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USDTBTC trade ideas

BTC's Mid 2025 OutlookBitcoin is currently trading around $107,000 on the 4-hour 4H timeframe, navigating a consolidation phase following a sharp rally that culminated in a new all-time high of $111,900 in May 2025. Despite recent price corrections, BTC remains up 3% on the week, reflecting underlying bullish momentum. This sustained strength hints at continued confidence in the market, particularly among larger players. A notable development supporting this view is the increase in the number of Bitcoin wallets holding at least 10 BTC, which has surged to a three-month high of 152,280. This metric is widely regarded as a proxy for whale activity and may indicate renewed institutional interest, especially amid accelerating inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs. On the 4H chart, Bitcoin appears to be consolidating within a tight range, hovering just beneath a key supply zone at $107,000, which could act as short-term resistance. Several potential outcomes are currently in play: Bullish scenario: A breakout above the $107,000–$108,000 range could clear the path toward the critical resistance at $115,000. A successful move above this threshold would likely signal resumption of the broader uptrend, with some technical analysts eyeing a potential cup and handle formation that could project long-term targets up to \$180,000 Bearish scenario: If BTC fails to hold above the current level, it may correct toward the first major support at $102,800, with further downside risk to $98,500. In a more pessimistic setup, price could extend losses toward $96,000, especially if macroeconomic or geopolitical pressures intensify Key levels to watch: Resistance: $107,000 - $115,000 Support: $102,800 - $98,500 - $96,000 Market Sentiment and External Drivers: Bitcoin's price is being shaped not only by technical dynamics but also by powerful external forces Spot Bitcoin ETFs: The US regulatory greenlight for spot ETFs has dramatically altered market dynamics. With projections of $190 billion in assets under management AUM for these products by the end of 2025, institutional access to BTC has become more streamlined, providing strong tailwinds for long-term accumulation Geopolitical risk and macro conditions: Global uncertainty, particularly due to escalating tensions in the Middle East and potential US military involvement, has introduced volatility. At the same time, rising inflation and economic instability in developed markets is a double-edged sword, either undermining risk assets or conversely boosting Bitcoin’s narrative as digital gold and a hedge against fiat devaluation Forward-Looking Outlook: Bitcoin is at a critical juncture. The ability to sustain above $107,000 and reclaim the $115,000 resistance will be pivotal. A confirmed breakout could open the door to price discovery and possibly a surge toward $130,000 to $150,000, with $180,000 as an extended target in more bullish scenarios However, a failure to hold key support levels could shift momentum toward the bears, prompting a deeper correction toward the $96,000 zone. Traders should monitor: - Price reaction around $107,000 and $115,000 - ETF inflow data and AUM growth - Macro news especially inflation reports and central bank commentary - Developments in global conflict zones impacting risk appetite Conclusion: Bitcoin’s medium-term direction hinges on a delicate interplay of technical consolidation institutional flow and macro geopolitical signals. While the bullish structure remains intact for now a decisive move in either direction above $115,000 or below $98,000 could set the tone for the next major trend.
by MonoCoinSignal
I see that you are in profit, but your voice is not heard.Hello friends... I see that you are in profit, but you are not making any sound. As we mentioned in previous analyses, the upward trend has started, now the scenario ahead must be considered. Like previous analyses, I still consider the area of $134,000 to $137,000 to save profit in this upward trend. After the price of Bitcoin reaches the said area, you can save profit or think about selling Bitcoin. But Bitcoin targets are higher than this desired number, but for some reasons (such as US tariffs and war), we cannot give high targets. In future analyses, I will say what our team thinks is the ceiling of this Bitcoin upward cycle. So follow the page so that you don't miss the analyses.
Long
by Mahdi_norozi
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on BITCOIN? Bitcoin has recently broken above its all-time high and printed a new record high, signaling strong bullish momentum. Currently, the market has entered a consolidation phase, which is typical after such a major breakout. A pullback toward the previous breakout level (the old all-time high) is expected, which now acts as new support. After this consolidation and pullback, the price could resume its bullish trajectory and move toward higher targets, including the upper boundary of the current bullish channel. As long as the price remains above the key support zone, the overall trend remains bullish and any dip could be seen as a buying opportunity within the broader uptrend. Will this consolidation lead to the next leg up, or is a deeper correction ahead? Share your thoughts below! 🤔👇 Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long
by HAMED_AZ
3
More upside for BitcoinHi traders, Last week Bitcoin made a small move down before it shot up again. It looks like this is wave 3 so we could see a small correction down and more upside for this pair. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe and a change in orderflow to bullish to trade longs. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
Long
by EduwaveTrading
BTC: the breakout should be legitAs you can see the breakout had 3 days of rising volume and OBV also broke out so it should bne legit. On daily the upper band of the TMA bands is being tested, probably soon we'll see a retracement, I suppose the former resistance is now the support to test, however if the euphory continues we could see another peak of the price while RSI stays below the "overbought zone". I'd look at opportunities to short although I usually don't trade BTC, I use it mostly as indicator on when to buy alts. Good luck
Short
by Shotokhan
Bitcoin flightpath: great vs good1D timeframe. There are 2 signs that the price of Bitcoin is about to explode: 1. We have broken above the ATH 2. BTC peaks Nov-Dec in historical halving cycles 2013/2017/2021 And there are 2 paths that could play out. 1. Great. BTC has touched an uptrend (white line with 3 x red crosses). A break above this uptrend + a weekly candle close above 110K could result in a parabolic run to the upside with a target estimate of 246K. A bounce off the uptrend could be a good long entry. 2. Good We break below the uptrend represented by the thick white line and said line begin to act as resistance. This would result in a higher high estimated at 125K. A bounce off 95K could be good long entry.
