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U.S. Dollar / New Zealand Dollar

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USDNZD trade ideas

NZDUSD SELL TRADE PLAN🔥 Pair: NZD/USD | Date: 13 May 2025 📋 Plan Overview Type Direction Confidence R:R Status Intraday SELL 🔶 87% ~1:3.0 🟢 Active Plan 📈 Market Bias & Type * Market Bias: Bearish * Type: Continuation sell setup from premium retracement zones (H1/H4 aligned with D1 lower high structure) * Structure: Lower highs/lows forming post D1 rejection + bearish order flow 🔰 Confidence Level: 87% High Probability Element Weight HTF Bias (D1 + H4) ✅ 25% OB + FVG Confluence (H1/H4) ✅ 20% Liquidity Sweeps ✅ 15% H1 Candle Structure ✅ 15% Clean Range to Downside ✅ 12% Volume + Session Context ✅ 10% 📍 Entry Zones 🟥 Primary Sell Zone: 0.5905 – 0.5922 * Location: H1 Order Block + H4 Imbalance + Pre-sweep rejection base * Reason: Clean OB + EQH sweep; ideal reaction + compression zone 🟥 Secondary Sell Zone: 0.5938 – 0.5953 * Location: D1 FVG edge + Final stop-hunt zone above major EQHs * Note: Only if price aggressively sweeps primary with no rejection ❗ Stop Loss (SL) * Above Secondary Zone high: 0.5965 * Reason: Protects against deep liquidity sweep beyond unmitigated OBs 🎯 Targets TP Level Price Reason 🎯 TP1 0.5860 Mid-range H1 structure zone 🎯 TP2 0.5828 H4 FVG low + clean inefficiency 🎯 TP3 0.5790 D1 range base + March 2024 EQ lows 🧠 Management Strategy * Risk: 0.5% max if only Primary; if both zones possible, staggered 0.25% each * Scaling: Allow partial fill on reaction candles * Breakeven: Secure at TP1 with tight trailing thereafter * Re-Entry: Only if price returns to zone post-BOS + lower high ⚠️ Confirmation Checklist (REQUIRED) Confirmation Status H1 Bearish Engulfing Awaiting Volume Spike (US) Awaiting EQH Sweep Liquidity ✅ Seen Rejection Candle Awaiting London/NY Session Preferred for activation ⏳ Validity * H1 Setup Validity: 12–16 hours from issuance * H4 Structure Alignment Valid: up to 48h ❌ Invalidation * Price closes firmly above 0.5965 on H1 candle or * Market structure shifts bullish with BOS + HL + high-volume breakout 🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot * USD: Mildly strong due to recent NFP and CPI beats * NZD: Weak macro prints, fading RBNZ tone * Risk Sentiment: Slight risk-off tone — favoring USD strength 📋 Final Trade Summary * Trade Type: Structured HTF-aligned intraday/swing sell * Plan Logic: Sell retracement into key supply zones, following multi-timeframe bearish structure * Trigger Requirement: Tap + confirmation only (NOT pre-entry)
Short
by jibkhan111
NZD/USD SELL SETUP – May 14, 2025🔻 Entry: 0.59641 🎯 TP: 0.59291 (🟢 35 PIPS) 🛑 SL: 0.59760 (🔴 12 PIPS) ⚖️ RRR: 1:3 ✅ 📍 Confluences: 🔹 FVG Fill – Clean imbalance filled on 1H 🔹 61.8% Fib Level – Perfect alignment with resistance 🔹 H1 Supply Zone – Holding firm with rejection wicks 💰 Risk Mindfully 🔒 low risk, clean setup 🧠 Invalidation: If price closes above 0.59760 on 1H, consider cutting or reevaluating 🔄 ⏰ Best to monitor during NY session for continuation. Malaysian Time 8-10pm. 📛 No chasing. No FOMO. Precision only.
