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Bitcoin Analysis: A Break in the Uptrend – What’s Next? 25.01.10Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Today, we’re analyzing Bitcoin (BTC) and its recent market movements. Recent Bitcoin Trends Bitcoin has been facing resistance at the 99380 level (yellow box) since December 20, 2024. As mentioned in previous briefings, a breakout above this level could signal a potential trend reversal. The green box resistance zone aligns with the December 19, 2024 high of 102800, which has now become a critical resistance level. Following this resistance, one might wonder if Bitcoin's trend has fully reversed. The Break of the Long-Term Uptrend Bitcoin’s long-term uptrend, which began on October 10, 2024, broke down yesterday. This breakdown occurred in the orange box, marking a significant shift in momentum. Why Is This Concerning? Daily 60 EMA Resistance: Bitcoin is now facing resistance at the 60 EMA for the first time in a long while, indicating bearish sentiment. The last time Bitcoin faced resistance at the 60 EMA was in October 2024 (red box), right before the start of the previous uptrend. Support Breakdowns: Bitcoin appears to be breaking through key support levels, one by one. Key Support Zone: The green box range (90200–85160) is expected to provide strong support. However, if Bitcoin breaks below this zone, it would trigger: A breakdown below the daily Ichimoku Cloud. A full trend reversal, potentially opening the door to the yellow support line, approximately 26% lower than current levels. What Does Bitcoin Need for a Rebound? For Bitcoin to rebound, it must break above the orange box resistance at 100700. Why This Level Matters: A breakout above this level would signify a trend reversal. It would also push Bitcoin out of the Ichimoku Cloud on the daily chart, turning the cloud into a support zone rather than resistance. Conclusion Bitcoin has broken its long-term uptrend and the moving averages (20 EMA, 60 EMA) have shifted from support to resistance, indicating further downside risk. Key Support Zone: 90200–85160. If this zone holds, it could provide a strong foundation for a rebound. If it breaks, Bitcoin will likely enter a prolonged bearish phase. Currently, the trend is leaning bearish, and traders should keep a close watch on these critical levels to anticipate the next major move. 🚀
Short
by Greedy_allday
BTCUSDT IMPORTANT PRICE LEVEL BTCUSD currently formed an inside bearish candle and the daily ADL is moving horizontally (possible Distribution). The bullish scenario is to grab liquidity and continue the uptrend and the bearish scenario is to continue its decline toward the OB and balance multiple FVG blocks . If the daily close is outside the channel and below the 50% level then the price will have a higher probability to decline deeper but if the price touches the 50% level and grab liquidity and form an IFC candle then the up trend will have a higher probability to continue . The Weekly/Daily/4H market structure are still in a strong uptrend Good LUck
Long
by Alpha_54321
Short Sell Idea for BTCUSDT🚨 BTCUSDT Bearish Head & Shoulders Breakdown - Key Short Sell Opportunity! 🚨 📉 Technical Setup : BTCUSDT is currently trading at 92,553 , forming a classic Head & Shoulders pattern on the 1-Day Timeframe . This chart pattern is signaling a potential bearish reversal , indicating that the price may soon break lower. 🔑 Key Level to Watch : If BTCUSDT closes below 91,000 , we expect a significant downside move, confirming the bearish breakdown of the Head & Shoulders pattern. The price action is poised to target lower levels, making this an excellent short-selling opportunity. 💥 Short Sell Entry : - Entry Price : Short sell below 91,000 . - Confirmed Short Sell Zone : Ideal entry at around 90,500 if the close below 91,000 holds. 🎯 Target Areas : - Target Area 1 : 86,000 – Initial support zone. - Target Area 2 : 75,500 – Strong potential for a deeper correction, marking a key lower support. 🛑 Stop Loss : To manage risk, place a stop loss at 102,800 . This level will protect you from any unexpected bullish reversals that could invalidate the bearish setup. 🔮 Risk Management : Traders should monitor the market closely as the bearish momentum intensifies after breaking the neckline at 91,000. Keep stop-loss orders above **102,800** to protect against unexpected price movements. 🚀 Conclusion : BTCUSDT is on the verge of a potential downside breakdown following the Head & Shoulders formation. A daily close below 91,000 would trigger the next phase of the downtrend, and short sellers could aim for 86,000 and even 75,500. Stay alert and act accordingly! #BTC #BTCUSDT #HeadAndShoulders #CryptoTrading #BearishBreakout #CryptoAnalysis #ShortSell
Short
by Traders-Lounge
1
Bitcoin: A Bigger Crash Coming? What's Next?Bitcoin: A Bigger Crash Coming? What's Next? Bitcoin has reached a new all-time high of 108.5K, and it appears the price may have peaked. This assumption is based on BTC showing the completion of a large Head & Shoulders pattern, a powerful reversal pattern that can change the trend direction once confirmed. So far, BTC remains bullish, but this trend may not last for long. What's Next? You may watch the video for further details! Thank you!
