BTCUSD - $100k soon? [UPDATE]MARKET UPDATE.
Price broke out of the Descending Trendling and has pulled back to retest the Trendline and a Key Demand zone.
Stacked Confluences:
1. Trendline Break & Retest.
2. Liquidity sweep below support.
3. BOS after price reacted from the Demand.
I’m watching for continuation towards $85.8k and beyond.
If bullish step in here this could be the next bullish leg up.
Let’s see how it plays out.
What are your thoughts on BTC this week let me know what you think in the comments.
USDTBTC trade ideas
Which altcoins hold the potential to conquer the crypto market?Have you ever heard of ISO 20022?
Do you know what this standard is all about?
Which tokens have adopted or are compliant with this standard?
ISO 20022 is an international standard for the exchange of financial data between financial institutions, banks, corporations, and other entities. Developed by the International Organization for Standardization (ISO), its purpose is to provide a universal language for financial messaging on a global scale.
Hello✌
Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. The main points are summarized in 3 clear lines at the end 📋 This will help you level up your understanding of the market 📊 and Bitcoin💰.
🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin: A Personal Perspective:
Bitcoin is currently near a strong trendline and a solid daily support level. I’m expecting it to break the $90,000 mark, a key psychological level, within the next few days. My main target is at least a 7% increase, reaching $90,500.
📈
Now , let's dive into the educational section, which builds upon last week's lesson (linked in the tags of this analysis). Many of you have been eagerly waiting for this, as I have received multiple messages about it on Telegram.
🔍 What Is ISO 20022 and Why Should Traders Care?
Have you come across ISO 20022 and wondered what it really means in the world of finance and crypto? It’s not just a technical standard—it could be a major bridge between traditional finance and blockchain-based assets.
🌐 A Global Standard for Financial Messaging
ISO 20022 is an international protocol developed by the International Organization for Standardization. It defines a universal language for exchanging financial data between institutions—banks, governments, payment networks, and corporations.
💡 Key Features of ISO 20022
• Uses XML-based message formatting—both machine and human-readable
• Covers multiple financial areas: payments, securities, trade, treasury, and cards
• Highly flexible and extendable to future innovations
• Designed to reduce processing errors and boost interoperability worldwide
📈 Why It’s Becoming a Big Deal
With increasing digitization, the global financial system is shifting toward unified communication standards. Major infrastructures like SWIFT are already migrating to ISO 20022 to future-proof their operations.
🪙 The Crypto Connection
Some cryptocurrencies have been developed to align with ISO 20022 standards. This means they have the potential to integrate directly into regulated financial systems—making them more likely to be adopted by banks and governments.
✅ ISO 20022-Compliant Cryptocurrencies (As of 2024)
• XRP (Ripple)
• XLM (Stellar)
• XDC (XinFin)
• IOTA
• ALGO (Algorand)
• QNT (Quant)
• HBAR (Hedera Hashgraph)
🤝 Why Compliance Matters
If traditional finance fully adopts ISO 20022, only tokens that meet its criteria will likely be considered for official integration. This could have huge implications for utility, regulation, and long-term value.
🧠 Strategic Insight for Investors
Incorporating ISO 20022-compliant assets into your portfolio isn’t just about trends—it’s about positioning yourself for future financial system evolution. These tokens may play a key role in bridging the gap between DeFi and TradFi.
However , this analysis should be seen as a personal viewpoint, not as financial advice ⚠️. The crypto market carries high risks 📉, so always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅.
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
ISO 20022 is a global financial messaging standard designed to streamline data exchange between banks and institutions. It's becoming crucial as traditional systems like SWIFT adopt it for greater efficiency. Several cryptocurrencies, including XRP, XLM, and ALGO, are ISO 20022-compliant, positioning them for future integration with mainstream financial systems. This compliance could lead to wider adoption by banks and governments, making them more valuable long-term. 🚀
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
"Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green MA Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most nearest or swing, low or high level for Pullback Entries.
Stop Loss 🛑:
📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 4H timeframe (81000) Day/Scalping trade basis.
📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 70000 (or) Escape Before the Target
"Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Bearish trend.., driven by several key factors.👇👇👇
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, On Chain Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗
Detailed Point Recap 📋
Fundamentals 📊: Strong network + adoption ✅ offset regulatory risks ⚠️—moderately bullish 📈.
