BITCOIN - Price can reach support level and then start to growHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago, the price long time traded near $83700 level, broke it and started to grow inside an upward wedge.
Firstly, BTC rose to the resistance line of the wedge and then corrected to the support level, after which it reached the $87800 level.
After several attempts to break resistance, price turned around and dropped, thereby exiting from wedge.
Now it is correcting and approaching support level, slowly moving toward $83700 key support level.
In my opinion, when BTC reaches $83700 level, it can turn around and start to grow to the $87800 resistance level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
USDTBTC trade ideas
How to Spot Market Turns using Order Flow & Delta Volume Ind.Overview
The Order Flow / Delta Volume Indicator combines order flow dynamics with delta volume analysis , pinpointing market shifts by tracking buying and selling pressure . This chart analysis demonstrates how effectively the indicator identifies precise moments of market turns and shifts in momentum.
How It Works
Order Flow Dynamics
Tracks cumulative buying and selling volumes.
Identifies potential reversals by highlighting shifts in order flow direction.
Delta Volume Analysis
Measures the difference between buying and selling volume (delta).
Pinpoints exact candles where buyer-seller imbalance occurs.
Signal Generation Logic
Buy signals emerge when order flow and delta volume confirm rising buying pressure.
Sell signals appear when order flow combined with negative delta signals increased selling activity.
Signal Confirmation (Magical part of this Indicator), Blue line inlines with trend to confirm the strength, else it's a trap move.
Performance in This Case Study
Market Reversal Precision
Accurately highlighted buy signals at key reversal points where bullish order flow resumed.
Provided timely sell signals precisely at points of bearish order flow dominance.
Trend Confirmation
Signals effectively filtered market noise, clearly distinguishing actual trend shifts from temporary price fluctuations.
Consistent alignment of signals with subsequent price action confirmed robust indicator performance.
Volume-Based Clarity (Blue Line)
Delta volume effectively differentiated real momentum changes from false breakouts.
Order flow dynamics reliably indicated market sentiment shifts, offering clarity in volatile conditions.
Key Takeaways
✅ Order flow shifts clearly indicated genuine trend reversals.
✅ Delta volume accurately pinpointed moments of market imbalance.
✅ Signals reliably differentiated between temporary fluctuations and meaningful market movements.
✅ Indicator performance remained robust across varying market conditions.
This indicator's precise alignment with market behavior underscores its practical utility in identifying and analyzing market turns.
How to Capture Market Turns with Market Anomaly Detector (MAD)Overview
The Market Anomaly Detector (MAD) Indicator effectively captures market reversals , trend shifts , and volatility cycles through its distinctive visual components—the Mainline ( blue ), Upper Band ( green ), and Lower Band ( red ). This idea explores the practical performance of the MAD indicator, emphasizing its clear signals during recent market movements.
How It Works
Mainline (Blue Line)
Static reference line used to visually represent general market sentiment.
Not directly used for generating trading signals, but provides contextual information.
Upper Band (Green Line)
Serves as a critical threshold for bullish signals.
When price closes above this green band, a buy signal is generated, and the background turns green, indicating bullish sentiment.
Conversely, if price closes below the green band after initially trading above it, a sell signal is triggered, highlighting a potential reversal.
Lower Band (Red Line)
Serves as an essential threshold for bearish signals.
When price closes below the red band, a sell signal is generated, accompanied by a red background, signaling bearish momentum.
Alternatively, if price closes above the red band after initially trading below it, a buy signal is produced, pointing to a possible bullish reversal.
Performance in This Case Study
Signal Accuracy & Market Reactions
Buy signals consistently appeared after price closed above the upper (green) band, accurately predicting bullish expansions.
Sell signals were reliably produced when the price closed below the lower (red) band, accurately forecasting bearish trends.
Reversal signals, generated when the price crossed back below the upper band or above the lower band, successfully indicated shifts in market sentiment.
Volatility Dynamics
Contraction of bands during sideways market phases clearly indicated reduced volatility and market indecision.
Expansion of the bands provided timely alerts of upcoming sharp market movements.
Effective Reversal Indications
The MAD indicator clearly marked points of market exhaustion at upper and lower band extremes, providing timely entry and exit signals.
The signals effectively filtered out false breakouts by ensuring clear price action beyond band thresholds.
Key Takeaways
✅ Upper Band (Green Line): Closing above signals bullish entries; closing back below indicates bearish reversals.
✅ Lower Band (Red Line): Closing below indicates bearish entries; closing back above highlights bullish reversals.
