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Bitcoin Head & Shoulders Pattern – Bearish Breakdown Ahead?#Bitcoin is forming a Head & Shoulders pattern on the 4-hour timeframe, signaling a potential bearish move. Currently, #BTC is hovering near the neckline—a key level to watch! Bearish Confirmation: If #BTC breaks below the neckline and the support zone, it will confirm the bearish trend, potentially leading to further downside. Trading Plan: Wait for a clear break & retest of the neckline. Enter a short trade with proper risk management. Keep an eye on volume for strong confirmation. Will #BTC hold or break down? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
Short
by mudusir
BTC - PERFECT Levels given Days ago. Those Levels were really nice !👌🎯 1️⃣) Long from Blue TL to POC about 3.5 % 💵💲 2️⃣) Small Short from POC to FIB Golden Pocket. 1.6 % 💵💲 3️⃣) Small Short from Blue Box to POC 1.3 % 💵💲 4️⃣) The bigger orange TL was broken but obviously it was a fake out. All 4 candles were closed under the local Daily blue line. That was the sign of Fake out for me. There were other signs on Footprint chart etc. ... Crypto movement was way too healthy in last weeks. I was awaiting a manipulation. Especially in ETH. 👌🎯 Go look at my ETH TA/signal here: Original BTC TA/Signal here : Follow for more ideas/Signals. 💲 Look at my other ideas 😉 Just donate some of your profit to Animal rights and rescue or other charity :)✌️
by Free-TA-Signal
BTC Price Prediction and Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends, # Bearish >> Thank you for joining me in my analysis. As we explained in my previous idea about Breakout this area 85k~85.5k and going to around 87.3k~88.3k, we have already got it successfully. >> After create a huge bearish candle, I changed my count of the wave to be as you can see. But I am waiting to got the confirmation and I will update you Soon with our next targets. keep like and support me to continue, See you soon! Thanks, Bros
by MASCryptoAna
BTC-----Sell around 83650, target 82,600-82,000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on April 3: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a medium-yin line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was a single Yin and a single Yang. The price was at a low level again. The fast and slow lines of the attached indicator were flat, and the closing line yesterday was a high retreat. The retreat time was around 4 o'clock in the morning. The recent downward trend did not continue, and the trend was still corrected, but this was also within it, but the transaction became difficult; the four-hour chart showed a large retracement trend in the morning, and the attached indicator formed a dead cross K-line pattern with continuous Yin, which is a good aspect. The short-cycle hourly chart fell in the morning and is currently corrected. The correction high is in the 84,000 area. If we look at the continued decline today, there are two conditions. First, the price rebound cannot break the correction high; second, the European session must continue to break the low. Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell directly at the current price of 83,650, stop loss in the 84,100 area, and target the 82,600-82,000 area;
Short
by BraveTigercat
BTC New Update (4H)This analysis is an update to the analysis you can see below in the "Related Analyses" section. The price did not reach the Supply zone from our previous analysis. Instead, it formed a reversal pivot upon hitting a Supply. Given that the larger structure is also bearish, we can look for sell/short positions in the Supply zone. A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting Comment if you have any questions thank you
by iMoneyTeam
Bitcoin Analysis: Potential Path to $150K and Market TrendsCurrent Price & Key Levels - BTC/USDT Price: BINANCE:BTCUSDT (as per chart). - Critical Support: Bottom of the ascending channel . - Key Resistance: Upper trendline of the channel (to be confirmed). Technical Signals 1. Ascending Channel: - Price is at the bottom of the channel, historically a bounce zone. - A break above the upper trendline could signal a bullish continuation. 2. Moving Averages: - SMA 200 (4H) and SMA 20 (1D) are critical for trend confirmation. - A bullish crossover (e.g., SMA 20 > SMA 200) would strengthen the buy signal. 3. Dominance (BTC.D): - If Bitcoin dominance turns bearish, expect capital rotation into altcoins (altseason potential). - Monitor dominance alongside price action for market shifts. $150K Target: When and How? - Scenario 1: - A strong breakout from the ascending channel + rising volume → Acceleration toward $150K. - Timeline:Mid-2025/Late-2025 (historically aligns with post-halving cycles). - Scenario 2: - Slow grind upward with corrections → $150K likely by 2026, pending macroeconomic stability (e.g., ETF inflows, regulatory clarity). Altcoin Season Watch - Trigger: - If Bitcoin’s dominance drops below 57%, altcoins may surge. - Focus on high-cap alts (ETH, SOL) and narratives like AI, DePIN, or RWA. Trade Strategy - Entry: - Buy on confirmed breakout above the channel + SMA crossover. - Stop Loss: - Below the channel’s lower trendline (e.g., $80,000). - Take Profit: - targets: $100,000.120,000 - Final target: $150,000 (scale out profits). Risks to Monitor - Macro Factors: Fed rate decisions, geopolitical tensions. - Bitcoin ETF Flows: Sustained inflows/outflows impact momentum. - Regulation: Crackdowns or approvals (e.g., ETH ETF). --- Conclusion - Bullish Outlook: $150K is achievable if Bitcoin holds the ascending channel and dominance remains stable. - Altseason Hedge: Prepare a basket of altcoins if BTC.D trends downward. Like, comment, and follow for updates! 🚀
