USDTBTC trade ideas
Bitcoin Is Entering Into The New ImpulseHello, Skyrexians!
We hope you remember our previous BINANCE:BTCUSDT analysis where we told you that Bitcoin will not go significantly lower than $77k. Now price is already at $85k and people now can't understand what is happening. We can see a lot of charts where traders are calling for bear market and further deep dive.
On the daily time frame we can see the clear picture. At $110k the previous impulse has been finished. Bearish divergence on the Awesome Oscillator and two red dots on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator were the sign of large correction ABC. Now it has been finished with the confirmation with opposite signals. Moreover, wave C has been finished inside the Fibonacci target area. We are 90% sure now that Bitcoin is going to ATH now and this time it can happen with the altcoins growth.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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Bitcoin I Monthly CLS I Key Level Order Block I Model 1I Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Bitcoin Bottom- i saw many traders using vrvp or vpvr like and claiming BTC will go 10k.
- They just don't know how to use this tool and didn't understand how it works.
- if u don't know how to use a tool, simply don't use it. so less people's will rekt. this is an advanced trading tool.
- The Timeline of those tools are VERY IMPORTANT, they cannot be set up from 2015 or 2013.
What happened when BTC was Bearish :
- Actually when BTC dipped from 30,000$ ish, the columns started in the vrpv darker zone ( Less Demand )
- BTC reached 20,000$ and columns started to grow ( Demand Zone but Fear "Retailers" )
- Then dipped 17,500$ and the columns diminished size ( Good Demand " Smart Money" )
- This is at this point that you can detect a BOTTOM Zone. ( Darker zones + Small Columns )
Then what happened when BTC was Bullish :
- if you watch VRVP when BTC was growing you will notice the inverse.
- The Main demand was around 30,000$.
- BTC Reached 50,000$ and VRVP started to be darker ( More Demand impulse "FOMO" ).
- Then BTC reached 70,000$ ( No Demand ). ( Darker zones + Small Columns )
- i will post an exemple under this post to show a bad use of VRVP/VPVR. please don't use it that way.
Happy Tr4Ding !
$BTC | 1D Macro Resistance ZoneBitcoin is testing a key liquidity area ($94.5K–$95.2K) after a sharp rally from $78K. This blue zone has triggered major rejections before — we may be nearing exhaustion.
🔍 Context & Observations:
— Possible final push + trap above resistance
— MSS level at $89,272 = first target if breakdown starts
— LTF range forming post-impulse
📌 Main scenario (correction):
— Entry: after fakeout & drop below resistance
— Target: $89.2K / $85K
— Invalidation: close 2-3 bars > $95K
📈 Alt scenario (bullish breakout):
— Entry: breakout & hold above $95K
— Target: $101K–$105K
— Invalidation: drop below $94K
⚙️ Triggers to watch:
— SFP or bearish structure on LTF
— Fakeout + low-volume rally
— Reclaim below range
Altcoins remain strong while BTC chops. Patience is key!
BTCUSDT Reaches Critical Volume Zone: Potential Reversal?**Executive Summary:**
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) is currently testing one of the most sensitive areas on its macro volume profile: the 96,000 to 96,500 USDT range. This is a historically significant resistance zone marked by institutional distribution, aligning with a major wall on the VPVR. The current structure suggests a potential buyer exhaustion and opens a highly calculated tactical short opportunity.
---
**Macro Technical Context:**
From the 85,000 USDT base, BTC has rallied with strong institutional confluence:
- Rising Open Interest (new capital, not just a squeeze)
- Sustained positive cumulative delta
- Real volume accompanying all breakouts
The current move has pushed price directly into the most significant volume resistance level since early 2024.
---
**Macroeconomic Backdrop (April 2025):**
Recent global developments add additional layers of complexity:
- The IMF has downgraded global growth forecasts to 2.8% amid aggressive US tariff policies, sparking fears of global economic slowdown.
- Inflation is decelerating slowly, but financial stability risks are increasing, especially in emerging markets with high debt exposure.
- The US economy is under pressure, with reduced 2025 growth projections (1.8%) and potential recession indicators.
Despite this bearish macro backdrop, BTC has acted as a partial hedge, with capital flows possibly seeking alternative stores of value amidst fiat instability.
