LONG BTC TO 110K from 84k We have a weekly divergence with strong volume and double tap on the 50 EMA
Price should not close below the 50EMA TWO weeks in a row otherwise the bull run is over.
As we have defended this line on two attempts to break it and the last one was defended with strong volume, that suggests we have a bottom at 74k
There is also divergence on the daily chart on MACD and RSI. volume profile on the weekly for buying exceeds selling.
Daily chart has 3 clear drops from the peak of 110k so now time for a rise back to the upper band on the weekly chart.
We are above the 4 hour 50EMA and holding that line
USDTBTC trade ideas
Bitcoin (BTC): Buyers Failing To Maintain Dominance Buyers are failing to hold the zone above the 200EMA on Bitcoin, where we are seeing a possible sharp sell-off happen very soon.
We saw some decent upward moves on smaller timeframes for the past few days, but those were nothing but liquidation hunts, and in such a scenario (especially near 200EMA), we usually see a strong sell-off to happen and that's what we are waiting for here.
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BTCUSD - Another Dip Is Possible With This Count...Recent rejections at the highs have prompted a deeper analysis, and the findings are quite intriguing.
Based on a detailed wave review, there's a possibility we're currently trading within an expanded Wave B zig-zag pattern that has yet to find a bottom.
If this scenario holds and we see a break below the 83,000 support level, price could potentially decline toward the 74,517 area.
On the upside, resistance is observed at 86,506 and 85,493.
Sell BTC if below 83000We're still in a downtrend, and the prior low has been cleared, and in the pullback back we have a strong supply zone which has been tested 3 times! The 3rd time we have this little pattern, which will probably see a bearish breakout. If this happens, we can enter with the breakout and sell for 73000, which makes an R/R of 2. So if the support zone of 83000 is lost, it is a good time to sell.
BTC SWING DOJI +OB LONGBTC is currently in a mini consolidation box, can breakout or breakdown, if it breaks down I plan to long the 79K 1H bullish OB, Its at support (Volume Profile) + its the Montly VAL, target would be the 89 Liquidity, watch out for reaction before entering, invalidation is very clear
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Daily AnalysisBitcoin (BTC/USDT) Daily Analysis – Buying Opportunity Ahead
📅 **Date:** April 16, 2025
📈 **Chart Timeframe:** 1D (Daily)
💹 **Pair:** BTC/USDT
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Chart Overview
Bitcoin has been forming a **falling wedge pattern** on the daily timeframe, which is typically a bullish reversal setup. After an extended correction from the $110,000+ zone, BTC appears to be finding strong support around a major **buying area** near the **$72,000–$76,000** range.
The chart shows confluence from multiple technical levels:
- Rising trendline support from past higher lows.
- Demand zone (highlighted in blue) aligned with historical support and accumulation zones.
- Price action nearing the **bottom of the wedge**, indicating a potential breakout.
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Technical Analysis
📌 Pattern: Falling Wedge
📌 Support Zone (Buying Area):$72,000 – $76,000
📌 Immediate Resistance: $88,000 – $90,000
📌 Major Resistance Zone: $108,000 – $112,000 (Supply zone in red)
📌 Trendline Support: Long-term trendline intact
Price Outlook & Prediction:
Based on the current setup:
1. **Price is likely to revisit the lower wedge boundary or the buying area** before making a strong move.
2. If the price successfully retests and holds above the **$72K–$76K demand zone**, it could mark a **bullish reversal**.
3. A breakout from the wedge would confirm bullish strength, potentially pushing BTC towards the **$96,000–$100,000** area in the medium term.
4. Eventually, we could see a retest of the **$108,000–$112,000 resistance**, where strong selling pressure previously emerged.
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Trading Plan:
🔵 Buy Entry (Swing Trade Idea):
> Watch for bullish price action confirmation or a retest bounce from the $72K–$76K zone.
🎯 **Target 1: $88,000
🎯 **Target 2: $96,000
🎯 **Target 3 (Long-term): $108,000+
🛑 Stop Loss:
> A daily close below $70,000 (to invalidate the bullish structure)
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Conclusion:
BTC is trading at a key technical juncture. With a well-respected trendline and a clear falling wedge structure, the upcoming days could present a high-probability buying opportunity for swing traders and investors. However, patience is key—wait for confirmation from the buying area or a clean breakout above the wedge.
Stay alert, and always manage your risk! 🚀
BTCUSDT – Big Move Incoming, Key Level To watch!Bitcoin is approaching a key decision area after a few months of downward pressure. The chart shows a clear bearish structure with lower highs and lower lows. Recently, a possible double top has formed just below the major resistance near 88.668, which could suggest a short-term pullback if buyers don't step in.
