NZDUSD 15 M ChartThis is the 15 M Chart of NZDUSD, I am publishing this chart for further informational analysis. Ideally, further analysis will use smart money concepts, ICT, and wick candle analysis.
USDNZD trade ideas
NZDUSD: Will Start Falling! Here is Why:
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the NZDUSD pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell!
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NZDUSD ShortA perfect correction trade to continue upwards, this trade can go as far as breaking the low
NZDUSD H1 I Bearish Drop Based on the H1 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 0.5925, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8 Fibo retracement.
Our take profit is set at 0.5855, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 0.5970, above the 127.2% Fibo extension.
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NZDUSD Will Go Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.593.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.578 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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NZDUSDhe New Zealand dollar has depreciated slightly against thE US DOLLAR The pair’s movement is shaped by both domestic New Zealand fundamentals and global macroeconomic factors, especially U.S. monetary policy and trade tensions.
Key Fundamental Drivers
Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Policy:
The RBNZ cut its Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points to 3.5% in April, citing inflation near the midpoint of its 1–3% target and ongoing economic softness. The central bank signaled further easing is possible, with markets expecting the OCR to reach 3% by year-end. This dovish stance is a key factor weighing on the NZD.
New Zealand Economic Data:
Inflation is at 2.2% year-on-year (Q4).
Unemployment has risen to 5.1%.
The manufacturing PMI has improved to 51.4, indicating some recovery in the sector.
The NZIER Survey of Business Opinion is a near-term event that could impact sentiment if it diverges from expectations.
U.S. Economic and Policy Developments:
The Federal Reserve is expected to consider rate cuts later in 2025, with markets pricing in at least four cuts by year-end.
U.S. economic data releases, including CPI and PPI, will be closely watched for clues on the Fed’s next moves.
Trade tensions remain high, with new tariffs imposed by the U.S. and retaliatory measures from China, creating global uncertainty and risk-off sentiment.
China and Global Trade:
The NZD is sensitive to developments in China, New Zealand’s largest trading partner. Any Chinese stimulus or changes in trade policy can influence the kiwi. Current U.S.-China trade tensions and tariffs are a downside risk for the NZD.
Technical and Sentiment Summary
The NZD/USD pair is in a bearish trend, with technical indicators (RSI, MACD, Stochastic) supporting further downside, though some short-term corrections are possible.
Outlook and Risk
Factor Impact on NZD/USD Directional Bias
RBNZ rate cuts Weighs on NZD Bearish
Weak domestic data Weighs on NZD Bearish
U.S. Fed rate cut prospects Supports NZD (if realized) Bullish (potential)
U.S.-China trade tensions Weighs on NZD Bearish
China stimulus Supports NZD Bullish (potential the path of least resistance remains to the downside unless there is a significant shift in U.S. policy or a positive surprise in New Zealand data.
Conclusion
The NZD/USD is fundamentally pressured by a dovish RBNZ, weak domestic data, and global trade tensions. While a short-term rebound is possible if U.S. dollar sentiment sours or China introduces stimulus, the overall outlook remains cautious with limited upside. Key upcoming events to watch include New Zealand’s business sentiment surveys, U.S. inflation data, and any new developments in global trade policy.
NZDUSD INTRADAY bullish continuation supported at 0.5715NZDUSD maintains a bullish bias, supported by the prevailing upward trend. Recent intraday movement indicates a corrective pullback toward a key consolidation zone, offering a potential setup for trend continuation.
Key Support Level: 0.5715 – previous consolidation range and pivotal support
Upside Targets:
0.5946 – initial resistance
0.6000 and 0.6070 – extended bullish targets on higher timeframes
A bullish reversal from 0.5715 would suggest continuation of the uptrend, confirming buying momentum.
However, a decisive break and daily close below 0.5715 would invalidate the bullish structure, opening the door for further retracement toward 0.5650, with additional support at 0.5590 and 0.5500.
Conclusion
NZDUSD remains bullish above 0.5715. A bounce from this level supports further gains. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move.
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NZD/USD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the NZD/USD pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 0.576 level.
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NZDUSD REVERSALTechnically:
NZDUSD is printing bearish divergence.
NZDUSD is printing double top.
NZDUSD if it break last higher low
it break bullish trendline
it break double top neckline
NZD_USD SHORT FROM SUPPLY AREA|
✅NZD_USD is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 0.5860
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target at 0.5790
SHORT🔥
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NZDUSD Is Going Up! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 15m
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.581.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.585 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Long trade
1Hr TF overview
✅ Trade Breakdown – Buy-Side (NZD/USD)
📅 Date: Thursday, April 10, 2025
⏰ Time: 9:00 AM (NY Time) – London Session AM
📈 Pair: NZD/USD
🧭 Direction: Long (Buy)
📐 Structure TF: 1-Hour (Directional Bias)
🎯 Entry TF: 2-Minute (Precision Entry)
Trade Parameters:
Entry: 0.57120
Take Profit (TP): 0.57922 (+1.40%)
Stop Loss (SL): 0.56880 (–0.42%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 3.34
This Thursday AM trade was positioned during London, focusing on the 2m entry capitalizing on a micro-displacement following a liquidity grab for a buy-side trade.
