USDTBTC trade ideas
LONG BTC TO 110K from 84k We have a weekly divergence with strong volume and double tap on the 50 EMA
Price should not close below the 50EMA TWO weeks in a row otherwise the bull run is over.
As we have defended this line on two attempts to break it and the last one was defended with strong volume, that suggests we have a bottom at 74k
There is also divergence on the daily chart on MACD and RSI. volume profile on the weekly for buying exceeds selling.
Daily chart has 3 clear drops from the peak of 110k so now time for a rise back to the upper band on the weekly chart.
We are above the 4 hour 50EMA and holding that line
shortH S,
Hello friends, considering Powell's speech last night and Bitcoin's quick reaction from 86 to 83, and the fact that they still predict that the market is under pressure and that interest rates may remain unchanged for now, we expect that in the first stage, the price will retreat towards the 60,000 channel in the weekly time frame and then attack again from around 65 to 68 to return the price to the ceiling. The markets have a lot of risks. Observe risk and capital management.
Bitcoin (BTC): Buyers Failing To Maintain Dominance Buyers are failing to hold the zone above the 200EMA on Bitcoin, where we are seeing a possible sharp sell-off happen very soon.
We saw some decent upward moves on smaller timeframes for the past few days, but those were nothing but liquidation hunts, and in such a scenario (especially near 200EMA), we usually see a strong sell-off to happen and that's what we are waiting for here.
Swallow Academy
BTCUSD - Another Dip Is Possible With This Count...Recent rejections at the highs have prompted a deeper analysis, and the findings are quite intriguing.
Based on a detailed wave review, there's a possibility we're currently trading within an expanded Wave B zig-zag pattern that has yet to find a bottom.
If this scenario holds and we see a break below the 83,000 support level, price could potentially decline toward the 74,517 area.
On the upside, resistance is observed at 86,506 and 85,493.
Sell BTC if below 83000We're still in a downtrend, and the prior low has been cleared, and in the pullback back we have a strong supply zone which has been tested 3 times! The 3rd time we have this little pattern, which will probably see a bearish breakout. If this happens, we can enter with the breakout and sell for 73000, which makes an R/R of 2. So if the support zone of 83000 is lost, it is a good time to sell.
What to consider when trading...
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This is my personal opinion, so it may differ from yours.
Please keep this in mind.
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So, how should I proceed with day trading?
When trading day trading, the first thing to consider is the trading volume.
Coins (tokens) with low trading volume should be avoided because volatility can occur in an instant, making it difficult to respond quickly and likely to result in losses.
Therefore, if possible, it is recommended to choose coins (tokens) with high trading volume.
The next thing to consider is the price of the coin (token).
If the price of the coin (token) becomes too high or too low, even if you sell it for profit, you may incur a loss.
Therefore, when trading a coin (token) with a very high price, you should trade with a longer time frame.
In other words, the increase should be high.
When trading a coin (token) with a very low price, you need to be persistent.
This is because the amount you want to trade is large, so the rise or fall may be slow.
The next thing to consider is the size of your trading funds.
If your trading funds are too small, you may not be able to enjoy trading because you will earn too little profit compared to the stress of trading.
If you lose the fun of trading like this, you will have difficulty continuing to trade or you will likely leave the investment market, so you need to be careful.
If you set the trading fund size too high, you can suffer a big loss with one mistake, so you must set a stop loss point and keep it.
You can find out how much trading fund size is right for you by looking at your psychological state when you trade.
If you think you are trading too boldly, it is better to think that the trading fund size is small and increase it little by little.
If you feel extremely anxious when you trade and incur a loss, it is better to reduce the trading fund size little by little.
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(BTCUSDT 30m chart)
Considering the above considerations (trading volume, price, trading fund size), you should continuously observe the selected coin (token) chart to check the movement at the support and resistance points.
To do this, you need to check whether there is support at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts when you meet the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, which can be the basis for starting a transaction, or when you have a trading strategy.
Usually, when the Trend Cloud indicator shows an upward trend while receiving support near the HA-Low indicator and rising, there is a high possibility of rising.
Therefore, you should consider whether to buy when the HA-Low indicator shows support.
And, when the HA-High indicator touches and falls, there is a high possibility of falling when the Trend Cloud indicator shows a downward trend.
Therefore, the area near the HA-High indicator corresponds to the first selling section.
In this way, you can conduct transactions within the sideways section trading within the HA-Low ~ HA-High section.
Then, when there is a movement that falls below the HA-Low indicator or rises above the HA-High indicator, you can conduct a transaction according to the trend.
Therefore, split trading is essential.
