USDTBTC trade ideas
Watchlist; week 17TVC:DXY
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
CRYPTO:ETHUSD
TVC:USOIL
FX:EURCAD
FX:AUDCHF
FX:GBPJPY
FX:GBPNZD
OANDA:XAGUSD
Weekly wachtlist. Some short term plays on BTC and ETH on the horizon.
EUR/CAD and US/OIL on my daily focus. The rest could need some time to develop.
The biggest goal for me this week is to stick towards these pairs and don't look at different pairs. Stick to the plan at all costs!
Be aware, BTCUSDT likely to retest!!Join our community and start your crypto journey today for:
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Let's analyze BTCUSDT on higher time frame:
Bitcoin experienced a significant 16.86% surge last week, breaking out of an inverse head and shoulder pattern following the US election and Trump's victory. This substantial price increase has boosted Bitcoin's dominance to nearly 60%.
BTCUSDT reached a peak of $81,846 on Binance. However, a potential price correction from $83,000 to $85,000 range is expected, allowing for a healthy retest or sideways consolidation.
As a result of this Bitcoin rally, smart money is likely to flow into alternative cryptocurrencies, particularly meme coins, Layer 1 blockchains, real-world assets, and some large-cap tokens.
Bitcoin is expected to retest two key support levels:
$73,000 to $70,000 zone
$64,000 to $61,000 zone
It is advisable to take profits at opportune moments and consider dollar-cost averaging (DCA) to accumulate positions at favorable prices.
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Happy Trading!!
BTCI am closely monitoring BTC price action and will look at how it manages on the upcoming NYO. As seen on the chart I have market out my points of interest with the blue lines, take it as my potential entry points. I will be updating my views on BTC as soon as possible.
As you can see, I market out liquidity and potential entry points. As always I will monitor PA closely and provide a possible entry setup when I see it possible.
Remember to trade with mind and not with heart!
I always appreciate a follow, keeps me going :) thanks !!!!
Bitcoin May 2025 Forecast The only reason why Bitcoin is not dumping yet is to prevent retail from opening shorts. Retracement is well overdue. Bitcoin still has not made a HL since the bottom on 7 April 2025.
May 2025 will provide such opportunities.
HLs expected in Week 1, Week 2 and by 16 - 17 May at the latest.
From there on all fractals agree on a bull reversal and a rally till at least the end of the month.
BTC post halving scenariobased on previous halvings, expecting price to come down a bit and accumulate before starting the climb up.
Fib trend gives me 2 significant targets for highs: Mid Jan 2025 and mid Jan 2026.
I've mapped out potential fib targets based on standard fib extension targets.
i.e. 2.272 - 2.786.
However saying this, fib extensions from low to halving project different targets for a bullrun.
previous bullruns have reached fib extensions of between 8-9.
I'll add another chart in the comments showing this.
Bitcoin showing mixed signals across timeframesOn the 4-hour timeframe, Bitcoin has broken above the descending trendline 📉 — however, the breakout lacks strong momentum, and no higher high has formed yet.
Therefore, we cannot yet confirm a shift from a bearish to a bullish trend.
According to the Fibonacci retracement tool, price is currently ranging between the 0.236 and 0.382 levels. These two zones could act as key decision points on the lower timeframes.
A confirmed breakout above the 0.382 level ✅ would signal bullish continuation.
A breakdown below the 0.236 level ❌ could lead to a move down toward the $81,200 zone — aligning with the broader trendline support.
On the 15-minute timeframe, price is consolidating and forming a triangle wedge pattern 🔺.
A breakout from this wedge may provide short-term direction toward the key Fibonacci levels mentioned above
BTC/USDT Analysis – Uncertainty is Growing
Hi everyone! This is CryptoRobotics’ trader-analyst with your daily market update.
Yesterday, Bitcoin reached our ~$94,300 zone (abnormal cluster) and almost immediately showed a buying reaction on the 1H timeframe, but the local high wasn’t retested.
Today, Bitcoin dropped more than 2% following the release of the U.S. GDP report, briefly piercing through the mentioned zone before quickly recovering the losses.
At this point, we estimate the chances of breaking out of the current range at 50/50 — uncertainty is growing, and a stronger correction toward the $91,000 area is becoming increasingly likely, either from current levels or after another test of the recent high.
Sell zones:
$97,500–$98,400 (aggressive pushing volume)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy zones:
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (market sell absorption)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume)
$82,700–$81,400 (volume area)
Level at $74,800
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume)
What do you think will come first — a breakout above the high or a correction?
Share your thoughts in the comments — it’ll be interesting to compare perspectives!
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
The Most Watched Flag in The WorldCRYPTO:BTCUSD NASDAQ:IBIT has formed an incredibly tight flag with some receding volume since it's crept over the 200 day moving average. I really love this setup as it gives a fantastic place to both manage risk and also gives incredible upside.
With US stocks under pressure, gold under pressure (extended) and other industries under water I really am considering this trade with incredible size.
Some possibilities:
It could break down and do a small shakeout
It could also just tank :)
But interestingly, the fear and greed index for crypto right now is pretty neutral which makes me think its a perfect storm at least from a risk perseptive.
