USDRUB_TOM trade ideas
Traditional|USD/RUB|Long and shortLong and short USD/RUB
Activation of the transaction only when the blue zone is fixed/broken.
Working out the support and resistance levels of the consolidation zone.
* Possible closing of a trade before reaching the take/stop zone. The author can close the deal for subjective reasons, this does not completely cancel the idea and is not a call to the same action, you can continue working out the idea according to your data, but without the support of the author.
The "forecast" tool is used for more noticeable display of % (for the place of the usual % scale) of the price change, I do not put the date and time of the transaction, only %.
The breakdown of the upper blue zone - long.
Breakdown of the lower blue zone - short.
Working out the stop when the price returns to the level after activation + fixing in the red zone.
Blue zones - activation zones.
Green zone - take zone.
Red zone - stop zone.
Orange arrows indicate the direction of the take.
Red arrows indicate the direction of the stop.
Priority - The value of the priority parameter implies the author's subjective opinion about the more likely activation zone on this idea, this does not mean that this idea will be 80% activated by this parameter, the purpose of the parameter is to provide for the risk of the inverse of the zone parameter.
Example: "Priority Long: So the author inclines more in the direction of the activation zone open long trades, in this case, when reaching the activation zone in short you should be very careful, because this area may be highly likely to be punched about the breakdown/do not get to take/activate transaction from go to stop."
Please consider this parameter if you use my ideas.
SUM PNL: This parameter displays the total % of all closed ideas of the "new" format (according to the author) for this sector at the time of publication of the idea. The calculation is very "clumsy" just the sum of the profits of all the ideas, based on this indicator, you can more accurately assess the risks when working with my ideas of this sector. I present you the construction of the idea, you can use it yourself as you like based on your subjective view and risks, the calculation of the PNL indicator is carried out only on transactions that the author closed on TV in manual mode or by take.
P.S Please use RM (risk management) and MM (money management) if you decide to use my ideas, there will always be unprofitable ideas, this will definitely happen, the goal of the system is that there will be more profitable ideas at a distance.
USDRUB 4H (temporary uptrend)Same as EURUSD
The current uptrend is the continuation of wave (B) of (ABC), whereby wave B is rather complicated consisting of (wxy). Further on the pair will go down one more time to 73 prior to the major depreciation of the rubble.
So in general, the Russian rubble is not ready to devalue at this time and will start depreciation together with the major correction on all the markets which I presume to start at the end of May-June 2021 and will last till October 2021
USDRUB as I predicted !! see the linkJust give you an update of USDRUB. please see my prediction a couple of days ago that USDRUB made a false breakout of weekly support.
USDRUB has made a false breakout to the important weekly supportUSDRUB has made a false breakout of the weekly support zone and may continue aggressively upwards.
USD/RUB Correlation to DXY/UKOIL Testing USDRUB pair patterns for positive correlation to US_Dollar_Index/Brent_Oil
USDRUB Just bounced from Weekly and Daily supportUSDRUB is likely to rise up to test the trend line before it breaks the weekly and daily support. A buy trade can be a high probability.
Please like the idea and share. Thank you.
USDRUB - POTENTIAL SHORTEntering my 3rd short position on USDRUB. This pair has been bearish for quite some time and we can see the price coming up and retesting 74.400 and strongly rejecting it on the daily time frame. Planning on holding full profits until the price reaches 72.800 where I will secure 50% of profits from all 3 positions running.
Please note, just because I stacked 3 active positions onto this trade, doesn't mean you should do the same.
This is not a trade signal.
US Dollar / Russian Ruble SCHEME V
High oil prices might push USDRUB lower in the short-term.
So the price can head towards blue area, where it will reverse!
Because oil market needs stability in order to make Ruble appreciate significantly against Dollar.
Dollar index has been in downtrend for a year. The following stimulus package will push USD into the lowest but reversal level.
Therefore, It's better to accumulate periodically USDRUB on every drop, because the general direction is always headed upwards.
❗❗❗ Another important scheme for USDRUB levels:
USDRUB: Possible Triangle Formation and Furhter BreakoutsUSDRUB is likely to form a triangle pattern that could break in both directions. As the longer term trend is bullish the longs are more preferable.
USDRUB - Long term view:Greetings dear traders & investors!
To your attention we want introduces our long-terms technical view to Russian ruble.
As you see, Russian currency get a long term uptrend from 2014 and after ABC-move we start 1-5-move to 90. In 2021, when Biden was come a president of United States, we waiting a strong political and economics restrictions from him on Russian economy.
But restrictions is only one part of problems, more important how markets will look on grow up yields of US treasuries. By the way, current oil price is to expensive and looking overbuying and it must some correction here.
We also must look in US stock markets, because current technical view is a bad to, lot of professional funds and banks are sell out their positions to retail traders from Robinhood Markets
and others.
So, we do not want guess, when the moving is start, we just want get you attention to important levels:
Resistance: 76.30-76.90 | 79.20-79.80 | 82.80-83.40
Support: 72.80-73.40 | 70.30-70.90 | 66.90-67.50 | 64.50-65.10
With best regards,
WMCI.
Short for the USD/RUB as the CBR ends the easementJust yesterday The Central Bank of Russia (CBR) left interest rates unchanged announcing that "the easing cycle is over".
(www.fxstreet.com)We can see that the price passed below the midline of the bearish cross of 10&20 MA , so I expect the pair to decline to the support area.
Cycle is down for the dollar against the Russian ruble.Longer term cycle is down as well as the medium term cycle. Medium term trend is down until June - what a coincidence - cycles for silver are UP until about the same period. That's no surprise silver has a correlation with Ruble. Russia is a large miner of all metals, and silver is in the list. When Russia sells their silver on the open market they receive dollars and exchange them for rubles forcing the dollar to go down in value. The higher the price of silver, the more dollars miners receive - the more demand for Russian ruble. This of course is a very simple representation, however it clearly explains the logic of cycles and how they correlate to one another. Downside price target is 65 rubles for one dollar. Stay tuned for a few more updates today.
Please remember futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.
USDRUB 4HUSDRUB looks absolutely similar to indexes (RTS, SNP500). The only difference is that the pair will not go for new significant lows beyond 72
The same picture is happening with 6R1! (Russian Rubble Fu). If needed I will publish the subject chart.
USDRUB. LONG POSITION1. Ascending Triangle (height is 16300)
2. Parallel Channel
The price reached the bottom of the Ascending Triangle which is located in the Parallel Channel. In addition, the price is also near the Parallel Channel bottom.
The first target: The price reaches about a half of the Triangle height
The second target: The price reaches the full height
Stop Loss: The Parallel Channel is broken and the price goes down
USDRUB could drop to RR 66-68 once below 72The RUB is getting stronger amid global weakness of USD (DXY) and rising crude oil.
Below RR 72 the move to the upside could be invalidated.
There is a chance that this drop could extend to the downside to build the large wave Y of WXY flat correction.
We saw such a drop in wave W before.
The minimum target is to hit the start point of wave X at RR 68.
The equal distance with wave W could send the USDRUB even deeper to RR 66.
I added the inverse UKOIL on the left scale.
It shows that RUB accumulated a huge divergence as oil is rising and RUB doesn't catch up with it.
Before last summer the correlation worked amazingly well.
Do you agree with this view? Please share your comments below.
Cheers!