The basics of split trading are to sell half when you make a profit and set the stop loss at the principal price for the remaining half.
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This is something everyone knows, but it is not easy to follow.
Also, there are times when it is difficult to decide what to use as the standard for trading.
In such cases, as I mentioned, I recommend that you choose a coin (token) considering the trading volume, price, and trading fund size and continuously check the movement of the chart.
Even if you are not familiar with chart analysis, if you continuously look at the chart, there is a possibility that you will see movement.
However, you need prior knowledge on how to set the stop loss point.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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BTC SWING DOJI +OB LONGBTC is currently in a mini consolidation box, can breakout or breakdown, if it breaks down I plan to long the 79K 1H bullish OB, Its at support (Volume Profile) + its the Montly VAL, target would be the 89 Liquidity, watch out for reaction before entering, invalidation is very clear
BTC/USDT - Liquidity Trap in Progress: The Smart Money's Favorit🚨 Warning: This is not financial advice – this is a post-mortem for early longs.
📍 BTC is consolidating at the exact Point of Control (~84.200 USDT) – aka the zone of weak hands.
Tape shows consistent negative delta, falling Open Interest, and phantom volume.
🎯 Likely scenario in the next few hours:
Pump trap to 85.800 (liquidate aggressive shorts)
Reversal into oblivion down to 83.200 → 81.500
💣 Liquidity clusters are waiting at:
🔺 86.000 – 86.800: where retail longs dream of “breakout season”
🔻 82.000 – 81.500: where they go to rest in peace
⚙️ Pôncio Setup (a.k.a. Institutional Homicide Strategy):
Short Entry: 85.5K–85.8K (on rejection + weak delta)
SL: 86.2K (just above stop cluster)
TP1: 83.2K (first blood)
TP2: 81.5K (massacre zone)
🔮 If we get a deep sweep into 82K and trap sellers with a reversal spike in OI + green delta... maybe, just maybe, a long from hell is viable.
📈 Chart below shows expected price trajectory.
Trade safe. Or at least, trade interesting.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Daily AnalysisBitcoin (BTC/USDT) Daily Analysis – Buying Opportunity Ahead
📅 **Date:** April 16, 2025
📈 **Chart Timeframe:** 1D (Daily)
💹 **Pair:** BTC/USDT
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Chart Overview
Bitcoin has been forming a **falling wedge pattern** on the daily timeframe, which is typically a bullish reversal setup. After an extended correction from the $110,000+ zone, BTC appears to be finding strong support around a major **buying area** near the **$72,000–$76,000** range.
The chart shows confluence from multiple technical levels:
- Rising trendline support from past higher lows.
- Demand zone (highlighted in blue) aligned with historical support and accumulation zones.
- Price action nearing the **bottom of the wedge**, indicating a potential breakout.
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Technical Analysis
📌 Pattern: Falling Wedge
📌 Support Zone (Buying Area):$72,000 – $76,000
📌 Immediate Resistance: $88,000 – $90,000
📌 Major Resistance Zone: $108,000 – $112,000 (Supply zone in red)
📌 Trendline Support: Long-term trendline intact
Price Outlook & Prediction:
Based on the current setup:
1. **Price is likely to revisit the lower wedge boundary or the buying area** before making a strong move.
2. If the price successfully retests and holds above the **$72K–$76K demand zone**, it could mark a **bullish reversal**.
3. A breakout from the wedge would confirm bullish strength, potentially pushing BTC towards the **$96,000–$100,000** area in the medium term.
4. Eventually, we could see a retest of the **$108,000–$112,000 resistance**, where strong selling pressure previously emerged.
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Trading Plan:
🔵 Buy Entry (Swing Trade Idea):
> Watch for bullish price action confirmation or a retest bounce from the $72K–$76K zone.
🎯 **Target 1: $88,000
🎯 **Target 2: $96,000
🎯 **Target 3 (Long-term): $108,000+
🛑 Stop Loss:
> A daily close below $70,000 (to invalidate the bullish structure)
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Conclusion:
BTC is trading at a key technical juncture. With a well-respected trendline and a clear falling wedge structure, the upcoming days could present a high-probability buying opportunity for swing traders and investors. However, patience is key—wait for confirmation from the buying area or a clean breakout above the wedge.
Stay alert, and always manage your risk! 🚀
BTCUSD Signal Update (READ CAPTION)Hello Dear Traders Here is BTCUSD Signal in Bearish Side Share Your Opinions About it.
BTCUSD(Bitcoin) Can Further Drops to 82,000 to 80,000 I Have Identify Stop Loss At 86,100 Use Proper Trades with Proper Money Management This Analysis Is For Education Purpose Only.
