USDTBTC trade ideas
Bitcoin I Monthly CLS I Key Level Order Block I Model 1I Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
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the metric is now at average valuesThe Pareto Principle states that 20% of efforts bring 80% of results. Currently, 20% of the network's offerings are at a loss, while 80% remain profitable. When the share of coins in profit exceeded 95-98%, the market became overheated and profit-taking began (yellow bars).
After the all-time high (ATH), the market cooled down, and the metric is now at average values.
Gold is cooling, digital gold = Going UPNow you can safely make a long. When real gold "cools down", digital gold starts to grow. I wrote about this yesterday:
Russia accumulated gold in 2019
Gold bull run by 2020
Russia started a war in 2022
China has been actively buying gold lately
A new war will start in 2026-27 from China
We all want peace.
Gold always predicted chaos
BTC - Not very Clear long Term!2H :
OBV broke out of structure. Acc/Dist shows some confusing Divergences regarding Lows or Highs. It signals, that we maybe reach the upper blue TL again. In that case: there must be a new volume TA to enter a high possible Short.
Green Box (Support). If this breaks with Confirmation ( high bearish volume with red Delta and high net shorts) then the next level will be lower blue box or Orange TL.
A spike to that hVn could be very possible if the price goes higher (within the channel).
If the Prices lingers/consolidates tool long on green box or lower blue TL with decreasing CVD and OI, then the probability that the hidden Bulls get exhausted is really high and the price breaks downward. Here we must watch more tools than just simple CVD+Price. Things like OBV, Open Interest, Net shorts and longs etc...
1H :
OBV on 1h shows a structure break too.
Daily POC : 85700
4H POC : about 8440
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BTC Usdt Crypto Short p.Dragon BTC: Strengthening, but Outflows Slow Down
Funding remains neutral, institutional activity is moderate
📉 Exchange Reserves: 2.4297M BTC (–0.11%)
💵 USD Reserves: $203.3B (–1.42%)
📥 Inflow: +27.09K BTC (+0.9%)
📤 Outflow: +29.68K BTC (+0.81%)
⚖️ Netflow: –2.58K BTC ➜ Still outflow, but weakening
🔎 Market Outlook:
BTC is in an accumulation phase but lacks strong impulsive demand
ETH is losing activity but supported by stable volume
XRP / TRX / SOL are overheated — potential for pullback / profit-taking
BNB showing surging activity and volume — watch for breakout towards $600+
BTC Crypto Futures Trade Plan 2025-04-15BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Technical Analysis Synthesis:
Price Position Relative to Moving Averages: The current price of BTC ($83,690.70) is below the SMA (50) at $84,306.36 and significantly below the SMA (200) at $87,550.48, indicating a potential bearish trend. However, it is above the SMA (20) at $82,722.04, suggesting some near-term support. RSI Readings: With an RSI (14) of 50.32, BTC is neither in overbought nor oversold territory, indicating a neutral condition that does not strongly suggest a specific direction based on momentum alone. Bollinger Band Position and Width: The price is closer to the lower band ($77,705.82) than the upper band ($87,738.25), which could suggest oversold conditions or pending volatility. The bandwidth is relatively wide, indicating higher volatility. Key Support/Resistance Levels: Significant support is around the lower Bollinger Band ($77,705.82) and resistance near the SMA (50) and upper Bollinger Band.
Market Sentiment Integration:
Market Sentiment Data: The funding rate of 0.0000% suggests a neutral sentiment among futures traders, indicating no strong bias towards long or short positions. News Impact: Recent news has had mixed impacts, but overall, the market seems to be consolidating rather than trending strongly in one direction. On-Chain Metrics: Without specific on-chain data provided, it's challenging to assess sentiment directly from these metrics. However, historical price action suggests a potential for bearish continuation given the inability to surpass key resistance levels. Funding Rates and Open Interest: The zero funding rate indicates a balanced market, but without open interest data, it's difficult to gauge the market's overall positioning and potential for future moves.
Directional Determination:
Based on the technical analysis and market sentiment integration, the market direction appears to be Moderately Bearish. The price action below key moving averages, the failure to break through resistance, and the mixed sentiment data contribute to this assessment.