If the double top plays out, a retest of the support zone between 78.576 and 82.000 is likely. This zone has held well in the past and could act as a strong base again.
However, if price manages to break and hold above 88668, that would be a strong signal of strength. It could mark a shift back to a bullish trend, with the next major target being the all-time high area around 108.360.
Key areas to watch:
Support: 78.576 to 82.000
Resistance: 88.668 and 108.360
Right now, Bitcoin is at a make-or-break point. A breakout could trigger a strong rally, while rejection may lead to another dip. Stay patient, watch how price reacts at these levels, and let the market confirm the next move.
BTC-----Sell around 84150, target 83150 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on April 16:
Today, the daily level of the big cycle closed the small negative line yesterday, and the K-line form is single yin and single yang. The price has reached above the moving average during the strong pullback trend in the previous three trading days. The indicator in the attached picture is running golden cross. Although the current rebound trend seems to be relatively strong, the suppression at the weekly level is still very obvious. Under such circumstances, our transactions must remain short-term, do not be greedy, and enter and close the position. All positions must be decisive, otherwise it is easy to be trapped; in the four-hour chart, the price of the European market yesterday was under pressure and retraced. The K-line pattern was continuously negative, and the price was below the moving average. The indicators in the attached picture were running dead cross, and the moving average pressure was near the 84500 area. On the short-period hourly chart, the K-line pattern was continuously negative, with the correction high point near the 84200 area. Looking at today, it is simple. Use the four-hour moving average pressure as a defense to sell.
Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: counter sell in the 84150 area, stop loss in the 84600 area, and target the 83150 area;
BTCUSD - Short Term Long Trade - Evidence of 90K Incoming...In this video, not only do I walk you through the small degree long trade (based on the chart linked below), but I also break down the entire pattern, explain the corrective process, and share what I expect to happen next.
As long as 83,015 holds, all signs point toward a potential 6%+ move up to 90K. This is a solid opportunity—price tends to move slowly during corrections, and then all at once.
Let’s navigate this setup together, so you can take advantage of it with solid risk management and smart leverage.
Waiting for a big boost for the market, over 90K BTC💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE (April 16)
First of all, congratulations to the investors. Everything went according to our trading plan and we had very good comments. Specifically, yesterday the price fell from the 86k area straight to 83k. We had more than 3000 prices together. Today's BTC trading plan did not change much.
NOTABLE NEWS ABOUT BTC:
According to Bloomberg, Bitcoin (BTC) mining hardware manufacturer Bitdeer is preparing to launch its own mining operation in the United States (US). The company intends to speed up the shipment of equipment following President Donald Trump's announcement of a 90-day tariff suspension. In addition, the pressure from tariffs has led to a decrease in Bitcoin mining hashrate among miners in the United States over the past month.
TECHNICAL VIEW
Bitcoin has faced multiple rejections around the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $85,000 since Sunday. On Tuesday, BTC attempted to break above this level but was rejected and fell 1.12%. At the time of writing on Wednesday, the price was hovering around $83,500.
If BTC closes above $85,000 on a daily basis, it could extend its rally to the psychologically important $90,000 level. A successful close above this level could extend the rally to test the March 2 high of $95,000.
Please continue to pay attention to the 84.2k resistance zone, this is an important resistance zone before we DCA to higher and more important areas
==> Comments are for reference only. Wish investors successful trading
The Ultimate Guide to Smart Money ReversalsLet’s cut to it. Most retail traders get caught chasing moves that were never meant for them. They’re entering late, reacting to structure breaks without context, or fading moves without understanding what’s really happening behind the price.
If you're trying to trade like smart money on the reversal, at the turn then you need to know when the game is flipping. That’s where the Market Structure Shift (MSS) comes in. But not just any MSS. I'm talking about MSS that follow a liquidity sweep and are driven by real displacementnot weak candles, not in consolidation. Real intent. Real shift.
Here’s how I approach it.
What Actually Counts as a Market Structure Shift?
Everyone talks about market structure higher highs, lower lows, etc. But structure breaks alone don’t mean anything. A valid MSS isn’t just about breaking a swing point. It’s why it broke and how it broke that matters.
I only consider a shift valid when three things are in place:
Liquidity has been taken (above a high or below a low).
The shift is caused by a displacement candle that clearly shows urgency.
The move happens with strength, not during chop or consolidation.
If you don’t have all three, it’s just noise.
Liquidity Comes First
Everything starts with a liquidity sweep. That’s the trap.
Price has to reach into a pool of liquidity usually above equal highs, clean swing highs, or below clean lows to grab those orders, and reject. That rejection is key. It shows smart money is offloading positions into retail breakouts or stop hunts.
