Adjustments for Better ReadingsMany traders rely on technical indicators to identify opportunities for profit—that's the whole point of this game. Whether it’s scalping, day trading, swing trading, or shorting the market, most trading decisions are based on indicator readings—be it a single indicator or a combination of several.
But here’s the truth: not all traders truly understand what an indicator is. They don’t grasp its nature—let alone the fact that this nature can be adjusted.
Those who don’t understand how or why an indicator works often find themselves in stressful and uncomfortable situations. It’s no coincidence that we often hear the common phrase: “Only 1% of all traders succeed, while 80% blow their accounts, and the remaining 19% barely break even.”
Why? Because the elite traders understand something most don’t:
Whether an indicator is leading or lagging, it can be customized to behave differently across different timeframes.
These adjustments can be found in the settings section of every indicator.
Let’s take the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which I’ve mentioned in previous ideas. Some of you may have noticed that my RSI plot looks different from yours. That’s because I don’t use the default 14-period RSI, which averages out the last 14 candles.
RSI is naturally lagging by default—but that doesn’t mean it can’t be trusted. In fact, with the right adjustments, that lagging nature can become leading. Learn how to do this. Push yourself. Educate your mind. Master this, and you might just find yourself among the top 1%.
Markets react to signals—signals that are often hidden in plain sight, created by the big players who always leave behind footprints. This is the trader’s true skill: seeing the whole picture.
A good friend once told me: Be a detective.
Now let’s go to the chart.
We clearly see a bearish strength unfolding.
Not only is the 9-period RSI plot trending below the yellow 28-period Weighted Moving Average (WMA), but we also observe a healthy continuation of the downtrend, confirmed by the WMA itself.
Using a 9-period RSI gives faster signals, while the 28 WMA offers smoother confirmations. This combo is applied on the daily timeframe—but every timeframe has its own ideal settings.
Now, when the RSI plot trends above the WMA, this can act as a potential reversal signal or even a confirmation of a trend change, depending on the broader market structure and volume context. It's not just about the crossover—it’s about what follows next. That’s where the detective work begins.
What do we see today?
Looking solely at the daily timeframe, the downtrend seems far from over. But to analyze it professionally, we must wait for the candle of Friday, June 6th, 2025 to close.
Switching to the lower timeframes, we see something interesting—a sort of bullish dominance unfolding during this incomplete trading day. But the real question is: Is it actual dominance?
Let’s break it down:
We have a clearly formed Head & Shoulders pattern.
The bearish Marubozu candle from June 5th made a new lower low (LL).
But—it did not close below the key swing low at 100.718.
Therefore, the Head & Shoulders pattern is not confirmed—it hasn’t broken and closed below that swing level.
So what’s happening in the lower timeframes?
In the 4-hour timeframe, we’re seeing a real-time crossover above the WMA (though the session isn’t closed yet).
In the 1-hour timeframe, the crossover has already occurred.
Now, such a crossover—where the RSI plot moves above the WMA—can often act as an early signal for a reversal, or at the very least, indicate a strong pullback. But don’t take it at face value—context is king. This is why we pair it with other signals like divergence, price action, and volume behavior for confirmation.
Across the 4H, 3H, and 1H timeframes, we’re observing this bullish pullback, yet it’s accompanied by an RSI Hidden Bearish Divergence (see: Macro Noise vs Micro Truth: The Art of Hidden Divergences).
Is this pullback a true reversal?
According to Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) (read: VSA vs BTC: Into a Bearish Scenario or Not?), a new narrative is emerging—but not without contradiction.
Price is climbing, yes.
But bullish volume spikes are declining, supporting our RSI hidden divergence. This volume-price disagreement is a clue.
What will reveal the truth?
Today's closing candle.
If price action (PA) creates a higher high (HH) but RSI creates a lower high (LH) → Bearish Divergence
If RSI makes a HH but PA creates a LH → Hidden Bearish Divergence
And for those of you who truly understand market structure:
The 100.718 level was a buy opportunity to secure profits.