Trade Strategy Selection:
Given the moderately bearish outlook, a short position could be considered. The entry price would ideally be at or near the current price ($83,690.70), with a stop-loss above the SMA (50) or a recent high, and a take-profit target near significant support levels or based on a risk-reward ratio.
Trade Execution Plan:
Entry Price: $83,690.70 Stop-Loss: $85,000 (above the SMA (50) to account for potential resistance) Take-Profit: $80,000 (a significant support level based on historical price action) Position Size: 1 (assuming a unit size for simplicity; actual sizing should be based on risk management principles) Entry Timing: At market open, to capitalize on the potential bearish momentum indicated by the technical and sentiment analysis.
Risk Assessment:
Potential Downside Risk: Significant, given the volatile nature of cryptocurrency markets. Market Volatility Impact: High volatility could either amplify gains or losses. Correlation with Other Assets: BTC's movement can be correlated with other cryptocurrencies but may also be influenced by broader market sentiments. Liquidity Conditions: Assuming adequate liquidity for the trade, given BTC's status as a major cryptocurrency.
JSON Trade Plan:
{ "instrument": "BTC", "direction": "short", "entry_price": 83690.70, "stop_loss": 85000, "take_profit": 80000, "confidence": 0.60, "size": 1, "entry_timing": "market_open" }
Risk Warning:
Trading crypto futures with leverage is extremely risky and can result in significant losses. This strategy should only be used with proper risk management and position sizing. The provided plan is based on technical and sentiment analysis and should be adapted to individual risk tolerance and market conditions.
Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
BTC - small scalp exampleTrying to keep this one short:
BTC took the weekend highs, only entry was market in when getting back below the level. Which is usually how I trade, but I had ETH short already and was fine keeping it that way.
Now internal structure is at an important low:
- mark the last high (sweep high)
- mark the high before that, that got broken
- the low in between those would signal internal break if broken
now price is very weak, but we look for a low-hold to keep structure + price pushing into supply on futures open.
keeping it really tight, if we lose this internal structure, it's much more likely that we take the weekend lows as well, from where we can look for a new setup.
tp into the orderblock that preceded the breakdown, tp1 around first resistance at 84.5
Don't worry Shortterm scenarios for BTC BTC Price Action Analysis: Short-Term Correction Insight
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently undergoing a short-term correction, likely heading towards the $78K zone to retest its demand area. This is a natural move in market structure, so there’s no need to panic. The retest of this level could provide the necessary momentum for a bounce back toward the upside, aligning with Scenario 1, which appears more probable at this stage.
In a worst-case scenario (Scenario 2), BTC might drop further and potentially make a new low around the $68K–$70K range, but the probability of this seems lower. Personally, I lean more toward the idea of BTC stabilizing near $78K–$79K and resuming its upward trend from there.
However, trading is never 100% predictable. Risk management is key, especially if you're using leverage. If you have any open long positions, consider closing at breakeven if the market moves against you—you might be on the wrong side of the trade.
Stay cautious, stay informed, and always trade smart.
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BTC/USDT Analysis – Shorts in FocusHello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics’ trader-analyst with your daily analysis.
Yesterday and today, Bitcoin continued to trade sideways and even attempted to break the local high, but was met with market selling pressure.
At the moment, we still prioritize the short scenario. Around the ~$84,700 level, we observed a battle between buyers and sellers. If the price consolidates below this level, it will confirm the bearish scenario and we’ll look for a move down to the next buy zone.
If buyers strongly defend this level, we may retest the local high.
Sell zones:
$85,600–$88,000 (absorption of aggressive buying),
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volume),
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes),
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies).
Buy zones:
$82,700–$81,400 (volume zone),
Level at $74,800,
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume).
What do you think will happen first?
A full breakout through the sell zone and continuation of the uptrend, or a correction?
Share your thoughts in the comments — would be interesting to compare views!
This post is not financial advice
Bitcoin Bullish Bat Harmonic Forming – Breakout Imminent!?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) then reached $85,500 , as I expected in my previous post .
