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BTC - Ranges overview (update)Let’s have a look at the current trading range on BTC. As discussed previously we failed to hold the current lows and traded back towards the HTF sellside liquidity (yellow box). We’ve taken the sellside liquidity so we should expect BTC to start trading higher again from here. IF we hold, expect us to trade towards 100K - 110K. IF we fail to hold expect us to trade back towards 90K and below. Will be interesting to see IF we hold the HTF sellside liquidity. Any clean close below current lows and any bullish moment will be cancelled. No need to front run the market. WAIT FOR THE MARKET, LET IT SHOW YOU ITS HAND AND TRADE WITH IT. Stay safe and never risk more than 1-5% of your capital per trade. The following analysis is merely a price action based analysis and does not constitute financial advice in any form.
by Patrick2707
2
Important support and resistance zone: 93576.0-94742.35 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) The key is whether it can receive support near the important support and resistance zone of 93576.0-94742.35 and rise above 97461.86. A short-term uptrend is expected to be possible only if it rises above 97461.86. The support and resistance zones are marked with circles. - (30m chart) The point to watch is which direction it deviates from the 92792.05-97461.86 section and maintains. If it meets the HA-Low indicator and rises, it is highly likely that it will re-determine the trend when it meets the HA-High indicator. This is the same as the BW(0) and BW(100) indicators. If the 5EMA of the 1D chart > M-Signal of the 1D chart changes, it is highly likely that it will show a short-term uptrend. In order to continue the short-term uptrend, it must show support near 97461.86. If not, the 97461.86 area will act as resistance. Since the StochRSI indicator has touched the 100 point, we need to see if it can rise above 94742.35 and receive support. Since the 5EMA and BW(100) indicators of the 1D chart are passing near 94742.35, it confirms that the area around 94742.35 is an important support and resistance area. The 94742.35 point is the HA-High indicator point of the 1W chart. If it goes down, it is important to see if it can be supported by the HA-Low indicator, BW(0) indicator, and 93576.0. The 93576.0 point is the BW(100) indicator point of the 1M chart. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015. That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019. Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. It is up to you how to view and respond to it. Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role. The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci. Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies. 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 -----------------
by readCrypto
4
BTC Monthly chart very bullish BTC Monthly chart very bullish Peoples are highly bearish in this time speculating a breakdown from 90k to 85k or 75 but for me if we breakdown from 90k the bull market will be over at closing below weekly or M\ look at the charts we have HTF Monthly breakout do u expect its easy to break without playing big whales wants you to washout first same they did at 15k and starts parabola moves those who say we are going below un subscribe until u are proven right. just image break of 108k and fly your money i am not financial advise i am presenting my idea when all media is telling you we will see 85 to 75k i am showing you through my charts what we will see DIYOR support my Idea
Long
by MehranSwingTraders
1
BTC12h 14jan update - Patience Amid Volatility This WeekThe recent price action has played out beautifully, taking out last week’s low and last month’s low, only to reclaim firmly the yearly open () & (). Today's update illustrates the ranges I’ve added for better clarity on the current structure, but the original ideas are still in play Monday’s Range (pdL - pdH): This defines our local range, providing immediate levels to monitor. December’s Low/High (pmL - pmH): This establishes our trading range, capturing broader market behavior. Yearly Open (yO): A critical pivot level that has been reclaimed, marking a bullish shift in sentiment. Current Outlook: Dips are still for buying, and even if the price revisits the local supply zone, there’s no need to FOMO. My expectation is for one more shakeout or consolidation before we see a strong move toward new highs. Market Context: This week is packed with significant catalysts, including CPI data, retail sales, and geopolitical events like the inauguration, which could trigger volatility. These events could act as a “sell the news” setup or pave the way for higher volatility—either way, patience will provide much safer entries. Strategy: Even if we don’t see a dump, allowing the dust to settle will offer clearer levels to work with. My hunch is that we’re not done with volatility yet, and the next major move could provide an excellent opportunity for positioning. Hold your levels and let the market show its hand as I still believe that higher targets remain intact once this consolidation completes🍾
