USDSEK trade ideas
USDSEK LongWe are in a crisis. USD safe haven currency alongside the JPY and the worlds reserve currency. SEK heavily exposed to oil and European economy (which is in an even bigger crisis then the rest of the world).
Price seems to have found a nice support here.
2 Time frame DIVERGENCE analysis USDSEKNOW IS THE TIME TO BE TRADING! Alot of pairs will be making reversal plays, which will make great entries to hop on board & bring in profits for us over the next few weeks. I've marked key areas on the Daily for direction & on the 15 for entry.
Pretty much any SHORT entry over the next few days should see profit. The Daily chart is in an uptrend so price will eventually find a large area of support, allowing price to retest the top. It may even break the top, as price is at an all time high. A 50% pullback to the 8.00000 area is surely possible. However, if a new high is to be made, price will need to hold above the 8.88000 area. I'll be expecting the Daily trend (RED ASCENDING LINE) to be broken before a retest of the high. We saw a very bearish move from the high, signaling that the new all time high is a weak one.
I have Bollinger Bands set at .382. I use the 1HR or 15min chart for entries. When price closes 5 candles in a row above or below the bands, then passes the high of that move, I enter. Ideally, I like to enter long if the bollinger band is above the 300EMA OR short if the opposite is true. Price & the bollinger bands above the 300 & the 300 above the 600 signals power in that direction.
Exit is at the previous breakout area (from the opposite direction) or a higher timeframe resistance or support.
Daily Analysis on USDSEK by ThinkingAntsOkUse this as a guide to develop your view of the chart.
Main items we can see on the Daily Timeframe.
a) The main structure the price is in is an ascending channel.
b) Currently, the price is on the higher trendline of the ascending channel.
c) Remember that Technical Analysis doesn't tell us what is going to happen. Technical Analysis shows us zones in which there is a certain probability that something happens.
d) With the previous item clear, we expect a corrective structure on the current level or a reversal movement. What we want to see is the effectiveness of the cloned channel.
Enjoy your weekend!
The Swedish kronaThe greenback successfully propelled itself against the Swedish krona in the foreign exchange market. The 50-day moving average just recently surpassed the 200-day moving average, signaling a bullish run for traders of the USDSEK pair. The Swedish krona remains on its back foot in the market and has seen great losses yesterday against the US dollar. Measures from the Riksbank that were unveiled to further support the country’s economy failed to shield the Swedish krona against the strengthening US dollar. Some of the plans that were promised include offering more loans to local banks on lighter and more favorable terms. Riksbank also promised to increase its asset purchases. Earlier this week, the members of the monetary policy board of the Swedish central bank had an unscheduled meeting to discuss actions to take to counter the impact of the deadly virus such as reducing its overnight lending rate to local banks.
USDSEK shortTechnicals:
D1 head and shoulders, pinbar
Breakout of uptrend, retracement to Fibonacci ~50%
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USDSEK technicaly based expecting higher bearish trend
ENTRY: 9.56000+-
TP: 9.50000
TP2: 9.45000
TP3: 9.40000
SL: 9.62000
Chart time frame - 1D
Time for reaching TP - 1-2D
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USDSEK idea shortUSDSEK idea short
Pinbar patterns are formed on the monthly and weekly charts.
A month ago I assumed a price reversal at the level fibo 61,8 but the price went a liitle higher to the level fibo 78.6 and turned around
USDSEK hourly 0.618 and demand zone in daily 0.618 spotUSDSEK tried to challenge the all time high spot and failed, and pullback to the 0.618 spot.
Here we got this hourly set-up to long.
This trade is quite alike with the same trade in USDJPY yesterday, it was a nice trade,
so I'm absolutely willing to take another similar trade in this USDSEK.
Let's see how it goes yo!
USD/SEK will continue to move higherThe pair will continue to move higher, sending the pair towards an uptrend channel middle resistance line. Sweden will be among the countries to publish their gross domestic product (GDP) growth today, February 28. Since January 2019, the country’s GDP continue to decline. This resulted to analysts forecasting Sweden’s fourth quarter result to continue declining. During the third quarter, the country had a 0.3% GDP growth, higher than the forecasted 0.2% and 0.2% result prior. However, investors are worried if Sweden can continue beating expectations. Including to the bearish sentiment for the fourth quarter was the slowdown in Germany, the EU’s economic powerhouse. Despite this, manufacturing and consumer confidence in the country remains high. Meanwhile, the US enjoys higher personal spending, further driving the consumption-driven economy. From 1960 to 2013, consumer spending as part of GDP rose from 62% to 71%.
