USDTBTC trade ideas
BTCUSD 1D | big consolidation
🧠 1. Pattern and Market Structure Identification
✅ Trend and Pattern: Bullish Flag
• Structure: Price forms a descending consolidation pattern (descending channel) after a sharp upward impulse — this is a classic characteristic of a bullish flag.
• Breakout volume occurred from the consolidation zone near the green support area → an early signal that bulls are active.
• However, the price is currently retesting the breakout area and is testing the demand zone again.
📊 2. Volume Analysis
• Volume spikes (purple arrows) occurred at several key points:
• Initial breakout
• Support retest
• High volume during the breakout = valid breakout confirmation.
• Currently, volume is slightly declining = a signal of consolidation and possible accumulation.
📉 3. Support & Resistance Levels
• Strong Support: 96,961 USDT (marked by the blue line and breakout volume).
• Major Resistance: 111,980 USDT (all-time high and projected target from the flag breakout).
• Current Price: 103,272 USDT → sitting between these two key levels.
🎯 4. Potential Price Direction
Bullish Scenario:
• If the 96,961 USDT support holds, price could continue upward → the bullish flag target = projected height of the flagpole.
• Conservative Target: 111,980 USDT (ATH)
• Aggressive Target (if ATH breakout occurs): 115,000+ USDT
Bearish Scenario:
• If price breaks below 96,961 USDT with strong volume, it could invalidate the bullish pattern and drop further to the 92,000 – 90,000 USDT range.
Future market trend predictionIn the short term, the price trend of Bitcoin is full of uncertainties. On the one hand, if the global macroeconomic environment continues to deteriorate, with slower economic growth and increased inflationary pressures, it may prompt more investors to seek safe-haven assets. As an asset with certain safe-haven properties, Bitcoin may attract some capital inflows, providing support for its price. However, if regulatory policies are further tightened in the short term, especially if more stringent restrictive measures are introduced in countries and regions where Bitcoin trading is active, then the price of Bitcoin may face significant downward pressure.
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The market recently managed to close above the Breaker Block!Bitcoin Market Update (Extended & Insightful):
The current update for Bitcoin remains largely the same as the previous one. However, there have been some slight yet significant shifts in the market behavior.
The market recently managed to close above the Breaker Block (BPR), which initially seemed like a bullish signal. But as it approached the overhead supply zone, it faced strong rejection and started to decline again. This shows that sellers are still active at higher levels.
Right now, the market is treating the BPR as an inversion level, meaning it’s testing it as potential support. This level is crucial for determining Bitcoin's next move.
🔍 So, what’s the best approach now?
Patience is key at this point. The ideal strategy is to wait and watch. Let the market clearly break either the upper supply zone (which would confirm bullish momentum) or the lower BPR zone (indicating a bearish trend). Only then can we expect a strong directional move.
Until one of these key levels is decisively broken, Bitcoin is likely to continue consolidating within this range — moving sideways without a clear trend.
🧠 DYOR — Do Your Own Research!
Always analyze before making any trading decisions.
bitcoin is going nutssBitcoin has been pumping in the past few days pretty massively. Why? There are 2 main reasons - the first reason is that Bitcoin has finished a major WXY corrective wave, and the second is that Bitcoin swept liquidity below a triangle (see my previous post for details). That was a very good opportunity to buy/long Bitcoin at that specific level I described in the previous analysis. But let's focus on the present and future!
We always want to find strong levels on the charts so we have a great entry point/take profit target. The next strong level is definitely the 0.618 FIB, which Bitcoin can hit in the very short term. Also, below the 0.618 FIB, we have a strong horizontal zone, which can also act as a strong resistance. Bitcoin should definitely go there and retest this zone.
We want to see how Bitcoin is going to react in the zone and FIB, but you can create a new limit order to short Bitcoin there so you don't miss anything. So currently I am temporarily bullish on Bitcoin, and in the next update I will make a big analysis on Bitcoin and a very likely scenario for the next months. What will the price of Bitcoin be in December? Please like/boost my idea right now.
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
7 days ago
Note
Bitcoin hit my profit target of 0.618 FIB and continues to the upside. It looks like we are going to hit 109,000 USD in the short term, which is a very strong resistance! Middle of the previous big range, so prepare for a bounce here.