Long
by Strength_in_numbers
Bitcoin: Final Push in the 60-Day Cycle?Bitcoin appears to be making its final move higher within the current 60-day cycle. We could potentially see a push into the $121K–$122K range before a sharp correction takes us down to around $110K–$112K toward the end of the month, driven by the 3-day cycle timing. After that, we’re likely to form a new 60-day cycle low, which could set the stage for a renewed move to the upside. Is it time to go long? At this point, the risk/reward doesn’t look favorable for new longs. Personally, I’m watching for one final push above $120K to consider opening a short position into the expected cycle low.
Short
by TheStrategyMaster
BTCUSDT: Breakout Confirmed, Bulls in ControlThe primary technical feature here is a well-established ascending channel that has been guiding the price higher for several months. The market has respected this structure with remarkable precision, using the lower green bands as a launchpad and the median red line as a dynamic point of interest. The Bullish Breakout: What demands our attention now is the recent price action. After a multi-week consolidation period, where price traded within a range between roughly 100,000 (Down) and 110,000 (Up), we have witnessed a decisive breakout. This is a classic continuation pattern, signaling that the bulls have absorbed the selling pressure and are ready to push for the next leg higher. Key Support: The breakout level, marked as the Key Support Area around 110,000, is now the most critical level to watch. What was once resistance is now the primary floor. As long as the price holds above this zone on a daily closing basis, the immediate outlook remains firmly bullish. Next Target: With this breakout, the path is cleared for a test of the upper boundary of the ascending channel. The recent high near 117,500 is the first hurdle, but a sustained push could see price targeting the 125,000 level and beyond in the coming weeks. The Bearish Invalidation: For this bullish thesis to be invalidated, we would need to see a clear sign of weakness. The first warning shot for the bulls would be a failure to hold the Key Support Area, with the price closing back inside the previous consolidation range below 110,000. A definitive shift in the trend would only occur with a break and close below the primary support of the entire ascending channel. Conclusion: The technical picture for Bitcoin is strong. The recent breakout from a defined range within a larger uptrend is a high-probability bullish signal. The path of least resistance is up. The strategy is to look for continued strength as long as the price remains constructive above the 110,000 support zone. Disclaimer: The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
Long
by ManiMarkets
BTC/USDT – Intraday Reflection & Plan (15m, Ichimoku) by RiscoraYesterday was a fantastic bullish day, but price never reached my planned long entry block — buyers were too strong for a proper retest. At this stage, I believe the bullish impulse has run its course and we’re likely to see a sideways phase, as marked on my chart. I don’t expect new highs from here: the market is overcrowded with longs, and this rally needs to cool off. My base case is that BTC consolidates in this range for a while, with price chopping back and forth to unwind the excess leverage. I’ll be watching for signs of distribution: a rising wedge or a deeper pullback can’t be ruled out, but I’ll wait for clear signals from indicators and market positioning (especially long/short ratios). For now, I plan to range trade this zone, but shorts are very risky — that’s a strong countertrend play. If you must short, use minimal size, because the uptrend is still powerful and I could be wrong. Let’s watch how the structure develops. #BTC #Crypto #Trading #Ichimoku #Riscora
by Riscora
Bitcoin breaks through a new high, aiming at 120,000!Bitcoin breaks through a new high, aiming at 120,000! ——Trend analysis and operation strategy Bitcoin (BTC) finally broke through the shock range and broke through the 120,000 US dollar mark, setting a new record! The current market sentiment is high, and both technical and capital aspects show that bulls have an absolute advantage. Key data observation: Price structure: After breaking through the previous high, 120,000 US dollars became a new psychological barrier. If it can stand firm, the upper space will be further opened. Support confirmation: The 114,000-115,000 range forms a short-term strong support. If the callback is not broken, the trend will continue. Fund flow: Institutional positions are stable, derivatives have not shown excessive leverage, and the healthy rising structure is still there. My opinion: The bull market has no top, but we need to be wary of short-term profit-taking. The trend has not changed, and low-absorption is still the main strategy. 【Operation strategy: Pullback is an opportunity】 1. Short-term layout: Entry range: 114000-115000 (trend support + Fibonacci retracement level) Target: 120000 (expected to accelerate after breakthrough) Risk control: If it falls below 113000, the market structure needs to be re-evaluated 2. Trend holders: Stay stable at 114000 and continue to hold. Observe the breakthrough strength above 120,000. If the volume increases, the target can be higher (such as 125000-130000). 【Risk warning】 Short-term volatility intensifies: A rapid pullback may occur after a new high, so avoid blindly chasing highs. Macro variables: Fed policies and geopolitical situations may still trigger a spike. My conclusion: Pullbacks in a bull market are all better opportunities to get on board. Keep a low-multiple mindset, but strictly control risks.
by Crypto_Sniper_btc