Macro 🌍: Inflation aids BTC 🥇, but tight policy/USD weigh ⚖️—mixed 🤔.
COT 📈: Institutional longs 📈 vs. leverage risks ⚡—cautiously bullish ✅.
On-Chain 🔗: LTH bullishness 📈 vs. STH selling 📉—leans positive but capped ⚖️.
Intermarket 🔄: Short-term bearish (equity/USD) 📉, long-term hedging 📈—mixed ⚖️.
Sentiment 😊: Neutral across cohorts ⚖️—lacking conviction 🤷.
Trends 🎯: Short-term downside ($70K) 📉 vs. long-term upside ($129K) 📈—context-driven 🔮.
Outlook 🌟: Neutral now ⚖️, tilting bearish short-term 📉, bullish long-term 📈.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Bitcoin is nearing a critical breakout zone at $86,000Bitcoin is nearing a critical breakout zone at $86,000.
If this level breaks with strong momentum, we could see a rapid bullish continuation toward the major resistance area around $105,000. The ascending channel remains intact, and aggressive buying near support points to a strong upside setup.
From a fundamental view, Bitcoin is gaining strength as global uncertainty rises. The latest escalation of trade tariffs has disrupted traditional markets, pushing more investors toward alternative assets like Bitcoin. Historically, Bitcoin has performed strongly during times of economic instability.
Tightening monetary policies worldwide are fueling recession fears, making Bitcoin even more attractive as a hedge — the new "digital gold." With institutional interest growing, Bitcoin is well-positioned for a significant capital inflow.
Stay ready — the next big move is close! 🚀
Skeptic | Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis: Why 85850 is Critical!The breakout above 85,850 could push Bitcoin into a new uptrend phase, potentially driving price toward 90K, 95K, and even 105K in the coming weeks. That’s why this zone is so important. But let me explain why in more detail.
⭐Let’s start with the daily timeframe. After breaking out of its descending trendline, BTC entered a range between 82,800 and 85,850 . Looking at the bigger picture, you’ll see that 88,500 is a key resistance level — and breaking above it could act as a strong trigger.
But if you’re not a breakout trader and prefer reactive entries, the 80K–82K zone is a major PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) based on RSI, Fibonacci, and Pivot Points — meaning it could offer a decent spot-buying opportunity.
Just keep in mind: we’re not officially in a daily uptrend yet, so if you’re thinking about spot buying, it’s better to wait for a confirmed higher low and higher high on the daily chart.
The long-term target for the next uptrend is around 140K , based on long-term Fibonacci extensions, pivot points, and trend channels.
🔮 Now let’s drop to the 4H timeframe to find some long and short triggers.
As you can see, we’ve got a range box between 83,055 and 85,853.89.
A long trigger activates after a clean breakout above 85,853.89.
A short trigger activates after a breakdown below 83,055.
It’s better to use stop buy/sell orders rather than entering at market price, since price may move sharply after staying in this box for quite a while.
You can also use this box to set your stop losses.
If you’re a reaction-based trader, you could:
Short around 85,853 when price reacts there,
Or go long around 83,055, depending on your personal strategy.
Just remember: crypto markets often fake breakouts, especially during low-volume periods like now.
Indicators like RSI, Volume, and SMA can help confirm moves.
Understanding momentum — when it’s present and when it’s not — can save you from taking unnecessary trades.
Also, the candlestick itself matters a lot:
How long is the shadow?
What’s the body size and color?
Are we getting strong bullish or bearish confirmations?
If you want a tutorial on identifying real vs. fake breakouts, let me know in the comments — I’ll make one soon.
If you enjoyed the analysis, hit that Boost
By the way, I’m Skeptic.
BTC correction then bounce.We have been ranging on the small volume profile for about 8 day now. At the same time we have been ranging at the this current macro volume profile at $84,199 Bybit prep chart may differ from other charts. We have rejected the value area high at $85,400 and reject the poc of the range. Currently testing the low from my market evidence base practice golden pocket, points of control are often the last push for a break of structure to the down side. I am keeping a close eye on a anchored vwap pulled from $74,600 or Value are low on this macro volume profile $81,200 which is confluence with the golden pocket pulled from the low at $74,600 or .786 $80,000 simply as a deviation of the golden pocket for a sweep of liquidity.
