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#Bitcoin is approaching a strong demand zone!#Bitcoin is approaching a strong demand zone! This level has acted as solid support several times in the past. According to the Fibonacci levels, we’re currently at the 0.5 level, which makes this area even more significant. In my opinion, we’re likely to see a bounce from here. However, if the price fails to hold this level, there’s a good chance we’ll retest the $92K zone. But for that to happen, we need a daily close below $100K. Until then, we’re still in a safe zone. I’ll keep you updated as things develop. If you find my updates helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for more! DYOR, NFA
Long
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
1
Bitcoin Strategic Interval, CME Dislocation and Macro Friction.⊢ 𝟙⟠ - BTC/USDT - Binance - (CHART: 1W) - (June 17, 2025). ⟐ Analysis Price: $106,851.31. ⊢ I. ⨀ Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval - (1W): ▦ EMA21 – ($96,818.00): ∴ The current candle closes +10.3% above the EMA21, maintaining bullish dominance over the mid-term dynamic average; ∴ This is the 17th consecutive weekly candle closing above the EMA21 since its reclaim in February 2025, forming a structurally intact uptrend; ∴ No violation or wick-close below the EMA21 has occurred since April, and the distance from price to EMA21 remains within a standard deviation of mid-trend movement. ✴ Conclusion: The trend is active and preserved. EMA21 acts as dynamic support and bullish pressure zone. A reversion would only be expected if weekly closes return below $98K with volume confirmation. ⊢ ▦ SMA200 – ($48,969.73): ∴ The 200-week simple moving average remains untouched since early 2023, never tested during the current cycle; ∴ The slope of the SMA200 is positive and gradually increasing, indicating a long-term structural trend recovery; ∴ Price stands +118% above the SMA200, a level historically associated with mid-cycle rallies or overheated continuation phases. ✴ Conclusion: The SMA200 confirms long-term bullish structure. Its current distance from price makes it irrelevant for immediate action but critical as the absolute invalidation level of the macro trend. ⊢ ▦ Ichimoku – Kumo | Tenkan | Kijun: ∴ Price is above the Kumo cloud, with Span A ($107,172.16) and Span B ($98,562.38) creating a bullish tunnel of support; ∴ The Kijun-sen rests at $95,903.19, slightly below EMA21, and aligns with the last strong horizontal range; ∴ Chikou Span is free from historical candles, confirming trend continuity under Ichimoku principles. ✴ Conclusion: All Ichimoku components are aligned bullish. Pullbacks to the Kijun around $96K would be healthy within a macro-uptrend, and only sub-cloud closes would question this formation. ⊢ ▦ Fibonacci - (Swing Low $49,000 – High $111,980): ∴ Bitcoin remains between the (0.236 Fibo - $97,116.72) and local top at $111,980, showing respect for fib-based resistance; ∴ The (0.5 Fibo - $80,490.00) has not been retested since March, confirming the range compression toward upper quadrants; ∴ Weekly price is consolidating under fib extension with decreasing body size, suggesting strength with pause. ✴ Conclusion: The Fibonacci structure confirms bullish extension phase. If $97K breaks, retracement to (0.382 Fibo - $87,921.64) is expected. Otherwise, the breakout above $112K enters full projection territory. ⊢ ▦ MACD – (Values: 1,077.98 | 5,963.81 | 4,885.82): ∴ MACD line remains above signal line for the third consecutive week, recovering from a prior bearish cross in April; ∴ The histogram has printed higher bars for four weeks, but the slope of growth is decelerating; ∴ Positive cross occurred just below the zero-line, which often results in delayed reactions or failures unless reinforced by volume. ✴ Conclusion: MACD signals a weak but persistent momentum recovery. Reaffirmation depends on histogram expansion above 1,500+ and signal spread widening. ⊢ ▦ RSI – (Close: 64.37 | MA: 57.56): ∴ The RSI is in the bullish upper quadrant, but without overbought extension, suggesting active buying without euphoria; ∴ The RSI has been above its moving average since mid-May, maintaining a healthy angle; ∴ Momentum is not diverging from price yet, but is approaching the 70 zone, historically a point of hesitation. ✴ Conclusion: RSI confirms controlled strength. Further advance without consolidation may trigger premature profit-taking. Above 70, caution increases without being bearish. ⊢ ▦ Volume - (16.97K BTC): ∴ Weekly volume is slightly above the 20-week average, marking a minor recovery in participation; ∴ There is no volume spike to validate a breakout, which is common in compressive ranges near resistance; ∴ Volume has been declining since mid-May, forming a local divergence