If you caught that—congratulations. You’ve done your homework.
Now, you can sit back, relaxed, and wait for the next signal.
The market is a breathing organism. If you’re in sync with it—you’ll feel it.
And for those who believe there’s more to learn—but are struggling to find answers—there’s no shame in asking questions.
Till next time, take care—and trade wisely.
P.S. RSI plot, WMA, candlestick patterns, and Volume Spread Analysis (VSA)—when combined and used properly—can become a powerful toolset. For those willing to go deeper, they’re more than enough.
USDTBTC trade ideas
BTC Tactical rebound or flush? Decision point at $103700 support__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
➤ Strong overall momentum across all swing/weekly timeframes, clear advantage to buyers.
➤ Key support at 103,700–104,000 USDT (chart/on-chain confluence, maximum visibility on all timeframes).
➤ Major technical resistance zone at 111,000–112,000 USDT (ATH + HTF pivots).
➤ Volumes normal to moderate, no directional climax or emotional excess in short and mid-term.
➤ Risk On / Risk Off Indicator remains strongly positive, indicating persistent sector outperformance.
➤ Only short-term weakness detected: temporary bearish trend on 2H/1H/30min/15min, typical of a short-term flush within a bullish structural context.
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Strategic Summary
➤ Main bias: Bullish for swing approaches as long as $103,700 holds on closing.
➤ Opportunity: Buy on support on any retest 103,700–104,000 USDT with stop <102,000 USDT.
➤ Partial target: Take profits at 105–106k, then 111–112k.
➤ Risk zones: Confirmed break below 103,700 USDT with high volume = potential flush to 97–98k or even 95–96k.
➤ Catalysts: Quiet macro calendar until NFP (06/06) & FOMC (mid-June) — increased monitoring as these events approach.
➤ Action plan: Tactical intervention on support pullback, reduce exposure before major events.
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Multi-Timeframe Analysis
1D/1W : Major structure fully bullish. No underlying reversal, stable volume, solid momentum. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator fully “On Risk”, no behavioral excess.
12H/6H: Sector momentum and volumes validate all swing-long entries on dips. Key supports 103,700–104,000 USDT consistently defended across timeframes.
4H/2H: Bullish bias maintained, healthy structure. Slight intraday weakness: 2H softens, moderately high volumes without extremes.
1H/30m/15m: Short-term bearish bias across all LTF — profit taking impact, typical technical flush on support. Bearish signals do NOT invalidate HTF bullish trend, but require tactical vigilance.
Risk Summary: A fast drop below 103,700 USDT with volume would validate a flash liquidation scenario to 97–98k. Pullback in mature bull phase, strongly defended at the key support: timing for “mean reversion” on volume reaction, else wait for lower setups.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Still “On Risk”, strong tech/growth sector momentum on daily/swing.
ISPD: No behavioral excess, neutral/median histogram across timeframes.
Volumes: Normal/moderate, no exhaustion spike nor major selling.
On-chain: Mature distribution, LTH profit-taking; key supports at $103,700, $97,100, $95,600.
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Strategic Synthesis & Bias
Market in mature bullish consolidation, HTF structure robust as long as 103,700 USDT holds.
Active opportunity window until NFP & FOMC: prioritize swing/mean-revert setups.
Required stop for any trade: strictly below $102,000.
Smart monitoring of volumes & sentiment: confirmed support break + volume = wait for lower rebound.
No excessive panic or exuberance signals: strong RR if re-entering the main range.
Actively manage exposure approaching macro events.
Operational summary:
• Buy at 103,700–104,000 USDT, stop <102,000.
• Partial profits at 105–106k, final offload at 111–112k.
• Reduce exposure ahead of NFP/FOMC.
• If break of 103,700 USDT: stop and wait for $97–98k or $95–96k.