✅ Mainline (Blue Line): Provides visual market sentiment context but is not used directly for signal generation.
✅ Band Behavior: Contraction signals low volatility periods; expansion indicates imminent significant moves.
✅ MAD Indicator demonstrated accurate and reliable market reversal and momentum shift detection in the case study provided.
Mastering Risk Management in Trading: The Ultimate GuideMastering Risk Management in Trading: The Ultimate Guide
In the world of trading, success isn’t measured only by big wins but by how well you protect your capital from unnecessary losses. Risk management isn’t just a safety net—it’s the backbone of sustainable trading. In this comprehensive guide, we’ll break down the principles and strategies you need to safeguard your account while still maximizing your profit potential.
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1. Risk-Reward Ratio: The Foundation of Every Trade
- What it is:
The risk-reward ratio is the cornerstone of every trade. It tells you how much potential reward you’re targeting compared to the risk you’re willing to take. For instance, if you risk $100 and aim to make $200, your risk-reward ratio is 1:2—a commonly accepted standard in trading.
- How to use it:
- Always predefine your risk-reward ratio before entering a trade.
- For swing traders, aim for a minimum of 1:2 or 1:3 to justify holding overnight.
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2. Position Sizing: The Key to Survival
- Why position sizing matters:
Position sizing ensures you don’t over-leverage your account or lose too much in a single trade. Many traders fail because they bet too big and get wiped out after just a few losing trades.
- How to calculate position size:
- Use this formula:
Position Size = (Account Risk $ ÷ (Entry Price - Stop-Loss Price)).
- For example, if you’re risking $100 per trade and the difference between your entry and stop-loss is $5, your position size should be 20 units (100 ÷ 5).
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3. Stop-Loss Orders: Your Safety Net
- What is a stop-loss?
A stop-loss is your emergency brake. It’s an order you set in advance to sell your position if the price moves against you by a specified amount.
- How to set stop-losses:
- Use technical analysis to place your stop-loss below support levels for long trades or above resistance levels for short trades.
- Avoid placing stop-losses too close to your entry point, as small fluctuations might trigger them unnecessarily.
Here you can see my ratio is on the low side so i can place a tactical TP and SL in relation to liquidity lines.
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4. The Art of Diversification: Spreading Risk
- Why diversification works:
Putting all your capital into a single trade or instrument increases your risk. Diversification spreads that risk across multiple trades or markets, reducing the impact of any single loss.
- How to diversify effectively:
- Trade across multiple sectors or currency pairs.
- Avoid overexposure to correlated assets (e.g., don’t trade EUR/USD and GBP/USD simultaneously).
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5. Emotional Discipline: Winning the Mental Game
- Why it matters:
Even the best trading strategy can fail if emotions like fear or greed take over. Emotional trading leads to impulsive decisions, revenge trading, and overtrading.
- How to maintain discipline:
- Stick to your trading plan, no matter what.
- Use tools like meditation, journaling, or physical exercise to manage stress.
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6. Dynamic Risk Management: Adapting to Changing Markets
- Adjusting your strategy:
Markets are dynamic, and your risk management should adapt. Volatility can change quickly, requiring you to adjust your stop-loss distance or position size.
- Use ATR (Average True Range):
The ATR is a great tool to measure market volatility and decide how much room to give your stop-loss.
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7. Tracking and Reviewing Your Trades
- The power of a trading journal:
Every trade is a learning opportunity. Keep detailed records of your trades, including your reasoning, execution, and results.
- What to include in your journal:
- Entry and exit points.
- Risk-reward ratio.
- Mistakes or deviations from the plan.
- Lessons learned.
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Conclusion: Plan the Trade, Trade the Plan
Risk management isn’t just a skill—it’s a habit. By understanding your risk-reward ratio, managing position sizes, using stop-losses effectively, and staying emotionally disciplined, you can protect your capital and increase your chances of long-term success.
Take a moment to reflect: How do you manage risk in your trading? Are there areas you could improve? Start implementing these strategies today, and watch how they transform your trading results.
Bitcoin's Journey to $54KYou can call me crazy, but Bitcoin's chart is painting a very clean picture—a target of GETTEX:54K in the coming months. This won't happen overnight and will take time to unfold. For over two weeks, we've been stuck inside a parallel channel, and the price action is showing weakness. Buyers seem reluctant at these levels, and GETTEX:54K is shaping up as a critical support zone.