with price highs. ✴ Conclusion: Volume profile supports current levels but does not confirm breakout potential. A rejection with strong volume will mark local exhaustion. ⊢ II. ∆ CME Technical Dislocation – BTC1! Futures: ▦ CME GAP – BTC1! – ($107,445.00): ∴ The CME Futures opened this week at $105,060.00 and closed the previous session at $107,445.00; ∴ A clear unfilled gap persists between $105,060.00 and $107,900.00, with price action hovering just above the top edge; ∴ Bitcoin has a consistent historical behavior of returning to close such gaps within a short- to mid-term range. ✴ Conclusion: The unfilled CME gap acts as a gravitational technical force. As long as price remains below $109K without volume expansion, the probability of revisiting the $105K area remains elevated. ⊢ III. ∫ On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant): ▦ Exchange Inflow Total - (All Exchanges): ∴ Current inflow volume remains below the 1,000 Bitcoin daily threshold, indicating no panic selling or institutional exits; ∴ This inflow level corresponds to accumulation or holding phases, rather than distribution; ∴ The pattern matches a neutral-to-positive mid-cycle environment. ✴ Conclusion: There is no structural on-chain pressure. As long as inflows remain low, risk of capitulation or distribution is minimal. ⊢ ▦ Spot Taker CVD - (Cumulative Volume Delta, 90-day) – (All Exchanges): ∴ The 90-day CVD shows continued dominance of taker buys over sells, reflecting ongoing demand strength in spot markets; ∴ However, the curve is flattening, suggesting buyers are meeting resistance or fading interest; ∴ No sharp reversal in the CVD curve is detected — only saturation. ✴ Conclusion: Demand remains dominant, but the pace is decelerating. Without renewed volume, this curve may revert or plateau. ⊢ ▦ Exchange Inflow Mean - (MA7) – (All Exchanges): ∴ The 7-day moving average of exchange inflow continues to decline steadily; ∴ This metric often precedes calm phases or pre-breakout plateaus; ∴ Historical patterns show similar inflow behavior before prior volatility expansions. ✴ Conclusion: A period of silence is unfolding. Reduced mean inflow suggests price is awaiting external catalysts for movement. ⊢ ▦ Funding Rates – (Binance): ∴ Current funding rates are neutral, with slight positive bias, suggesting balanced long-short sentiment; ∴ No extreme spikes indicate absence of excessive leverage; ∴ This equilibrium typically precedes significant directional moves. ✴ Conclusion: Market is leveled. Funding neutrality reflects hesitation and prepares ground for upcoming directional choice. ⊢ IV. ⚖️ Macro–Geopolitical Axis – (Powell, Middle East & BTC/XAU): ▦ MACRO CONTEXT: ∴ Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak on Wednesday (June 19), with markets anticipating remarks on rate stability or future hikes; ∴ Ongoing tensions in the Middle East (Israel–Iran) elevate risk-off behavior in traditional markets; ∴ Bitcoin has triggered a rare Golden Cross vs. Gold, as noted by U.Today, signaling digital strength over legacy value. ✴ Conclusion: Macro remains the primary external catalyst. Powell’s statement will determine short-term volatility. Until then, Bitcoin floats between its technical support and CME magnetism, with gold dynamics providing long-term bullish backdrop. ⊢ ⚜️ 𝟙⟠ Magister Arcanvm – Vox Primordialis! ⚖️ Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy. ⊢
by Magister_Arcanvm
2
BTC/USDT on one-hour Chart ProjectionsThe chart illustrates a classic Inverse Cup and Handle pattern formation. The cup is clearly marked by a rounded top, indicating a reversal structure forming after a previous uptrend. Following the breakdown from the right rim of the cup, the price action has transitioned into a bearish consolidation, forming a potential rising wedge or weak bear flag – both of which typically indicate continuation to the downside. Key Levels & Trade Setup: Sell Stop: 104,494 Stop Loss: 106,090 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 102,574 These levels suggest a short-selling strategy with a favorable risk-to-reward setup targeting the breakdown of the handle portion of the pattern. Indicators: RSI (14, close) is currently at 42.95, which lies in the neutral-to-bearish territory. Multiple Bearish RSI Divergences were signaled before the recent drop, supporting the short thesis. Minor Bullish RSI signals were observed earlier but failed to sustain momentum above the 50 line. Conclusion: The technical structure, along with bearish RSI signals and pattern confirmation, suggests that BTC/USDT is likely to experience further downside, especially if price breaks below the 104,494 support. A breakdown from the current ascending structure could lead to the 102,574 support zone being tested in the near term.
