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U.S. Dollar / New Zealand Dollar

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USDNZD trade ideas

NZD/USD Multi-Timeframe Analysis & Trade Setup Timeframes Analyzed: 30-Minute (M30) 1-Hour (H1) 4-Hour (H4) Daily (D1) Market Structure Overview ✅ Bearish Trend: The overall structure remains bearish, with multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirming a downward momentum. ✅ Liquidity Sweeps: Weak lows were taken out, showing potential liquidity grabs before a possible reversal. ✅ Premium & Discount Zones: Premium Zone (~0.5750 - 0.5800): Ideal for short positions. Discount Zone (~0.5550 - 0.5580): Currently testing this area, a key decision point. Trade Scenarios 📉 Scenario 1: Short Trade (Higher Probability - 70%) Entry: 0.5620 - 0.5650 (If price retraces higher) Stop Loss (SL): Above 0.5670 Take Profit (TP): 0.5550 (Discount Zone) Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3+ Probability: 70% 📌 Confirmation: Look for bearish price action near 0.5620 - 0.5650 before entering a short. 📈 Scenario 2: Long Trade (Moderate Probability - 55%) Entry: 0.5550 - 0.5580 (Current Discount Zone) Stop Loss (SL): Below 0.5530 Take Profit (TP): 0.5650 (Previous Support Turned Resistance) Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 Probability: 55% 📌 Risk: The long trade is counter-trend but might work if a bullish CHoCH (Change of Character) appears. Conclusion & Recommendations Best Trade: Short from 0.5620 - 0.5650, targeting 0.5550. Watch for a break of the weak low at 0.5580—if it holds, a reversal could be in play. Confirmation Needed: Price action at key levels before executing trades.
Short
by wizzywise1
NZDUSD Trade Idea - Bearish Bias### **📉 NZDUSD Trade Idea - Bearish Bias** **🔍 Market Outlook:** I am considering **NZDUSD bearish** based on the following analysis: ✅ **Bearish Trend Continuation:** The pair has shown consistent weakness and is aligned with a bearish trend. ⬇️ ✅ **External Monthly Range Liquidity:** The price is likely heading towards the **monthly external range liquidity**, creating a good opportunity to short. 🏦💰 ✅ **Break of Structure (BOS):** A recent **BOS** confirms downward momentum, suggesting further downside potential. 📉 ✅ **SMC Alignment:** The trade aligns with **Smart Money Concepts**, supporting institutional-driven price movements. 💼 ### **📌 Trade Plan:** 🔹 **Entry:** Wait for a minor retracement or liquidity sweep before entering short. ⏳ 🔹 **Stop Loss:** Above the recent **swing high** or invalidation level. 🚨 🔹 **Take Profit:** Target **monthly external range liquidity** for a significant profit zone. 🎯💵 🔹 **Confluence:** Look for additional **bearish order flow** confirmation on lower timeframes (LTF). 🔄 Let me know if you'd like more details or a chart to visualize this! 📊
Short
by Asif_Brain_Waves
NZD/USD pair trend this weekNZD/USD news: 🔆The US House of Representatives has approved President Donald Trump’s $4.5 trillion tax cut plan, which aims to overhaul the tax system, stimulate economic growth, and ease regulations to foster a more business-friendly environment. This has contributed to a strong rebound in the US dollar. 🔆Additionally, investors anticipate that Trump’s tax policies could drive inflation higher, potentially compelling the Federal Reserve to maintain a tight monetary policy stance. 🔆In Asia, US 10-year bond yields increased by 0.5%, further supporting the greenback. 🔆Meanwhile, the New Zealand dollar has weakened since Friday, following the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) February 19 policy decision to cut the official cash rate by 50 basis points to 3.75%, as expected. This rate cut has made the NZD less appealing compared to the USD. Personal opinion: 🔆The NZD/USD pair still maintains the current downtrend. The USD has more room to increase compared to the underperformance of the NZD. Analysis: 🔆Based on fundamental information combined with important resistance - support levels and trend lines to come up with a suitable plan 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy NZD/USD 0.5690 - 0.5700 ❌SL: 0.5740 | ✅TP: 0.5660 – 0.5600 – 0.5550 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
2
NZDUSD Wave Analysis – 27 February 2025 - NZDUSD under bearish pressure - Likely to fall support level 0.5600 NZDUSD currency pair is under bearish pressure after the earlier breakout of the support trendline of the daily up channel from the start of February. The breakout of this up channel continues the active impulse wave 3, which started earlier from the key resistance level 0.5760 (former support from December), intersecting with the aforementioned up channel. NZDUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.5600, a low of the previous minor correction b.