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Analysis No. 71 btc 4hWelcome to KING BTC 3. In the previous long-term analysis, we expected to see 88,000, which is still not unreasonable. However, in the previous one-hour analysis, we expected a rise to 106,800-109,000, which was the first target. However, in this analysis, we expect a price decrease from 104,400-105,800 to 98,000-99,000, then a price increase to the peak in the numbers 109,500-111,800, and from there, embrace the number 88,000. This is just a possibility.
BTC projection- in a bigger picture!What I see is a close resemblance to the previous double tops on monthly chart. We are currently printing the same. If June goes red confirming the double top, we might go visit the past.
This is self explanatory so I am not adding more details.
Chart invalidates if we close above the previous months high.
What a week! FRIDAY SCALP IDEAWhat a profitable week we've had!
As the week winds down, be mindful not to overtrade and risk giving back your hard-earned gains. Consider de-risking any open trades where possible, and be prepared to sit tight—weekends typically bring low volume and choppy price action.
At this point, the only trade setup I’m considering is a lower high continuation, as shown in the diagram. However, caution is warranted due to the daily SFP. If the current supply zone fails to hold, we could dip deeper into the old range, potentially breaking 4H structure.
Let’s see how it plays out.
I’ll see you all later today for class and next week for more setups, more training, and a deeper understanding of the markets.
Have a great weekend!
#btcusdt With all this news, it's time for a break for Bitcoin.I see a head and shoulders on the chart. What about you? If there was going to be a big, very big news, what do you think that news could be? I think Elon Musk and Trump are going to complicate this game for us a lot, but first and foremost, we have to accept that we have come to the age of technology and the future will be shaped by decentralized networks and blockchain chains. #btc #bitcoin
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis – 15-Min Chart | Short-Term Bearish The current price action of Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) shows a sustained bearish trend within a well-defined descending channel. Following a temporary bullish correction in the form of a rising channel, the price faced strong resistance around the $107,000–$110,500 supply zone and is now showing signs of a bearish breakout.
📉 Key Technical Observations:
A clear rejection from the upper resistance zone has led to a breakdown below the rising correction channel.
Immediate support zones are identified around $99,600 (TP1) and $94,300 (TP2), where price may potentially stabilize or bounce.
The bearish momentum remains dominant unless a strong reversal above $107,000 occurs.
📌 Scenarios to Watch:
Bearish Scenario: Price could continue falling toward TP1 and possibly TP2 if momentum holds and no strong reversal signals appear.
Bullish Reversal Scenario: A bounce from support levels with higher lows and a break above $107,000 could signal the beginning of a new bullish phase.
🔔 Disclaimer:
This analysis is intended for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and risk assessment before making any trading decisions.
BTC v DXY📊 Updated Analysis: BTC vs DXY
🔺 BTC Chart (Top Panel)
Price is near previous ATH resistance (~$110k).
Momentum is slowing as shown by the bearish divergence on RSI (RSI trending lower while price stays flat or rises).
However, BTC has not broken down; it’s still in consolidation near highs — not rejection.
🔻 DXY Chart (Bottom Panel)
DXY had a mini rally from ~100 to ~110 but is now pulling back slightly.
If DXY forms a lower high and breaks down, that would typically support a BTC rally.
If DXY resumes strength, BTC may consolidate longer or correct.
🧠 Can BTC Sustain a Multi-Year Bull Run with DXY in View?
Yes — if DXY weakens.
🟢 Bull Run Case:
If DXY breaks below 100, this could trigger a major capital rotation into risk assets, including BTC.
BTC above $112k with falling DXY = probable start of a parabolic rally (think $150k+).
🔴 Bearish Risk:
If DXY finds strong support (~98–100) and begins rallying again, especially beyond 110–112, BTC could enter a mid-cycle correction.
🔭 Watch These Levels:
BTC: Break/close above $112k = bull continuation. Breakdown below ~$85k = caution.
DXY: Close below 100 = major BTC bullish signal. Close above 112 = danger zone for crypto.
Was that end of bull run? BTC Price action + signal!Hello everyone! i want share my idea + signal at bitcoin.
