Trendline Break Retests: The Setup Nobody Talks AboutHello, Traders! 😎
It’s one of crypto's most overlooked yet commonly recurring structures: the trendline break and retest.
You’ve probably seen it without even realizing it. A clean trendline gets broken, price pulls away, and then, quietly, almost politely, comes back to “kiss” the line before taking off again. Or dropping.
That’s the retest. And in the chaotic crypto world, where hype often drowns out structure, this simple behavior deserves more attention.
🔍 First, What Is a Trendline Really?
A crypto trendline connects key highs or lows on a chart, not to predict the future, but to help visualize the mean price trendline: the market's directional bias. In rising markets, we draw support lines connecting higher lows. In falling markets, resistance lines link lower highs.
Learning how to draw trendlines in crypto properly is a skill in itself. Use wicks or closes? Log scale or linear? Everyone has a method, but consistency is key. If you’re unsure, zoom out and let the chart speak first. But once that line is broken, something changes.
🧠 Why Breaks (Alone) Are Not Enough
In theory, a break of the trendline means momentum has shifted. But in practice? Breaks happen all the time in crypto; many are fakeouts or short-lived. That’s where the trendline break and retest come in. It’s the market asking: “Are we done with this trend?”
Retests often create the cleanest entries for trend continuation, not because they guarantee success, but because they offer structure. They provide a technical “moment of truth” when buyers or sellers show their true strength. And if the retest holds? The move that follows tends to be more confident and less noisy.
📐 Trendline Break & Retest: Mapping the Larger Structure
Looking across the full BTC/USDT weekly chart, several major shifts can be framed through the lens of trendline crypto behavior, particularly the classic sequence of break → retest → continuation.
🔻 2021–2022: Macro Breakdown
After the bull run to ~$69K in 2021, Bitcoin started forming a descending series of lower highs, which gave rise to a macro-level downward trendline — a key reference point for many traders at the time.
🔴 Upper Zone: Failed Retest Cluster
The upper horizontal band (~$47K–$52K) highlights a zone where BTC repeatedly attempted to reclaim the broken structure. Each time the price rallied into this region, sellers stepped in, forming local highs and multiple failed retests (marked with red circles). This wasn’t just resistance — it was a battleground where buyers tried to flip the trend… and couldn’t. This behavior often signals a trendline break rejection, where the market tests the underside of prior structure, then resumes the existing trend.
🔴 Lower Zone: Breakdown and Retest That Held
The lower zone (~$28K–$32K) was formerly a strong support area during mid-2021. Once it was broken in early 2022, the price returned to retest from below, failing to reclaim it, confirming it had turned into resistance. This is a textbook example of trendline retest turned supply, and after the failed reclaim, BTC slid further into the ~$16K range.
✂️ Late 2023: The Breakout
In late 2023, BTC finally broke above the descending trendline, confirming a long-term shift in momentum. Importantly, this wasn’t just a clean breakout. The market returned shortly after to retest the broken trendline, around the $42K–46K range, forming a consolidation zone.
🟩 And Then Came the Retest from Above
Let’s fast-forward to early 2024. After months of chop, Bitcoin finally breaks through that upper red zone (the same one that previously acted as resistance and rejection city). But here’s the part many miss:
It didn’t just moon.
It came back.
Look closely at the green zone around ~$46K–$48K, the same area where BTC got rejected multiple times in 2021–2022. And now? Price pulls back, taps that level from above, and holds.
That makes this zone so interesting: 👉 It’s a classic “retest from the other side”, where former resistance becomes support. The market is saying: “This level matters. Let’s make sure it holds before we go further.” It’s a quiet confirmation and a great example of how crypto trendlines and price memory shape behavior, even months or years later.
🪞 It’s Not Just About Lines — It’s About Psychology
Why does this pattern repeat?
Because breakouts are emotional.
They create FOMO. Traders rush in. Then the market pauses, tests your conviction, and shakes out the impatient.
Retests act like a filter.
They flush out the noise — and confirm who’s really in control.