Short
by FxProGlobal
Bullish bounce off pullback support?NZD/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback that is slightly below the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.5606 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Stop loss: 0.5567 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 0.5664 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
NZD/USD Analysis & Trade Setup **Market Structure Update:** - **Overall Trend:** Bearish continuation. - **Break of Structure (BOS):** Multiple BOS confirming downward momentum. - **Change of Character (CHOCH):** Seen at minor pullbacks but failed to reverse trend. - **Liquidity Zones:** - **Weak Low (~0.5678 - 0.5680)**: Price just touched this area. - **Discount Zone (~0.5650 - 0.5670)**: Potential area for reversal. - **Premium Zone (~0.5750 - 0.5780)**: Potential selling zone. **Trade Setup & Probability Assessment** **Scenario 1: Short Trade (High Probability - 75%)** - **Entry:** **0.5700 - 0.5720** (Potential pullback to PDL level) - **Stop Loss (SL):** **Above 0.5730** - **Take Profit (TP):** **0.5650 (Discount Zone)** - **Risk-Reward (RR):** **1:3+** - **Probability:** **75%** (Bearish trend continuation, liquidity grab above PDL) **Scenario 2: Long Trade (Medium Probability - 55%)** - **Entry:** **0.5675 - 0.5680** (Current weak low area) - **Stop Loss (SL):** **Below 0.5660** - **Take Profit (TP):** **0.5720 (Equilibrium Zone)** - **Risk-Reward (RR):** **1:2** - **Probability:** **55%** (Possible short-term bounce but against overall trend) **Conclusion & Recommendation** - **Best Trade Setup:** Short trade from **0.5700 - 0.5720**, targeting **0.5650**. - **Weak Low at 0.5680** may break, so a long trade is riskier. - **Look for bearish confirmations near 0.5700 before entering a short.**
by wizzywise1
NZDUSD Massive Long! BUY! My dear friends, My technical analysis for NZDUSD is below: The market is trading on 0.5691 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 0.5731 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
NZDUSD at Key Support - Bullish Continuation SetupOANDA:NZDUSD has broken above a key resistance zone, which has now flipped to support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation. The recent retest of this level held successfully, indicating strong buyer interest and reinforcing the bullish outlook. After making a new high, price has now pulled back for another retest of this support zone, presenting a potential continuation setup. If buyers step in at this level, the price could resume its upward momentum toward 0.57610 as the next key target. A strong rejection from this zone would further confirm bullish strength. However, a deeper breakdown below the support area could indicate a shift in momentum. Monitoring price action for bullish confirmation will be key before entering long positions. What’s your outlook on this setup? Let me know your thoughts!
Long
by DanieIM
1
NZD/USD 4-Hour Time Frame Analysis Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour chart, the NZD/USD pair is exhibiting a bullish structure, forming higher highs and higher lows after breaking through two key resistance levels at 0.56900 and 0.57200, which are now acting as minor support zones. Following a false breakout, the price retested the 0.56900 support level before resuming its upward movement, accumulating significant buying volume. This accumulation suggests a potential liquidity hunt as the market gathers momentum. Key Trade Parameters: Entry: Buy limit at 0.57250, contingent on a confirmed 4-hour candle close above 0.57200. Stop Loss (SL): Positioned below the liquidity zone at 0.56840 to manage downside risk. Take Profit (TP): Targeting the next resistance level at 0.58070. Market Outlook: Our primary focus is to monitor the price action within the liquidity zone. A confirmed break and sustained close above 0.57200 will validate a bullish continuation, providing a favorable opportunity for a long position. Fundamental Analysis: As of February 26, 2025, China's Politburo has announced plans to adopt proactive fiscal and moderately loose monetary policies to stimulate economic growth throughout the year. These initiatives were outlined during the December 2024 Central Economic Work Conference, which set the strategic economic agenda for 2025. Key policy measures include: Increased public spending through ultra-long treasury bonds. Investment incentives targeting business growth and modernization. Consumer stimulus programs, such as subsidies for vehicle and appliance upgrades. While the full implementation of these policies is ongoing, their positive spillover effects are expected to influence global trade dynamics throughout 2025 (Source: Reuters). Implications for NZD/USD: China's proactive fiscal and monetary stance supports a positive outlook for the NZD/USD pair. As these policies drive economic activity, increased demand for New Zealand exports—particularly in agriculture and commodities—could provide upward momentum for the New Zealand Dollar. If these measures are effectively implemented, the NZD/USD pair may experience sustained bullish momentum, offering attractive opportunities for market participants. 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Long
by RebornFXTrader