BITCOIN: As simple as that!Hello Traders,
First of all, a big thank you to all the members of our community for being part of this journey. With Bitcoin reaching a new all-time high, we are about to witness even more bullish momentum unfold. 🚀
A special shoutout to @TradingView for providing an incredible platform that empowers traders like us to showcase our technical skills, build our identity, and grow from nothing to something.
Now, let’s head to the update:
Since September 2023, BTC has performed exceptionally well. We witnessed a strong rally lasting until March 2024 (around 180 days), followed by a period of consolidation. BTC then made another leg up, hitting the historic $100K mark. After another consolidation phase, we are now seeing the start of a new bullish rally. 📈
Based on current analysis, this rally is expected to reach between $130K and $150K, with the target likely being achieved by early Q3.
So, sit tight, stay focused, and enjoy the ride! 🥂
Best regards,
Dexter
Is BTC in a Wycoff Distribution?BTC has failed to breakout from $110k and hold. I am starting to notice a possible Wycoff distribution pattern on bigger and smaller timeframes. I am a long term bull on BTC so don't meant to sound like a bear but it is starting to show signs of weakness. Anything can happen and the market is always right. Stay safe!
BITCOINThe Federal Reserve is likely to interpret the June 2025 University of Michigan (UoM) consumer sentiment and inflation expectations data as mixed but cautiously encouraging, with implications for monetary policy:
Key Data Points
Consumer Sentiment: 60.5 (vs. 53.5 forecast, prior 52.2) – a sharp rebound to the highest level since mid-2023.
1-Year Inflation Expectations: 5.1% (vs. 6.6% prior) – a significant decline, nearing pre-tariff levels.
Fed Interpretation
Improved Consumer Sentiment:
The jump to 60.5 signals renewed optimism about the economy, likely driven by reduced trade tensions (e.g., tariff pauses) and stable labor markets. This aligns with recent upward revisions to April and May sentiment data.
The Fed will view this as a sign of economic resilience, reducing urgency for near-term rate cuts to stimulate growth.
Sharply Lower Inflation Expectations:
The drop to 5.1% (from 6.6%) aligns with the New York Fed’s May 2025 survey showing declining inflation expectations across all horizons.
This suggests consumers are growing more confident that the Fed’s policies (and tariff adjustments) are curbing price pressures, easing fears of a wage-price spiral.
Policy Implications:
Dovish Tilt Supported: Lower inflation expectations reduce the risk of entrenched price pressures, giving the Fed flexibility to cut rates later in 2025 if growth slows.
No Immediate Cuts Likely: Strong sentiment and a resilient labor market (unemployment at 4.2%) justify maintaining rates at 4.25–4.50% in July.
Focus on Tariff Risks: The Fed will remain cautious about potential inflation rebounds from Trump’s tariffs, which could add 1.5% to prices by late 2025.
Market Reactions
DXY (Dollar Index): Likely to dip modestly as lower inflation expectations boost rate-cut bets, but sentiment-driven growth optimism may limit losses. Key support at 98.00–98.20.
Bonds: 10-year yields may edge lower (toward 4.00%) on reduced inflation fears, though strong sentiment could cap declines.
Equities: Stocks (especially consumer-discretionary sectors) may rally on improved economic outlook.
Conclusion
The Fed will likely view this data as validating its cautious stance: inflation expectations are cooling, but strong sentiment and labor markets argue against premature easing. A September rate cut remains the base case, contingent on continued disinflation and no tariff-driven price spikes. Traders should watch for June CPI (July 11) and Q2 GDP to confirm trends.
#bitcoin #dollar
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #112👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro
Let’s dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indexes. As usual, in this analysis I’ll review the futures triggers for the New York session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, Bitcoin finally broke through the resistance zone it had formed. As you can see, it pushed through this level with strong buying volume and is now moving toward 108777.
🔍 If you entered a position using yesterday’s triggers, I’d be glad to hear about it in the comments. Your feedback gives me great energy.
⭐ Today, I cannot provide a specific trigger because the market has already made its move. If you do not have an open position, it is better to wait for a new market structure and then identify a fresh trigger.
💥 At the moment, I expect Bitcoin’s upward movement to continue toward 108777. Market volume is strongly supporting the trend and is aligned with price action. RSI is also in the overbought zone, indicating strong buyer presence. If RSI stays above 70, the sharp upward movement is likely to continue.
📊 If a market correction occurs, the price could pull back to the zone I marked. In future analyses, I will review triggers for both trend continuation and possible reversals.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Bitcoin dominance formed a higher low above 6449 and has now broken the 6467 resistance, signaling the beginning of a new bullish leg.
