USDTBTC trade ideas
The Nature of Zones — Reversals, Continuations, and the FlowWe’ve all heard trading terms like Major Trend and Major Counter-Trend levels. These are zones where price either breaks through and continues (Trend Levels) or sharply reverses (Counter-Trend Levels). In the crypto world, these levels are often separated by enormous gaps, due to the nature of the space — as I’ve mentioned in a previous idea: Crypto Charts Whisper—Are You Listening?
Let’s get one thing clear from the start. These levels are not just thin lines that traders casually draw across a chart. They are zones. So, as a skilled trader, anytime someone mentions support or resistance, keep in mind: interact with these as zones, not levels.
Why? The answer lies in the nature of the candlestick itself. Most support and resistance areas — 99% of the time — are defined by candlesticks such as inverted hammers, shooting stars, etc. For instance, in an uptrend near its peak, you’ll often spot an inverted hammer with a rejection wick that’s at least 25–50% of the candle’s body. The longer the wick, the stronger the rejection. In that sense, the high and the close of that candle form the zone. And what better tool to use for this than the rectangle?
Now, to slowly return to our main point — many of you might’ve noticed that zones often change their nature, especially resistance zones. If you’re experienced, you already know: price tends to go higher by nature. So when a counter-trend zone gets broken and price pushes above it, it shifts — it becomes a trend zone. Later, if price retests it from above, it often turns into support, and with another reversal, it can shift again — becoming a counter-trend zone once more.
But my point goes deeper than what you’ll hear in lessons or YouTube videos. Like I said in another post — A Follow-up to “Adjustments for Better Readings & VSA vs BTC” — if it’s already out there, it’s probably old news.
A skilled trader keeps an open mind — merging everything into one system. And it's part of this oneness mindset that elite traders follow, which I want to share now.
So I ask you:
What if the idea of trend and counter-trend zones didn’t just apply to major levels?
What if this concept applied everywhere on the chart?
For me, this isn’t just a question anymore — it’s a fact. A fact that made me a better trader. I won’t lie — before I got good at this, I failed over and over. But I never quit. That’s not the point though. The point is to expand your vision and train yourself to react just like the elite do.
Take double or triple tops/bottoms — standard or rounded. These formations also act exactly like trend and counter-trend zones. And they stay relevant well into the future. Every level is tested at least twice, from both directions. Maybe not immediately, but eventually — across multiple time frames.
And just like that, a level becomes a major zone for future use — especially if you trade across multiple time frames. So be careful: if you’re only looking at the 1-hour chart, you might miss something important that’s playing out on the 3-minute. And that can trigger psychological discomfort... leading to FOMO — and all the mistakes that come with it.
Also remember — double and triple tops/bottoms are zones, not exact lines. Many traders lose trades by a single tick, just because they forget that rule.
Let’s go a bit deeper now.
Think about all the small highs and lows that appear between those tops and bottoms on a 3-minute chart.
How can they help you trade better? The answer goes back to my previous idea: Location, Location, Location — Consistency and Alignment.
I get it — staying observant 24/7 is hard. That’s why institutions and big players work in teams, in shifts. They’re never alone. You shouldn’t be either.
There’s a lot more that could be said about these levels and zones — how they reveal future trend behavior, a flow! even without indicators or VSA. It has to do with how specific highs and lows behave at certain points in time... but let’s leave that for now.
For the outro, remember this:
The real edge isn’t in indicators.
It’s in your ability to catch the flow of price,
And to read strength or weakness through the simple structures within the zones Big Players create — whether visible or hidden.
A chart isn’t a single truth.
It’s a battlefield of conflicting zones and mixed signals.
If this mindset resonates with you and you want to go deeper — whether it’s building confidence or spotting hidden signals early — I work with a small circle of traders, sharing TA privately every day. Feel free to reach out.
Until next time, be well and trade wisely.
Possible outcome for $BTCBitcoin Price Analysis: Signs Pointing to a Potential Downtrend
The chart above illustrates a detailed analysis of BTCUSDT (Bitcoin paired with USDT) using Elliott Wave theory and key support/resistance levels. After what appears to be a completed 5-wave bullish cycle, the technical outlook suggests that Bitcoin may be poised for a significant downside correction.
Completion of the Elliott Wave Structure
The chart marks the completion of five distinct waves:
Wave (1) initiated the bullish trend.
Wave (2) represented the first significant pullback.
Wave (3) delivered a strong upward surge, surpassing previous highs.