Long
by amirhoseinsl2000
BTC/USDT Analysis: Local EuphoriaYesterday, right after the release of our analysis, Bitcoin absorbed the entire breakout of the trendline with buyer aggression. At the moment, we have reached the sell zone at $86,000–$87,200 (absorption of buyer aggression) and have already observed an abnormal spike in volume. The main expectation is a decline, at least to the new local buyer zone at $83,800–$82,800. On a broader scale, we could still see a drop down to the $76,700 low. Sell Zones: $86,000–$87,200 (absorption of buyer aggression) $95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes) $97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes) $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies) Buy Zones: $83,800–$82,800 (local volume zone) $77,000–$73,000 (volume anomalies, pushing volumes)
Short
by Crypto_robotics
Bitcoin Analysis: Trump Tariffs AnnouncementAs of April 2nd, 2025, Bitcoin finds itself at a pivotal technical crossroads, with price action consolidating within a well-defined range as markets prepare for Trump's upcoming tariff policy speech. The cryptocurrency has experienced significant volatility in recent weeks, with a sharp decline from the $98,000 level followed by a consolidation phase. Technical Structure and Price Action The daily chart reveals Bitcoin trading in a rectangular consolidation pattern between approximately $79,800 and $88,800. This range-bound price action follows a substantial corrective move from recent highs, with the market now seeking direction. Current price hovers around $84,890, sitting below the mid-point of this established range. The blue box on the chart highlights this recent consolidation zone, where price has been oscillating for several trading sessions. This pattern typically represents a pause in the market as buyers and sellers reach temporary equilibrium before the next directional move. Volume Analysis Provides Crucial Insights Looking at the Relative Volume Indicator (RVOL) at the bottom of the chart, we can observe several noteworthy volume patterns: -Several green bars exceeding the 2.0x threshold indicate periods of significantly above-average volume during the decline and subsequent consolidation -More recent trading sessions show predominantly yellow and red bars, suggesting a return to average and below-average volume as the market consolidates -The most recent green volume spike coincides with a bullish candle, potentially indicating renewed buying interest This volume profile suggests that while the initial selloff occurred on strong volume (confirming the downtrend's validity), the recent consolidation is happening on decreasing volume – often a precursor to a significant move. Critical Levels to Watch With Trump's tariff announcement looming, traders should monitor these key levels: Support: $79,800 (lower range boundary) Intermediate resistance: $88,800 (higher range high) Intermediate support: $82,000 (recent swing low) What Could Happen Next? The cryptocurrency market's reaction will likely hinge on the tone and specifics of Trump's tariff policies: Bullish Scenario If Trump's tariff policies are perceived as positive for risk assets or specifically favorable for cryptocurrency: A break above $90,000 could trigger a relief rally toward previous highs The declining volume during consolidation could represent a coiling effect before an explosive move higher Target zones would be $95,000 and potentially a retest of the $98,000 area Bearish Scenario If the announcement creates market uncertainty or suggests policies that might negatively impact risk assets: A breakdown below $79,800 would confirm continuation of the larger downtrend Volume would likely expand on a breakdown, providing confirmation The next major support zones would become $75,000 and $70,000 Conclusion Bitcoin stands at a technical inflection point, with the upcoming tariff announcement serving as a potential catalyst for its next major move. The consolidation pattern, coupled with the volume profile shown in the RVOL indicator, suggests traders should prepare for increased volatility. Given the mixed signals – bearish price structure but consolidation with occasional above-average volume spikes – a measured approach is prudent. Traders would be wise to wait for a definitive break of either range boundary with confirming volume before establishing significant positions. The next 24-48 hours could determine whether Bitcoin resumes its longer-term uptrend or continues the correction that began from the $98,000 level.
