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U.S. Dollar / New Zealand Dollar

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USDNZD trade ideas

NZD/USD Stabilises Ahead of the HolidaysNZD/USD Stabilises Ahead of the Holidays Forex trading is slowing down as the holidays approach, offering a pause after significant movements driven by various news events, including central bank decisions. Notably, NZD/USD reached its lowest level since October 2022 at the end of last week. The decline in NZD/USD has been influenced by two main factors: 1. The dollar gained momentum following the Federal Reserve's decision to lower the interest rate by 0.25% and its forward guidance for 2025. 2. According to Reuters: → New Zealand's economy contracted much more sharply than expected in the second and third quarters. → Market participants anticipate that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand may lower interest rates by 0.5% in February. Technical analysis of the NZD/USD 4-hour chart depicts a bearish outlook: - The 0.58 level, which served as support in November, turned into resistance in December. - The price is currently hovering near the lower boundary of a descending channel that has been in place since October. - The RSI indicator signals that the market is approaching oversold conditions. While bears may attempt to extend the downtrend by pushing the price below last week’s low, this could create a divergence pattern on the RSI indicator, offering hope for a potential bullish reversal. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
NZDUSD - Short + medium term direction predictionHigher Timeframe trend = Sell Retail trader bias = Buy Institutional bias = Sell Short term target = retail trader stoploss zone I would like to clarify that I dont trade with extended targets like the secondary and tertiary ones marked. This might be handy for people who leave runners on their trades. Also keep in mind that I am only providing my own SUBJECTIVE potential target levels here. The best thing to do would be to drop down to lower timeframes and look for good areas of value to enter that are part of your own plan. S : -9 C : 15,85 - 56,44 R : 75-25
Short
by Gamblers-Fallacy
NZDUSD to continue in the downward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry Price action looks to be forming a bottom. A Doji style candle has been posted from the base. A higher correction is expected. The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. We look to Sell at 0.5704 (stop at 0.5736) Our profit targets will be 0.5623 and 0.5520 Resistance: 0.5705 / 0.5850 / 0.5960 Support: 0.5630 / 0.5520 / 0.5320 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
NZDUSD → The price could fall another 2.5%FX:NZDUSD is forming a return to a strong support zone after testing it after a year. Against the backdrop of a rising dollar, the chances of a support breakout are growing. The downtrend, rising dollar, weak fundamental background for NZD play a key role in forming a bear market. The price is testing the key resistance and trying to enter the selling zone. At the moment the price is restrained by the descending channel support and if the price manages to break this line and consolidate below, strong selling may be formed further, as there are no obstacles below it until 0.562. Resistance levels: 0.577, 0.5817 Support levels: 0.575, 0.562 I do not exclude the possibility of correction if the buyers hold the support. But there is no chance of a trend change. Another retest of the support may lead to a breakdown and further fall to 0.562 Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
Daily CLS , HTF FVG, Model 1Daily CLS , HTF FVG, Model 1 you are welcome to comment with your thoughts and share your charts or questions below, I like any constructive discussion. What is CLS? This company is trading for the biggest investment banks and central banks. They trade over 6.5 trillion daily volume. They are smart money of the all markets. CLS operates in the specific times which will give you huge advantage and precisions to you entries. Focus on that. Its accuracy is amazing. Good luck and I hope this educational post helps to become better trader “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” Dave FX Hunter ⚔
Long
by David_Perk
Elliott Wave View Expects NZDUSD to Extend LowerNZDUD decline from 10.1.2024 high is in progress as an impulse Elliott Wave structure. Down from 10.1.2024 high, wave 1 ended at 0.6049 and wave 2 rally ended at 0.6119. Pair then resumed lower in wave 3 towards 0.5813 and wave 4 ended at 0.5928. Currently wave 5 is in progress with internal subdivision as another impulse as the 1 hour chart below shows. Down from wave 4, wave ((i)) ended at 0.5801 and wave ((ii)) ended at 0.5888. Pair has resumed lower in wave ((iii)). Down from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 0.5758 and rally in wave (ii) ended at 0.5817. Pair then nested lower with wave i ended at 0.575 and rally in wave ii ended at 0.5793. Expect wave iii lower to end soon, then it should bounce in wave iv before turning lower again in wave v of (iii). Near term, as far as pivot at 0.588 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further downside.