by CanIGetARoar
1
Neutral Day, Volume Signal & Higher High GUARANTEED!: Bitcoin11-Jan. closed as a neutral day, no up nor down but there is a very interesting signal coming from this chart. Yesterday's volume was the highest since early November on a daily basis. Similar volume in early November led to an advance from $67,000 toward $108,000. This volume can be read as all sellers being consumed. Say there was much selling but all this selling was bought. Rather than buyers showing up to remove resistance by injecting money into the market, buyers showed up with a support-wall. That is, setting a buy-order at a certain price in order to get the best possible entry. This is huge. This means that somebody, some whales are loading. If whales are loading... We already know what comes next. This signal works as confirmation. With that said, there can still be swings and even lower but the bigger picture is up. Since prices have not been pushed higher, these buyers would welcome lower prices as they are thinking of long-term growth. ➖ ADAUSDT has three days green. ➖ XRPUSDT produced a bullish breakout after a higher low. These are two of the main pairs we are tracking and these moved first on the last bu-wave. The fact that these are bullish now, reveals the rest of the market will do the same. It is all good, even taking short-term swings into account, we are going up next. Notice, the market continues to be sideways and this was predicted many months ago... This pattern is likely to continue for at least another month. It is normal, after a strong advance, consolidation is needed before a new one. As Bitcoin and the bigger projects recharge for the biggest bullish cycle in the history of Crypto, many of the smaller projects will move ahead. These smaller projects will start to grow strong in a matter of days. After this initial breakout, the action will start to switch from one group to the next, just like November 2024. Right now we are in a position similar to September and October 2024, before a massive bullish run. Patience is all that it is required for winning trades and long-term success. Buy and hold; take it easy... Let the market take care of the rest. I will be here signaling the top just as I signaled the bottom. Thanks a lot for your support. To get these updates, make sure to follow. Namaste.
Long
by AlanSantana
7
Overarching structure still intact. Way down we goBitcoin is liquidating positions left and right—don’t be that guy. Stick to the game plan: trade the key levels, and let the market do its thing. Watch them cry. Watch them suffer. We’ve been over this already—the black structure has been in play since we talked about it two weeks ago. Nothing’s changed. The target remains locked in. Idea invalidation? Only if we see a new higher high above the black line, which, let’s be honest, isn’t happening. So sit tight, execute the plan, and I’ll see you all at 85K. Target region is marked out, as always—you know the drill.
Short
by xSamu_TA
Bitcoin (BTC): technical and fundamental analysis. Altseason. The price of Bitcoin has declined following the release of labor market data (JOLTS) and the FOMC meeting minutes, where Fed officials expressed concerns about the impact of Donald Trump's policies on the U.S. economy. BTC's price has once again fallen below the 200 EMA line and is currently retesting the support block at 90,000–91,000, which it has repeatedly bounced off over the past month. If Bitcoin breaks below this level under selling pressure, we anticipate a continued correction into the 4H Imbalance zone, located between the 0.5 and 0.61 Fibonacci levels. In this area, reversal patterns can be sought for building short-term long positions in the 87,000–82,000 range. The likelihood of further decline is indicated by the crossing of the EMA 200 and EMA 50 moving average lines. At the same time, the RSI indicator is already near its lower limits, offering hope for a quick end to the correction if the support levels of 87,000 and 80,000 hold against the sellers' pressure. For Bitcoin to resume its upward trend, it needs to break above the dynamic resistance of the 200 EMA and hold above the psychological level of 100,000. In that case, we would expect further growth with a retest of the resistance block at 108,000–110,000 and a potential update of the all-time high. 