Key Points :
Take Profit 1 : 82,000
Take Profit 2 : 80,000
Stop Loss : 86,000
Like & Comments .
BTC: Local Long Setup in Play
A leading diagonal (cLD) has formed on the chart — potentially completing wave A or 1. We're now seeing the development of a corrective wave B/2.
📍 Key demand zone: 82,000 – 80,000
This area is supported by:
• Fibonacci extensions
• VWAP and balance zone
• 4H BPR
• Strong volume cluster (profile-based)
⏳ This is a local setup, but if confirmed, it may kick off wave 3/C with a potential target at 90K+.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Crypto Risk Management: The Most Overlooked EdgeIn the thrilling yet unforgiving world of crypto, profit potential is massive—but so is the risk. Every trader or investor enters the space with dreams of 10x gains, but without a solid risk management strategy, many exit just as fast—with a trail of losses.
Risk management is the art of protecting your capital while giving yourself the best shot at long-term profitability. It’s not just a skill; it’s a survival strategy.
What Are the Risks in Crypto?
Crypto markets are unique—24/7, global, and driven by emotion, hype, and tech disruption. With that come several risk categories:
Market Risk – Volatile price swings can wipe out unprepared traders.
Liquidity Risk – Low-volume coins can be hard to exit during dumps.
Regulatory Risk – Government crackdowns or bans (e.g., Binance or XRP cases).
Security Risk – Hacks, rug pulls, phishing scams, and smart contract bugs.
Operational Risk – Mistakes like sending funds to the wrong address or using faulty bots.
These risks aren’t just theoretical—think of the LUNA/UST collapse or the FTX debacle. Billions were lost due to poor risk management at multiple levels.
🧠 Core Principles of Risk Management
To stay in the game long-term, you need to adopt some fundamental principles:
Preserve capital first, profit later.
Risk small, aim big.
Never risk more than you can afford to lose.
Think in probabilities, not certainties.
Be consistent, not lucky.
Even the best traders lose—but they survive because they manage their downside better than the rest.
🛠️ Tools & Techniques That Can Save Your Portfolio
1. ✅ Position Sizing
Don’t bet your whole stack on one trade. A common approach is to risk 1–2% of your portfolio per trade. That way, even a streak of bad trades won’t destroy your capital.
2. 🛑 Stop-Loss & Take-Profit
Always have predefined stop-loss levels to cut losses, and take-profit targets to lock in gains. Trading without a stop-loss is like driving without brakes.
3. 📊 Diversification
Spread your investments across different sectors (DeFi, AI, Layer 1s, etc.). Don’t rely on one narrative or one coin.
4. ⚖️ Leverage Control
Leverage can amplify gains—and losses. Avoid high leverage unless you’re an experienced trader with a tight plan.
5. 🔁 Portfolio Rebalancing
Adjust your allocations periodically. If one asset balloons in value, rebalance to lock in gains and manage exposure.
6. 💵 Using Stablecoins
Stablecoins like USDT, USDC, or DAI are great for hedging during volatility. Park profits or prepare dry powder for dips.
🧠 Psychological Risk: The Silent Killer
Many traders don’t lose due to bad analysis—they lose to emotions.
FOMO leads to buying tops.
Fear leads to panic selling bottoms.
Revenge trading after losses leads to bigger losses.
Greed blinds you from taking profits.
The key is discipline. Create a plan, follow it, and review your mistakes objectively.
🚫 Common Mistakes to Avoid
Going all-in on one trade or coin
Holding through massive drawdowns hoping for a recovery
Ignoring stop-losses
Overleveraging small positions to “win it all back”
Risk management is about avoiding unnecessary pain, not killing your gains.
🧭 Final Thoughts
The best traders in crypto aren't those who win big once—they're the ones who survive long enough to win over and over. Risk management is your edge in a market that respects no one.
Whether you’re a scalper, swing trader, or long-term HODLer, never forget: capital is your lifeline. Guard it with your strategy, protect it with your plan, and grow it with patience.
✍️ By Green Crypto
Empowering traders with analysis, tools, and education. Stay sharp. Stay profitable.
Warning: Bitcoin Is Being Manipulated!This so-called BTC bull run reeks of a setup. No bullish fundamentals, no real news, just empty candles pushed by invisible hands. Meanwhile, every major headline screams bearish — inflation, rate hike delays, global instability — and yet somehow, BTC is pumping? Give me a break.
This isn’t organic. It’s manufactured. A classic trap — engineered by market makers and backed by the Fed’s silent hand — to sucker in retail, bleed them dry, and dump it all back down. Sounds familiar? It should. This is 2008 all over again, just digitized and dressed in crypto.