Wave (4) brought another retracement, finding support near a previous resistance zone.
Wave (5) capped off the structure, reaching above the $100,000 mark before exhibiting signs of exhaustion.
According to Elliott Wave theory, a 5-wave impulse is typically followed by a corrective ABC pattern. The chart suggests that this correction is now underway.
But I think it is trying to create a double top pattern.
Key Levels to Watch
Highlighted on the chart are several crucial horizontal zones:
Near-term resistance: Around $109,600 – $112,000. Bitcoin struggled to maintain momentum above this area and has since started declining.
First major support zone: Around $75,000 – $80,000. This was a former resistance zone during Wave (3) and may now act as support during the early stages of the correction.
Critical support levels: Marked at $54,019, $50,000, and $46,877.5. A break below these levels would indicate a deeper corrective move, potentially aligning with the projected path shown on the chart.
Trendline Break and Bearish Outlook
The yellow upward trendline that supported the entire rally is at risk of being decisively broken. The chart projection shows Bitcoin slicing through this trendline, signaling a shift from a bullish to bearish market structure. If this occurs, it could lead to accelerated selling pressure as confidence in the uptrend erodes.
Projected Price Path
The white arrows in the image depict a scenario where Bitcoin could fall to around $54,000 and possibly as low as the $46,000 region if key supports give way. This represents a significant correction, but one that aligns with historical post-impulse patterns seen in previous Bitcoin cycles.
Conclusion
While Bitcoin has enjoyed an impressive rally culminating above the $100,000 level, technical indicators on this chart point to the increasing likelihood of a sustained downward correction. Traders and investors should monitor the key support levels closely and be prepared for heightened volatility as the market seeks a new equilibrium following this extended bull run.
BTC – Bullish bias under review: 102k/103k supports in focus__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
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Momentum : Dominant on all major timeframes (1D, 12H, 6H, 4H). Risk On / Risk Off Indicator signals STRONG BUY except on 15min (neutral).
Support/Resistance : Structurally key pivot zone 102k–106k; major supports 102k/103k. Potential breakout above 106k (swing target 109k).
Volumes : Normal across all timeframes. No excess signals, no accumulation/capitulation peaks.
Multi-TF Behaviors : Horizontal consolidation with bullish dominance. Short-term bearish divergence on 2H–15min, micro-TF in correction only, no panic.
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Strategic Summary
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Global Bias : Solid bullish structure as long as 102k/103k hold. “Risk On” maintained by sector outperformance.
Opportunities : Entries on pullback/main base 103k–104k; breakouts to watch above 106k.
Risk Zones : Clear invalidation <102k, potential rapid flush to 97k–88k; keep strict stop-loss below 102.5k.
Macro Catalysts : FOMC, Fed projections, Middle East geopolitics keep volatility high, but no shock. Price action leads near-term strategy.
Action Plan : Swing buy on confirmed support, dynamic hedge post-news, monitor volumes/closures on key pivots.
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Multi-Timeframe Analysis
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1D : Bullish momentum, major supports intact (102k/105k). Risk On / Risk Off Indicator = STRONG BUY, stable volume, no excess. Healthy structure for long swings.
12H : Positive bias, range 102.6k–106k. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator = STRONG BUY.
6H : Presumed accumulation 103k–106k, momentum still strong. No volume weakness.
4H : Range oscillation, structural support test at 103k. Sector outperformance, neutral volume.
2H : First sign of short-term weakness. Divergent with higher TFs but no panic.
1H : Technical rebound towards 104.8k possible as long as 103k support holds.
30min : Short-term trend remains bearish (trend 30min = down). Correction/purge ongoing.
15min : Neutral momentum, supports being tested. No panic or melt-down observed.
Summary : Strong bullish confluence on higher TFs, temporary divergence on micro-TFs. “Range with bullish bias” scenario as long as 102k/103k holds the structure.
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Macro and Fundamental Analysis
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FED/FOMC (June 18) : Rates unchanged, “data dependent” guidance. Raised volatility but no risk-off shift.
Market Sentiment : BTC technical structure holds, moderate post-FOMC volatility.
S&P500 : Above all key moving averages. Sector momentum (software, uranium, semis) remains dominant.
Energy Level : Weak oil = little macro pressure against BTC.
Geopolitics : Israel–Iran escalation / US posture reinforced. High FX/oil volatility but BTC resilient (>102k), no panic on record.
Economic Calendar : Closely watching BoE & SNB, but low BTC impact odds.
