USDT Dominance Nears Critical Point: Impulse Completion or Final
The movement of CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D starting from December 30th appears to resemble an impulsive wave structure. Currently, the dominance of USDT is at a critical juncture, where:
Scenario 1: The impulsive wave may have already completed, which could lead to a correction phase for BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:ETHUSD and CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS .
Scenario 2: The impulse is still in the process of completing, and we may witness one last push before a correction sets in.
In either scenario, a correction seems imminent in the near future.
USDT.D trade ideas
"USDT Dominance Analysis: Potential Reversal from Key Support"On the 4-hour chart, USDT Dominance recently tested the key support box around 3.73% - 3.75%, which has acted as a strong demand zone in the past. After a bounce from this level, USDT.D has risen by approximately 17% over the past few sessions, signaling a potential shift in market sentiment.
Key Observations:
Support Zone: The 3.73% - 3.75% range continues to serve as a significant level where buyers step in, pushing the dominance higher.
Current Resistance: Watch out for the 4.40% - 4.50% range, as it could act as a short-term resistance zone.
What It Means for the Market:
A rising USDT dominance typically indicates increasing market caution, as traders move funds into stablecoins.
If USDT.D continues upward, we might see further corrections or consolidation in major crypto assets like BTC and ETH.
Conversely, a rejection near resistance could signal a return of bullish momentum in the broader crypto market.
Outlook: Monitor the resistance zone closely for potential reversal signals. A breakout above could indicate continued risk-off behavior, while a rejection may encourage a move back toward the support zone.
USDT Dominance Approaching Key Resistance – A Breakout or RejectA breakout above 4.40% could suggest a bearish shift for altcoins as funds move into stablecoins.
However, rejection at this level may lead to another test of the 4.00% support, which could boost altcoin performance.
Traders should watch for volume confirmation and RSI behavior for clearer direction.
USDT.DOMINANCE CHART UPDATE ;-USDT.DOMINANCE CHART UPDATE!
Descending Channel: Dominance is trading within a well-defined descending channel, indicating a controlled downtrend.
Resistance Zone: It is currently approaching the upper boundary of the channel and a horizontal resistance zone near 4.30%-4.32%. This confluence zone could act as a rejection point.
Potential Downside: Failure to break this resistance zone could lead to a downward move toward the lower boundary of the channel, around 3.80%-3.90%.
Bearish Bias: Dominance remains under bearish pressure as long as it remains within the descending channel.
If there is a breakout above 4.32%, it could temporarily turn the sentiment bullish, indicating a reversal or a temporary halt to upward momentum.
Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments!
DYOR. NFA
Capital Shifts in Crypto: Liquidity, Corrections, and the FutureOn a growing market, each correction serves as a mechanism for capital redistribution. In the cryptocurrency sector, where the market is relatively small, profit-taking on major assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) has a significantly negative impact on less capitalized altcoins.
Analogy with traditional markets
Traditional financial markets follow similar principles. Here, Bitcoin can be compared to gold, while altcoins are akin to stocks or bonds. When positions in gold are closed, the fluctuations are less noticeable due to the market's greater liquidity and volume. However, stocks, with their lower capitalization, show significant volatility, leading to an equivalent increase in potential dollar gains.
Depth and structure of the crypto market
The crypto market still lacks depth, predominantly involving small-scale investment funds by global standards. Competition among expert traders and investors is limited, leading to low profitability or zero gain on bear markets, where professionals trade against each other, for instance, Wintermute traders against GSR traders. In traditional markets, where both professionals and retail investors participate, professionals have an advantage due to more variables.
Liquidity and spread
Both markets allow for earning on the spread, although currently, spreads are relatively small. The redistribution of liquidity, especially during market downturns, is driven by both psychological factors and the technical aspects of position closing, particularly when comparing futures trading with combined spot and futures trading.
Indexation and synthetic assets
The creation of indexes in the crypto sphere could be the next step. There are already examples like Reserve Rights (RSR), where real-world assets are tokenized to create stablecoins. Forming indexes similar to the S&P500 or US100 could combine crypto assets by similar characteristics, increasing liquidity and opening new investment avenues. However, this could lead to issues similar to those in 2007 in traditional markets, where "packages" included high-risk assets.
Conclusion
Implementing such tools might soften the liquidity redistribution effect for retail investors but could complicate things for funds and market makers, reducing their ability to buy assets at reduced prices. The cryptocurrency market is at the stage of mass adoption, and upon completion of this process, new forms of digital money may emerge.
Written by Alexander Kostenich (WIDECHAR),
Horban Brothers.