That’s why drawing trendlines in crypto isn’t just about geometry. It’s about crowd behavior. When enough traders see the same line, and price respects it after the break, it becomes a self-fulfilling zone of interest.
🧭 A Word of Caution
This isn’t a secret formula. Not every trendline crypto setup will play out cleanly.
SOME BREAKS NEVER RETEST.
SOME RETESTS FAKE YOU OUT.
AND SOMETIMES, THE LINE YOU DREW ISN’T THE ONE THE MARKET IS ACTUALLY WATCHING.
But if you learn to draw trendlines in crypto clearly, stay patient, and observe the trendline break retest behavior, you’ll begin to see this pattern appear again and again. Quietly. Consistently.
It won’t make the headlines like “BTC Hits 100K,” but it might just tell the story behind that move. This is just one example. In reality, charts are full of these zones. Each one tells a part of the story. And honestly, why not listen?
USDTBTC trade ideas
Bitcoin (BTC): Strong Selloff | Sellers Taking OverBitcoin is bleeding due to the economic news. Escalating tensions between Iran and Israel, with reports of Israel possibly preparing military action against Iran, have triggered a strong selloff on BTC, which might send the price back below the 100K area if buyers do not manage to take back control over the $108K area.
We are in a big tension zones currently so we will be waiting to see how everything escalates. If buyers fail to show dominance anytime this week, we will be switching our view to bearish.
Swallow Academy
BITCOIN → Correction. The hunt for liquidity...BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is recovering after liquidity was captured in the 100K zone. Locally, the technical situation is controversial despite the global bullish trend
Bitcoin is changing its market character (106700) and breaking the bullish structure (103000) during a correction phase. As part of the downward momentum, the movement is testing liquidity below the 100700 support level. As for the liquidation, there are several reasons: the conflict between Trump and Musk, strangely enough, the market reacted with a fall; the liquidation of whales, history repeats itself...
Traders are buying back Bitcoin, but technically the market has a bearish structure. Locally, there is a bearish trend, and a countertrend correction, “liquidity hunting,” is forming.
Ahead lies a fairly important zone of 105900-106700. The initial retest may end in a false breakout, as there may not be enough potential for continued growth (after a strong buyback).
Resistance levels: 105,900, 106,720, 110,400
Support levels: 103000, 101400, 100K
After a correction from 105900, which could target half (0.5) of the trading range, the market may attempt to return to a bullish phase, provided that the bulls keep the price from falling and do not allow it to update local lows. That is, in the short term, I expect a decline from 105900 to 103000, but further, if the price starts to return to 105500-105900, there may be chances for growth to 110K
Best regards, R. Linda!
Bitcoin is ready for next ATH (if 100K hold)As we can see two major daily supports now can pump the price and one is 93K$ support zone and the other which is already started to pump the price is 100K$ support zone and price above these supports means market is still bullish and we can expect more rise and gain like the green arrows on chart to the new ATH.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
Sell Bitcoin and buy Altcoins!🚨 Controversial Take Ahead – Packed With High-Value Insights 🚨
Let’s dive deep.
👨💻 A bit about me:
I’ve been riding the tech wave since the beginning:
Programmed video games in the 80s and 90s
Built VSTi plugins in the early 2000s
Started creating websites when Internet Explorer 1.0 launched
Sold 3D assets when Unity 2.5 (first PC version) dropped
Launched my own blockchain in 2016
Deployed smart contracts on TRON in 2018
I don’t follow trends—I predict them. My instincts are backed by decades of hands-on experience.
Now, here’s what I see coming:
⚠️ 1. Sell Your Bitcoins
Yes, Bitcoin is obsolete. It’s a technology—not a precious metal—and like all tech, it must evolve or die.
Ask yourself:
Do you use a Blackberry today?
Still flying in 1930s planes?
Gaming on an Atari or Commodore 64?
Surfing the web with Lycos or Altavista?
No? Then why are you betting on a 2009 technology?
Most people don’t even understand how Bitcoin works—ask around what SHA256 or RSA means.
Crypto is misunderstood, and that’s dangerous.