BTC - Halving Cycle | Historical Patterns & 2025-2026 Projection
In this chart, we dive deep into the cyclical nature of Bitcoin price action post-halving and draw parallels between past and current movements, with a specific focus on how the market has historically reacted at various intervals following each halving event. This analysis incorporates both structural and temporal elements, providing a potential roadmap based on previous behavior.
---
Historical Context: Previous Cycles
3rd Halving – May 11, 2020
Following the 3rd Bitcoin halving, we observed a parabolic run-up over the next several months:
- 11 months after halving (April 2021): BTC reached a major peak, hitting nearly $65,000.
- This was followed by a significant correction.
- 19 months after halving (December 2021): Bitcoin printed a second top close to the previous all-time high, forming a classic double top pattern. This structure often signals market exhaustion and precedes deeper corrections.
Cycle Completion – Price Reversion
By 30 months after the 3rd halving (around November 2022), BTC had retraced much of its gains and returned to prices nearly equivalent to the halving level (~$8,000–$10,000 zone in log-adjusted terms). This marked the end of the cycle, confirming a full reversion to the mean after the double-top distribution phase.
---
Current Cycle: 4th Halving – April 19, 2024
We're now entering the 4th post-halving cycle , and so far, the structure appears to be rhyming closely with the previous cycle :
- Pre-halving rally took BTC to ~ FWB:73K (March 2024), indicating strong bullish momentum leading into the event.
- If this cycle follows a similar path, we may expect:
- A first major top around 9 months after the halving , potentially at or above $100K.
- A second top forming around 17 months after the halving (projected for September 2025), possibly signaling the beginning of a broader correction phase.
---
Projection: October 2026 (30 Months After Halving)
Using the same temporal framework:
- By October 2026 (30 months post-halving), the chart suggests a return to a much lower level , possibly around $50K.
- This projection mimics the post-double-top decline of the previous cycle, reinforcing the idea of cyclical mean reversion .
- It’s important to note: this isn’t necessarily bearish, but it highlights the cyclical and psychological nature of markets —boom, euphoria, distribution, and reversion.
---
The Macro View: Halving Cycles Are Rhythmic
- Every halving has historically set off a new bull run, but the timing of tops and bottoms is shockingly consistent :
- Peaks often occur 9–18 months post-halving .
- Full cycle completion is around 30 months post-halving.
- These cycles are heavily influenced by supply shocks , market psychology , and macro liquidity cycles .
---
Final Thoughts
This chart isn’t a guarantee—it’s a probability model based on cyclical symmetry. If history repeats or rhymes, we may be witnessing another textbook cycle play out, where a euphoric run in 2025 gives way to a deep correction by late 2026.
Stay alert for the double top pattern and macro divergences. Just as in 2021, timing the exit after the first peak can be the difference between profit and pain .
What do you think? Will Bitcoin follow the same 30-month post-halving trajectory?
BTC - down next?BTC cleaned up some internal bad highs yesterday, just missing the npoc the we marked out. Immediate rotation back down to VAL followed once we accepted back in side VAH.
These levels are updated continuously as price develops and differ on each traded pair (since volume is different everywhere), so I treat them more as a small zone than actual levels.
Weekend price action so far showed continuation of the spoofing work that marked most of last week. If price can hold around these levels, I still think we can visit the higher POI and maybe sweep the bad highs.
If we lose VAL, all POIs are on the chart:
82k npoc / zone
77-79k OTE retracement, would clean up a lot of inefficient price action
74k lows sweep
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #67👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indicators. In this analysis, as usual, I want to review the New York futures session triggers for you.
✔️ Yesterday, the price was rejected from the 85,550 area, and today could be a sensitive and important day for the market.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, I mentioned yesterday that the 85,126 trigger had been activated and if the price pulled back to this area and broke above 85,550, we could witness a bullish move and the start of an upward wave. But that didn’t happen—the price was rejected from the 85,550 high and started moving downward.