by AlgoCollective
BTCUSDT SCALP OR INTRADAY IDEA 15M CHARTHello, greetings everyone. First of all, I would like to thank you for taking the time to review my simple analysis as a newbie hehe. For SCALPING or INTRADAY style trades, hmm, personally I always look for where the 200 Moving Average (MA) is. Why 200? The 200 MA can be considered the strongest level for support or resistance, so I tend to enter around the position/area where the 200 MA is located. However, everyone has their own trading style, right? In conclusion, I’m just analyzing the current market condition. Remember, trading carries risks, and the responsibility is yours; do your own analysis. That’s all.
by RCT8
A New Approach to Market Analysis: How IA Simplifies TradingClarity on the Chart. Smart Trading Decisions Approaches to Market Analysis and the Challenges Traders Face When we first start trading and investing, we encounter various methods for predicting price movements. Over time—and with enough persistence, patience, and experience—we find the approach that helps us make profitable trades. Among the most popular are oscillators and channel indicators, Dow Theory, Elliott Waves, Fibonacci levels, supply and demand, Volume Spread Analysis (VSA), Market Auction Theory, and concepts like Inner Circle Trader/Smart Money Concept (ICT/SMC). Many traders combine elements from different methods to build a strategy that works best for them. However, the road to consistent profits is rarely easy—most face similar challenges. 🔹 Lack of Knowledge and Experience Complexity of Technical Analysis: Too many tools, conflicting signals on different timeframes, and unclear logic can be overwhelming. No Clear Trading Plan: Many traders rely on intuition or others' advice instead of having a structured strategy. Poor Risk Management: Ignoring capital and risk controls leads to losses. Emotional Decision-Making: Fear and greed get in the way of sound decisions. 🔹 Time Constraints Trading Takes Time: Analyzing charts, scanning assets, and finding entry points all require time and focus. Slow Learning Curve: Gaining consistent results takes years of practice and study. Can Trading Be Made Simpler and More Effective? ________________________________________ A New Perspective: The Concept of Initiative Analysis (IA) Today I’d like to present Initiative Analysis —a concept that: ✅ Simplifies how you understand technical analysis ✅ Speeds up learning through a structured approach ✅ Reduces time spent on daily analysis ✅ Provides elements of a working trading strategy What is IA? Imagine looking at your chart and instead of seeing just candles, you see blocks of directional movement—called initiatives. An initiative is the action of buyers or sellers that causes price movement. It is limited by both price range and time, which helps clearly identify who dominates the market at any given moment. • If buyers dominate, price rises. These phases are shown with blue zones. • If sellers dominate, price falls. These are shown with red zones. This visual method allows you to not just see price movements, but also the underlying battle between buyers and sellers as it unfolds. How IA Differs from Traditional Analysis To understand how IA stands out, think about the classic tools traders use: • Candle patterns (e.g., hammer, doji, engulfing) • Chart figures (e.g., head and shoulders, double top, flag) • Indicators (e.g., oscillators, moving averages, channels) • Elliott Waves, Market Profile, Order Flow • Smart Money Concepts (ICT/SMC) These tools often focus on outcomes and results. Some attempt to capture the "fight" between buyers and sellers within fixed time intervals (like hourly or daily candles). Elliott Wave Theory, for example, offers a cyclical interpretation through structured wave sequences. IA, by contrast, focuses on identifying and visualizing real-time initiative without forcing a pre-defined structure. Another key distinction: IA allows for initiative shifts within a range—a buyer-to-seller transition can occur without breaking range boundaries, as often happens in sideways markets. This new method offers a fresh lens for viewing market dynamics. Instead of dividing charts by time or volume, candles are grouped by initiative blocks, each with its own duration. Comparing these blocks helps you "read" the market—who is gaining strength and who is losing it. Even more importantly, this approach can help predict shifts in market control and estimate potential price targets. Look at these charts 📉 Trend When one side controls the market strongly, we see a single background color in price ranges. In this case, it makes sense to look for trades in the direction of the move. But it’s important to check the higher timeframe for confirmation (!). In the chart: A blue target line means a bullish target (thin line = 1H, thick = 1D). A red target line means a bearish target (same logic for thickness). Targets are calculated using a custom method that includes the initiative range, candle structure inside the initiative, and traded volumes. Once a candle crosses the target line, the target is considered reached. If a new target appears, it will be shown. If the price leaves the buyer zone, the blue target disappears until the price returns. Same rule for seller zones. 