Back in 1998, I created the UPL library, which handled data compression & encryption using all major algorithms—Huffman, LZSS, DES, RSA, etc. I’m not just throwing words around—I’ve built this stuff.
Politicians and financial institutions (yes, even Saylor) are 15 years late to Bitcoin. They're missing the truth: BTC’s upgrades failed (Ordinals, Runes, etc). Its value holds due to FOMO from the uninformed, not innovation.
One day, your Bitcoins will be as worthless as mp3.com stock. That’s not opinion—that’s technological reality.
🪙 2. Buy Altcoins
Not every altcoin is a winner—but that’s where the real opportunity is.
Remember:
Nokia and Blackberry ruled before Samsung and Xiaomi.
The next Amazon, Google, or Nvidia already exists—and it's trading for pennies.
When people laugh at altcoins, that’s the time to buy low.
Altcoins like CRYPTOCAP:SOL , CRYPTOCAP:SUI , MIL:UNI could 100x… even 100,000x.
Bitcoin might double—and then crash.
Smart traders buy when everyone else is mocking.
🌍 3. Consequences of the BTC Collapse
This collapse will come at a turning point in global power.
Wall Street and U.S. states are heavily exposed to BTC. If it crashes, the Western financial system could implode—a dot-com-level disaster.
China, on the other hand, is stable, adaptive, and tech-forward.
Crypto without staking, DeFi, NFTs, GameFi, smart contracts? That’s not the future—that’s Bitcoin. Altcoins are the future.
Bookmark this post. Re-read it in 10 years.
You’ll remember I said it first: Innovation is unstoppable.
Enjoy the last Bitcoin pump. Then watch what comes next.
DYOR.
#CryptoRevolution #AltcoinSeason #BitcoinCollapse #Web3Future #BlockchainInnovation #SellBitcoin #BuyAltcoins #CryptoTruth #DeFi #GameFi #SmartContracts #CryptoShift #UnstoppableInnovation
$BTC/USDT MAJOR PUMP? or MAJOR DUMP?BTC, the worlds biggest and fastest growing coin. With a market cap in the Trillions, we are facing a major moment.
Will price dump? or will it pump and go above and beyond.
Lets find out in this analysis!
1. Trend Overview
HTF Bullish:
Price remains above the long-term bullish trendline, showing strong macro support.
Recent price action is consolidating within a major supply zone and liquidity cluster — signaling indecision before a breakout or breakdown.
📈 2. OBV (On-Balance Volume) Analysis
OBV is coiling in a symmetrical triangle, indicating a volume squeeze.
This tightening range typically precedes a major breakout or breakdown, matching the price consolidation near resistance.
🔄 Market Structure
Price has formed a potential top just under the supply/liquidity zone (~$110,000–$112,000).
Swing High is defined just below $112K.
Key structure zones are:
Resistance zone at current levels.
Support zones:
1D FVG ($97K) and Weekly FVG ($87K–$93K)
🟪 Supply & Demand Zones
Supply Zone: $100k - $112k — multiple rejections here indicate this is a key short-term ceiling.
Demand Zone: Deep support between $50-$57K, aligns with trendline and historical value area.
🔵 Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)
1D FVG: $97K area — may act as magnet if price breaks below resistance.
1W FVG: $87K–$93K — stronger structural level to watch.
If both are filled, price may meet the bullish trendline around $90K.
🧠 Liquidity Zones
Above current price: ~$112K is marked as a liquidity grab area — stop hunts may occur before major reversal.
Below: FVG zones could trigger a liquidity sweep downwards before reversal.
🔴 Volume Profile
Strong high-volume node (HVN) around $80K–$97K: acceptance zone, likely to act as magnetic support.
Above $110K is a low-volume node (LVN): if broken cleanly, price may accelerate quickly toward $120K+.
✅ Bullish Scenario
Break above $112K → sweep liquidity → continuation toward $120K–$125K. (Price Discovery)
OBV breakout upwards would confirm.
Hold above FVG 1D if retested = healthy bullish continuation structure.
❌ Bearish Scenario
Rejection at supply → drop to FVG 1D ($97K), then potentially Weekly FVG (~$93K).