📉 Bitcoin market global analysis. When does the altseason start? On the daily logarithmic chart, the RSI indicator has crossed below the midline, suggesting a continued correction is likely. During Bitcoin’s rapid growth in November 2024, an Imbalance 1D zone formed in the 77,000–85,000 range, characterized by significant gaps at horizontal trading volume levels that need to be filled through consolidations. After the correction is complete, the next target for Bitcoin's price growth could be the global trendline, drawn based on the two peaks of the previous growth cycle. This line may be tested around the 120,000 level, as confirmed by the analysis of large order blocks in exchange order books. Meanwhile, the crypto market is gearing up for the much-anticipated altseason—a period when altcoins outperform Bitcoin in returns. Altseason typically follows Bitcoin's new all-time high and its consolidation within that range, as investors reinvest profits into other coins to maximize gains. However, the upcoming altseason will likely differ from previous ones due to the influx of institutional funds via Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs and the tightening regulation of crypto assets. Historically, in 2017 and 2021, the start of altseason coincided with a decline in Bitcoin's market dominance. A drop in Bitcoin's share of total market capitalization below 50% could signal the beginning of altseason. Additionally, altseason often aligns with moments when Bitcoin reaches the upper boundary of the Bollinger Bands on the weekly chart. 💠 Analysis of liquidity zones and levels The Fear and Greed Index remains in the Greed Zone - 69. The total cryptocurrency market capitalization has fallen to $3.19 billion, while the Bitcoin Dominance Index has risen to 57.94. According to the analysis of the accumulation of large order blocks in the order books, the supply and demand zones are located at the following levels: 🟢 Demand Zone: 80,000 - 91,000 🔴 Supply Zone: 105,000 - 120,000 Levels for long positions: 90,000 - psychological support level 87,000 - 88,000 - large support block 80,000 - large support block Levels for short positions: 105,000 - largest resistance block 110,000 - largest resistance block 120,000 - ascending trend line of resistance 📊 Fundamental analysis At the December meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) discussed various topics, ranging from inflation risks to the anticipated slowdown in rate cuts. Fed officials expressed concerns that Trump’s proposed trade and immigration policies could intensify inflationary pressures. Meanwhile, fresh U.S. labor market data may push the Fed to abandon further rate reductions. The cryptocurrency market reacted sharply, with significant price declines. At the same time, financial analysts predict that the current bull market could become the longest in the history of the cryptocurrency industry. Investor optimism regarding a continued crypto rally surged after Bitcoin reclaimed levels above $100,000, following news that the largest BTC investor among public companies, MicroStrategy, resumed its coin purchases. The company acquired 1,070 Bitcoins for $101 million, bringing its total holdings to 447,470 BTC. Experts believe the cryptocurrency market’s peak will occur in mid-2025, followed by a steep decline. Net liquidity of $57 billion, expected to flow into the market in the first quarter, may temporarily support the bull market. However, economic pressures are likely to trigger a correction. These projections are based on an analysis of market liquidity and the impact of political events, as U.S. dollar liquidity remains a critical factor in crypto market dynamics. Changes in Fed policy and U.S. Treasury operations could lead to significant volatility. 🌐 Upcoming Events in the Global Economy We expect increased volatility in both stock and cryptocurrency markets on the following dates: ➤ 01/15, 16:30 - U.S. Core Consumer Price Index (CPI). ➤ 01/16, 16:30 - U.S. Initial Jobless Claims. ➤ 01/29, 22:00 - New Fed Interest Rate Decision. ➤ 03/19, 22:00 - New Fed Interest Rate Decision. 📈 Statistics of signals from our AI trading indicator : In December 2024, the price of Bitcoin updated its historical maximum, then a correction began. Our trading indicator, as always, warned about this in advance! And even during the flat period it gave good entry points. Thanks to the latest updates, all signals have become profitable, and built-in Anti-Flat System prevented losses from manipulative market movements. 😎 Total price movement by all signals: + 45.09% Maximum price movement: + 11.17% Average price movement: + 5.01% In addition, I would like to share the forecast of the latest Bitcoin price action by our AI, which not only indicates the direction, but also builds the trajectory of further price movement:
by TradeINEX
BTC Update - Make or break time!! So on the daily BTC has been respecting both the left ascending parallel price channel as well as the current descending parallel channel. As we can see its maxing out its normal bullish range. So unless we get a clear breakout above the VAL which is at $102K the price will drop back to $92,027 range to fill the bullish gap. It cannot keep retesting the top channel line and failing. All eyes on BTC on 5 minute charts You might want to take profits off the table. NFA
by GoldenRule365
Bitcoin Inches Closer to Breaking Point: What’s Next?Bitcoin Faces a Decisive Moment: Will It Break Through? Bitcoin is trading at 96,829.3, marking a 10.7% drop from its all-time high of 108,421.6, achieved just 29 days ago. Market indicators paint a mixed picture: RSI14 at 60.2 signals an approach to overbought territory, while MFI remains steady at 54.8, hinting at moderate market momentum. Adding to the tension, a VSA Sell Pattern 2 has emerged, suggesting a potential short-term pullback. The critical levels to watch are 94,568 as support and 100,606 as resistance—key points that could determine the direction of Bitcoin’s next major move. Will the bulls regain control and push Bitcoin beyond its resistance, or will the bears drive a correction toward the lower support levels? The stakes are high, and today could set the stage for weeks to come. Are you ready to navigate this pivotal moment? Bitcoin Pattern Roadmap: Key Moves and What They Mean Understanding Bitcoin’s recent price movements through the lens of patterns provides traders with valuable insights into the market's rhythm. Below is a detailed roadmap based on the sequential analysis of VSA and volume-based patterns. Only the patterns that correctly confirmed their trigger points and main directions are included to give you a focused view of the market’s true behavior. January 13, 2025 – VSA Sell Pattern 2 : This sell pattern emerged with a main direction of downward pressure, starting from an open of 97,150.0 and closing at 96,655.5. The next price action confirmed the bearish sentiment as the market continued to dip, validating this signal. January 13, 2025 – Increased Buy Volumes : Just hours later, buy volumes spiked, signaling potential recovery. The open at 91,080.9 led to a close of 91,784.8, and this bullish momentum carried through the following session, reinforcing confidence in this pattern’s accuracy. January 13, 2025 – Sell Volumes Takeover : Although the main direction suggested bullish activity, this pattern didn’t fully validate, as subsequent candles demonstrated indecision. This indicates it might have been a false signal. January 12, 2025 – VSA Buy Pattern 1 : This key pattern predicted upward momentum with an open at 93,862.8 and a close at 93,973.9. Its main direction played out as expected, with prices climbing steadily in subsequent bars, cementing its effectiveness. January 11, 2025 – VSA Buy Pattern 3 : Marking another bullish signal, this pattern triggered upward movement from 94,024.2 to 94,323.5. The continuation of this trend confirmed it as a reliable forecast for the short term. What Does This Mean for Traders? Each pattern, when validated by subsequent price action, adds to the roadmap of Bitcoin’s trajectory. The market’s consistent respect for key support and resistance levels underscores the reliability of technical patterns. Use this roadmap to position yourself strategically, keeping an eye on similar setups to anticipate the next big move. Are you ready to align with the market’s flow? Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels When it comes to Bitcoin, traders know the game revolves around critical support and resistance zones. These levels act as battle lines between bulls and bears, determining the market’s next big move. Let’s break them down: Support Levels: 94,568 – A short-term safety net; losing this could bring the price closer to bearish territory. Resistance Levels: 100,606 – The immediate hurdle for bulls; cracking this will likely spark another rally. 106,064.7 – A critical zone, closely tied to Bitcoin’s previous highs. Powerful Support Levels: 76,701.7 – A major fallback point for long-term bulls; losing this would signal deeper corrections. 67,838.7 – A heavy-duty level that has historically held strong. 60,295.6 – The last line of defense before bears fully take over. Powerful Resistance Levels: 47,122.4 – A significant cap that has consistently rejected upward momentum in prior moves. 