BTC - What's next BTC Update – March 28, 2025
Quick update on where BTC is at and what I’m watching next.
We finally broke out of that daily downtrend — nice little shift in structure. Price is chilling around $85K right now, sitting just below that FWB:88K –$90K resistance, which is still a pretty strong zone to crack.
Key Levels I’m Watching:
🔴 Major Resistance:
FWB:88K –$90K – First big test. If bulls push through this, could get spicy.
$100K–$105K – Big macro level. Expect sellers to step in heavy here if we make it that far.
🟢 Major Support:
$75K–$78K – Solid higher timeframe support zone. Great bounce area if we dip.
$70K – 2021 ATH retest level. Would still be macro bullish unless that breaks.
🟡 Local Zones:
$84K – Acting as intraday support for now. Holding this could lead to a push higher.
GETTEX:82K – Another local support. If that breaks, next stop is probably mid/high 70s.
What I’m Thinking:
As long as we hold $84K, we’ve got a shot at pushing into FWB:88K –$90K again. Break that and it’s game on toward $100K+. But if we lose $84K and especially GETTEX:82K , I’m watching for a retest of the $75K–$78K zone. That’d still be a healthy pullback, nothing to panic about.
All in all... structure looks solid, levels are clear, let’s just stay patient and let price do its thing. I’ll keep you all posted if anything major changes 🔔
BTCUSDT: Recent pullback, support and resistance!!Join our community and start your crypto journey today for:
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Let's analyze BTCUSDT :
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently moving within a defined channel, encountering significant selling pressure at the resistance zone. The FWB:88K -$87.5k level proved to be a strong barrier. Now, BTC is showing signs of breaking below the $85.2k support. The $84.2k level is a critical support, coinciding with a CME gap that BTC historically seeks to fill. However, if BTC fails to hold this support and breaks down from the channel, the next support to monitor would be the $81.2k-$80.6k range. Given the current volatility, it's advisable to wait for BTC to stabilize before entering any trades. This period of consolidation will provide more clarity on the market's direction.
Support Levels:
$85.2k
$84.1k
$80.6k
Resistance Level:
$88.1k
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Happy Trading!!
Bitcoin (BTC): Sellers Taking Dominance / We DroppingStruggle near 200EMA turned into rejection where sellers took over the zone on Bitcoin. We got what we've been looking for and now we expect to see further movement to lower zones, which will probably continue until Monday.
We will monitor the market today and if sellers keep this kind of dominance, then it will be confirmed!
Swallow Team
BTCUSDT Make-or-Break Moment: Evaluating the BTCUSDT Demand ZoBTC is currently testing a key demand zone near the $84,800–$85,200 range, aligned with the ascending trendline support. This area has previously acted as a launchpad for bullish moves, making it a critical level to watch.
📌 Scenario 1 (Bullish):
If price holds above the yellow support zone and the trendline, we could see a bounce towards $86,800–$88,500.
Confirmation: Bullish engulfing on lower timeframe or break above local resistance.
📌 Scenario 2 (Bearish Breakdown):
If BTC breaks below the trendline + demand zone, we may see a sharp decline toward $83,000–$82,000.
Watch for a retest of broken support as resistance.
🧠 Plan: Wait for confirmation. No rush entry.
Entry will depend on price action and reaction to this confluence zone.
Risk management is key with proper SL below/above zones.
Let me know your views in comments!
BitcoinAsset and Timeframe:
Asset: Bitcoin / TetherUS (BTC/USDT)
Exchange: Binance
Timeframe: 1 hour (1h)
Key Observations:
Price Action: The chart shows a recent downtrend with a significant drop leading to the current price of $85,079.84.
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs): Multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are marked on the chart. FVGs are areas on a chart where there is an imbalance in buying and selling, often acting as support or resistance levels.
Order Block (OB): An Order Block (OB) is identified at $85,010.00. Order Blocks are often areas where large institutions have placed orders and can act as support or resistance.
Potential Trade Setup:
Entry: $85,010.00 (the OB)
Profit Target: $87,800.00
Stop Loss (SL): $84,000.00
Risk/Reward Ratio: The potential trade setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio. The profit target is significantly higher than the stop loss.
Date Range: The chart covers the period from March 24th to April 1st, 2025.
Price Information:
Open: $85,212.98
High: $85,441.25
Low: $85,059.97
Close: $85,079.84
Change: -$2,145.11 (-2.46%)
Analysis:
Downtrend and Potential Reversal: The recent price drop suggests a strong bearish momentum. However, the identification of the Order Block at $85,010.00 indicates a potential area of support where buyers might step in.