If OBV breaks downward, it confirms bearish volume divergence.
Breakdown below trendline could target deeper into demand zone (~$70K+).
📌 Summary
Bias: Neutral-bullish short term, bullish macro (above trendline).
Key Breakout Level: $112K.
Critical Support: $91K–$97K (FVG cluster).
Confirmation: OBV breakout + clean structure break.
Invalidation: Weekly close below long-term trendline and FVG zones.
Bitcoin Analysis | Key Support Retest in Progress📉 Bitcoin Analysis | Key Support Retest in Progress
As shown in the chart, BTC has dropped precisely to the main support zone previously highlighted in our earlier analyses. So far, we haven’t seen a strong bullish reaction, which increases the likelihood of a retest of the major green support area.
🔻 If price breaks below the $104,120 level, the next key support to watch lies between $103,570 – $103,300.
🔼 However, if BTC starts to bounce from this zone, the key resistance levels and upside targets will be:
$104,740
$105,900
$106,800
and potentially $107,900
📌 All these zones have acted as key turning points in the past, so mark them on your chart and trade accordingly.
👉 Follow for more sharp entries, accurate technical zones, and daily trading insights!
BTC/USDT 4H Chart Update –BTC/USDT 4H Chart Update –
After a strong rejection from the $110K+ zone, Bitcoin is now retesting a critical trendline support on the 4-hour chart.
Key Highlights:
Price dropped sharply to $103K, almost tagging the key ascending support zone.
The previous breakout from the descending trendline is now being retested, which is a classic bullish retest pattern.
If bulls defend this region successfully, expect a potential bounce towards $108K–$ 114 K.
However, a clean breakdown below $102K would shift short-term momentum bearish.
Eyes on this zone. High-probability decision area.
Watch for reaction candles and volume spikes to confirm the next move.
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Bitcoin - Will the $100K Level Hold?Since reaching its all-time high (ATH) on May 22nd at an impressive $112,000, Bitcoin (BTC) has entered a corrective phase that has caught the attention of traders and analysts alike. After a strong and relentless move to the upside, such a phase is not uncommon in crypto markets, where rapid rallies are often followed by cooling-off periods. As of now, BTC is trading at around $101,000, marking a decline from its peak but still maintaining a significant portion of its recent gains. This retracement has not only been healthy in terms of price structure but also offers potential opportunities for those closely monitoring key technical levels.
4H FVG
One important aspect of the move leading up to the ATH was the formation of a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG). These imbalances, left behind during aggressive moves in the market, are often revisited and filled as part of a broader effort by price to return to equilibrium. The current FVG spans from approximately $100,500 to $99,800. This range is especially noteworthy, as such gaps tend to act as magnets for price action, creating zones of potential support where buyers may step in to defend the structure. As BTC approaches this region, it's plausible to expect at least a temporary bounce, particularly if market sentiment remains constructive.
Golden Pocket Fibonacci
Adding further weight to this zone is the confluence of the Golden Pocket, the area between the 0.618 and 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels, derived from the latest upward leg. This specific Fibonacci region is widely regarded in technical analysis as a high-probability reversal zone, often attracting significant buying interest. Interestingly, the Golden Pocket aligns almost perfectly with the aforementioned FVG, both residing in the $100,500 to $99,800 range. The overlapping of these two technical indicators strengthens the case for this area to act as a firm support level, or at the very least, a point where the ongoing correction could take a breather.
Conclusion
Taken together, the alignment of the 4H FVG and the Golden Pocket around the $100,000 mark creates a technically compelling scenario. The psychological impact of a round number like $100,000 only adds to its potential as a battleground between buyers and sellers. If this zone holds, it could spark a notable bounce, either a temporary relief rally or potentially the beginning of a renewed leg to the upside, depending on broader market conditions.
Thanks for your support.
- Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis!
- Drop a like and leave a comment!
Support and resistance zone: 104463.74-106133.74
Hello traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
When a new candle is created, you should check if the HA-High indicator is created at the 99705.62 point.