However, macro headwinds should not be ignored — any surge in risk-off sentiment or liquidity contraction could catalyze aggressive profit-taking.
---
**Area of Interest: 96,200 – 96,600 USDT**
This is a zone where:
- VPVR shows dense prior institutional activity
- Previous breakouts failed
- Potential bull trap setup is likely
---
**Tactical Playbook: Institutional Reactive Short**
**Entry:** Sell Limit at 96,500
**Stop Loss:** 96,950 (above local liquidity)
**TP1:** 94,800 (prior volume cluster)
**TP2:** 93,300 (pre-squeeze area)
**Risk/Reward:** 1:3.2
**Activation Criteria:**
- OI begins to drop within the zone
- Delta turns neutral or negative after failed breakout
- Volume spikes with no follow-through
---
**Retracement Scenarios to Watch**
Even if the short setup plays out, it may not signal trend reversal but rather a healthy retracement within an ongoing bullish structure.
**Expected retracement zones:**
- 94,800 – former breakout zone
- 93,300 – pre-squeeze structure
These areas align with VWAP anchors and previous institutional footprints. If price returns to these zones and OI holds or rises, they offer excellent long re-entry opportunities.
However, if BTC drops below 92k with collapsing OI and negative delta, a larger trend shift may be in play.
---
**Cold Read: Can BTC Retrace Further?**
Yes, and that’s not only possible — it may be technically healthy.
BTC has rallied +13% from 85k to 96k in under 36h. That’s steep. While Open Interest is climbing and delta is still positive, price has now deviated far above both daily and weekly VWAP anchors.
Technically, this creates a reversion risk. If we begin to see exhaustion signals at 96.5k (stalling delta, volume spikes with no follow-through, and flat or declining OI), a pullback becomes not just plausible, but strategic for institutions.
Important: This does *not* invalidate the uptrend. It simply opens room for tactical reloads near 93–94k.
Only if price breaks 92k with clear unwind do we entertain full trend reversal.
---
**Invalidation Triggers:**
- Consolidation above 97,000 with rising OI
- Aggressive delta returns on breakout continuation
---
**Conclusion:**
This setup presents a high-asymmetry counter-trend opportunity, but it requires disciplined execution. Only act with confirmed confluence. If invalidated, the structure supports continuation toward 99,000+.
Traders must also consider macroeconomic pressures that could weigh on risk appetite and crypto liquidity. Meanwhile, pullbacks to key VWAP zones around 93–94k could offer tactical reloads in favor of the prevailing trend.
Stay sharp. The market doesn't care about opinions—only data.
---
**Author:** Pôncio Pacífico
Ex-institutional, now underground.
"Read the flow. Everything else is noise."
---
*Liked the analysis? Drop a comment or follow for real-time tactical updates.*
Update on BTC - Buy everything around 75K ! What happened with FOMC was a clear sign they want to Shakeout retail hard !
Sell here but buy everything at 75K
Buy BTC
Buy ETH
definitely buy DOGE dip
Buy ADA
& lastly Buy DYDX
Sell all your alts at 120K BTC
DCA on BTC until it bottoms and head for 140K
From 140K we might break the trend and move up to 160-180
But you can sell 10% Daily until that happens
Cycle Top would be 169K
Good luck
Bitcoin Bullish for ShortermBitcoin currently trade around $93,911 having broken resitance above $88,000-$89,000 zone. The breakout, supported by strong volume, positions Bitcoin favorably for further gains, although a short-term pullback appears likely.
Technical indicators remain bullish:
Price holds above the 21-EMA and 30-SMA, both beginning to slope upward.
Quarterly VWAP levels at $89,485 and $84,484 provide strong support.
The Volume Profile suggests heavy buyer interest around $84,000–$86,000.
A minor retracement toward $88,000–$89,000 could precede a consolidation phase before Bitcoin targets $96,000 and eventually the psychological $100,000 mark.
Bitcoin remains in a strong position. Tactical patience and disciplined risk management will be key to capitalizing on the next major move.
Microstructure Shift Observed — Scouting LTF Long Reversion PlayThe active short from 95,300.0 remains fully engaged, aligned with the 4H liquidity breakdown thesis, targeting broader downside expansion. This position will play out in full as per the original trade design, independent of lower timeframe fluctuations.