Short
by KlejdiCuni
2
Bitcoin can exit from pennant and then start to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price a few moments ago broke the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and continued to move up next. Price rose to 108300 points (New ATH) and then started to decline in a triangle. In a short time, BTC fell to the 101800 level, broke it again, and then made a retest, after which continued to move down. Later, the price fell to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, and then bounced up, but soon turned around and declined back to the 93400 level. Then BTC turned around and rose to the resistance line of the triangle and then started to fall to the buyer zone. After it reached this area, the price some time traded inside and then rebounded up, thereby exiting from the triangle and continuing to grow in the pennant. In a pennant pattern, Bitcoin rose to the seller zone, after which it turned around and dropped to support line of this pattern. Recently it rebounded and now I expect that BTC can fall a little more, even exit from pennant, and then turn around and start to grow. For this case, I set my TP at 99000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
4
BTC - 1H PulllbackBitcoin has formed a bearish descending channel following a sharp bearish spike, indicating continued downward momentum. Currently, the price is showing signs of recovery and may rise towards the channel base around the $97,000 resistance zone. This resistance zone, marked by previous rejections and high selling pressure, is a critical area to monitor. It offers a potential opportunity to enter short positions if rejection signs are observed, with expectations of further declines from that zone. Traders should remain cautious and wait for confirmation of price action at the resistance before entering positions. Both bullish retracements and potential rejections at resistance offer opportunities for strategic trades. 🚀
by Sober_Trading
2
Wave Analysis Cheat Sheet: Master Technical Analysis Wave Analysis Cheat Sheet: 🌊 Master the Market with Ease What is Wave Analysis? Wave Analysis, developed in the 1930s by Ralph Nelson Elliott, breaks market cycles into predictable patterns 📊. These 13 recurring waves move prices in repetitive cycles but vary in size and timing. How It Works: 🔄 Market moves are cyclical: 5 waves 📈 follow the main trend (Motive Waves). 3 waves 📉 move against the trend (Corrective Waves). This framework helps traders forecast price movements and sharpen their entry and exit points 🎯. Key Wave Types 1. Motive Waves 🚀 Action waves that align with the dominant trend. 🔥 Impulse Waves: Strong price push, always in 5 sub-waves. 🌀 Diagonal Waves: A twist on Motive Waves, forming patterns like Leading or Ending Diagonals. 2. Corrective Waves 🔄 Reaction waves moving against the trend. 🛑 Cannot be divided into 5 waves (unlike Motive Waves). Common Types: Zigzag Waves ⚡: Sharp corrections that mimic an impulse. Flat Waves ➡️: Sideways corrections with sub-waves A-B-C. Triangle Waves 🔺: Consolidation patterns signaling continuation. Common Patterns in Wave Analysis Impulse Waves: Push prices 📈 in the trend direction. Rules: Wave 4 must NOT overlap Wave 1—strictly 5 sub-waves. Diagonal Waves: Motive Waves with unique structures 🌐, like Leading or Ending Diagonals. Corrective Waves: Push against trends 📉 with patterns like: Zigzags ⚡ (single, double, or triple). Flats ➡️ (regular, expanded, or running). Triangles 🔺 (contracting or expanding). Trading Insights 💡 Wave 3: The Trader’s Favorite Wave 3 often packs the most momentum 🔥—the perfect time to ride the breakout! Why Use Wave Analysis? 🌊 Wave Analysis isn’t just theory—it’s your key 🔑 to decoding market psychology and making smarter moves. By spotting patterns early, you can: Anticipate price moves 🎯. Maximize gains 📈. Minimize losses 📉. Use this cheat sheet as your go-to guide for riding the market waves 🌊🚀!