The reason is that the HA-High indicator was created, which means that it has fallen from the high point range.
In other words, it also means that it can fall to around or below the 97705.62 point.
Since the current candle fell to around 99705.62 and then rose, it can rise like this when a new candle is created.
We have several indicators that can determine the high point.
Representative indicators include DOM (60), StochRSI 80, and HA-High.
Therefore, the high point range is 104463.99-104984.57 and 97705.62.
Therefore, in order to turn downward, it is likely to start when it falls below 104463.99-104984.57 and shows resistance, and it can be interpreted that the downtrend is confirmed when it falls below 97705.62.
If we think about it the other way around, if the price stays above 104463.99-104984.57, it will eventually create a new high.
-
When we first study charts, we start to become curious about charts as we learn about price moving averages.
As such, when we look at charts, our understanding of charts changes depending on how well we understand the average value.
However, when we first learn about price moving averages in chart analysis, we start to study all sorts of different analysis techniques as we realize that there are ambiguous parts in conducting transactions.
As a result, chart analysis becomes more and more difficult, and we end up giving up on chart analysis.
If you have studied chart analysis in your own way without giving up on it, you will realize that it will eventually converge to the average.
No matter what indicator or analysis technique you use, you will eventually converge to the average and then diverge.
Therefore, we should try to analyze the chart using the easiest and most convenient method.
The reason is that chart analysis is ultimately just a means to create a trading strategy and has no other meaning.
-
The basic trading strategy on my chart is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator.
The HA-Low and HA-High indicators are indicators created for trading on the Heikin-Ashi chart and ultimately represent the average.
The HA-High indicator is the average value that represents the high point range, and the HA-Low indicator is the average value that represents the low point range.
Therefore, if it is supported and rises near the HA-Low indicator, it is a buying period, and if it is resisted and falls near the HA-High indicator, it is a selling period.
However, since it is an average, if it is supported and rises near the HA-High indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise upward trend, and if it is resisted and falls near the HA-Low indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise downward trend.
Because of this, we need to adopt a split trading method.
-
The auxiliary indicator, StochRSI, is an indicator that moves based on the 50 point.
Therefore, when the StochRSI indicator value is below 50, we need to focus on finding a buying point, and when it is above 50, we need to focus on finding a selling point.
A decisive hint for this is when it enters the overbought or oversold zone.
The auxiliary indicator, OBV, is an indicator that adds up the difference in trading volume according to price.
If you divide the OBV indicator into High Line and Low Line and understand the movement of OBV, you can understand the movement of the price to some extent.
However, since not all indicators follow the price trend exactly, you should not try to judge everything with just one indicator.
If you express the OBV indicator in the form of an oscillator, it will look similar to the MACD oscillator.
As I mentioned earlier, this is because the chart eventually converges to the average value.
Using this characteristic, we combined the OBV indicator with a MACD-type oscillator.
If it is located below 0 based on the 0 point, it means that the selling pressure is high, and if it is located above 0, it means that the buying pressure is high.
No matter what indicator or analysis technique you study, you must have a solid basic understanding of the average value.
If not, no matter how good the indicator or analysis technique you learn, you will not be able to analyze it as you studied and create a trading strategy when you actually trade.
-
(1D chart)
It is highly likely that the uptrend will resume if it rises above the HA-High indicator point of 108316.90.
To do so, it is important to see if it can receive support and rise around 104463.99-106133.74.
If it fails to rise, it will eventually show a downward trend again.
If it meets the HA-High indicator and falls, it is likely to fall until it meets the HA-Low indicator.
Currently, the HA-Low indicator is formed at the 89294.25 point, but as the price falls, the HA-Low indicator is likely to be newly created.
Therefore, we need to check if the HA-Low indicator is newly created when the price falls.
Since the OBV of the auxiliary indicator is located near the Low Line and the OBV oscillator is also located below the 0 point, we can see that the selling pressure is strong.
Therefore, we need to check whether the OBV rises above the High Line when it is supported near 104463.99-106133.74 or whether the OBV oscillator rises above the 0 point.