Short
by Musarrat_karamat
1
BTC - Continuation of Bull Trap 21.06.2025Hello Friday! Never, ever, ever trade crypto on weekend, but let's hop in! 🔻 What I expect more? Continuation of Bull Trap! (Probability 70/30) Few Reasons: Price broke 20 EMA(daily) and is sliding just above the 50 EMA with "dead-cat" bounce attempts. RSI is going down below 50 — momeentuum is faaadiing. No signs of some big demand at this level (low volume on small green candles + Iran uncertainty). Notable, that we are far from any bounce move (which would support re-accumulation). Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation (Most likely) Expecting BTC to test the 99.5k zone — this is the key support level becasue of several arguments: 1) 0.886 Fib 2) Confluence with previous horizontal range support 3) 100 EMA 4) Under psychological level 100k 5) RSI needs to cool off before taking higher targets. If 99.5k broken, next stop is near 88.5k (0.786 Fib) I wouldn't like to analyse further possible downslide of BTC, so lets stay so far in already negative scenario within 88.5k, but let's keep in mind, that maximum pain we will see near 75k zone. 🟡 Alternative: Short-term Bounce (Probability 30/70) BTC could attempt bounce towards 105–106.5k (retest of broken structure + 20 EMA resistance) If this bounce has low volume and rejection near EMAs or RSI stays below 50 , it's a sell opportunity — not a bullish reversal. ✅ Final thoughts for short term: stay away from the market. From 103.5k I would expect downward continuation toward 99.5k with possible minor bounce attempts along the way. Wait for strong reversal signal near 100k and enter LONG with tight SL. Don't trade during the weekend, unless there's a once in a lifetime opportunity. Have fun!
by Expate
2
BTC/USDT Double Top Breakdown – Bearish Target in PlayBTC/USDT – 1H Chart Analysis (Binance) The chart shows a bearish setup based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and price action. Key Points: Rising Wedge: A bearish pattern formed earlier, indicating a weakening bullish move. Top 1 & Top 2: Double-top structure suggesting strong resistance around 106,000. CHoCH & BOS: Multiple Change of Character (CHoCH) and Break of Structure (BOS) confirm the shift from bullish to bearish trend. Breakdown Zone: After forming Top 2, price broke below key structure zones. Target Zone: Marked in green and pink below 104,000, showing a bearish continuation toward 102,000 area. Strong Low: This zone is highlighted as the next major support where price could react.
Short
by forextrading110
1
BTC gathers liquidity ahead of growth Inside the trading range Bitcoin has moved into a sell-off phase due to the situation in the Middle East. The sell-off could extend to 102500 - 100600. But as the market is trending and bullish, the support at 100600 may hold the price and allow the market to strengthen Scenario: A false break of the resistance at 105280 is formed. Accordingly, I am initially waiting for a decline to 102500. If 102500 fails to hold the move, bitcoin could then head to the liquidity pool. A false break of 100600 may give a chance for a rise to 105200 - 108200.