Education
by DCAChampion
BTC Not Looking GoodTeam, We have a blood diamond on the BTC 2 Day Chart. Typically when we get these on HTF, we should expect continuation of the downside movement for 4 - 6 bars. Which means next 7-10 days we will be dealing with a potential downward pressure. Be prepared. If we break the neck line of the potential H&S pattern that is forming, our target on the down side is early 80k. If we mirror the pattern we took to go up to 107k level to the down side as a measured move, as you can see on the chart our measured move take us down to SD 3 level of 76-77k. This will also fill the CME gap. What am I doing with my leveraged trading? I'm waiting in cash with limit orders for altcoins to take advantage of any significant moves to the down side. I have set up chart set ups similar to this bitcoin chart. On the BTC macro front, some important news just came out. And these usually lead us to major bottoms. Exact quoted news: “According to DB, the US government has been granted permission to liquidate 69,000 Bitcoins (worth $6.5 billion) seized from Silk Road, an official confirmed to DB News today. Notably, this comes less than two weeks after the new administration took office, which had promised not to sell the Bitcoins. The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) can sell 69,370 bitcoins seized from the Silk Road darknet marketplace, a federal judge ruled Dec. 30. The DOJ cited bitcoin’s price volatility as a reason for pushing for permission to sell the assets." DoJ is required to sell any cleared assets to cash, and transfer that cash to treasury once sold. USMS (US Marshal Service) has certain financial reporting processes that restrict withdrawals from its exchange account near the end of each month. This is why you usually see DOJ deposits to Coinbase prime earlier in the month. On top of that, liquidations are supposed to occur within 5 business days. So they’re supposed to do it quick after forfeiture, and 5 business days after notice to CB, but they’ve taken longer in the past. Point is window is closing quickly if it hasn’t already. That is, if they’re following their own rules.
by CryptoBreakers
BTC/USDT Breakout Strategy & Long SetupThe chart presents a clear structure for BTC/USDT on the 4-hour timeframe. After a significant retracement from the recent highs, BTC has formed a descending channel, which it has now broken out of, signaling potential bullish momentum. Chart Observations Descending Channel Breakout BTC was trading in a well-defined descending channel, consolidating near a critical demand zone. The breakout above this channel suggests a potential reversal in trend. Key Support Zone The price has respected the support range between $94,800 and $95,400, which aligns with a high-volume area and serves as a strong buy zone. Buyers have consistently stepped in here to defend this level. Demand Zone Test A retest of this support zone has provided a new opportunity to accumulate long positions. The candlestick wicks and volume activity indicate significant buying pressure in this area. Ascending Channel Formation Post-breakout, BTC is trading within an ascending channel, which offers potential upside targets as the price moves towards the upper resistance trendline. Short-Term Pullback Completed The previous bearish movement was capped at the support zone, with the "short position" trade closed as the price reversed into bullish territory. This reversal strengthens the case for a long position targeting higher levels. Volume and Momentum Increasing volume near the breakout and demand zone suggests that buyers are regaining control. Momentum indicators (not shown here) likely confirm this bullish bias. Key Insights for the Trade Idea Buy Zone The optimal entry for this trade is between $94,800 and $95,400, coinciding with the retest of the support zone and the lower trendline of the ascending channel. Stop Loss: A tight stop loss at $92,574 protects against downside risk while allowing room for natural price fluctuation. Targets: Gradual profit-taking is recommended at the following resistance levels, derived from Fibonacci extensions and key price levels. Targets 🎯: $96,333 – Immediate resistance and the first key level of profit-taking. $97,285 – Mid-range resistance within the ascending channel. $98,230 – Upper mid-point of the bullish channel. $99,212 – Close to psychological resistance and ascending channel boundary. $100,211 – Psychological round number and major resistance zone. Stop Loss $92,574: Positioned below the critical support zone to avoid invalidating the bullish setup. This setup presents a high-risk-to-reward opportunity with clear entry, exit, and risk management strategies. Adjust position size according to your trading plan and always adhere to risk management principles.
Long
by wolfchemist
1