Lets see how it works out.
BTC ShortTechnical picture:
Oscillator: 4H RVRS-, 1H RD-, 15M+
OrderBook: 1H-, 2H-, 4H0
Large orders: R = 489 BTC (94500), S = 500 (93210), 600 (93000)
Liquidity: 1D/1D Disbalance+
OI: Negative
Funding Rate: Negative
Candles: 15M Engulfing Strong
Formation: Near upside channel R
Elliot Waves: Likely finished w3W5 1H/4H
Negative aspects:
- 15M RVRS+ - was late
- Large orders are pro-Bullish
Bitcoin Repeating 2022 Structure? Same Setup, Same Outcome?Bitcoin’s current market structure is starting to mirror its 2022 setup—right before the big drop.
This chart shows a familiar pattern: a rally, a peak, first drop from the ATH, a bull trap… then the major second leg down.
If history repeats, CRYPTOCAP:BTC could be on the verge of another significant move.
Will it break the cycle this time—or follow the same path again?
📉 What do you think?
Share your take in the comments below.
Please support this idea with a LIKE👍 if you find it useful🥳
Happy Trading💰🥳🤗
BTCUSDT Reaches Critical Volume Zone: Potential Reversal?**Executive Summary:**
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) is currently testing one of the most sensitive areas on its macro volume profile: the 96,000 to 96,500 USDT range. This is a historically significant resistance zone marked by institutional distribution, aligning with a major wall on the VPVR. The current structure suggests a potential buyer exhaustion and opens a highly calculated tactical short opportunity.
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**Macro Technical Context:**
From the 85,000 USDT base, BTC has rallied with strong institutional confluence:
- Rising Open Interest (new capital, not just a squeeze)
- Sustained positive cumulative delta
- Real volume accompanying all breakouts
The current move has pushed price directly into the most significant volume resistance level since early 2024.
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**Macroeconomic Backdrop (April 2025):**
Recent global developments add additional layers of complexity:
- The IMF has downgraded global growth forecasts to 2.8% amid aggressive US tariff policies, sparking fears of global economic slowdown.
- Inflation is decelerating slowly, but financial stability risks are increasing, especially in emerging markets with high debt exposure.
- The US economy is under pressure, with reduced 2025 growth projections (1.8%) and potential recession indicators.
Despite this bearish macro backdrop, BTC has acted as a partial hedge, with capital flows possibly seeking alternative stores of value amidst fiat instability.
However, macro headwinds should not be ignored — any surge in risk-off sentiment or liquidity contraction could catalyze aggressive profit-taking.
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**Area of Interest: 96,200 – 96,600 USDT**
This is a zone where:
- VPVR shows dense prior institutional activity
- Previous breakouts failed
- Potential bull trap setup is likely
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**Tactical Playbook: Institutional Reactive Short**
**Entry:** Sell Limit at 96,500
**Stop Loss:** 96,950 (above local liquidity)
**TP1:** 94,800 (prior volume cluster)
**TP2:** 93,300 (pre-squeeze area)
**Risk/Reward:** 1:3.2
**Activation Criteria:**
- OI begins to drop within the zone
- Delta turns neutral or negative after failed breakout
- Volume spikes with no follow-through
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**Retracement Scenarios to Watch**
Even if the short setup plays out, it may not signal trend reversal but rather a healthy retracement within an ongoing bullish structure.
**Expected retracement zones:**
- 94,800 – former breakout zone
- 93,300 – pre-squeeze structure
These areas align with VWAP anchors and previous institutional footprints. If price returns to these zones and OI holds or rises, they offer excellent long re-entry opportunities.
However, if BTC drops below 92k with collapsing OI and negative delta, a larger trend shift may be in play.
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**Cold Read: Can BTC Retrace Further?**
Yes, and that’s not only possible — it may be technically healthy.
BTC has rallied +13% from 85k to 96k in under 36h. That’s steep. While Open Interest is climbing and delta is still positive, price has now deviated far above both daily and weekly VWAP anchors.
Technically, this creates a reversion risk. If we begin to see exhaustion signals at 96.5k (stalling delta, volume spikes with no follow-through, and flat or declining OI), a pullback becomes not just plausible, but strategic for institutions.
Important: This does *not* invalidate the uptrend. It simply opens room for tactical reloads near 93–94k.
Only if price breaks 92k with clear unwind do we entertain full trend reversal.
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**Invalidation Triggers:**
- Consolidation above 97,000 with rising OI
- Aggressive delta returns on breakout continuation
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**Conclusion:**
This setup presents a high-asymmetry counter-trend opportunity, but it requires disciplined execution. Only act with confirmed confluence. If invalidated, the structure supports continuation toward 99,000+.
Traders must also consider macroeconomic pressures that could weigh on risk appetite and crypto liquidity. Meanwhile, pullbacks to key VWAP zones around 93–94k could offer tactical reloads in favor of the prevailing trend.
Stay sharp. The market doesn't care about opinions—only data.
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**Author:** Pôncio Pacífico
Ex-institutional, now underground.
"Read the flow. Everything else is noise."
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