28,696.9 – The line in the sand for lower-range movements. What Happens If Levels Break? In trading, it’s all about respecting the levels. If these supports don’t hold, you can bet they’ll flip to resistance zones, making it harder for bulls to reclaim lost ground. Conversely, breaking through resistance means these levels often become strong floors, giving momentum traders something solid to lean on. Always keep an eye on these key points—they’re your roadmap to understanding where the action will heat up next. Concept of Rays: Precision Trading with Dynamic Levels The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept revolutionizes technical analysis by leveraging Fibonacci-based rays that dynamically adapt to market conditions. Unlike traditional methods, these rays are drawn from the origin of a movement pattern, allowing traders to anticipate price reactions with unmatched precision. Let’s dive into how this works and explore two trading scenarios for Bitcoin using data from the latest analysis. Core Concept: Trading with Rays Price interactions with rays signal high-probability zones for either reversals or continuations. These interactions, combined with moving averages and VSA patterns, create a powerful framework for identifying entry and exit points. The first movement usually extends from one ray to the next, offering defined profit targets at each level. Two Scenarios for Trading Rays Optimistic Scenario: Bitcoin breaks through resistance at 100,606 (MA50 intersection) after interacting with an ascending ray. This move could target the next ray and establish: First target: 106,064.7 (Resistance Level). Second target: A retest of the 108,421.6 all-time high. If momentum sustains, price may form a new trend, requiring recalibration of rays to extend future targets. Pessimistic Scenario: Bitcoin fails to hold support at 94,568 and interacts with a descending ray, initiating a deeper correction. Likely targets: First target: 76,701.7 (Powerful Support Level). Second target: 67,838.7, marking a significant bearish continuation zone. In this case, descending rays will guide the market lower, adjusting with each corrective phase. Trade Opportunities Based on Rays Long Trade : Enter at 94,568 support after confirming interaction with an ascending ray and bullish VSA pattern. First target: 100,606; Second target: 106,064.7. Short Trade : Enter below 94,568 after interaction with a descending ray and bearish VSA confirmation. First target: 76,701.7; Second target: 67,838.7. Breakout Long : Position after a confirmed breakout above 100,606, targeting 106,064.7 as the next ray intersection. Reversal Short : Look for rejection at 106,064.7 and enter a short trade, targeting a return to 100,606. Key Insights for Traders The power of rays lies in their adaptability. Whether in bullish or bearish conditions, rays dynamically update to reflect new patterns. Traders can confidently position themselves after price interaction with these rays, knowing that the movement will likely extend to the next ray. Each target is clearly defined, providing a structured path for managing risk and reward. Combine these strategies with the VSA patterns visible on your charts to sharpen your execution and stay ahead of the market. Are you ready to trade with precision? What’s Next? Let’s Talk and Trade Together If you’ve got questions or want to dive deeper into this analysis, drop them in the comments below—I’m always happy to discuss and share insights. Don’t forget to give this post a Boost and save it to revisit later. Watching how the price respects the rays and levels is one of the best ways to truly understand trading and refine your strategy. My proprietary indicator draws all the rays and levels automatically, but it’s available only privately. If you’re interested in using it, just send me a message—I’ll walk you through how it works. And yes, the same approach applies to any asset, not just Bitcoin. If there’s a particular market you’d like analyzed, let me know! Some analyses I can share openly, while others can be done privately, tailored to your needs. Finally, if you’re curious about how price moves along these rays or want me to chart a specific asset for you, make sure to Boost this idea and share your request in the comments. I’ll do my best to cover as many as possible. Follow me here on TradingView to stay updated—this is where I share my ideas and insights regularly. Let’s trade smarter, together!
Long
by brandlabelden
Bitcoin (BTC): Price Reaching $100K Zones, Getting Ready!Bitcoin has had a nice bounce from the local support zone, where we are halfway towards our target of $100,000 (or closer to that zone). We are waiting for more clarity here and once we reach the upper zones, we are going to look for any signs of weakness from there, but if we do not see any, then possible movement to ATHs can happen so keep your attention on the resistance zone and a 30M timeframe would be best there to seek out any possible MSB or BoS (depending on who will show dominance). Swallow Team
Short
by SwallowAcademy