Implications : Post-news phase = ideal for range trading, no rupture event expected within 48h.
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Strategic synthesis & R/R guidance
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Long on pullback 103–104k, swing targets 106/109k. Optimal R/R (>2.5) if stop 102.5k (D Pivot Low).
Invalidation area : Clean close <102k or heavy downside volume (capitulation via ISPD/volumes).
Risk Management : Dynamic stops, partial hedge post-FOMC during macro volatility.
Conclusion : Bullish structure preserved. Range trading scenario dominant, no extreme signals or panic. Actions: support watch, technical buy on confirmed pullback.
BTC continues to accumulate above 103,500Plan BTC today: 19 June 2025
Related Information:!!!
Bitcoin (BTC) price edges slightly higher, trading near $104,700 at the time of writing on Thursday, after stabilizing above a key level — the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $103,100. A breach below this level could trigger a sharp fall in BTC. Risk aversion could intensify, as reports indicate that US officials are preparing for a strike on Iran in the coming days. Despite this risk-off sentiment in global markets, institutional demand remains strong, with US spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) seeing positive inflows for eight consecutive days
personal opinion:!!!
btc continues to accumulate above 103,500, the market is no longer sensitive to interest rate information yesterday
Important price zone to consider :!!!
support zone : 103.500 \ 101.000
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Volume spikes on down moves add to selling pressure.📉 BTCUSDT – 1H Chart Technical Outlook
🔍 Structure Insight:
Bitcoin is currently trading within a descending channel, forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating persistent bearish pressure. Price action appears compressed between key trendlines, hinting at an imminent breakout.
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🔻 Scenario 1: Bearish Breakdown (Primary Bias)
If BTC fails to hold above the lower boundary of the range, a decisive break below could trigger a sharp move toward the 103,650–103,000 demand zone. The structure supports continuation to the downside if the price rejects resistance again.
🧊 Bearish Confluence:
Price is unable to break above dynamic resistance.
Momentum remains weak near the mid-range.
Volume spikes on down moves add to selling pressure.
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🔼 Scenario 2: Bullish Breakout (Alternative View)
A breakout above the descending trendline and confirmation candle could flip bias short-term bullish. This would target the 105,400+ region as the next liquidity area.
⚡ Bullish Signs to Watch:
Break and retest above trendline resistance.
Bullish engulfing or breakout candle with volume.
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🔍 Key Levels to Monitor
Support: 103,650 / 103,000
Resistance: 105,000 / 105,400
Breakout Zones: Watch for clean breaks and retests outside the wedge pattern.
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📌 Conclusion:
BTC is coiling within a tightening range. The breakout direction will likely dictate the next short-term trend. Maintain flexibility — breakout confirmation is key before positioning.
🚨 Not financial advice — always DYOR before trading!
Bitcoin buy ideaBitcoin (BTCUSD) had a challenging week of consolidation, but it remains stable above $100,000 despite losing some weekly gains. On the 4-hour chart, demand is holding above $102,000. With the Fed maintaining interest rates at 4.50%, if Bitcoin consolidates above $102,000-$103,000, we could see short-to-mid-term growth towards $106,000-$110,000.
BTC – Stop Hunt at the Edge of ValueThis is what a liquidity raid looks like.
Price just swept the bottom of the range, tapped into the low-volume zone (as seen on the volume profile), and reclaimed — classic sign of a trap sprung.
Key points:
The downtrend line labeled “comp” = compression — bulls forced to capitulate into a thin zone
High probability deviation with stop run and reclaim — this fuels the next move up
The green box shows risk-defined entry off the sweep low
Targeting the prior high: 106,787
Volume imbalance filled = no inefficiency above — price can now move cleanly
Execution mindset:
Trap spring → retrace into structure → expansion
Risk is clear, liquidity is engineered, structure remains
Late shorts just became the fuel.
Watch the reclaim of the box top. If that flips support, we ride momentum.
📈 For more setups like this — including pre-breakout traps — check the description in the profile.
BTC: Scalp Long 18/06/25Trade Direction:
Long BTC Scalp BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Risk Management:
- Risk 0.1% (very low risk due to market conditions)
- Target approx 0.5% gain
Reason for Entry:
- 0.618 retracement
- Sweep of recent low
- M30 Fair Value Gap tapped (partially mitigated earlier)
- Multi time frame Oversold
- Market structure holding key support level
Additional Notes:
- Confidence level low low likely hood this succeeds but trading my plan
- Very cautious trade in a volatile unpredictable market environment
My thoughts on Bitcoin long-term, as well as mid- to short-termLONG-TERM / THE BIG PICTURE:
Regarding the big picture, we couldn’t be more bullish. We’re currently fighting our way through the cycle as usual—despite the fact that this cycle has had way too many chop phases, flushing out far too many participants.