👀 Currently, with the price stabilizing below the 85,126 area, selling volume has entered the market, and the price is moving down. The last candle closed below the 84,363 area, and the RSI has entered the oversold zone. If the move continues, the price could experience a bearish leg and move down to 83,233.
🔽 In that case, a break below the 83,233 area could be a good short position trigger, as it would give us confirmation of a trend reversal. But if the move doesn’t continue, this level could turn out to be a fake-out, and the price might head back toward the 85,550 high.
🎲 So today, you can enter a short position with a break of 83,233, and a long position with a break of 85,550. Pay attention to volume and RSI, as they can provide many confirmations for the next price trend.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s look at Bitcoin dominance. Yesterday, dominance dropped another leg and broke the 63.76 low, but now it has returned to this area and is stabilizing above it.
📈 For a bullish confirmation, dominance needs to stabilize above the 64.12 area, and for a bearish one, it needs to stabilize below 63.12.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Now for the Total2 analysis. This index was rejected from the 965 area yesterday and is now stabilizing below 954. If the bearish momentum continues, the next support level that could hold the price is 932.
🔼 To turn bullish, a break above 965 is required, with the main trigger being 980.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Let’s look at Tether dominance. Yesterday, it made an upward move and was supported at the 5.44 level. It has now reached 5.52.
✨ If 5.52 is broken, we’ll have confirmation of a bullish trend in dominance. If 5.44 is broken instead, we could anticipate a bearish move and potentially a break of 5.39.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC in Tight Range: Calm Before the Storm?$BTC/USDT is consolidating within a tight range (highlighted in the blue box) for the past 8 days. This looks like a strong accumulation phase, suggesting that the next breakout could be explosive.
Watch for a decisive move above the range for confirmation.
DYOR, NFA
Review. Refine. Repeat - BTC INTERVIEW 🇺🇸 Bitcoin Distribution Phase? A Wyckoff-Based Breakdown – April 2025
By: Meitar Fadida | FINEMEI
Bitcoin is moving sideways around the GETTEX:82K –$85K zone, and it looks like we’re in the middle of a classic distribution phase, according to Richard Wyckoff’s method. That’s the stage where smart money starts unloading quietly before a possible price drop.
🔍 What’s happening technically?
Demand is shrinking – fewer buyers are stepping in.
Supply is increasing – more sellers are showing up.
The 200-day moving average is holding price down – acting like a ceiling.
RSI is average – not much excitement in the air.
USDT dominance is looking strong and may break upward – usually a sign that traders are going back to cash (less risk appetite).
📆 This week’s key economic data (U.S.):
PMI numbers (Manufacturing & Services) – weaker than expected.
Durable goods and home sales – stronger than expected.
Oil inventories and jobless claims – stable.
🎯 Bottom Line:
This could be the start of a trend change. No panic yet, but the signs are stacking up. If USDT breaks out – it could be the confirmation that Bitcoin is heading lower.
BITCOIN - Price can little correct and then make impulse upHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price broke through the $79500 zone after a long phase of flat consolidation and sharp shakeout.
Once bulls reclaimed control, price formed a clean breakout and started building structure inside a wedge.
Momentum carried the price upward, with buyers defending each local dip and creating a stair-step rise.
Now BTC is moving steadily inside the wedge pattern, holding the lower trendline with no strong rejection.
Price is slowly grinding toward the key resistance around $88500, where volatility might return.
If this tempo holds, I expect BTC can grow higher and tag the $91000 points in the next impulsive leg.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
BTC & ETH Weekly Forecast – Will Week 16 Bring a Breakout?🔍 Weekly Outlook – Week 16, 2025
• BTC remains below the daily Ichimoku Cloud.
• Volatility (BBWP) is at historical lows — potential breakout setup.
• ETH hovering above key EVWMA zones
• If BTC enters the cloud, 92K becomes a valid short-term target.
• ETH needs to reclaim 1600+ to sustain bullish momentum.
📌 This is a quick overview of my weekly analysis.
I explore the full setup across 1D, 4H, and 12H timeframes,
with Ichimoku, BBWP, and EVWMA discussed in detail elsewhere.
