USDSEK trade ideas
Time for USDSEK to fall soonCould get to 8.45 or maybe even 8.5. However, I think it could even be worth shorting within the next hour and seeing where it goes, seeing if the downside can get any traction. However, again, it might get to 8.45 or 8.5 in my view, so be prepared to take any gains from a short and look to re-enter
USD/SEK 1H Chart: Continues trading in neat patternsThe historical price movement of USD/SEK demonstrates that the pair has a tendency to trade in neat channels. The past three weeks have not been an exception.
This latest junior pattern was formed late in February when the US Dollar reversed from the upper boundary of a medium-term channel circa 8.32 and began edging lower. Even if this short-term pattern fails to confine the rate any for long, it is still expected that the Greenback continues its movement south within the following two weeks until the senior channel is reached in the 8.10/12 area.
Two important support areas is the 55-, 100– and 200-hour SMAs and the weekly PP circa 8.20 and the weekly S1 and the monthly PP at 8.14. A breakout of the latter might set the pair for another decline down to the psychological 8.00 level.
USD/SEK 1H Chart: Two scenarios possibleFollowing a reversal from a seven-month high of 8.52 mid-December, the US Dollar has been moving in a channel down against the Swedish Krona. The upper boundary of this pattern was tested on February 9—a move which was followed by a slight period of depreciation.
It seems that the pair is currently standing at the crossroads of two scenarios. On the bearish side, the pair should breach the 200-hour SMA and edge lower in line with the medium-term channel. A possible target within the following two weeks could be the 2016/2018 low of 7.8221. Technical indicators suggest that this is the more likely scenario.
On the other hand, the pair might fail to sustain its bearish movement in the steep channel down, thus resulting in a soon breakout north. The pair might even respect the three-week ascending channel and breach the 55– and 100-hour SMAs near 8.06. A surge up to the 24.60% Fibo retracement at 8.2053 is expected to follow.
USDSEK 2300PIPS HUNT USDSEK
To open LONG positions for USDSEK , it is required:
In this situation our system indicators to confirm trade entry confirmation for movement to the upside but if the market trend continues to range this signal will become invalid. Market execution for entry, I will confirm signal once the conditions have been met.
Risk Description: Once signal is confirmed we will execute more positions on the position on H1 and 30M charts. Minimum 2350 pips will be up for grab with small risk SL at swing high. Target 5000 pips
Profit expectations: 6-20 day trade length expected before hitting profit target I will post exit strategy when signal receives a exit signal.
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