Today, I want to share with you a short-term analysis of Bitcoin , and Bitcoin can break the Important Resistance line !
Bitcoin is trading near the Support zone($83,880-$82,380) and Support lines .
Bitcoin is likely to start rising again with the help of the Bullish Bat Harmonic Pattern .
I expect Bitcoin to start rising again either with the help of the Bullish Bat Harmonic Pattern or near the Support lines and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($82,426-$81,439) . The first target could be the important resistance line , and if it breaks, it looks like Bitcoin could break the resistance zone ($87,520-$85,840 ) as well.
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $86,624-$85,486
Note: To break the Important Resistance line , we need a candle with high volume at least on the 4-hour time frame , like the Bullish Marubozu candle ; otherwise, it is probably we will see fake break . Since this line is of great importance, it is better to look for a confirming candle on the 4-hour time frame as well ( even a Doji candle with a small green body ).
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $81,000, we can expect further declines.
Do you think Bitcoin can break the Important Resistance line!?
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Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
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BTC Next MovementThis is my vision for BTC.
Let's have a look at the following chart made up of eight waves (five heading up and three trending downward) labeled 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, A, B, and C.
Waves one, two, three, four, and five form an impulse, and waves A, B, and C form a correction. The five-wave impulse, in turn, forms wave one at the next-largest degree, and the three-wave correction forms wave two at the next-largest degree.
The corrective wave normally has three distinct price movements—two in the direction of the main correction (A and C) and one against it (B). In the figure above, waves two and four are corrections.
BTCUSDT shortBTCUSDT has notably deviated from the 4-hour EMA50 — by as much as 2.8%, which is a significant move for this asset.
Additionally, the daily EMA50 is acting as strong resistance, holding the price down.
I expect a pullback within the next couple of days — key levels are marked on the chart.
Want to track such deviations automatically? Send me a DM — I’ll grant you access to the indicator.
Bitcoin's latest strategy analysisUpon analyzing the daily chart, I spotted a falling wedge pattern and a confirmed breakout above its upper boundary.
The final hurdle for buyers is the resistance level between 8,7478 and 88799 on a daily chart.
If the bulls are able to surpass and close above this level, it will be a significant bullish signal.
This could lead to a continuation of the bullish trend, possibly reaching the next resistance level.
Bitcoin can exit from wedge and then drop to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Earlier, the price was moving inside a broad horizontal range, with clear rejections from both support and resistance. The lower boundary of this range was located near the support level at 81200 points, and the market found solid footing there. After a series of bounces, BTC gradually started to grow, breaking out of the lower range and forming a new short-term trend. The growth accelerated after the price exited the buyer zone, leading to the development of an upward wedge. Within this pattern, BTC continued climbing and eventually broke through interim resistance levels, reaching new local highs. The current movement shows clean reactions to the support and resistance lines of the wedge, with the price respecting the structure closely. Now, BTC is approaching the resistance level at 88500, which aligns with the upper boundary of the previous range and borders the seller zone. The combination of this resistance and the narrowing wedge formation increases the probability of a bearish reversal. Given this setup, I expect BTC to reverse soon and continue moving down toward the 81200 support level, which remains my current TP1. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
HelenP. I Bitcoin will rebound from trend line and drop to $80KHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. After multiple attempts to break through the resistance zone between 88500 and 89800 points, Bitcoin continues to respect the upper boundary of the descending wedge. The price remains confined within this structure, with each test of the trend line resulting in a rejection. The most recent rally brought Bitcoin back into the resistance area and right up to the trend line once again, but the breakout didn’t happen. Earlier, Bitcoin bounced strongly from the support zone between 80000 and 78800 points, forming a local bottom before initiating its move upward. However, even after this strong bounce, the price still failed to break above the trend line, confirming that bearish pressure remains active. The resistance zone has rejected the price four times, reinforcing its significance. Currently, BTCUSDT is trading just below the trend line and inside the wedge. Given the repeated failures to break higher, the strong supply zone, and the continuation of the downward pattern, I expect Bitcoin to reverse again and fall back toward the 80000 level. That's why this level is my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️