I'll make simple technical analysis, yesterday bitcoin test 106500 LVL but i think sellers are still strong and they will brake that support zone and then we have 101000-100000 support zone where we can see real buyers if we are still in bull trend. in my opinion bear trend will start soon.
Why bitcoin made new high? with technical it tested 1 week FVG and it worked well but what happened exactly?
Despite the high, profit-taking is evident. On-chain data shows $4.02B in volume from 1–5y holders (highest since February), suggesting old hands are selling into strength. ETF inflows slowed this week, and the Fear & Greed Index at 74 (“Greed”) signals potential overheating. If $100K fails, a deeper correction to $90K–$87K could confirm a short-term bear trend.
Institutional Adoption: Highlighted $40B+ ETF inflows and corporate buying (e.g., MicroStrategy), as these are major drivers of the $111,880 high on May 22, 2025.
Regulatory Tailwinds: Noted Trump’s re-election and SEC speculation, which markets priced in as bullish.
Halving & Scarcity: Linked the April 2024 halving to reduced supply, supported by on-chain data showing low exchange inflows.
Macro Factors: Tied Fed rate cuts and BTC’s “digital gold” narrative to the rally, as these are widely discussed in 2024–2025.
Added on-chain evidence ($4.02B volume from older holders) to support your view of profit-taking and seller strength.
Noted slowing ETF inflows and high Fear & Greed Index (74) to justify a potential correction, aligning with your bearish outlook.
Suggested $100K as a critical level to watch, with a break below signaling a deeper drop to $90K–$87K, giving traders a clear risk framework.
This is not long term, short signal but for few days it will be good, we have FOMC soon and it will show us real bitcoin price direction.
Open short at 1075000
Stop loss at 109000
Take profit at 101000
Always make your own research!!!!
for collaboration text me Private!!!
Bitcoin Analysis – Possible Scenarios🟠 Price is consolidating around 104,500, sitting right on the short-term ascending trendline. No clear breakout yet.
🔴 Supply Zones:
1️⃣ OB 1H:📍 107,800 – 108,600📌 Strong rejection zone that led to the current decline.
2️⃣ OB 4H:📍 106,100 – 107,500📌 Key resistance zone – a valid break above may trigger bullish continuation.
3️⃣ Upper OB 1H:📍 110,700 – 111,400📌 Higher resistance to watch in case of strong breakout.
🟢 Demand Zones:
1️⃣ FVG 1H:📍 103,900 – 104,300📌 Price is nearing this imbalance zone – bullish reaction expected if support holds.
2️⃣ Lower FVG 1H:📍 99,900 – 100,700📌 If current support fails, this is the next strong liquidity zone.
📊 Possible Scenarios:
1️⃣ Bounce from current trendline & FVG → move toward OB 4H (buy setup with confirmation)
2️⃣ Break below trendline → deeper pullback into 100K zone
3️⃣ Breakout above OB 4H → target next resistance at 108,600 and above
‼️ Wait for confirmation before jumping in – price action is at a decision point.
🔍 Insight by ProfitaminFX
If this outlook aligns with your bias, or if you see it differently, feel free to share your perspective in the comments. Let’s grow together 📈
Bitcoin - Secret pattern no one talks about, drop below 100k!The price of Bitcoin is currently in a downtrend. We can see that the price is inside this secret descending channel that really no one talks about. As long as we are in this channel, Bitcoin remains bearish, and we can expect a huge drop in the short term! So what is the plan?
Currently I recommend entering a short position and taking profit at around the bottom of the previous symmetrical triangle. Do not forget that triangles always act like a magnet for whales! Usually the price wants to take liquidity above and below triangles, so be careful. There is an extremely high chance of sweeping liquidity below this symmetrical triangle. Triangles are also printed by the market maker to engage retail traders in trading.
