USD strength, potentially impacting NZD/USD volatility further.
Short
by Errante
New Zealand Dollar / U.S. Dollar | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session New Zealand Dollar / U.S. Dollar - Double Formation * 0.58750 USD | Support Area * 0.62250 USD | Resistance Area - Triple Formation * Angle 1 | A+ Set Up | Subdivision 1 * Neckline | Continuation Set Up | Subdivision 2 * 012345 | Wave 3 Ongoing + Pennant | Subdivision 3 Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Sell
Short
by TradePolitics
1
NZDUSD - Long SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels. In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level higher. But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and it this case we can notice sign of strength, so potentially there is a higher probability to see price higher Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
Long
by Maks_Klimenko
NZD/USD: Bulls Reloading at Demand ZonesOn the NZD/USD chart, price has reached a critical juncture near two strong demand zones (highlighted in purple). These zones represent areas where institutional buyers could step in, given their historical significance. The recent sell-off appears to have grabbed liquidity below local lows (red dotted lines), setting the stage for a potential bullish reversal. If price reacts strongly within these zones, we could see a recovery targeting liquidity above the highs marked at 0.5865 and beyond. The plan involves waiting for bullish confirmations such as higher highs or engulfing patterns to enter long positions, with stops placed below the lower demand zone for protection. Initial targets focus on taking profits at key liquidity levels, while the overall bias remains bullish as long as the demand zones hold. Patience is key to trading this setup successfully.
Long
by TopGBanks
Weekly Analysis - NZD/USD"On Monthly: It continued Bearish move towards 0.58000 Psychological number that has been tested many times in the past. All three EMA 200, 50 and 20 (BGR) are Bearish. -- On Weekly: It seems it has made a Bi-Lateral flag after a major Bearish move since 2021. It confirms the Bearish move towards the 0.5800 and Trendline. --On Daily: It has made a Double Top to continue Bearish move. Once it hit 0.58000, and depending on the reaction afterward, I would pick the trade. -- On Hourly: Hourly chart doesn't add much to the picture. There is less than 30 Pips to 0.58000. you may notice Head & Multi-Shoulders formation to support Bearish move along with all three EMAs 20, 50 and 200 (RGB)."
by Ha-Lion
NZDUSD Wave Analysis 18 December 2024 - NZDUSD broke long-term support level 0.5770 - Likely to fall to support level 0.5500 NZDUSD currency pair earlier broke below the long-term support level 0.5770 (which acted as the lower border of the weekly sideways price range inside which the pair has been trading from the start of 2023). The breakout of the support level 0.5770 accelerated the active impulse wave C of extended downward ABC correction (2) from last year. NZDUSD can be expected to fall further to the next support level 0.5500 (former multiyear low from 2022 and the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave C).
Short
by FxProGlobal
New Zealand slides after Fed rate cut, NZ GDP nextThe New Zealand dollar has declined sharply on Wednesday. In the North American session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5685, down 1.2% on the day. The New Zealand dollar has been in freefall, plunging 11.6% since Oct. 1. New Zealand's economy is expected to contract in the third quarter by 0.4% q/q, after a 0.2% decline in Q2. If the economy  contracted for back-to-back quarters as expected, it would mean that the economy is in a technical recession.  Construction and manufacturing activity declined in the third quarter and a severe power crisis led to a decrease exports, all of which dampened GDP. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand slashed rates by 50 basis points last month, lowering the cash rate to 4.25%. The central bank has trimmed rates by 125 bp since August but the economy is clearly in need of further cuts. Inflation is back within the target of 1% to 3% and we can expect another cut at  the next meeting in February barring a surprise jump in inflation. There wasn't much excitement around today's Federal Reserve meeting, as the market had priced in a quarter-point cut at close to 100%. This is exactly what happened, as the Fed cut rates for a third time this year. The Fed signaled that it expected to cut rates only two times in 2025, lower than previous projections of four rate cuts. With the US economy in solid shape and the downswing in inflation stalled, the Fed can afford to take its time before the next rate cut. The market will hear from Fed Chair Powell shortly. Powell could reiterate that the Fed plans to cut rates "gradually", which means modest cuts of 25 basis points. NZD/USD is testing support at 0.5715. Next, there is support at 0.5665 There is resistance at 0.5801 and 0.5849
by OANDA
Let’s Get Kiwi with It: Time to Long NZD/USD!remember that trading is like a box of chocolates, you never know what you're gonna get. So, let's dive in: Interest Rate Differentials: The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) and the US Federal Reserve may have different stances on interest rates. If the RBNZ is expected to raise interest rates or the US Federal Reserve is expected to lower them, this could lead to an appreciation of the NZD/USD pair. It's like a seesaw, when one goes up, the other goes down. Unless it's broken, then you're just sitting on the ground. Economic Indicators: Economic indicators such as GDP growth, unemployment rate, inflation, and consumer sentiment can influence the exchange rate. If the New Zealand economy is expected to perform better than the US economy, this could lead to an appreciation of the NZD/USD pair. It's like a race, and right now, the Kiwi bird might just be wearing the running shoes. Commodity Prices: New Zealand is a major exporter of commodities, especially dairy products. If milk prices are expected to rise, this could lead to an appreciation of the New Zealand dollar. So, if you see a cow, thank it for potentially boosting your profits. Political Risks: Political events and policy changes can influence exchange rates. If there are political risks in the US that are expected to negatively impact the US economy or if there are positive political developments in New Zealand, this could lead to an appreciation of the NZD/USD pair. Politics, am I right? It's like a soap opera but with potentially more drama. Market Sentiment: Market sentiment can influence exchange rates. If traders are bullish on the New Zealand dollar or bearish on the US dollar, this could lead to an appreciation of the NZD/USD pair. Remember, the market is like a party. You want to join when everyone is having fun, not when everyone is leaving. Technical Analysis: The NZD/USD pair may be at a key support level, and a reversal pattern may be forming. If the pair breaks above this level, it could signal a move upwards. It's like reading tea leaves, but instead of predicting your future love life, you're predicting currency movements. Remember, these are potential reasons and the actual movement of the NZD/USD pair will depend on a variety of factors. It's important to conduct thorough research and consider the potential risks before making a trading decision.
Long
by FtradeFXArabic