BTC New Update (12H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
We are now within the red circle from the previous analysis, but it seems that wave e of the pattern has extended a bit further.
There’s a clear order block on the chart, and below this order block, there is a liquidity pool. We expect a reaction to the red zone
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
USDTBTC trade ideas
BTCUSDT – Liquidity Clustered, Volume Lying, and a Trap Brewing BTCUSDT – Liquidity Clustered, Volume Lying, and a Trap Brewing (April 21, 2025)
by Pôncio Pacífico – Institutional flow, obscene leverage, zero mercy
📍 Market Context
Bitcoin is trapped in a low-volatility chop range between $84.2K and $85.8K.
Open Interest is rising while price stays flat = someone is building a position… and someone else is about to be slaughtered.
The Asian market is open. So is the manipulation season.
🔎 Key Zones
Visible POC: $85.5K – the battlefield of confused traders.
Key Resistance: $86.3K – liquidation zone for overconfident shorters.
Key Support: $83.8K – emotional refuge of poorly placed longs.
🧠 Institutional Tools (no MACD tourist traps):
Delta: Positive, but not supported by real volume = spoofing or passive absorption.
Open Interest: Rising during consolidation = trap loading.
Bookmap: Hidden sell blocks above = fake breakout incoming.
📉 Trading Plan (2 Scenarios)
Scenario A – Squeeze & Dump (most likely)
→ Quick push to $86.2K–$86.4K to wipe out shorts
→ Hard reversal targeting $84.7K and $83.8K
→ Entry: Short @ $86.200
→ SL: $86.600
→ TP1: $84.700 / TP2: $83.800
Scenario B – Bear Trap with V-Recovery
→ Fake breakdown to $83.800 to liquidate longs
→ Snapback reversal into $85.5K+
→ Entry: Long @ $83.800
→ SL: $83.400
→ TP1: $85.500 / TP2: $86.200
🧾 Conclusion
BTC is about to explode.
Delta and OI scream manipulation.
If you’re trading without heatmaps or order flow, you’re funding a market maker’s new yacht.
This is not a battle between bulls and bears.
It’s between those who read the market... and those who guess it.
Bitcoin: Blood in the Streets – Now is the Time!Once again, there’s blood in the streets—and from this point on I start scaling into spot positions again, slowly but deliberately.
All of these are spot entries with soft stop-losses—not hard exits, but areas I’ll react to if needed.
So why now? For one, we’re sitting right above the 38,2% Fibonacci level for the ending of the wave A. At the same time, we’re about to tap into a daily Fair Value Gap, while trying to hold the range support—two important technical levels lining up on the higher time frame.
Below that, we have an untapped VWAP at $65.5K, which could act as a magnet, as it often does. And yeah—if we go under $62K or even $60K, the classic “time to work at McDonald’s” joke comes back. But seriously: in markets like this, you need to stay calm, have some humor, and most of all, know what’s possible.
So I’m cautiously watching the S&P 500 closely, which plays a big role in this setup for me.
That’s where I stand on BTC right now—careful optimism, grounded in context and reasoning for me.
BTC SCENARIOS - LONG/SHORTThat's what I'm looking at in the near future.
Just some ideas :)
Bitcoin (BTC) – Digital Currency / Decentralised Asset
Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer digital currency designed for secure, transparent, and decentralised transactions without the need for intermediaries. Often referred to as "digital gold," BTC is the first and most widely adopted cryptocurrency, used globally for trading, investing, and storing value. It operates on blockchain technology, ensuring immutable, public ledger verification.
BTCBitcoin’s sudden price surge in April 2025 is driven by several key factors:
Weakening U.S. Dollar and Treasury Speculation
Bitcoin’s recent rally above $87,700 coincides with a weakening U.S. dollar index (DXY) and market speculation about upcoming U.S. Treasury buybacks, which could inject liquidity and reduce dollar strength, making BTC more attractive as an alternative asset.
Volatile Stock Markets and Safe-Haven Demand
Continued volatility and declines in traditional equity markets have pushed investors toward scarce assets like Bitcoin. Its fixed supply and growing recognition as a store of value amid economic uncertainty support its price gains.
Return of Institutional Money
Institutional investors are flowing back into Bitcoin, increasing demand and trading volumes. This renewed institutional interest adds credibility and liquidity to the market, fueling upward momentum.
Positive Technical and On-Chain Indicators
Technical signals such as a bullish MACD crossover and rising RSI indicate strong buying momentum. On-chain data shows increased active addresses and network activity, suggesting heightened investor engagement.
Influential Social Media and Market Sentiment
A notable tweet by Crypto Rover predicting a $100,000 Bitcoin triggered a surge in trading volume (up 17.8% in 24 hours) and a shift in market sentiment from neutral to greedy, further accelerating price gains through speculative trading and momentum strategies.
Macro Stimulus and Global Monetary Policies
Monetary stimulus measures in China and Europe, alongside expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts later in 2025, are increasing liquidity in global markets. This environment favors risk assets like Bitcoin, which is decoupling from traditional markets and benefiting from global stimulus.