The whole crypto market, especially Bitcoin, is manipulated by banks and huge institutions. They control the price and all movements on the charts, so you want to learn techniques on how to spot whale movements and where retail traders have their orders to become a successful trader! This can take a few years of education.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, it looks like we are ready for another leg down after the bears break the local red trendline. At this point, I marked it as a complex correction, but there are multiple scenarios on what could happen in the near future.
Currently I am bearish on Bitcoin and expect prices below 100,000. Always use technical analysis to confirm your bias.
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Is Bitcoin Repeating Its 2021 Price Action? | TRADEDOTSWe’ve observed that Bitcoin CME:BTC1! appears to be repeating a previous wave pattern. If it follows its historical price action yet again, here’s what we might expect:
2021 Comparison
Back in 2021, Bitcoin formed two large rounded wave structures where the second wave exceeded the first, forming two consecutive all-time highs followed by a huge drawdown. This year’s price action looks very similar to the beginning of the second 2021 waves. If it continues to unfold in the same way, we anticipate a new all-time high before the end of this year, followed by a notable pullback into early next year.
Key Support at $96,000
As long as BTC holds above $96,000, the bullish trend remains intact. This level has shown great demand and volume support, reinforcing its role as the floor for the short-term uptrend.
Upside Potential to $117,000
If buyers continue to support the market above $96,000, BTC could reach the $117,000 region, setting another all-time high. This expectation follows the earlier wave pattern seen earlier this year and completes a close parallel to the 2021 bull run.
Deeper Pullback Expected
After a potential new high, a larger correction is likely. Drawing on previous pullback price action, a 30% dip toward $82,000 could align with a higher-time-frame trendline and significant support area—mirroring the wave structure from 2021.
Final Thoughts
BTC remains structurally bullish above $96,000
A pullback to the $82,000 region could present a key buying opportunity if it occurs.
BTC - SetupCalled the potential exact bottom yesterday.
Now, the zone between $103,500 – $104,600 is crucial.
Either we get rejected from there and form a stronger bottom — or we break through and head toward new all-time highs in the near future.
Won’t be posting over the next few days.
If something important happens, I’ll drop a quick update — otherwise, see you in a few days.
LFG. 🚀
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
Bitcoin entered a corrective phase after a liquidity hunt above the recent highs and is currently in a short-term pullback.
We expect this correction to extend toward the identified support levels, after which a new bullish wave may begin, potentially leading to fresh all-time highs.
The broader trend remains bullish, and the current correction could offer a buy-the-dip opportunity in line with the ongoing uptrend.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Bitcoin in a clear bearish movementBitcoin in a clear bearish movement
BTC created a clear bearish movement yesterday following our previous swing trade setup.
The price spend some time below the red zone near 106700 and yesterday suddenly the bearish wave started and already reached the first target.
The price could take a pause today near to 103500 - 104000 but it should continue to drop further as shown in the chart with targets 97800 and 94000
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Previous analysis:
BTCUSD 1HThe second chart you uploaded is a 1-hour candlestick chart for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on Binance. Here's the analysis based on what is shown:
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Chart Analysis:
1. Bearish Descending Triangle Pattern:
Descending resistance (yellow trendline) connects lower highs — indicating bearish pressure.
Horizontal support zone is marked in red, where price has repeatedly bounced — indicating strong support.
This setup forms a descending triangle, a bearish pattern that often results in a breakdown below support.
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2. Breakdown Expectation:
A black arrow and zigzag line suggest a possible breakdown scenario.
The target TP (Take Profit) is drawn significantly below the current price, targeting near the $102,400–102,600 zone.
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Implied Strategy:
Trigger for Entry (Short): A clear break and close below the horizontal red support zone (~$104,500).
Target TP: Around $102,400
Stop-Loss (not shown): Likely above the descending trendline, maybe near $105,200–105,300 to invalidate the pattern.
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Technical Implication:
A descending triangle in this context suggests sellers are consistently pushing down while buyers are losing strength at the support level. A breakdown would confirm bearish control.
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Would you like a comparison of this BTC setup vs. the SUI breakout chart in terms of trade setup strength or risk-reward?