-
I think that all indicators or analysis techniques are ultimately tools that confirm whether there is support at the support and resistance points or sections drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
Therefore, in order to use indicators or analysis techniques, it depends on how well you understand and draw the support and resistance points or sections according to the arrangement of the candles.
Therefore, you need to first check how reliable the support and resistance points you drew are and practice creating a trading strategy accordingly.
Ultimately, it can be seen that how well the support and resistance points are drawn depends on how well the chart analysis or trading strategy is made.
-
If you look at the 1W chart and the 1D chart, you can see that the important volatility period is around June 22.
The volatility period of the 1W chart is from June 16 to 29.
The volatility period of the 1D chart is from June 10 to 14 and from June 21 to 23.
Therefore, when the HA-High indicator of the 1W chart is generated at the 99705.62 point, it is important to maintain the price above 99705.62 after passing the volatility period of the 1W chart.
Since the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart is formed at 108316.90, we need to see if it can be supported and rise near 108316.90.
In summary, we can see that the important support and resistance range in the volatility period is 99705.62-108316.90.
Among these ranges, it is expected that the wave will start depending on whether the current price is supported in the 104463.99-106133.74 range.
In other words, the 104463.99-106133.74 range corresponds to the middle range of the 99705.62-108316.90 range, the average value.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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BTCUSDT[BITCOIN]: $150,000 On The Way In Making!Hey there everyone!
Bitcoin took a bit of a dip around 105k, but it’s right back at a crucial level now. We’re keeping a close eye on the daily volume and expecting it to soar towards $115,000 before it might take another dip if the buying pressure dries up.
We’ve got three targets in mind, and you can set or look at them however you like based on your own analysis and preferences. The crypto market is going to be buzzing with volume, so keep an eye on the news and stay focused on the fundamentals. In the world of cryptocurrencies, fundamentals are more important than technicals, and it’s a whole different ball game compared to forex or gold.
Good luck with your trading, and please like and comment on this idea to show us your support. We really appreciate your support throughout our journey, and we’re excited to see it grow and continue.
If you’d like us to analyse a specific pair, just let us know!
Cheers,
Team Setupsfx_❤️
BTC ENDED WITH ITS BULL RUN AND NOW IS THE STARTING LINE OF BEARMark my words down as BITCOIN started with its bear RUN!!!
From the view, we can know that bitcoin is unable to break HH recently, and fall sharply align with Nasdaq100, which break through the bull trend from the 4hr view and also daily view. 4% SL and TP 27% pullback bear run is very beneficiary.
When more and more big whale players come in to this game, you have to know who is the banker for now. Binance? Coinbase? Nope. The boss is CME.
BTC 4H – Critical Support Zones Being TestedCRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently retesting its $107.2k support, which has now turned into resistance after a decisive breakdown.
Support Levels to Watch:
- Upper Support Zone: $105k – $104.4k
- Lower Support Zone: $101.4k – $100.7k
Bounce from $104.4k–$105k will be a temporary relief, but it needs strength to reclaim $107.2k.
If the upper zone is not held, the next leg will be towards the lower zone, near $101.4k—$100.7k.
Breakout confirmation only above $110k (previous rejection zone).
The market is showing signs of weakness, especially with increased selling around resistance. Avoid rushing into trades—better setups may come if key zones hold or break.
Tip: Watch for bullish divergences or strong volume at the lower support for potential reversal setups.
BTC Bias Update tug-of-war between key liquidity zones
• Liquidity Magnets:
• Upside: Identified Draw on Liquidity (DOL) at higher levels (e.g., 111,968.0 (4H), 111,340.3 (30m)) and an "Ongoing" BSL 4H at 110,0996.3 present resistance and potential targets for bullish moves.
• Downside: Prominent DOLs (e.g., 105,252.6 (2H), 103,463.9 (30m)) and a critical SSL zone between 100,500.0 - 100,000.0 (4H, 2H, 1H) act as significant downside targets.
Bias Assessment:
• Bearish Bias: 65%
• The immediate price action suggests a likely "Draw on Liquidity" towards the substantial Sellside Liquidity (SSL) zone around $100,000, consistent with recent minor bearish momentum.
