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U.S. Dollar / New Zealand Dollar

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Kiwi H4 | Rising into overlap resistanceThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 0.5935 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 0.5987 which is a level that sits above the 23.6% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels. Take profit is at 0.5835 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
1
NZDUSD Daily Analysis: Slight Bullish Bias Expected today!NZDUSD Daily Analysis: Slight Bullish Bias Expected Amid Positive New Zealand Economic Sentiment and USD Weakness 19/11/2024 Introduction The NZDUSD pair is poised for a slight bullish bias today, driven by favorable economic conditions in New Zealand and continued softness in the U.S. dollar. Strong commodity prices, improved risk sentiment, and dovish signals from the Federal Reserve are supporting the upward momentum for the New Zealand dollar (NZD). This analysis highlights the fundamental and technical factors shaping NZDUSD’s movement, providing actionable insights for traders. --- Key Drivers Influencing NZDUSD Today 1. Resilient New Zealand Economic Performance New Zealand’s economy remains stable, with recent trade data reflecting robust export growth, particularly in agricultural commodities like dairy and meat. These exports underpin the NZD’s strength, as global demand supports the economy. Additionally, consumer confidence surveys and stable domestic consumption further enhance the bullish outlook for the NZD. 2. Dovish Federal Reserve Weakening the USD The U.S. dollar has been under pressure as the Federal Reserve maintains a cautious stance on interest rate adjustments. Recent inflation data came in softer than expected, reinforcing market expectations that rate hikes are on hold. This dovish environment is eroding the USD’s strength, creating room for NZDUSD to rise. 3. Improved Risk Sentiment Boosting NZD The NZD, as a risk-sensitive currency, benefits from the current “risk-on” market sentiment. Stability in global equity markets and stronger commodity prices, particularly in oil and industrial metals, have supported riskier assets. This favorable market sentiment boosts demand for the New Zealand dollar, contributing to its bullish trajectory against the USD. 4. Technical Indicators Supporting Bullish Momentum From a technical perspective, NZDUSD remains above key support levels and is trending higher, supported by bullish indicators. The pair’s position above its 50-day moving average and a bullish MACD crossover are strong signals for continued upward movement. --- Technical Analysis Indicators Moving Averages and RSI NZDUSD is trading above its 50-day moving average, reinforcing the bullish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is moving higher but remains below overbought territory, indicating additional upside potential without immediate risk of a pullback. MACD and Volume Trends The MACD has formed a bullish crossover, suggesting further upward momentum. Volume trends show consistent buying activity, aligning with the pair’s positive bias for today. --- Conclusion With a strong New Zealand economic outlook, dovish Federal Reserve signals, and improved global risk sentiment, NZDUSD is likely to maintain a slight bullish bias today. Traders should keep an eye on commodity price movements and any unexpected shifts in risk appetite that could impact the pair’s performance. --- SEO Tags: - #NZDUSDforecast - #NZDUSDanalysis - #NZDUSDtechnicalanalysis - #ForexTradingNZDUSD - #NewZealandDollarOutlook - #USDWeakness - #NZDUSDtoday - #ForexMarketAnalysis - #NZDUSDprediction
Long
by PERFECT_MFG
Potential bullish rise off pullback support?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance. Pivot: 0.5877 1st Support: 0.5837 1st Resistance: 0.5918 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
NZD/USD on strong downtrend amid USD strengthThe US dollar's recent surge, reaching around 106.5 post-election, impacts global markets and American consumers. Strong economic data and inflation pressures bolster the dollar, while Trump's tariffs could enhance its strength. Meanwhile, the NZD has dropped to 0.58574 against the USD, influenced by New Zealand's economic conditions and fluctuating commodity prices. As the yen and peso also weaken significantly, the dollar's future depends on unfolding policies and geopolitical events. Analysts foresee potential gains but caution against international retaliation.
by tastyfx
Tis the season for longs on commodities.Entry: 0.5953 TP1: 0.6117 TP2: 0.6378 SL: 0.577 With Trump's back in office and his tariff policies back on the table, American-Chinese trade could very well end up decimated. On the flip side, the Aussie and Kiwi economy could find an opportunity to benefit from this as China will likely be pushed to rely more on their free trade agreement. Add that to the fact that, risk-on assets generally trend bullish during the holiday seasons.
