USDPLN trade ideas
The Polish zloty’s rally has steadiedThe Polish zloty’s rally has steadied thanks to the unexpected rate cut from the Polish central bank thank shocked the forex market. Earlier this week, the pair dropped sharply after the news that the National Bank of Hungary opted to leave its rates unmoved. That news gave hopes that the Polish central bank will relatively follow in the steps of its neighbor especially considering that some critics have already said that the previous rate cuts weren’t actually necessary. And just yesterday, the Polish central bank dropped the bomb which caused the pair to steady yesterday and today. However, judging by the fundamentals that are around the pair, it will continue to descend, but the zloty will have a tougher time thanks to the rate cuts. After all, the US dollar remains significantly weak against most currencies thanks to the improvement in the global financial market. Thanks to the reopening of economies around the world, the safe haven of the buck are faltering.
USDPLN - the near end of the correction?After the zloty's sharp appreciation against the US dollar on 26 May, the market seems to be able to complete the full corrective structure labeled as abc. This is a typical simple correction, where wave c may be equal to wave a. One to one pattern is at 3.99 PLN.
Also in this region the previous tops and the lower limit in the trend channel are located, which could also be treated as a support area.
If this area is defended and the USD/PLN exchange rate remained above 4.00, it could be possible to return of the exchange rate to the upper limit in the trend channel.
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Daniel Kostecki, Chief Analyst Conotoxia Ltd.
Materials, analysis and opinions contained, referenced or provided herein are intended solely for informational and educational purposes. Personal opinion of the author does not represent and should not be constructed as a statement or an investment advice made by Conotoxia Ltd. All indiscriminate reliance on illustrative or informational materials may lead to losses. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
USD/PLN a short move 🦐The market just retrace and hit the 0.382 fib level of the previous downtrend move.
Now looking to break the resistance structure.
According to our entry rules we can look for a nice short position with a first target around 4.075 level.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
USDPLN - Equilibrium 1DHello TV Friends!
When we take a look at the daily chart we can see that we are trading in a equilibrium pattern.,We are setting lower highs and higher lows and the range is getting smaller which eventually leads to a break.
If we don’t break this pattern bullish then we formed a double top and we might retrace.
If we break this pattern bullish and break resistance we normally will see a rally to the next major resistance zone.
Both Targets are on the chart, enjoy!
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USDPLN XABCD Bears 5% dump(NEW)before we kick start the update. your upvotes/subs are appreciated.
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So without further due. Keep it short/simple and to the point.
USDPLN XABCD Bears 5% dump(NEW)
IMPORTANT NOTE: this is speculative setup.
results not guaranteed. do your own due dill. at all times please use a stop loss.
Speculative XABCD setup in USDPLN on H2/H4 chart.
PRZ at 4.2720. 5% dump possible from PRZ.
wait for either of the above to get confirmed
and enter upon reversal in the PRZ.
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$USDPLN mast with flagLooks like $USDPLN is forming flag on top of the mast which might result in another upward movement. If this happens the classical rule is that the flag is half way the mast and this means we might observe another similar extension to PLN4.60 for US$1.
Important note is that if the sideways move continues it is most likely to result in downtrend.
Please use your own research and use SL or hedge.
The zloty is deemed as undervalued in the foreign exchange markeUnfortunately for the Polish zloty, it won’t be heading on the same recovery track along with other currencies in the region. Thanks to the unnecessary rate slash from the Polish central bank, the zloty is deemed as undervalued in the foreign exchange market now. This leaves room for bullish investors to maneuver, pushing the pair higher back towards its resistance. Although the broader weakness of the US dollar is slowing down the pair’s rally. Nevertheless, the pair widely anticipated to reach its resistance once again this month. However, the question of whether the bulls could break through the resistance area remains standing as the greenback also faces several hindrances mainly regarding the increasing number of unemployed citizens. The United States’ private sector reported an employment change of -20.2 million yesterday. A drastic drop thanks to the coronavirus brought lockdowns that ultimately forced companies to cut workers.
USDPLN, H4 - inverted head and shoulders and triangleOn the H4 chart of USDPLN currency pair, we may spot a potential triangle and an inverted head and shoulders pattern. The triangle pattern has been broken to the upside along with the neckline in the H&S pattern.
The textbook target for this pattern seems to be located near the previous high at 4,28 PLN.
The nearest support could be located at broken resistance at 4,19 PLN.
________
Daniel Kostecki, Chief Analyst Conotoxia Ltd.
Materials, analysis and opinions contained, referenced or provided herein are intended solely for informational and educational purposes. Personal opinion of the author does not represent and should not be constructed as a statement or an investment advice made by Conotoxia Ltd. All indiscriminate reliance on illustrative or informational materials may lead to losses. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.