• Bullish Bias: 35%
• The bullish case hinges on a potential strong reversal from the confluence of the $100,000 SSL and the powerful Bullish Order Block, which could then target the overhead Buyside Liquidity.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #110👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and major crypto indexes. In this review, as usual, I’ll cover the key futures triggers for the New York session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see in the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin formed a higher low yesterday and has now reached the 105087 resistance. It seems likely that this level will be broken soon.
✨ Currently, a candle has closed above 105087, but price hasn’t yet confirmed a breakout, and the move hasn’t taken off.
📈 For a long position, we can enter once the price confirms a breakout above this level. If 105087 breaks, price could target 106586. The main long position will be opened upon breaking 106586.
🛒 Strong buying volume is a very good trigger for this setup. RSI entering the Overbought zone would also provide a powerful momentum confirmation, and price could rise accordingly.
💥 If the current upward move fails and price falls below the recent low, we can open a short position upon breaking 103899, targeting 101750.
⚡️ The 53.49 level on RSI is critical — its break would serve as a strong confirmation for the short position.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Looking at Bitcoin Dominance, yesterday it once again moved toward 64.67, but failed to break it and is now heading downward after being rejected from that resistance.
🔑 The trigger for bullish continuation remains 64.67, while 64.49 serves as the trigger for a bearish move.
📅 Total2 Analysis
This index formed a higher low at 1.13 yesterday and is now testing the 1.15 resistance. If this level breaks, the price could head toward 1.17 and 1.18.
📊 A break above 1.15 would be a valid long trigger. However, if price is rejected and moves downward, breaking 1.13 could send it back toward 1.1.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
USDT Dominance closed below the 4.79 level yesterday and is now moving toward 4.70. If this continues, the crypto market could see bullish momentum.
🧩 However, if dominance moves back above 4.9, the next bullish leg in USDT.D could begin.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin done and next target - $96,000⚡️ Hello everyone! Bitcoin reached $110,000 and everyone started celebrating. The market also rebounded slightly. But is everything really that great, and what's next for BTC?
Let's take a look:
Bitcoin is now undergoing a correction after reaching the $110,000 level. The rest of the market looks more buoyant than the first cryptocurrency. ETH is already trading at $2,700, pulling many altcoins with it. Apparently, position fixing in Bitcoin and liquidity spillover into altcoins have begun.
➡️ There is practically no liquidity left at the top. At the $110,000 level, only 100 million shorts were liquidated. According to the liquidation map, if the price drops to $100,000 right now, more than $10 billion in longs will be liquidated!
➡️ Two gaps have also formed below us: 102,800 - 96,990 and 93,310 - 88,470. And as we know, in 99% of cases, gaps close sooner or later.
⚙️ Metrics and indicators:
Money Flow - liquidity inflow is still positive overall. However, since May 22, profit-taking has continued and liquidity has been decreasing.
Volume - divergence in volumes. Purchasing power is weakening as prices rise, which means that there is little chance of moving much higher from these levels. There is still a lack of liquidity in the market.
Liquidation Levels - there are two more obvious short stop zones above. But globally, there is now much more liquidity below than above. So if we fail to consolidate above the $108,600 level, the market is likely to go lower.
DSRZ - the nearest strong support level is at 99,800 - 99,900. This is the first zone of potential price reversal back to growth in the event of a correction.
📌 Conclusion:
I continue to say that it is summer now and liquidity in the markets will be decreasing. No matter how good things look now. At the first signs of weakness, positions will be closed instantly. No one wants to spend their vacation days watching the market.
Especially in a market where any news from Trump can cause prices to drop by several percent in the blink of an eye.
⚠️ I see two options:
It will be an exceptional summer. Bitcoin will spend it in the range of 108,000 - 88,000. And in the fall, when everyone expects growth, it will begin to decline. This cycle is already different from others, so I wouldn't be surprised by that.
It will be a standard summer, and by July we will begin a slow and dull correction. To return to growth in the fall.
Write your opinion and have a good week, everyone!