⚡️ If this upward move continues, Bitcoin dominance may climb further. However, if a pullback to 6467 happens, altcoins could see a strong upward move as well.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Looking at Total2, this index was supported at 114 yesterday and is now moving toward 117.
📈 If Bitcoin dominance starts to drop, Total2 will likely break above 117 and begin a main bullish trend.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Now for Tether dominance. After forming a lower high below 479, it broke below the 472 support and is now heading toward 464.
✅ In my view, this movement toward 464 is likely to continue, and as that happens, the overall crypto market is expected to keep moving upward.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Markets Crash: Gold Soars, Crypto Dips!Israel’s strikes on Iran shook markets—Bitcoin and stocks tanked, gold soared. What’s next? Let’s unpack the best trading moves for this chaos!
Hey traders, Skeptic here!👋 Yesterday’s Israeli strikes on Iran’s military and nuclear sites, plus high-profile casualties, sent markets into a tailspin. If your positions got stopped out today, don’t sweat it—that’s normal in this mess. Today, I’m breaking down the most likely scenarios for financial markets, especially stocks and crypto, with no FOMO, no hype, just reason. Stick with me to navigate this storm!
📉Right now, markets are screaming risk-off . Stocks like the S&P 500, indices, and crypto like Bitcoin are bleeding as buyers have zero confidence. Everyone’s piling into safe-haven assets like gold, the Japanese yen, and the Swiss franc. Last night’s news triggered sharp drops in Bitcoin and SPX500, while gold’s rallying hard. This is classic flight-to-safety behavior, and it’s why your stops might’ve been hit. Let’s dive into the geopolitical scenarios driving this and then get to the charts.
📍First, the big picture.
Scenario one: Iran retaliates for Israel’s strikes, and we’re stuck in a tit-for-tat escalation for weeks. Markets stay risk-off, stocks and crypto keep sliding, and safe havens like gold thrive.
Scenario two: The US-Iran nuclear talks on Sunday, June 15th, lead to a deal, tensions cool, and markets stabilize. If those talks fail, I’m not optimistic— recent US inflation relief, might’ve pushed the Federal Reserve toward rate cuts to boost markets. Without de-escalation, rate cuts won’t save risky assets, and we’re looking at muted growth for crypto and stocks.
But if a deal happens, markets could rip—Bitcoin might hit $130K short-term and even $170K as the bull run’s ceiling. For now, uncertainty rules, so let’s see what the charts say.
👀 Let’s start with Bitcoin on the daily.
The first major support is $100K-$101K. If we lose that, we’re looking at a 3-4 month time-based correction . I know some of you see Bitcoin’s dip and think it’s a bargain, but hold up—if tensions escalate, breaking $100K-$101K is almost guaranteed. We could slide to $95K (0.382 Fibonacci retracement) or even $86K (0.618 retracement). No buying until Tuesday’s clarity—too risky. Shorting? Also a bad idea. After this sharp drop, where do you put your stop-loss? An 8% stop is the minimum, which trashes your risk-reward ratio. Best move? Sit tight, no positions, and wait for the dust to settle.
📈 Gold’s the star in this risk-off market.
On the 4-hour, as we said in last week’s watchlist, it broke the descending channel’s ceiling at 3333.86 and pulled back. Using our trick of cloning the prior channel and placing it above, it’s reacting perfectly at the new channel’s midline. A break above 3434.35 could push us to the channel ceiling at 3550.13 . Personally, I’d wait for more ranging here before going long—stops are too wide right now for a clean entry. If you caught our 3340 long trigger from the watchlist, you’re sitting pretty— just hold . Gold’s got more upside potential, but if you’re not in, don’t FOMO. Wait for a better setup.
🎯 Our EUR/USD long trigger from last week’s watchlist at 1.14555 was a winner
if you took it, you hit your risk-reward target and likely locked in profits. Nice work! The new long trigger is a break above 1.16142 resistance. No short triggers here, just like gold. With both major and secondary trends screaming uptrend, shorting against the flow is nonsense. I’d wait for key levels to break and confirm a bearish shift before even thinking about shorts. Trade with the trend, always.
📝our plan: Gold longs above 3434.35 target 3550.13; hold 3340 entries or wait for a range. EUR/USD longs above 1.16142, no shorts. Risk max 1% per trade, set alerts, and stay patient—geopolitical chaos means no FOMO moves.