Short
by tradingwith_ryann
NZD/USD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT Hello, Friends! Bearish trend on NZD/USD, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 0.586. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
NZDUSD Short BUYERS' LAST BREATH — THE SWITCH IS IN Pair: NZDUSD Timeframe: 4H (pullback in a Daily downtrend) Bias: Short Setup: SnR retest sell, Potential 5R setups Daily trend is down — this 4H move was just a pullback. I watched the buyers push from support with weak momentum. First sign? Volume dries up, price stalls — buyer exhaustion kicks in. But no real sellers stepped in yet — they waited. That's what made it deadly. Then came the final buyer push. One last attempt to save the move. But instead of strength, it exposed weakness — and the sellers took over. Fast. Clean break, shift in pressure, game flipped. Entry & Risk: Entry: After the failed buyer push and a clean shift in momentum. Stop: Just above the last push (invalidates if price gets back there). Target: Back into the daily move — lower liquidity zones. What I’m Trading Here? Trap logic: Buyers thought they had it — they didn’t. Structure shift: Reclaim confirms control switched. Daily momentum: This is a continuation play — not a reversal. I'm already short
Short
by theeOperator90
NZD/USD "Kiwi" Forex Vault Heist Plan!🌟 Yo, what's good? Salaam! Ciao! Konnichiwa! 🌟 Dear Cash Snatchers & Market Bandits, 🤑💰💸😎 Get ready to raid the NZD/USD "Kiwi" Forex Vault with the slickest 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 Our tech-fueled, fundamental-backed heist plan is locked and loaded for a long-entry score. Stick to the chart’s sneaky blueprint and aim to slip out near the Red Zone—a high-stakes trap where overbought vibes, consolidation, and bearish bandits lurk. 🏆💸 Grab your loot and treat yourself, you sly foxes! 💪🎉 - 📈 Entry Point: The heist’s ON! 🕵️‍♂️ Lay low for the MA pullback at Institutional Buy Zone 1 (0.57700) or Buy Zone 2 (0.56000), then pounce for juicy bullish profits! 🚀 - 🛑 Stop Loss: Yo, ears up! 🗣️ If you’re setting a buy stop order, don’t touch that stop loss ‘til the breakout pops off. 📍 Stash it at the closest swing low on the 4H: Buy Zone 1 SL at 0.56500, Buy Zone 2 SL at 0.54500. Size it to your risk, lot, and multi-order game plan. Mess around, and you’re toast! 🔥 - 🎯 Target: Shoot for 0.62500 or ghost out early with the goods. 💰 - 👀 Scalper Crew: Long-side scalping only! Got deep pockets? Dive in. Tight budget? Roll with swing traders and slap on a trailing SL to shield your stash. 🧲 - 📊 Why It’s Lit: The Kiwi’s bullish run is powered by fundamentals, macro trends, COT reports, quant analysis, market vibes, and intermarket signals. Scope the full scoop from legit sources! 🌍🔗 ⚠️ Heads-Up: News drops can flip the game! 📰 Stay sharp: - Dodge new trades when news hits. - Slap trailing stop-losses on to lock profits and cover your back. 💖 Fuel the heist! 💥 Smash that Boost Button to power up our Thief Trading Style squad. Swipe profits daily like a pro and roll with the slickest crew! 🏆🤝🚀 Catch you on the next big score, bandits! 🤑🐱‍👤😎
Long
by Thief_Trader
NZD/USD Daily AnalysisPrice has printed multiple rejections of the 0.6000 zone over April and May 2025 whilst at the same time finding support at 0.5900. Finally the market has seen a close below 0.5900 after printing a bearish engulfing candle. We may see a pullback and retest of 0.5900 and a further move lower. However if we close above 0.5900 then we have likely to have seen a false break. This is an idea of what may happen. Always trade with a profitable strategy and good risk management.
by FusionMarkets
1
400 pips drop on NZDUSD in the coming weeks ??As the Dollar Index TVC:DXY strengthens, most of the major FX pairs are gearing up for massive drop or have started dropping already. One of these pairs is OANDA:NZDUSD which is about to drop 400 pips in the coming days. OANDA:NZDUSD having formed a Double Top chart pattern, the bullish momentum of the TVC:DXY has caused a break of the neckline of the above mentioned chart pattern. Below are the expected targets for this setup TP1: 0.57 TP2: 0.55 SL: 0.60 Kindly support this analysis to enable it reach to other people, and do comment your thoughts.