Summary
Factor Impact on Bitcoin Price
Weakening U.S. dollar Boosts BTC as alternative asset
Stock market volatility Drives safe-haven demand
Institutional inflows Increases liquidity and market confidence
Technical and on-chain momentum Signals strong buying pressure
Influential social media Sparks rapid speculative buying
Global monetary stimulus Enhances liquidity, supports risk assets
Bitcoin’s current surge reflects a convergence of macroeconomic uncertainty, technical strength, and renewed investor interest, positioning it for potential further gains towards 100k on break of structure
BTC: Inverse Head & Shoulder Breakout (Time to go All-in) BTC Market Outlook (Multi Timeframe Analysis)
First of all, according to the higher timeframes (Weekly & Monthly), BTC is still in a bullish trend.
However, on the Daily timeframe, structure remains bearish — but we’re now seeing multiple bullish confluences building up:
Inverse Head & Shoulders breakout on Daily TF
Bearish Order Block has been broken, turning into a bullish breaker
On the Shorter Timeframe, we’ve got CHoCH (Change of Character) confirmation
Sell-side liquidity (SSL) has already been swept
All of these factors indicate that this could be a strong long opportunity, possibly the "mother of all buy setup.
Oh, and don’t forget to say thank you later. 😉 BYBIT:BTCUSDT
BTCUSD - Short Trade - Back To The Lows To Complete Wave B...Price has been rejected at the 200-period moving average on the daily time frame.
This presents an opportunity to short back toward the recent lows, completing the complex Zig-Zag structure I mentioned earlier.
A strong resistance level remains above at 88,486, with a downside target set at 74,517.
I’ll be posting a video update shortly.
Bitcoin will Breakout Formed A Next Bitcoin zone lets see how the price will react.
Provider Mr Martin Date 21 April Monday 2025
Bitcoin price Running During between resistance zone 88,500 a waiting for solid breakout zone if the price break the near support will be 81,500 this price suggest to take profit long-term keep sellers are in full control.
The price candles will shows selling side until this resistance breakout then price will likely continue moving downside.
your like's and comments' must and also motivating and will be share more analysis to you.
BTC Trade Plan 12/04/2025Dear Traders,
I believe BTC will be Try to retest 88-90 K Area before Another Free Fall,
after 4 Times Hit Top of Descending Channel , i expect price will be break Soon,
Strong Resistance : 88-90 K ,,
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
Bitcoin: Long-Term OutlookClearly, this is more of a schematic scenario, and the probability of it playing out exactly as drawn is extremely low.
The core idea is that I lean toward the view that a medium-term downtrend is unfolding — meaning it’s still developing.
In this context, every local upward impulse should be treated as a potential opportunity to enter short positions.
As long as the price stays below 96,392, we’re likely seeing the formation of distribution zones — from which the market may continue to move lower, aiming to break recent medium-term lows, with the potential to drop below the 70,000 level.
Also, if we look at the current market sentiment, most traders are excited about a new all-time high — and that often means the opposite is more likely, since the crowd tends to be wrong at key moments.
That said, this doesn’t mean shorting at current levels. It’s still essential to wait for clear confirmations to ensure higher-quality entries.
Waiting for a big boost for the market, over 90K BTC💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE (April 16)
First of all, congratulations to the investors. Everything went according to our trading plan and we had very good comments. Specifically, yesterday the price fell from the 86k area straight to 83k. We had more than 3000 prices together. Today's BTC trading plan did not change much.
NOTABLE NEWS ABOUT BTC:
According to Bloomberg, Bitcoin (BTC) mining hardware manufacturer Bitdeer is preparing to launch its own mining operation in the United States (US). The company intends to speed up the shipment of equipment following President Donald Trump's announcement of a 90-day tariff suspension. In addition, the pressure from tariffs has led to a decrease in Bitcoin mining hashrate among miners in the United States over the past month.
TECHNICAL VIEW
Bitcoin has faced multiple rejections around the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $85,000 since Sunday. On Tuesday, BTC attempted to break above this level but was rejected and fell 1.12%. At the time of writing on Wednesday, the price was hovering around $83,500.
If BTC closes above $85,000 on a daily basis, it could extend its rally to the psychologically important $90,000 level. A successful close above this level could extend the rally to test the March 2 high of $95,000.
Please continue to pay attention to the 84.2k resistance zone, this is an important resistance zone before we DCA to higher and more important areas
==> Comments are for reference only. Wish investors successful trading
BTC Current Situation!Hello traders,
Here's a quick update on BTC in the 3-day timeframe:
BTC has rebounded from the lower support level but is currently facing resistance at the 21 MA near $86K. The candle needs to break above this resistance to confirm the continuation of the rebound. Failure to do so may result in a rejection, potentially dragging the price below $80K.
Strategy:
~ Accumulation: $74k to $80k.