However, emerging microstructure shifts—evidenced by reclaiming the Point of Control (94,500.0)—highlight a potential short-term structural reversal.
Primary Position: Swing short thesis remains intact, allowing full downside potential to unfold.
Secondary Opportunity: Scouting LTF long reversion setups for countertrend engagement, contingent on continued supply failure and structural stabilization above reclaimed pivots.
This approach exemplifies multi-timeframe bias management:
Primary bias (HTF) remains bearish, unchanged.
Secondary bias (LTF) shifts toward opportunistic longs, with conditions monitored in real-time.
Demonstrating conviction in core theses, while maintaining agility to capitalize on evolving microstructure.
BTC Possible HTF HL Creation 3BTC Possible HTF Creation 3
Inversed chart again... (to minimise full breakdown to 48k fear which messes with my analysis).
Price did a MSB which definitely weakens this downtrend (yellow). But what happens now?
-------------------------
Three possibilities:
1
Price gets capped here at outstanding 95k level and goes back to 74k level, breaks through it and goes to 48k. This now definitely is a irrational thought as price messed the downtrend up by doing this MSB. Beforehand this might have been also irrational as the big 70k is a closed structure because of the pump through it (this change in PA + followed up up-move makes this a confirmed closed structure; however this is still speculation: needs more sample). Like, if price just kept on downtrending through the inefficiency, then I could see the mega breakdown to 48k happening but now... no.
2
Price makes a HL instead of going back to 74k level. I don't see this happening as changes in trend usually start with some sort of significant PA at the lows/highs which we IMO didn't get here. I don't think the MSB is enough as the downtrend got initiated with an SFP (strong) and price has yet to deal with the 95k level which IMO is just a really big level if you look at it LTF (though definitely less outstanding as this isn't the last LH anymore. That's the one which now has been broken with the MSB). Just LTF looking at the lowest low it just doesn't make sense to me: nothing significant happened at the lows. The way price went back down and then made a HL instead of an SFP while IMO there was no reason for the HL just doesn't make sense. The 'base' for the higher TF MSB (yellow) is imo weak.
3.
Price SFP's the lowest low 74k level on the 1D (and even better on the 15min). Why SFP? Well, higher TF moves often just start with an SFP. Either SFP or deviation and I don't see a deviation happening as I think the downmove to 74k would just be weak as there's already the MSB. Weak so no stength to get below the level so simple SFP is what you get. This 'pattern' happens often: downtrend ----> sudden MSB but unexpected as insignificant PA at lows, thus unjustified MSB -----> price gets back to lowest low and creates significant PA (SFP) -----> now the real uptrend starts with a justified bottom.
Oct-Dec 2022: SFP within deviation
March 2023: deviation
August 2023: deviation
January 2024: deviation
August 2024: SFP
Market Psychology and ImpressionsHi There,
Right now, BTCUSDT looks like it’s going up, but the price movement isn’t very stable. It could still go higher—but there’s also a chance it might drop. The market is kind of in a tricky area where it’s not clear what will happen next. This is where a Fibonacci tool can be useful to spot areas of interest drawn from a High to Low and take note of 0.618 and 0.5. Never chase the market; only react. Let price come to your area and give you a clear signal in terms of higher lows and lower highs for entry with some confirmation.
This is the kind of situation where people often get caught up in FOMO, jumping in too fast because they’re afraid of missing a big move. But that can lead to getting stuck if the price suddenly moves the other way.
When the market is behaving like this—unpredictable and uncertain—it’s often better to just watch and wait.
Remember: not every move needs to be traded. Sometimes, the best position is no position at all.
Stay sharp and trade smart.
Khiwe.
Are we headed for ATH? My next tradesTuesday Trading Update 🎯
In today’s video, we dive into the higher time frame analysis of Bitcoin. We’re breaking down key live levels and the ongoing price action narrative.
We’ve seen a solid 3-tap Trinity Model play out on the lows, tapping into a 2H demand zone—a move that’s giving us the conviction for a bullish structure break.
Right now, I’m watching for a potential retracement to confirm support before a bullish continuation targeting the $95K zone.