Just a few weeks ago, we got our bullish crossover on the weekly MACD—a signal that has triggered a major BTC rally every single time this cycle.
At no point in this cycle has #BTC been overheated. The blow-off top is still coming.
LOCAL PRICE ACTION:
CRYPTOCAP:BTC remains in this vertical ascending channel and remains macro bullish what imo is another huge re-accumulation range lasting more than 200 days since November, that will lead to an impulsive breakout TO THE UPSIDE in the weeks to come
MACRO LANDSCAPE:
Due the last crash we potentially got an bulllish structure, wich if the price breaks the high at $110.000 is confiraed and can bring us to 120k on #Bitcoin
On the lower TF we currently see an oversold RSI + a bounce from the 0.667 level
RECOMMENDATION:
Watch the high at 110k and the low at 100k, we have to break either one of these 2 levels.
Have an eye on the current conflict with israel & iran and dont forget the FOMC meeting tmwr, where we can expect some important news due the current situation
Either way, I'm long and mid-term bullish despite the current accumulation by long-term holders (which just peaked)...
Always watch the big picture from above - maintain perspective and don't focus too much on smaller timeframes...
But most importantly: Survive.
Thanks for reading, let me know your thoughts about the current market situation & price action👇
BTCUSDT – Price Poised to Break Descending ChannelBTCUSDT has been maintaining a series of higher lows since early May, consistently rebounding from its dynamic support trendline. Currently, the price is consolidating just below the descending channel resistance around the 108,000 USDT level. A clear double-bottom pattern accompanied by solid recovery momentum suggests a potential breakout from the prolonged correction phase that has persisted throughout June.
If BTC breaks above the descending trendline, the next target could be the major resistance zone near 113,000 USDT.
On the news front, the market is reacting positively to BlackRock’s announcement of expanding investment in crypto ETF products. At the same time, recent soft U.S. inflation data has strengthened expectations that the Fed may halt its tightening cycle. This combination is improving investor sentiment and driving renewed interest in risk assets like Bitcoin.
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) 4H AnalysisBitcoin is currently consolidating around $105,523 after a strong rally and forming a short-term sideways structure. It is still unable to break the immediate resistance of $ 111 K.
Key Technical Observations:
BTC has been ranging between $101,409 and $105,523
RSI at ~51.38 indicates a neutral zone, signaling indecision in momentum
Support holding at $105,396, but price action is flat
Bulls need to reclaim $111,633 to regain momentum
Major Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $111,633 → $122,318
Support: $105,396 → $101,409 → $97,340 → $93,343
A break above $111,633 could trigger bullish continuation, while a fall below $101,409 might open the path to deeper support zones.
Patience is key — wait for breakout confirmation before making moves.
This is not financial advice. Always DYOR and manage risk.
Like, share & comment if you find this analysis helpful!
#Bitcoin #BTC #BTCUSDT
Test the crucial round-number threshold of $100,000.Affected by sudden news factors, the Bitcoin market has seen sharp fluctuations. The price started a significant downward trend from the $108,900 level and has dropped to around $104,000 as of now. This decline has caused Bitcoin to break through multiple key support levels.
On the daily timeframe, the originally important support range of $106,000 - $107,000 was easily breached, with market bearish forces gaining absolute dominance. Bitcoin is facing significant downward risks and is highly likely to continue falling to test the crucial psychological level of $100,000.
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Trading Strategy:
sell@104000-104500
TP:102000-1025000
BTC - AnalysisWe’re currently back at the short-term trend reversal zone,
which has been reactivated after price moved 3% away from it.
The zone itself spans 1.6%, so a new reaction from this level is likely.
If the bottom at $102,500 holds,
we’ve activated a valid bullish structure that could take us up to the $119,000 target zone —
which also overlaps with a weekly target region.
We’ll see what the next few days bring...
Key events to watch right now:
1️⃣ Israel & Iran – Will the conflict escalate or calm down?
2️⃣ Tomorrow’s FOMC meeting – Will QT be addressed?
Feel free to drop any questions or feedback —
I’ll read and respond to everything.
LFG 🚀