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BTC $95,105 is as low as it gets!BTC Analysis (3D) 12/18/2024 It's likely one of these two scenarios for BTC plays out. Depending on the FOMC it could get invalidated but this is what I'm seeing on the charts at the moment. • Slow grind to 120-130k or • Retrace slightly to about 95K where we almost certainly will get SOME bounce, as that is where the preliminary fib line lies on the DFR as well as an anchored VWAP and it matches with the anchored Volume Profile (Im positive one of the MAs is also in this range). If this level holds, we will most likely create a new ATH at $120,000+ Thoughts?
Long
by poolsideliquidity
Advanced Technical Analysis of Bitcoin's Price MovementCurrent Situation: Bitcoin has reached a major resistance zone at $42,000 with an RSI of 81, indicating an overbought condition. Profit-Taking Scenario: People who bought Bitcoin around 24k avg or 40k avg (making around 100% profit or taking the change out) might start selling, leading to a potential price drop. Possible Price Movements: If a red candle appears, indicating a selling trend, the price might drop to approximately 24k Alternatively, there could be a pump towards the $48,000 zone, followed by a correction towards the $31,000 level. Future Predictions: During the Bitcoin halving and ETF (Exchange-Traded Fund) approval, the price potentially with time will reach 69k Following this, I expect the formation of an inverse head and shoulders and a cup and handle pattern, potentially leading Bitcoin towards the $100,000 zone. ABCD and Expanding Triangle Patterns: from $69,000 to $14,000 suggests a retest of the A and C zones. Additionally, an expanding triangle pattern indicates movement towards point E. Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor, indicating that this is a personal analysis and not professional financial advice
by MarketPax
6
BTCUSDT. Where to expect the buyer’s resumption?Hey traders and investors! On the 4-hour timeframe, there is a sideways range. The lower boundary is 90,500, and the upper boundary is 104,088. The buyer effectively broke out above the upper boundary in the 12-13 vector. The seller returned the price to the range, and the buyer resumed from the 103,333 level, forming a test level. Below this test level is the buyer’s zone (green rectangle on the chart, upper boundary of the zone is 102,540). If the buyer does not defend the 103,333 test level, the next buyer resurgence is possible from the buyer’s zone, most likely in the 100,500-102,000 range. The third possible place for a buyer’s resurgence is around 50% of the last buyer’s impulse: 98,574 on the 4-hour timeframe and 99,426.5 on the daily timeframe. Considering the three buyer interest zones and the buyer's trend on the daily timeframe, searching for sell opportunities based on the 13-14 vector within the sideways range, with a potential target of 94,150 (90,500), is risky. I wish you profitable trades.
by AlexeyWolf
Bitcoin's Next Move: Key Levels to Watch and Strategy InsightsWe anticipate Bitcoin to rise from $93,526.2 to $111,949.0 based on volume analysis Plan Based on Closing Near the Target Level Closing Above the Target ($111,949.0): If a daily candle closes above this level, further upside is expected, with the price continuing to rise by the same percentage increase as the current move. We will update the targets and strategy accordingly if this scenario unfolds. Closing Below the Target ($111,949.0): If a daily candle closes below this level, the price is likely to retest the target level. In this case, it is advisable to exit the position to avoid risks associated with increased market volatility. Risk Management and Trade Discipline Stop Loss: Always adhere to the predefined stop-loss level, regardless of the scenario, to protect your capital and avoid significant losses. Trade Management: Consider splitting the target into partial levels to secure profits incrementally during the move. Use support and resistance zones as additional confirmation signals to manage risk. Conclusion: The current price action suggests a strong opportunity for an upward move, but the success of the plan depends on closing near the specified targets. Strict discipline and effective risk management are crucial for achieving positive results in this trade.
Long
by luta_ksa
Swing thesis by Titan_Karma (low % of confidence lvl)Investment Thesis Market Overview: The cryptocurrency market is currently quiet, with no significant news driving sentiment. This leaves Bitcoin (BTC) dependent on technical and financial indicators for direction. Traders should adopt a cautious approach and stay updated for any developments that could shift momentum. Market Sentiment Analysis: Bullish Long-term Sentiment: Over the past month, an increase in long positions indicates confidence among top traders. Short-term Weakness: 1-hour and 4-hour timeframes reveal a shift towards short positions, signaling bearish sentiment in the immediate term. This mixed outlook suggests the possibility of short-term pullbacks while maintaining an overall positive trajectory. Technical Analysis: Daily Chart: Indicators like the RSI and Stochastic Oscillator are in overbought territory, hinting at a potential pullback or consolidation. However, the MACD remains positive, showing that bullish momentum is still in play. Short-term Timeframes (1h & 4h): RSI levels are near neutral, and the 1-hour MACD has turned negative, signaling possible weakness in the short term. Traders should monitor these indicators closely for trend changes. Fundamental Analysis: BTC has shown strong upward momentum over the past few months, backed by rising trading volumes and sustained market interest. However, the absence of fresh news and current mixed signals warrant caution, particularly around potential resistance levels. Risk Management Strategy: Given the conflicting signals: Stop-loss: Tighten stops at $104,000 to lock in profits. Take-profit: Aim for $110,000, based on key resistance levels. Key Indicators: Watch the RSI and MACD closely for any signs of trend continuation or reversal. Trade Recommendation: The recommendation is to HOLD/BUY, focusing on the longer-term bullish trend while managing short-term volatility. Confidence remains moderate at 78%, reflecting mixed sentiment. Adjust stop-loss and take-profit targets based on real-time market developments to optimize risk-reward.
Long
by titankarma
BTC Buying Zone Identified Entry Zone: $103,926 🔒 Stop Loss: $103,908 💡 Risk to Reward: A solid 1:5 setup This might feel tight—yes, the SL is low or even on the lower wick—but this zone holds the potential for a massive bounce. With precise execution and patience, it could lead to a powerful risk-to-reward payoff. Why This Zone? Demand Cluster: A high-probability area for buyers to step in. Wick Sensitivity: Indicates where liquidity resides, making it an ideal SL placement for a calculated move. 1:5 RR Potential: Balances risk while targeting exponential upside gains. ⚠️ Caution: Market dynamics can be volatile. Stick to your plan and always assess your risk tolerance! What’s your take on this setup? Are you hopping in, or do you have a different zone in mind? 🚀 Drop your strategy below! 👇
Long
by ashwani500
BTC Technical Analysts Your beauty is simplicity! Let's not complicate it at all It has 3 modes: 1. The bit range is between 101 and 108500, then the altcoins can get a boost, so we go to the altcoins. 2. Beit Mirizeh: We have nothing to do with him in this situation (the donkey has not bitten us, so we have to go and open our panties) 3. The bit will be bullish because the RSI may also go into saturation and we can see a big beautiful green candlestick So we can have a beautiful long in the lower time frame. Conclusion: Bit goes up, we go with it, if it doesn't go up, we go to altcoins the end
by Mohammad_Ak2310