Short
by Kene247
Falling towards Fibonacci confluence?NZD/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with hte 161.8% and the 145% Fibonacci extension, slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection, and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.5831 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 161.8% and the 145% Fibonacci extension, slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection Stop loss: 0.5796 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection. Take profit: 0.5893 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
NZDUSD is preparing for a reversal and a fallNZDUSD is in consolidation and preparing to exit it. Ahead is possible breakout of trend support and fall to 0.5757 The reason is as follows: change of fundamentals background (positive signals on tariff war), dollar growth and market reversal. Scenario: break of consolidation support at 0.5885, price consolidation below this level - this will be a signal ready to start distribution, i.e. downward movement. Primary target 0.5 fibo, secondary target 0.7 fibo
Short
by AndeWave
14
Market Analysis: NZD/USD Ready to Climb AgainMarket Analysis: NZD/USD Ready to Climb Again NZD/USD is also rising and could aim for a move above the 0.5945 resistance. Important Takeaways for NZD/USD Analysis Today - NZD/USD is consolidating above the 0.5915 support. - There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 0.5910 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen. NZD/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair also followed AUD/USD. The New Zealand Dollar formed a base above the 0.5900 level and started a decent increase against the US Dollar. The pair climbed above the 0.5980 resistance. It tested the 0.6020 resistance before there was a pullback. The recent low was formed at 0.58704 and the pair is again rising above the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 0.5910. The pair cleared the 0.5915 resistance and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6022 swing high to the 0.5870 low. The NZD/USD chart suggests that the RSI is back above 50 signaling a positive bias. On the upside, the pair is facing resistance near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6022 swing high to the 0.5870 low at 0.5945. The next major resistance is near the 0.5985 level. A clear move above the 0.5985 level might even push the pair toward the 0.6020 level. Any more gains might clear the path for a move toward the 0.6050 resistance zone in the coming days. On the downside, there is a support forming near the 0.5915 zone. If there is a downside break below the 0.5915 support, the pair might slide toward 0.5870. Any more losses could lead NZD/USD in a bearish zone to 0.5810. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
Short trade 4Hr TF overview 🟥 Sellside Trade Log 📉 Pair: NZD/USD 🏷️ Type: Intraday | Tokyo Session AM 🧠 Setup: Descending Channel Breakdown 🆔 Trade ID: #NZDUSD-0512A 📅 Date: Monday, 12th May 2025 🕐 Time: 1:00 AM 🔹 Entry Price: 0.59251 🔹 Profit Target: 0.58484 (-1.28%) 🔹 Stop Loss: 0.59443 (+0.34%) 🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3.99 🔍 Reasoning: Sellside trade executed following a breakdown from a descending channel formation during the Tokyo AM session. Price action respected the upper trendline multiple times before failing to hold mid-channel support. The breakdown confirmed bearish intent with increased momentum and order flow alignment. Target set below the channel’s lower boundary, aiming to capture liquidity resting beneath the structure.
Short
by davidjulien369
Sell at the current zone and aim to buy at 0.55000Trading Journal Entry – Trade Setup: Considering a sell limit order around the 0.59441 level and a potential buy setup near the 0.55000 zone. Rationale: On the higher timeframes (H4/Daily/Weekly), the 0.59441 level aligns with a well-established resistance zone, where price has previously stalled or reversed. This zone also coincides with a prior distribution area, suggesting a likelihood of renewed selling pressure if price retests this level. The market has recently shown signs of a corrective pullback within a broader bearish trend, and 0.59441 appears to be a key level where sellers may re-enter. Conversely, the 0.55000 zone is being monitored as a major long-term support level, with historical significance dating back to previous market cycles. Price has found strong buying interest at this zone in the past, making it a high-probability area for a potential reversal or accumulation phase should price revisit this region.
Short
by SkyLegendary