~ Short-term Target: $100k.
~ Mid-term Target: $130k.
~ Long-term Target: $150k and above.
Note: Always do your own research analysis before investing.
#BTC successfully broke upward📊#BTC successfully broke upward✔️
🧠From a structural perspective, we successfully broke through the daily resistance zone, and the resistance zone turned into a support zone. The next resistance zone worth our attention is 88000-89700. At present, we have reached the staged resistance zone near 87377. If we can consolidate a short structure from here, then the target area of this structure overlaps with the yellow support area, then it is a long area that is very worthy of our attention.
➡️From a graphical perspective, the price is gradually compressed to form an ascending triangle. At present, it has chosen to break upward, but the appearance of this model means that the bullish trend is about to end, so we still need to be vigilant about the risk of falling back. We need to observe the order of arrival of the yellow support zone and the red resistance zone to participate in different transactions.
⚠️Note that if we directly fall below the inflection point 83903, the bullish expectation will fail, and the daily support zone will turn into a resistance zone. If the price rebounds to this area, then we can look for shorting opportunities.
Let's see👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
This is exactly how the market takes your money?I want to share with you a mindset about why, as a trader, you often face trouble when the market hasn’t yet shown a clear Swing Buy or Swing Sell signal.
When the market is in a good state, meaning it’s showing a clear Uptrend or Downtrend, you’re almost guaranteed to make a profit. However, during such times, your only issue is taking profits too early, scalping prematurely. You then re-enter at a new, higher position than before and continue scalping multiple times within a single Swing trend.
As the Swing trend nears its end, that’s when the market starts to take back the profits you made earlier. The market reclaims the capital it “lent” you and even collects some of your gains as interest. When the market enters a phase of unclear direction or is preparing for a new trend, you carry the Swing mindset from the previous phase into this Scalping phase, expecting the market to deliver the same big profits as before.
This is exactly why your positions are prone to losses and frequently hit Stop Losses, causing you to lose a chunk of your remaining capital.
This is how the market takes money out of your hands. Do you find yourself in this situation?
What to consider when trading...
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This is my personal opinion, so it may differ from yours.
Please keep this in mind.
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So, how should I proceed with day trading?
When trading day trading, the first thing to consider is the trading volume.
Coins (tokens) with low trading volume should be avoided because volatility can occur in an instant, making it difficult to respond quickly and likely to result in losses.
Therefore, if possible, it is recommended to choose coins (tokens) with high trading volume.
The next thing to consider is the price of the coin (token).
If the price of the coin (token) becomes too high or too low, even if you sell it for profit, you may incur a loss.
Therefore, when trading a coin (token) with a very high price, you should trade with a longer time frame.
In other words, the increase should be high.
When trading a coin (token) with a very low price, you need to be persistent.
This is because the amount you want to trade is large, so the rise or fall may be slow.
The next thing to consider is the size of your trading funds.
If your trading funds are too small, you may not be able to enjoy trading because you will earn too little profit compared to the stress of trading.
If you lose the fun of trading like this, you will have difficulty continuing to trade or you will likely leave the investment market, so you need to be careful.
If you set the trading fund size too high, you can suffer a big loss with one mistake, so you must set a stop loss point and keep it.
You can find out how much trading fund size is right for you by looking at your psychological state when you trade.
If you think you are trading too boldly, it is better to think that the trading fund size is small and increase it little by little.
If you feel extremely anxious when you trade and incur a loss, it is better to reduce the trading fund size little by little.
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(BTCUSDT 30m chart)
Considering the above considerations (trading volume, price, trading fund size), you should continuously observe the selected coin (token) chart to check the movement at the support and resistance points.
To do this, you need to check whether there is support at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts when you meet the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, which can be the basis for starting a transaction, or when you have a trading strategy.
Usually, when the Trend Cloud indicator shows an upward trend while receiving support near the HA-Low indicator and rising, there is a high possibility of rising.
Therefore, you should consider whether to buy when the HA-Low indicator shows support.
And, when the HA-High indicator touches and falls, there is a high possibility of falling when the Trend Cloud indicator shows a downward trend.
Therefore, the area near the HA-High indicator corresponds to the first selling section.
In this way, you can conduct transactions within the sideways section trading within the HA-Low ~ HA-High section.
Then, when there is a movement that falls below the HA-Low indicator or rises above the HA-High indicator, you can conduct a transaction according to the trend.
Therefore, split trading is essential.
The basics of split trading are to sell half when you make a profit and set the stop loss at the principal price for the remaining half.
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This is something everyone knows, but it is not easy to follow.
Also, there are times when it is difficult to decide what to use as the standard for trading.
In such cases, as I mentioned, I recommend that you choose a coin (token) considering the trading volume, price, and trading fund size and continuously check the movement of the chart.
Even if you are not familiar with chart analysis, if you continuously look at the chart, there is a possibility that you will see movement.
However, you need prior knowledge on how to set the stop loss point.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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