FVGs as Targets: The FVGs above the current price could act as potential targets for a bullish move. Traders might look for price to fill these gaps.
Risk Management: The provided trade setup includes a clear stop loss at $84,000.00, which is crucial for managing risk.
Time Consideration: The chart spans several days, suggesting that this trade setup might play out over a few days or even a week.
Technical Indicators: While the chart highlights FVGs and OB, it doesn't show other technical indicators like RSI, MACD, or moving averages. These indicators could provide additional confirmation for the trade setup.
Volume: The chart does not display volume information. Volume analysis would be valuable in confirming the strength of the potential reversal.
Potential Trade Scenario:
The trader is anticipating a bounce from the Order Block at $85,010.00. They are targeting the $87,800.00 level for profit, likely based on the FVGs above. The stop loss at $84,000.00 is placed below the OB to limit potential losses if the price continues to decline.
Important Considerations:
Market Volatility: Bitcoin is known for its high volatility. Traders should be prepared for significant price swings.
Fundamental Analysis: This analysis is purely technical. Fundamental factors, such as news events or regulatory changes, can significantly impact Bitcoin's price.
Risk Tolerance: Traders should only risk what they can afford to lose.
BTCUSDT channel formation & rejection from resistance!!Join our community and start your crypto journey today for:
In-depth market analysis
Accurate trade setups
Early access to trending altcoins
Life-changing profit potential
Let's analyze BTCUSDT :
BTCUSDT is confined within a trading channel, historically respecting its upper and lower boundaries. Following a rejection at the strong $88.1k resistance, Bitcoin is expected to retest support at either $85.2k or $84.1k. A channel breakdown could lead to a drop towards $80.6k. For a bullish reversal, a daily close above $ 89K is crucial. This channel’s behavior will dictate BTC’s short-term trajectory, with support levels being key indicators.
Support Levels:
$85.2k
$84.1k
$80.6k
Resistance Level:
$88.1k
If you find this analysis helpful, please hit the like button to support my content! Share your thoughts in the comments, and feel free to request any specific chart analysis you’d like to see.
Happy Trading!!
BTC/USDT - The moment of truthThe BTC/USDT chart highlights a crucial moment as the price breaks out of a bearish trendline and tests a Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone. Key scenarios include:
- A potential continuation of the bullish trend if the price successfully holds above the FVG zone and confirms support.
- Alternatively, a rejection at this level could signal a return to bearish momentum.
Keep an eye on price action within the FVG zone for confirmation of the next move. Which way do you see BTC heading?
BTCUSD BUY NOW!!!!BTCUSD have been moving in a wedge pattern called falling wedge we got 1,700pips from yesterdays entry today we have price again rejected off the sell side and made a strong rejections we are going in on a buy here hoping for s breakouts at 87,500 to 89k
JOIN AND ENJOY
Lets know your take on this..........
Read the patterns, listen to the analysts!The head and shoulders was a reversal already, but bulls got greedy and insisted on testing the 108k peak again, creating a "fake-out breakout" but couldn't sustain it. So if H&S didn't convince us, the Double Top should have.
The bear trend started with steady decline and then a big fat dump followed by bulls insisting on recovering right away. Again, they couldn't sustain it and chaos ensued. People got scared, pulled out of the market.
Now we are in what is either a trend reversal with the bulls too eager to believe the last two dips were a Double Bottom, despite we still haven't fully corrected, which brings us to the Bull Pennant.
Bull Pennant would make more sense on a longer time frame, but it's happening within a Bear Flag. Once again, bulls may be too eager and lose if they HODL right now.
So we have:
- correction not over
- consolidation ending
- not enough support from bulls
Most analysts saying there will be a full correction before it starts on a bull run. I believe that time is most likely imminent.
$BTC - Possible Swing Point RetestCRYPTOCAP:BTC | 6h
Something I'm watching for an ABC pattern or if we'll get a pentawave here and a swing point retest back down to the 78k area
Expecting a bounce at the monthly open in confluent with some imbalances or single prints, then we'll see if we can get above or reject at the wpoc 87k
BTC:Today's Profit-making StrategyThe price of BTCUSDT has been moving steadily for many days and is now forming a potential bullish continuation setup.
A retracement to the 86,500 area is expected. If the price respects this area and shows a bullish reaction, a long - position opportunity emerges.
BTC Trading strategy:
buy@86500
TP:87500-88500
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