I hope for a day with no wars, where we can focus on what matters—building value and humanity.🤍
That’s today’s breakdown, traders!
If this helped, smash that Boost button and Follow for more no-hype analysis. Drop a comment—what’s your next move? Want a coin or market analyzed? This is Skeptic, stay safe, protect your capital, and see you next time! <3
Signs of manipulation or ‘trapping’ behavior!Bitcoin (BTC) is currently approaching a key support level on the chart. This support zone is an area where price has historically shown a tendency to hold or bounce back upward due to increased buying interest. At this stage, there is a possibility that BTC could initiate a bullish move or a price pump from this level. However, it’s important to be cautious, as the market could also exhibit signs of manipulation or ‘trapping’ behavior.
In such scenarios, what often happens is that before making an actual upward move, the market might perform a ‘fake move’—this means it could temporarily dip below the support level or show some downward pressure to shake out weak hands or trigger stop-losses. This false breakdown creates panic and uncertainty, only for the price to reverse and then begin moving upward shortly afterward.
If the support holds and buyers step in with enough strength, BTC could gain bullish momentum and head toward the upper liquidity areas. These zones typically have a high concentration of pending orders (such as stop-losses or take-profits), which can attract the price like a magnet. This liquidity often sits just above recent highs or resistance levels, and reaching this area could result in further volatility.
However, traders are strongly advised to remain vigilant and not rely solely on assumptions. The crypto market is highly unpredictable, and price action can be deceptive. Always perform your own in-depth analysis, consider various technical and fundamental factors, and manage your risk wisely.
This is not financial advice please Do Your Own Research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
BTC Short-term selling pressure due to war news💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE (June 13)
NOTABLE NEWS ABOUT BTC:
Prices of Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) slipped as rising geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran sparked a wave of risk aversion across crypto markets. As uncertainty deepens, the three largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization are on track to close the week in the red, with current price action signaling the potential for a deeper correction.
Bitcoin bears regain control
After failing to reclaim its all-time high of $111,980 earlier in the week, Bitcoin lost upward momentum and began a steady pullback, slipping below key support at $106,406 on Thursday. As of Friday, BTC continues its downward trajectory, hovering near the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $102,447.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS PERSPECTIVE:
We successfully identified the peak at the 110K resistance level. As predicted, BTC dropped $7,000 following disappointing CPI and PPI reports. Currently, the price has fallen back into a descending channel pattern and is expected to decline further.
Bitcoin’s upward trend is under threat as funding rates become more constrained.
Earlier this week, Bitcoin hovered near its all-time high of $111,980, but market sentiment remained alarmingly cautious—likely due to uncertainty in the macroeconomic environment.
The path of least resistance is gradually shifting downward, especially as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) falls to the midline at 50 from a recent high of 64 on the daily chart. Traders will look for bearish confirmation signals from the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator—signaled when the blue MACD line crosses below the red signal line.
Watch for long positions around the 100K price area, with a target back to 103K. If the price breaks below the 100K support level, we should avoid holding onto a bullish bias.
At this time, whether you’re a newcomer or experienced trader, it’s advisable to spend time practicing and reinforcing technical analysis knowledge. Explore educational posts on the channel to build a stronger foundation and avoid potential losses.
==> This analysis is for reference only. Wishing all investors successful trades!
Bitcoin's Correction Confirmed, 93-97K Next TargetBitcoin's bearish continuation is now confirmed with three consecutive days of bearish action, today being a full red candle.
Good afternoon my fellow trader, how are you feeling today?
Opportunities are endless in this market, and if you trade, you can profit from the bullish as well as the bearish waves. Good entry timing is all that is needed for a successful trade, the right map and mindset.
So the lower high is confirmed and today's action confirms an incoming lower low. The 100K support is very likely to break but this is not written in stone. This is a high probability scenario. We are aiming for a price range of $97,000 - $93,000. But this isn't necessarily the end. Depending on how this level is handled, we will be able to know if prices will go lower or what.
$88,000 is a good level in the case there is strong bearish volume when the above price range is challenged as support. Now it is all a wait and see. Patience is key.
Once the a new support zone settles, we adapt to the market and focus on green. The next step is red. Down we go.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
BTCUSDT – Bearish signs emerge below resistanceAfter a strong bullish run, BTCUSDT is now showing clear signs of weakness near the resistance zone around 109,600–112,000. Price action has formed a cluster of rejection candles at the top, failing to break above this key level – signaling that selling pressure is gaining control.