USDT DOMINANCE NEW UPDATE (4H)By analyzing the chart with the latest data, we observed that after the diametric and upward movements of USDT dominance, this index is now forming a descending triangle.
We are currently in wave d of this triangle.
The green zone is where you should be cautious with your buy/long futures positions.
For wave e of this triangle, it remains to be seen how strong wave e will be. If wave e behaves normally, it should end in the red box, leading to a significant drop in USDT dominance, which could trigger the main altcoin season.
We will follow the market step by step.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
USDT DOMINANCE is still bearish ! (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
According to the previous analysis, the price dropped nicely from the identified supply zone.
In this update, the new supply zone and demand zone have been updated.
The market is expected to continue in a bullish trend.
Let’s see how it unfolds.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
USDT Dominance at Make-or-Break Zone – Watch for Altcoin Moves!The chart shows a clear descending triangle pattern in the USDT dominance (USDT.D), with the dominance steadily declining and forming lower highs along a downward trendline.
This indicates weakening demand for stablecoins, which often correlates with increased risk appetite in the market as investors shift their funds from stablecoins to altcoins.
An additional argument for the alt season.Hi. I'll duplicate someone else's observation that a ‘bad cross’
of EMA 200 and EMA 50 has formed on the weekly chart of
the total dominance of USDT and USDC. And it was back in December.
This is a very good argument for TOTAL3 to start getting its share
of capitalisation in 2025.
Gosh, how many conditions are required. Market, political, sentiment, etc.
what can we find about USDT's dominance?CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
✅ Tether Dominance has also reacted to the 4.40 supply range once again and has broken its short-term uptrend line 👏👏
✅ Currently, with the breakdown of the 4% support, it can move towards the major support of 3.73 again, and with its breakdown, a new downward leg for Tether Dominance will begin 👌
✅ The major supply range for Tether Dominance is currently between 4.40 and 4.60 👍
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always manage your risks and trade responsibly.
👉 Follow me for daily updates,
💬 Comment and like to share your thoughts,
📌 And check the link in my bio for even more resources!
Let’s navigate the markets together—join the journey today! 💹✨
USDT.D + USDC.D GOT RETEST. PREPARE FOR MASSIVE ALTSEASONHi guys,
In this picture you can see USDT.D + USDC.D and I am drawing important support and resistance lines with Elliot Waves. We are now moving from Elliot wave 4 to 5. The last MOVE and after that we will see a HUGE-HUGE correction.
What do I know from the history of crypto bull market?
In previous bull runs, the reactions of altcoins depended heavily on which phase of the Elliott Wave cycle bitcoin was in, so early bitcoin cycles (2013, 2017, 2021).
1st wave (start of uptrend):
Bitcoin dominates the market and altcoins are often flat.
Capital flows mainly into bitcoin.
Wave 3 (strongest bull run):
Bitcoin attracts massive capital and altcoins stagnate or lose market share.
Bitcoin's dominance typically increases.
5th wave (Final push):
Bitcoin peaks and altcoins increasingly benefit, especially smaller coins.
Example 2017: As bitcoin peaked, the altcoin season began (Ethereum, XRP and other major altcoins saw huge gains).
ABC correction:
Bitcoin starts to fall, but altcoins can benefit briefly before the entire market corrects.
FOLLOW AND SHARE!
I can make Video to explain more.
The breakdown in USDT.DThe breakdown in USDT dominance (USDT.D) suggests a potential market sentiment shift favoring altcoins. A declining USDT typically indicates money flowing out of stablecoins like USDT and into riskier assets, including altcoins. With the bearish breakout targeting 3.71%, this could signal increased buying interest in altcoins as investors move capital into the broader crypto market. However, traders should monitor key support levels for confirmation and watch for potential reversals in USD that could impact altcoin momentum.
USDT.D Update. USDT dominance (USDT.D) appears to form a descending triangle or wedge pattern, with two converging trendlines indicating a potential breakdown.
The upper trendline is descending, indicating consecutive lower highs.
The lower trendline is relatively flat, but rising slightly.
USDT.D is approaching the lower trendline, indicating potential support.
The path drawn indicates a potential breakdown below the lower trendline.
Downward continuation is anticipated in the orange zone (3.40%–3.10%).
Resistance: ~4.20%
Support: ~3.90% and orange zone around 3.40%–3.10%
If USDT dominance falls, it usually suggests that traders move capital from stablecoins (USDT) to riskier assets like Bitcoin or altcoins, indicating a potential bullish sentiment in the broader crypto market.
Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments!
DYOR. NFA