Long
by CJBlueNorther
1
NZDUSD → Consolidation before the continuation of the fallFX:NZDUSD amid bearish rally is not going to pull back, forming consolidation in front of 0.5894 with the purpose of continuing the fall... Last week the price tested the key support at 0.585, closing below the level, hinting that the market is ready to go further. The strong rise in the dollar is extremely negative for the forex market. The excitement has not subsided yet and most likely the current movements may get a continuation. Since we have a downtrend, we should prioritize selling from strong resistance zones or supports. Focus on the key range. Resistance levels: 0.5864, 0.588, 0.5912 Support levels: 0.584 Accordingly, I do not exclude the fact that the market may test the resistance in the format of a false breakdown and further fall. But, since we are close to the support now and the price is forming a pre-breakdown accumulation, we should consider a breakdown of the support in the first place Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:NZDUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
NZDUSD Daily Analysis: Slight Bullish Bias Expected Amid !NZDUSD Daily Analysis: Slight Bullish Bias Expected Amid Positive NZ Economic Sentiment and Weakening USD 18/11/2024 Introduction The NZDUSD pair is anticipated to exhibit a slight bullish bias today, supported by positive economic sentiment in New Zealand and a softer U.S. dollar. As global risk appetite improves and dovish Federal Reserve expectations weigh on the USD, the New Zealand dollar (NZD) benefits from these favorable conditions. This article analyzes the key drivers influencing NZDUSD today and provides actionable insights for forex traders. --- Key Drivers Influencing NZDUSD Today 1. Robust New Zealand Economic Outlook New Zealand’s economy continues to show resilience, supported by strong performance in its export sectors, particularly agriculture and dairy. Recent retail sales data and business confidence surveys indicate steady economic growth, providing a favorable environment for the NZD. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ)’s cautious but optimistic policy stance further bolsters the currency, as traders see reduced downside risk. 2. Weaker U.S. Dollar Amid Dovish Fed Policy The U.S. dollar has been under pressure following recent Federal Reserve commentary suggesting a pause in interest rate hikes. Softer inflation and mixed labor market data have led to a dovish outlook, diminishing the USD’s appeal globally. This environment provides room for NZD gains, as the U.S. dollar weakens relative to other currencies. 3. Improved Global Risk Sentiment As a risk-sensitive currency, the NZD benefits when global risk appetite improves. Stability in equity markets and an uptick in commodity prices have increased demand for higher-yielding assets like the NZD. This “risk-on” sentiment supports a bullish outlook for NZDUSD, as traders move away from safe-haven assets. 4. Technical Indicators Supporting Bullish Momentum From a technical perspective, NZDUSD is trading above its 50-day moving average, signaling continued upward momentum. Additionally, indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) are aligned with a bullish trend, suggesting potential for further gains in today’s session. --- Technical Analysis Indicators Moving Averages and RSI NZDUSD is well-positioned above its 50-day moving average, indicating sustained bullish momentum. The RSI is trending upwards but remains below overbought levels, signaling room for additional upside. MACD and Volume Trends The MACD shows a bullish crossover, confirming upward momentum in the pair. Volume analysis indicates consistent buying interest, further supporting today’s slight bullish bias. --- Conclusion Given New Zealand’s strong economic fundamentals, a dovish U.S. Federal Reserve, and improving global risk sentiment, NZDUSD is expected to maintain a slight bullish bias today. Traders should monitor any shifts in risk sentiment or unexpected economic data releases that could influence the pair’s movement. --- SEO Tags: - #NZDUSDforecast - #NZDUSDanalysis - #NZDUSDtechnicalanalysis - #ForexTradingNZDUSD - #NewZealandDollarOutlook - #USDWeakness - #NZDUSDtoday - #ForexMarketAnalysis - #NZDUSDprediction
Long
by PERFECT_MFG
Divergence...one of the only clues you need...NZDUSD EXAMPLEHello hello hello TradingView community! Hope you are all having an amazing day so far getting ready for the fantastic trading week ahead. I saved something special for you guys this week with a more educational videos on one of my favorite confluences/tools I like to use in the market for my analysis and trading and that is the concept of Divergence. This is something I personally use in my analysis and trading that has helped me tremendously find and enhance the opportunities I identify in the markets and wanted to go ahead and share with this awesome community! So sit back, take some notes, and hope you all get some great nuggets from this video! Cheers!
Education
by JosePips
USD rally or profit-taking opportunity? USD rally or profit-taking opportunity? The dollar extended its gains on Friday, bolstered by Donald Trump’s White House return, pressuring the Aussie and Kiwi by over 1%. Credit Agricole flagged Trump’s policy agenda as a source of upside risk for the greenback but dismissed the likelihood of another 2018-style rally. With the dollar’s already elevated level, Credit Agricole analysts see limited scope for a repeat of past surges. By late 2025, they project dollar weakness as Federal Reserve rate cuts accumulate. Near-term, the prospect of profit-taking could cap further gains.
by BlackBull_Markets