The current structure suggests a potential trend reversal, especially as the latest bearish candle came with rising volume, confirming selling interest from the supply zone. If the price breaks below the 101,500 support, BTC may continue dropping toward the 93,500–84,500 range – a high-liquidity area on the volume profile.
The previous bullish momentum appears to have lost strength, and this pullback may be confirming a shift after reaching its upper limit. As long as BTC remains below the 112,000 resistance, the bearish bias remains dominant.
Bitcoin Short Setup — Watch for Entry After Liquidity Grab📍 BTC Potential Short Setup — Watching for Liquidity Sweep and Orderflow Shift
I’m monitoring Bitcoin for a potential short opportunity.
📌 If price sweeps the previous week’s high (PWH), I’ll look for a lower time frame orderflow shift to confirm entry.
Additionally, the sweep may coincide with a mitigation of the 4-hour order block.
✅ If these conditions align, I’ll consider an entry from the 106192–106192 zone.
Conditions for entry:
→ Sweep of PWH liquidity
→ Lower time frame orderflow shift after the sweep
→ Possible mitigation of 4H order block
⚠️ No setup without confirmation — I’ll wait for a valid reaction on LTF before entering.
📍 Stay tuned and follow for live updates on this setup.
Bitcoin’s Next Big Move? Watch This Before It Happens!In today’s class, we broke down the next key Bitcoin setups. We analyzed past price action to help predict future moves, and we're patiently waiting for bullish continuation – but we’re also staying cautious of a possible range deviation from Monday’s high.
Stay sharp and be prepared for both scenarios!
Follow to stay on top if the curve.
Uncontrolled Greed: Save Your Portfolio by these strategies Think fear is the only emotion causing big losses? Think again — this time, it’s all about greed .
🤯 That feeling when you don’t close a profitable position because you think it still has room .
📉 Let’s dive into the chart and see how even pro traders fall into the greed trap .
Hello✌
Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material.
🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin:
Bitcoin is currently testing a major monthly trendline alongside a key daily support zone, both aligning with Fibonacci retracement levels.📐 This confluence suggests a potential upside move of at least 9%, with a primary target projected near the $116,000 mark .📈 Market participants should watch this level closely as it may serve as a pivot for mid-term price action.
Now , let's dive into the educational section,
🧠 The Psychology of Greed in Trading
Greed speaks quietly but hits hard. It whispers: “Just a bit more. Let it run.”
But that’s the same voice that turns green into deep red. Markets don’t care about your dreams.
When a small win turns into a big loss — that’s greed in action.
No one knows the top. Trying to predict it out of emotion is how portfolios get wrecked.
Greed often spikes after multiple winning trades — when overconfidence kicks in.
That’s when you need data, not dopamine.
📊 TradingView Tools That Help Tame Greed
TradingView isn’t just a charting platform — if used right, it can be your emotional assistant too.
Start with RSI . When it crosses above 70, it signals overbought zones — prime time for greedy entries.
Volume Profile shows you where the smart money moves. If you see high volume at price peaks, it’s often too late to jump in.
Set up Alerts to get notified when your indicators hit key levels — avoid reacting in real-time chaos.
Use Replay Mode to rewatch old setups and identify where greed affected your past decisions.
Customize Chart Layouts per market type. Having a focused view helps you act based on logic, not emotion.
🛡 Strategies to Defeat Greed
Pre-define your take-profit and stop-loss before you enter. Non-negotiable.
Create a Psych Checklist: “Am I trading based on a missed move? Or a solid signal?”
After every trade, reflect on what drove your decisions — fear, logic, or greed?
Take a trading break after a streak of wins. That’s when greed loves to sneak in.
Withdraw a portion of your profits to reinforce the habit of securing gains.
Practice on demo during volatile days to build emotional discipline.
Never try to win back all losses in one trade — that’s greed’s playground.
If you're sizing up every position just because "the market is hot", pause.
Focus on surviving, not conquering. Long-term traders are calm, not greedy.
✅ Wrap-Up
In crypto's wild swings, greed destroys faster than any technical mistake.
Enter with a plan. Exit with purpose. Greed-based trades usually end with regret.
Emotional control equals long-term survival. Trade smart — not just hungry
📜 Please remember to do your own research before making any investment decisions. Also, don’t forget to check the disclaimer at the bottom of each post for more details.
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