Without a sweep, I don’t care what breaks. No liquidity = no reversal setup.
So the first thing I do is mark out obvious liquidity levels. Equal highs, equal lows, trendline touches anywhere retail is likely to have their stops sitting. That’s where the fuel is.
Then Comes Displacement
After the sweep, I want to see displacement a sharp, aggressive move in the opposite direction.
Not a weak pullback. Not a slow grind. A real candle that shows intent.
Displacement is always obvious. You’ll get a clean candle, often engulfing multiple others, that breaks structure and leaves behind an imbalance what we call a Fair Value Gap (FVG). That imbalance is the signature of smart money hitting the market hard enough to leave a gap in the order flow.
If the candle’s weak, or if it happens during consolidation, I skip it. Displacement is what separates real reversals from fakeouts.
Here is a clean example of what it should look like.
Confirming the Shift
Once displacement confirms intent, I check if it actually broke structure.
That means:
In an uptrend, I want to see price break a previous higher low after sweeping a high.
In a downtrend, I want price to break a lower high after sweeping a low.
When that happens, that’s your MSS. Price has grabbed liquidity, shown displacement, and broken a key point in the structure. At that point, we’ve got a confirmed shift in control.
Entries, Stops, and Targets
Here’s how I trade it.
After the MSS, I wait for price to pull back into the origin of the move. Usually, that’s going to be one of two things:
The Fair Value Gap (imbalance left by the displacement candle)
Or the MSS line itself (Shown on the example)
Once price comes back into that zone, that’s where I’m interested in getting in.
Stop loss always goes just above the high (for shorts) or below the low (for longs) of the displacement candle that caused the MSS. You’re giving it room to breathe, but keeping it tight enough to protect capital.
Targets are straightforward: go for the next pool of liquidity. That means swing lows (sell-side) if you’re short, or swing highs (buy-side) if you’re long. That’s where price is most likely to be drawn next.
A Clean Bearish Example
Let’s say price is trending up, putting in higher highs and higher lows. Then it takes out a recent swing high liquidity swept.
Immediately after that, a strong bearish candle drops and breaks the most recent higher low. That candle leaves an imbalance behind—perfect.
Now I’ve got:
✅ Liquidity sweep
✅ Displacement
✅ Break of structure
I mark out the FVG / MSS line, wait for price to retrace back into it, and enter the short. My stop goes above the displacement candle high. My target? The next clean swing low. That's the next spot where stops are resting where the market is drawn.
A Few Things to Watch Out For
This method works, but only if you’re strict about the rules.
Don’t take MSS setups in consolidation. Wait for clean, impulsive breaks.
If the shift happens without displacement or imbalance, skip it. It’s not clean.
Be realistic with stops. Tight is good, but don’t choke the trade. Give it the structure it needs.
The biggest mistake I see? Traders jump in too early trying to front-run the shift before displacement confirms it. Let the story unfold. Wait for the sweep. Wait for the candle that slaps the market and breaks structure. That’s your edge.
As shown here, the first "MSS" is invalid and not the A+ setup you're looking for.
Final Thoughts
Trading smart money reversals is about reading intent. You’re not just looking at price, you’re understanding why it moved the way it did.
When you combine a liquidity grab, displacement, and a break in structure, you're aligning with institutional activity. You're trading at the turn when smart money flips the script and leaves everyone else chasing.
This isn’t about trading every break. It’s about knowing which breaks matter.
Keep it clean. Stay patient. Follow the flow.
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Bitcoin (BTC): Fake-out Above 200EMA | Sellers DominatingBitcoin had a nice rejection yesterday where we failed to form the BOS and break above the local highs, which resulted in a fakeout above the 200EMA and the price falling below that line.
As we see the demand in downward movement, we are keeping our sell target active as long as we are again below the local highs (at $85,750).
Markets sell exhausted, economy doomed....Be sure to have a tight stop-loss and small leverage on any position you would want to open. We expect to see a big liquidation hunting to happen soon thanks to the #China and #USA tariff war.
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DeGRAM | BTCUSD Formed a Rising Bottom📊 Technical Analysis
Breakout formation
BTC/USDT bounced from strong support, forming higher lows and testing the resistance line.
Key resistance
The main resistance zone is at $92,000; a breakout here could trigger strong upward momentum.
Predictive scenario
The price is likely to continue rising toward resistance with a potential breakout if momentum holds.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
Cooling U.S. inflation and Fed pause support risk assets. Over SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B in BTC ETF inflows and fading tariff tensions add bullish pressure. On-chain data shows whales accumulating BTC.
✨ Summary
Technical setup aligns with improving fundamentals. A break above GETTEX:92K could lead to a sharp BTC rally. Monitor macro data and ETF flows.
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