USDNZD trade ideas
NZDUSD(4H).It seems rangeThe currency pair seems to keep a consolidation for a while and now it's seen has touched a support in low and boosted then.There are two scenarios to mind;One it can be back near last support and two moving forward to top.I think the second scenario is common and most possible
NZD/USD SHORT TRADE IDEA🔍 Trade Breakdown:
Price aggressively rallied into a previous supply zone (highlighted in green), showing signs of buyer exhaustion near the top.
📌 Entry: 0.59125
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.59235 (11 pips)
🎯 Take Profit: 0.58775 (35 pips)
🎯 Risk:Reward = ~1:3.2
💡 Why I Took It:
Market had a strong push up, but into a clear imbalance + supply zone
Bearish reaction candles on the 15m showing rejection from the zone
High R:R opportunity with a tight SL just above the wick rejection
NZDUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 0.5899, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit is set at 0.5833, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 0.6020, a swing high resistance.
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NZDUSD to find buyers at previous swing low?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart.
Pivot support is at 0.5850.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.5900 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.5975.
We look to Buy at 0.5850 (stop at 0.5800)
Our profit targets will be 0.5950 and 0.5975
Resistance: 0.5900 / 0.5950 / 0.5975
Support: 0.5875 / 0.5850 / 0.5825
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Short trade
15min TF overview
🟥 Sellside Trade Log
📉 Pair: NZD/USD
🏷️ Type: Intraday | LND Session AM
🧠 Setup: Continuation (Ascending Channel Rejection)
🆔 Trade ID: #NZDUSD-0515A
📅 Date: Thursday, 15th May 2025
🕘 Time: 9:15 AM
🔹 Entry Price: 0.58856
🔹 Profit Target: 0.58537 (-0.54%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.58955 (+0.17%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3.22
🔍 Reasoning:
This sellside continuation trade was executed following a rejection at the ascending channel resistance. Price action showed bearish follow-through during the London AM session, with the channel's upper boundary providing a key pivot. Momentum favoured downside extension, supported by structure and session timing.
NZDUSD: Close to a 1D Golden. Best sell confirmation in 2 years.NZDUSD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.000, MACD = 0.002, ADX = 34.685) as it got rejected from last month's highs back to the 1D MA200. Ahead of a 1D Golden Cross, that high was most likely the lower high of the 2 year Channel Down. Every 1D Golden Cross ended with a 0.786 Fibonacci test at least. We're bearish on the medium term, TP = 0.56250.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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NZD-USD Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-USD is going down
Now to retest a horizontal
Support level around 0.5840
But its a strong key level
So after the pair hits it we
Can go long with the
Take Profit of 0.5903
And the Stop Loss of 0.5819
Buy!
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NZDUSD..SHORTPrice is nearing a critical level around .
** No setup, no trade. **
For me, a solid plan always comes before any prediction.
*****If the zone is broken and confirmed with a retest, I’ll adjust my plan accordingly for a possible reverse trade.
For detailed entry points, trade management, and high-probability setups, follow the channel:
ForexCSP
NZdUSd SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTF 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.59500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 5
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
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NZDUSD: Long Trade Explained
NZDUSD
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy NZDUSD
Entry - 0.5869
Stop - 0.5842
Take - 0.5924
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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New Zealand dollar extends losses, inflation expectations expectNew Zealand releases inflation expectations for the first quarter on Friday. Inflation expectations can manifest into actual inflation and are considered a market-mover. Over the past three quarters, inflation expectations have hovered around the 2% level, which is the mid-point of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's target band of 1%-3%. However, inflation expectations are expected to climb to 2.4% in the second quarter, which could complicate the Reserve Bank's plans to further trim interest rates.
New Zealand consumer inflation rose 2.5% y/y in the first quarter, up from 2.5% in Q4 2024 and above the market estimate of 2.2%. This is comfortably within the RBNZ target band and enabled the Bank to cut rates to 3.5% from 3.75% last month.
The central bank left the door open to further rate cuts at the April meeting, stressing the risk to the New Zealand economy due to rising global trade tensions. New Zealand's largest trading partner is China and the temporary agreement between the US and China to slash tariffs is good news for New Zealand's export sector. The Reserve Bank meets next on May 28.
US retail sales in April posted a weak gain of 0.1% m/m. This was well below the upwardly revised 1.7% gain in March but edged above the market estimate of 0%. There was also soft data from the inflation front. Producer Price inflation declined 0.5% in April, down from the upwardly revised 0% in March and below the market estimate of 0.2%.
The Federal Reserve is virtually certain to hold rates at the June 30 meeting, but there is a 36% chance of a rate cut in July and a 50% likelihood in September, according to CME's FedWatch. Fed Chair Powell has adopted a wait-and-see stance due to the uncertainty over US trade policy. With inflation largely under control and the labor market in solid shape, Powell is no rush to lower rates.
NZD/USD is testing support at 0.5871. Below, there is support at 0.5844
There is resistance at 0.5920 and 0.5947
Potential bullish bounce for the Kiwi?The price has bounced off the pivot, which is an overlap support, and could rise to the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 0.5886
1st Support: 0.5861
1st Resistance: 0.5940
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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NZD/USD Rebound UnravelsNZD/USD gives back the rebound from earlier this week to hold below the monthly high (0.6023), and lack of momentum to hold above the 0.5900 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement) to 0.5930 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) region may push the exchange rate towards 0.5820 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement).
Next area of interest comes in around 0.5740 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement) to 0.5760 (100% Fibonacci extension), but the recent weakness in NZD/USD may turn out to be temporary should it defend the advance from the weekly low (0.5847).
A move above the monthly high (0.6023) may lead to a test of the April high (0.6029), with a breach above the November high (0.6038) opening up 0.6070 (61.8% Fibonacci extension).
--- Written by David Song, Senior Strategist at FOREX.com
Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?NZD/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5887
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement,.
Stop loss: 0.5863
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.5932
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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NzdUsd Trade IdeaAfter catching some longs on NU yesterday we could be getting into some shorts this morning. Price managed to hit 59450 yesterday as expected but now we have smaller and higher time frames closing below the level. I'll personally be waiting on price to pullback and retest 59450 before executing any shorts on the pair for a 1:3rr. The retest would confirm our shift in structure. We'll see what happens.