🚀 Follow for more insights and stay ahead of the move!
Is the Market Setting You Up? My BTC Manipulation TheoryEveryone’s hyped about BTC’s run — but is this rally legit, or just another carefully staged trap? Let’s break it down…
BTC, as well as other cryptocurrencies, have been performing well lately — but the big question remains: “Is this manipulation?”
Well, here’s my take.
Whenever a piece of news drops — whether it’s from regulators, governments, or financial figures — it affects crypto prices, positively or negatively. The Trump and Fed saga might be playing a part here, but I believe our collective participation has also fueled the price movement. Now with institutions stepping into our space, there’s a new problem.
Now to business.
On the chart, I’ve outlined key routes and zones from the weekly down to the 4H timeframe to help answer this question.
On the weekly timeframe, BTC fought hard and bounced off an area of imbalance. During this HTF rebalancing, it created a strong sell-side liquidity area on the 4H timeframe. There was also a period of consolidation — which shouldn’t be ignored, because it holds clues to our big question.
After this accumulation phase (which happens on all zones, because time is fractal), BTC took liquidity to the upside — making what I believe is a manipulative move.
Now, on the 4H chart, you’ll notice a sort of rebalance happening. It’ll most likely drop down to the TSE:RE zone I marked, to hit stop-losses set by the bulls, tricking people into thinking we’ve gone bearish — only to trap them again before distribution occurs (you might lose it at this point, lol).
So — we’ve identified potential market manipulation.
If this theory holds, where might distribution take place?
I’ve marked out possible areas, and it’s most likely within the $93k - $99k region.
Why?
These zones hold a significant chunk of pending orders.
BTC hitting $99k will get everyone thinking the bears are finished — perfect for a trap.
NB: Don’t expect this all to happen in a day or a week… lol.
Disclaimer: This isn’t financial advice — just my observation.
Hope it was easy enough to follow.
LEAVE A FOLLOW AND A BOOST!
$btc Bitcoin's falling channel....CRYPTOCAP:BTC Bitcoin has seen an all time high of approximately 110k
Current price: $77700
Bitcoin price action is currently respecting the falling channel as seen. With price currently being supported by the 200EMA in the 75k region
Expecting price action to continue to respect this channel and test resistance levels at 88k and then around 92k (bullish divergence also spotted on 2D timeframe). Reactions which will determine higher prices or further rejection.
if #btc price action breaks down from this falling channel then expects supports at 66k and then 56k to be tested for support!
BTCUSDT ### 1. Heikin Ashi:
- The recent candles are small with no strong lower shadows (short wicks and small bodies) → Indicates weakening buyers.
- No pure bullish candles (full green body with no lower shadow) are visible.
### 2. Regular Candles:
- Formation of a small red candle after the peak of 95,600 → Suggests a retest of resistance and a potential double-top pattern.
- Trading volume has decreased compared to the previous leg (smaller blue volumes) → Weak demand at higher levels.
---
### Is now the time to enter?
**No**, it’s better to wait until one of the following two scenarios becomes clear:
#### **1) Long Entry Signal:**
- Clear breakout above **95,600** (more than one 4H candle closing above resistance).
- **Heikin Ashi confirmation:** At least **2 strong bullish candles** (long body, short lower shadow).
- High buying volume relative to the **10-candle average**.
- **Entry strategy:** After the 4H candle closes above resistance, you can enter long with a stop-loss below **95,600** and an initial target of **98,000–100,000**.
#### **2) Short Entry Signal:**
- Breakdown and **4H candle closing below the purple trendline** (short-term support).
- **Heikin Ashi confirmation:** Appearance of at least **2 consecutive red candles** with short shadows.
- Increase in selling volume (red volume larger than average).
- **Entry strategy:** After the candle closes below the trendline, you can enter short with a stop-loss above the breakdown point and an initial target around **92,000–90,000**.
---
### **Summary:**
- **Do not open any new trades** until either a breakout above **95,600** or a breakdown below the trendline occurs.
- Always place a **tight stop-loss** at the invalidation point.
- Adjust position size based on **risk management**.
By following these principles, you’ll enter trades with **limited risk** and a **higher probability of success**. Good luck!