📉 Sideways Market (Range) If the chart background changes between red and blue in one price range, it means the market is in consolidation (sideways) — temporary balance between buyers and sellers. In this case, targets also switch: blue = buy target, red= sell target. 🔀 Transitional Phase Sometimes, two price zones may appear at the same time — one above (buyers), one below (sellers). This is a transition period. It may turn into a sideways range or develop into a trend. During transitions: It’s better to avoid trading. Check who controlled the price before, and who is in control on the higher timeframe (this is always important). For example, if sellers were in control before, and the higher timeframe confirms it, sellers are likely to stay dominant. However, a short-term bounce or trend reversal is possible. With IA You Can: ✅ Identify buyer/seller initiative in real time ✅ Anticipate initiative shifts ✅ Visualize control zones and key levels ✅ Compare strength between buyers and sellers ✅ Forecast potential price targets IA lets you objectively assess market dynamics, identify the dominant side, and estimate the most probable direction. ________________________________________ How IA Helps Solve Key Trading Challenges 📌 Complex Analysis → Simplified visual zones make market context easy to read—even for beginners. 📌 Lack of Strategy → IA covers 3 of the 5 essential trading questions (direction, entry zone, and target), and can be combined with other tools or techniques to answer the remaining two: entry timing and stop-loss placement: Trade direction: Buy in a buyer block, sell in a seller block. Entry zone: Buy below 50% of a buyer block, sell above 50% of a seller block. Profit-taking: Estimate target using visualized zones. While IA gives market context, final decisions still depend on patterns, volume, and risk management. 📌 Time Management → Visual structure saves hours of scanning and comparing charts. “Now I scan for trade setups in 15 minutes, just by checking the visual layout. Before, I’d spend hours deciding if an asset was trending or in a range.” — trader review. 📌 Learning Speed → Think of it like driving: learning on a modern automatic car is much easier than on a 50-year-old manual. You don’t need to know how the transmission works—just how to drive. Same with IA. It’s not an autopilot, but a powerful navigator that helps you orient in the market. IA simplifies analysis, but the trader is still responsible for decisions, risk, and mindset. Fewer tools = faster learning. You don’t need to know how indicators are built—just how to use them. IA focuses your attention on what matters. It reduces noise and highlights structure. ________________________________________ Final Thoughts IA introduces a new way of analyzing markets—not just reading the result, but watching the fight unfold in real time. It helps traders make more confident decisions, simplifies analysis, and adds structure to the chaos of the market. Clarity on the Chart. Smart Trading Decisions. If this approach speaks to you—share the article, leave a comment, and stay tuned for more insights in upcoming posts!
Education
by AlexeyWolf
BTC/USDT Bearish Breakdown – Short Setup Targeting 73KBitcoin is forming lower highs within a descending wedge pattern, failing to reclaim the key resistance zone around 89K. The price is consistently rejecting from the upper wedge trendline, with weak bullish momentum as shown by flat RSI (~48) and ADX convergence. A breakdown from the current structure could trigger a bearish move. Volume is decreasing on upswings, while red candles dominate near EMA clusters. The 200 EMA and the previous support near 85.3K has now flipped into resistance. Entry: 85,389 Stop Loss: 89,000 (above wedge resistance and last swing high) Target: 73,000 (near key horizontal support + wedge bottom projection) Bearish confirmation increases below 84K with strong volume. Risk management essential as volatility remains high. Watching for confluence from macro and ETF flows.
Short
by MyTradingJournal6th
IS THE "GOLDEN HOUR" FOR A 20% BTC SHORT DROP APPROACHING?IS THE "GOLDEN HOUR" FOR A 20% BTC SHORT DROP APPROACHING? Hello everyone, Yesterday, I provided you all with a detailed and comprehensive analysis of the events BTC will experience in April. After the March candle closed and the April candle opened, things have become quite clear and well-defined. However, in the "BTC April Analysis" post, the monthly candle and the overview mapping for D1 (daily) and W (weekly) timeframes had some broad leaps. It’s not detailed enough for precise actions—it gives us a nearly complete framework, but there are still some rough edges. To make it more polished, we need a highly detailed analysis with a refined level of completion to guide specific actions. That’s why