NZDUSD Wave Analysis – 10 April 2025
- NZDUSD reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.5820
NZDUSD currency pair recently reversed from the support zone between the key support level 0.5530 (which has been reversing the price from January) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from the support level 0.5530 created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Morning Star Doji.
Given the strongly bearish US dollar sentiment, NZDUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.5820.
nzdusd longprice recently changed structure from bearish to bullish
now making HL and HH's
trading above my support area
NZD/USD For Bullishwait for pull-back near by entry point and then go long
general trend is up trend
daily bias is up
have fun :)
NZDUSD SHORTSNZDUSD has a break in corellation with AUDUSD, the SMT divergence while staying above opening price, so i will choose the NU shorts over the AU
NZDUSD Faces Resistance After Recent Sell-OffFollowing the significant sell-off last week, the NZDUSD price has retraced to approximately 60% of the previous bearish move. The price appears to have encountered resistance at a zone marked by an upward trendline and the boundary of the channel. Additionally, there is a psychological level at 0.57000. Should the price reject this resistance, it may continue to decline and retest the middle of the consolidation range. On the other hand, if upcoming news releases favour the market, there could be potential for a move higher. The target for the market is a resistance zone near 0.55940
NZDUSD ANALYSIS
### 🔄 **Basic Structure of Point 1-2-3 Setup**:
1. **Point 1 (P1):** The initial move or swing low/high (starting point).
2. **Point 2 (P2):** The opposite extreme – the highest high (uptrend) or lowest low (downtrend).
3. **Point 3 (P3):** A correction that doesn’t exceed P1, followed by a potential breakout beyond P2 to confirm a new trend.
---
### ✅ **Chart Analysis (NZD/USD, Heikin Ashi, 15 Min)**:
#### 📉 **First Major Bearish Move** (Left side of the chart):
- **P1:** Price peaks (Point 2 is marked near 0.571xx).
- **P2:** Swing low around 0.563xx (Point 2 in white).
- **P3:** Retracement (fails to break the initial high, confirming potential trend change).
- Then the price **breaks below P2**, confirming a **new downtrend**.
This bearish structure played out with a **short position**, visualized by the red trade box.
---
#### 📈 **Reversal to Bullish Trend** (Middle to right side):
- After a long downtrend, a shift occurs.
- New **Point 1**: A swing low forms (around 0.558xx).
- **Point 2**: Price pushes up to a local high (confirmed with white lines).
- **Point 3**: Retracement that stays above Point 1 (0.558xx zone).
Then:
- **TST (Test)** occurs: Price revisits P3 zone but holds.
- Break above **Point 2** confirms **bullish trend**.
- We see **multiple fractal P1-2-3 formations** up the rally:
- Smaller structures form within the bigger bullish move (each followed by breakouts).
---
### 📌 **Most Recent Trade Setup (Far Right)**:
- **P1:** Swing low (end of pullback).
- **P2:** Local peak after a bullish impulse.
- **P3:** Pullback that doesn’t break P1.
- **Breakout above P2 confirms long position**, shown by the current green box trade setup.
This trade is still active, with the price hovering slightly above entry.
---
### 🧠 Summary (Das Voigt Logic Applied):
- The chart follows textbook **Point 1-2-3 trend development**, first bearish, then a clean shift to bullish.
- Multiple entries are possible using **sub-structures** within the main trend.
- The key is **waiting for P3 to hold** and then **confirmation via breakout of P2**.
Would you like me to mark up the chart with the Point 1, 2, 3 labels and send it back for clarity?
NZDUSD - Golden Opportunity Alert This pair has been consistently breaking lows for a while — but things just got interesting. It’s now sitting at a key yearly support level, and we're still firmly within a large bullish range.
📈 Translation? Now is the time to buy.
This setup is looking like a textbook bounce opportunity. Not only is this one of the cheapest dollar pairs available right now, but with the dollar continuing its broader decline, this could be the best pair to capitalize on in the current market.
⚡ Don’t sleep on this move. Timing is everything.
Let me know what you think — and if this breakdown helped you, drop a comment or share it with someone who needs to see it!
buy usd/nzdThe Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is expected to cut the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points (bps) to 3.5% tomorrow, as global economic conditions and domestic data signal a weaker outlook. While there are risks of a larger cut, the RBNZ is likely to hold back, as uncertainties surrounding the global trade environment, particularly tensions between the US and China, are contributing to global growth concerns.
The New Zealand economy is facing sluggish growth, with recent domestic business surveys showing weak economic indicators and lower-than-expected GDP growth for Q1. Despite this, the RBNZ is still inclined to reduce the OCR further, with the intention of bringing it closer to a neutral level of around 3%. However, they will likely avoid committing to a sub-3% OCR at this stage, leaving that decision for future discussions in May.
The RBNZ aims to avoid creating market instability with a dramatic policy shift, opting instead to focus on financial stability and making gradual adjustments. The May Monetary Policy Statement will provide clearer guidance as the economic outlook and budget details become more defined. The current OCR forecast of 3.25% may be revised downwards, reflecting the growing downside risks.