BITCOINThe future of Bitcoin (BTC) trading amid potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts in 2025 hinges on liquidity dynamics, institutional participation, and macroeconomic uncertainty. Here's a structured outlook based on current Fed signals and market dynamics:
Immediate Impact of Fed Rate Cuts
Liquidity Injection: Fed rate cuts typically reduce borrowing costs, increasing capital flow into risk assets like Bitcoin. Historical precedents (e.g., September 2024’s 50-basis-point cut) show Bitcoin rallies post-easing, with prices surging 20–30% in weeks due to improved risk appetite.
Inflation Hedge Narrative: Persistent inflation (Fed’s 2025 forecast: ~3.2%) could reignite Bitcoin’s “digital gold” appeal. Its fixed supply and halving-driven scarcity make it attractive if fiat devaluation fears escalate.
Key Factors Shaping BTC’s Trajectory
Fed Policy Timing:
Markets price in two 2025 rate cuts starting in Q3, but JPMorgan warns of a potential “sizable cut” pre-May FOMC if economic turbulence (e.g., tariff shocks) intensifies.
Delayed cuts may trigger short-term BTC volatility, while earlier action could propel prices toward $100,000–$120,000.
Institutional Inflows:
ETFs and corporate treasuries continue accumulating BTC, with Bernstein projecting $150,000–$200,000 by late 2025 if Fed easing aligns with GETTEX:70B + inflows.
Macro Risks:
Trade Wars: Escalating U.S.-China tariffs may tighten financial conditions, delaying Fed cuts and pressuring BTC.
USD Strength: Prolonged Fed hawkishness could bolster the dollar, capping BTC’s upside despite rate cuts.
Scenarios for BTC in 2025
Scenario BTC Price Outlook Catalysts
Early Fed Cut (Q2) Rally to $100,000–$120k Faster QT slowdown + dovish Fed rhetoric
Delayed Cut (Q4) Range-bound $75k–$90k Sticky inflation + strong USD momentum
Recession Triggers Spike to $150k+ Flight to scarcity amid equity sell-offs
Long-Term Trends
Halving Cycle: April 2024’s halving reduced new supply, historically preceding bull runs. Combined with Fed easing, this could amplify 2025 gains.
Regulatory Clarity: SEC approval of spot BTC ETFs and stablecoin frameworks may bolster institutional adoption, stabilizing volatility.
Strategic Takeaways
Bullish Catalysts: Fed cuts, ETF inflows, and inflation spikes.
Bearish Risks: Delayed easing, USD resilience, and geopolitical shocks..
In summary, Bitcoin’s 2025 trajectory leans bullish if Fed rate cuts materialize as expected, but traders must navigate volatility from policy shifts and macro shocks. Institutional adoption and BTC’s scarcity will likely underpin long-term appreciation.
Bitcoin may exit from pennant and fall to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Over the past weeks, the price traded inside a broad horizontal range, repeatedly testing the boundaries of the seller zone and the buyer zone. After several failed breakouts, the price sharply dropped from the upper range and entered a phase of lower highs, forming a downward pennant structure. Inside this pennant, the market continued consolidating under pressure from the resistance area. Each attempt to break above the resistance line was met with rejection, confirming strong selling interest near the current resistance level at 88500. At the moment, BTC is testing the upper boundary of the pennant again. This area aligns closely with the resistance level and the long-term descending trendline. Given this confluence and historical rejection zones, I expect BTC to face resistance and reverse, initiating a decline back toward the 79000 support level, thereby exiting from the pennant, which is my current TP1. The compressed price structure, repeated rejections, and clean pattern formation support this bearish outlook in the short term. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTC & ETH Weekly Forecast – Will Week 16 Bring a Breakout?🔍 Weekly Outlook – Week 16, 2025
• BTC remains below the daily Ichimoku Cloud.
• Volatility (BBWP) is at historical lows — potential breakout setup.
• ETH hovering above key EVWMA zones
• If BTC enters the cloud, 92K becomes a valid short-term target.
• ETH needs to reclaim 1600+ to sustain bullish momentum.
📌 This is a quick overview of my weekly analysis.
I explore the full setup across 1D, 4H, and 12H timeframes,
with Ichimoku, BBWP, and EVWMA discussed in detail elsewhere.