today, I’m bringing you a new analysis with the theme: "The Golden Hour for BTC’s SHORT Point – A 20% Value Drop?" Why 20%, and Is 20% Too Much? As shown in the analysis chart, one thing is very clear: BTC is currently in an upward correction phase. This upward correction started from two zones: Zone 1: From 80,000$ to 88,000$. Zone 2: From 81,600$ to the current level of slightly above 85,300$. In each phase, we’ve been able to catch the turning points and the starts of new waves. Back to the main question: From which zone will BTC drop to which zone, and why would it lose 20% of its value from that point? Right now, BTC hasn’t confirmed a drop, but there are key price zones emerging for us to monitor: Zone 1: 87,600$ Zone 2: 88,800$ Zone 3: 92,000$ Current Situation Analysis Current BTC price: 85,000$. These zones are quite close to the upper peak zones. This is the second upward wave, so we need to be very cautious because an "earthquake and tsunami" could hit soon without prior warning. Think of it like climbing a mountain: At the base, we can’t see the peak. But as we climb closer to the top, the peak gradually comes into view. Right now, it’s clearly visible. From the peak zones (87,600$, 88,800$, or 92,000$), BTC could drop to a target zone around 70,000$. This is the zone where we identify the drop as approximately 20%. Market Capitalization: If BTC drops 20%, the crypto market cap (currently around 2-3 trillion USD, depending on the time) could lose 15-20%, as BTC accounts for about 50-60% of the total market cap. The exact percentage depends on the broader market’s reaction. Altcoins: Altcoins typically experience stronger volatility than BTC. If BTC drops 20%, altcoins could fall 30-50% or more, especially smaller coins. Stronger altcoins (like ETH) might only drop 20-25%, but most will be hit harder. Conclusion BTC is currently in an upward correction phase, but signs suggest that the "Golden Hour" for a SHORT entry with a 20% drop could be approaching. Keep a close eye on the peak zones (87,600$, 88,800$, 92,000$) and prepare to act when the price hits these levels. Enjoy the analysis, everyone!
Short
by rainbow_sniper
1
BTC/USDT 15-Minute Chart Analysis🚀 BTC/USDT 15-Minute Chart Analysis 🏆 🔍 Market Overview: The chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) price action on a 15-minute timeframe with key resistance & support levels, along with potential trade triggers. 📌 Key Observations: 📈 Strong Resistance (🚧 85,339.85 USDT) 🔥 Major hurdle for buyers! A breakout above this could ignite a rally. 🚀 If BTC closes above this level with volume, we might see a strong uptrend. 🛑 Important Support (🔵 84,727.22 - 84,912.40 USDT) 🛡️ Holding this zone is crucial for bulls to maintain momentum. ❌ Losing this support could trigger a bearish move. 📊 Moving Averages (7, 25, 99 SMA): 🟡 Short-Term SMA (7): Price is testing this moving average. 🔵 Medium-Term SMA (25): Acting as dynamic support. 🟢 Long-Term SMA (99): Still bullish, showing an uptrend bias. ⚡ Trade Triggers: ✅ Long Trigger (📈💰) - If BTC breaks 85,339.85 USDT with volume → 🚀 BUY Opportunity! ❌ Short Trigger (📉🔻) - If BTC drops below 84,727.22 USDT → 🏴‍☠️ Short setup possible! 📢 Trading Strategy: 💎 Bullish Plan: Watch for a breakout above 85,339.85 USDT with strong volume → 🎯 Targets: 85,500+ USDT. ⚠️ Bearish Plan: If BTC breaks below 84,727.22 USDT, look for a drop to 84,498.52 USDT or lower. 🔥 Final Thoughts: Bitcoin is in a critical decision zone! 🎯 Breakout = Bullish Rally! ❌ Breakdown = Bearish Move! 📢 Stay Alert! Volume Confirmation is Key! 🎯
by Alireza-Abedi
BTC Price Prediction and Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends, # Bearish >> Thank you for joining me in my analysis. As we explained in my previous idea about Reaching to 85k~85.5k, we have already got it successfully, till now not clear to break this zone, >> I have two scenarios: 1st: Breakout this area 85k~85.5k, we will go to the area around 87.3k~88.3k, maybe to create the wave A in the final Green wave C. 2nd: down from this zone or 85.7 will may lead to create the white micro wave x in the Green wave B, Or the Blue the wave A in the final Green wave C keep like and support me to continue, See you soon! Thanks, Bros
by MASCryptoAna
BTC/USDT Analysis. Watching for Further DeclineYesterday, Bitcoin experienced a local rebound, reaching the sell zone. Our weekly scenario remains unchanged—we still expect further downside movement. Several factors support this view: the reaction in the sell zone and weak price action during the upward move (each high is struggling to break through). All zones remain active. We are monitoring the break of the trendline, and on a pullback, we will look for short entries. Sell Zones: $84,000-$85,300 (pushing volumes) $86,000-$87,200 (absorption of buyer's market aggression) $95,000-$96,700 (accumulated volumes) $97,500-$98,400 (pushing volumes) $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies) Buy Zone: $77,000-$73,000 (volume anomalies, pushing volumes)
Short
by Crypto_robotics