by Elliottwave-Forecast
"NZDUSD: Room for Further Decline?"NZDUSD: Approaching a Critical Support Zone Amid a Strong Bearish Outlook The NZDUSD pair is gravitating towards a significant support zone that it last tested over a year ago. This return to familiar territory comes under the shadow of a strengthening US dollar, which continues to exert downward pressure on the pair. The growing momentum behind the dollar and New Zealand's lackluster economic fundamentals are intensifying the likelihood of a major support level breakdown, potentially paving the way for deeper declines. Bearish Momentum in Full Swing The broader downtrend in NZDUSD remains firmly intact, driven by several key factors: Rising Dollar Strength: The US dollar has been bolstered by robust macroeconomic data, tighter monetary policy signals, and increased demand as a safe-haven asset in a volatile global environment. Weak New Zealand Fundamentals: New Zealand’s economic landscape offers little support for its currency, with lower growth forecasts and subdued sentiment adding to the downside pressure. Technical Weakness: The price action clearly reflects sellers' dominance, with the pair facing persistent resistance while struggling to hold onto key support levels. Testing Key Zones: Resistance vs. Support The pair is currently navigating a critical battle between resistance and support levels. A detailed breakdown is as follows: Resistance Levels: The 0.577 and 0.5817 levels are acting as formidable barriers for any bullish attempts. Each time the price approaches these zones, selling pressure intensifies, capping upward momentum. Support Levels: On the downside, 0.575 serves as an immediate level of interest, while the next significant floor lies at 0.562. This lower support remains untested in recent months and could act as the next price magnet should the pair breach the current descending channel. Descending Channel in Focus The NZDUSD is confined within a well-defined descending channel, which has dictated price movements for several sessions. Currently, the lower boundary of this channel is acting as temporary support, holding the pair above critical levels. However, the technical picture suggests that any decisive break below this channel could trigger a cascade of sell orders, as there is minimal structural support below until 0.562. Scenario Analysis: What Lies Ahead? Bearish Breakout: If the descending channel support fails and the price consolidates below this level, we may see a rapid acceleration of the downtrend. In this scenario, sellers would likely push the price toward the 0.562 mark, with minimal obstacles in their path. Temporary Correction: While bearish sentiment dominates, a temporary corrective bounce cannot be ruled out. Should buyers manage to defend the current support zone, the price could revisit the resistance levels at 0.577 and possibly 0.5817. However, such a move would likely be limited to short-term retracements rather than a trend reversal. Support Retest and Breakdown: The most probable outcome remains a retest of the support zone. Given the current macroeconomic backdrop and technical setup, any subsequent breakdown of this support could trigger fresh selling, opening the door for a deeper slide to 0.562. Conclusion: Downtrend Unlikely to Reverse Despite the possibility of minor corrections, the overall picture for NZDUSD remains overwhelmingly bearish. The combination of a strengthening US dollar, weak fundamentals for the New Zealand dollar, and a bearish technical setup creates a perfect storm for continued downside pressure. Traders should keep a close eye on the support zone near 0.575 and the descending channel boundary. A decisive break below these levels would confirm the next phase of the downtrend, targeting 0.562 in the near term. On the other hand, a sustained bounce above current levels might offer a brief reprieve, though it is unlikely to signal a reversal of the prevailing bearish trend.
Short
by lonelyPlayer0
NZD/USD looking very bearish over the longer termLooking at the 6 month candlesticks, whereby each candlestick represents 6 months of price action, every time this pair has put in a bottom it has done so relatively quickly and started an uptrend. The past 4 years have been different though. It has been testing the .55 level since 2020. The Covid Rally was formidable but it came right back down in 2022 and has not caught a strong bid. This presents a bearish case in my opinion. If it were to put in a massive rally from here that would be very anomalous from a price action perspective. .55 doesn't offer as strong a historical support as .50(ish) does. If this pair trades down and breaks the 2020 lows it will quickly go to .50 with strong follow-through. Side note: are we really to ignore the massive multi decade head and shoulders pattern is has formed? I will not. This pair is headed down below .50 by next year sometime in my opinion.
Short
by ECMetts2112
2