Long
by AndeWave
1
#Bitcoin Roadmap for 2025–2026 A Deep Corrective Scenario UnfoldI believe the major top for Bitcoin was already printed on May 21st, at $111,000. From here, I expect a three-wave corrective structure to unfold: • 🔻 First drop to $69,000 • 🔼 Then a relief bounce to $85,000 • 🔻 Followed by a deeper decline to $46,000 If Bitcoin breaks the historical ascending trendline after reaching $46,000, I anticipate a five-wave bearish structure to continue: • Further drop to $33,000 • Temporary correction up to $45,000 • And finally, a capitulation wave towards $19,000 I know this may sound early or even extreme to some, but if you review my previous Bitcoin outlooks going back to 2014, you’ll notice that many of these scenarios—however bold—have eventually played out with precision. 📌 Invalidation Level: This scenario would be invalidated if Bitcoin closes a weekly candle above $115,000. Good luck, fellow traders—stay sharp and prepared. 🧠📉 ⸻
Short
by Lawrence-Sherif
1
Lingrid | BTCUSDT potential Bullish Continuation After PullbackThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . BINANCE:BTCUSDT has formed a higher low after rebounding from the trendline near $104K and is attempting to stabilize within a minor range just above $105.5K. The broader structure shows a clean breakout from the downward trendline, followed by consolidation, suggesting accumulation. A bounce from the $105K–$105.5K support area would favor a continuation toward the $109K resistance level. 📈 Key Levels Buy zone: 105,000–105,500 Sell trigger: break below 104,800 Target: 109,000 Buy trigger: close above 106,800 with strong volume 💡 Risks Breakdown of support could retest the $100K region False breakout may trap bulls above $106K External macro news could trigger short-term volatility Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
3
The Importance of the 104463.99 Point Hello, traders. Please "Follow" to get the latest information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) This volatility period is around June 22nd (June 21-23rd). Therefore, waves can be generated at any time during the volatility period. The 104463.99 point is the DOM (60) indicator point of the 1W chart, which corresponds to the end of the high point of the 1W chart. Therefore, it seems that the price defense is being done well. I think that defending the price at the high point is significant because it raises expectations for further increase. - If it falls after a period of volatility, there is a possibility that it will meet the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart, and I think the important point at that time is the 99705.62 point. Therefore, when it falls, you need to check whether the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart rises to around 99705.62 and whether it is supported. - Even if it rises after receiving support near 104463.99, the key is whether it can maintain the price by rising above 108316.90. The 108316.90 point is the HA-High indicator point of the 1D chart, which corresponds to the middle value of the high point range. Therefore, in order to continue the uptrend, it must be supported and rise in the 108316.90-111696.21 range. Currently, both the Low Line and High Line of the auxiliary indicator OBV are showing a downward trend. Therefore, in order for the uptrend to begin, OBV must rise above the High Line and be maintained. If not, it is highly likely that it will fall due to selling pressure. One hopeful(?) thing is that the PVT oscillator is showing an overall upward trend. (Changed from OBV oscillator to PVT oscillator.) Therefore, we can see how important the area around 104463.99 is playing a role of support and resistance. - In my chart, the basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator. Therefore, it is virtually impossible to create a trading strategy at the current price level. In such cases, you should conduct trading through day trading or quick response. If not, you may experience a lot of psychological fear and anxiety. The basic time frame chart of all indicators is the 1D chart. Therefore, if you cannot read the flow of the 1D chart, you are likely to end up getting faked and suffer losses. Therefore, you should read the flow of the 1D chart and create a big picture of how to create a trading strategy, and respond in detail on the time frame chart below the 1D chart. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​This is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain more details when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
1
Bitcoin could drop to 95KHi traders, Last week Bitcoin followed my outlook exactly. Price went up a little higher to finish wave B (grey) and after that it started the next wave down. Now we could see a small correction up and after that down again. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for the correction up to finish to trade shorts. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
Short
by EduwaveTrading
1
Bitcoin Weekly: Bullish & Bearish ScenariosThis is the definitive analysis based on the weekly timeframe. Depending on how the weekly session closes the market trend will be defined. Bitcoin is both bearish and bullish. Let me explain. » If Bitcoin can move and close weekly above $110,000, market conditions are considered bullish and we can expect higher prices. » If Bitcoin moves and closes weekly below $100,000, market conditions are considered bearish and we can expect lower prices. » Any trading between $100,000 and $110,000 can be considered consolidation. Since the main move is an advance starting 7-April, the consolidation has a bullish bias; makes sense? It is a bullish bias but a bullish continuation is not confirmed. Bitcoin peaked the 19-May week, a new all-time high. Then it produced a lower high this week. This implies bearish potential and bearish pressure. » If this week closes above last weeks high, around $107,000, we can say the bulls are gaining ground. » If this week closes at the open or lower, say $105,000 or lower, then the bears are gaining the upper-hand a lower low becomes more likely. It has not been decided, anything goes. Anything can happen because Bitcoin will not die, trading won't end if prices move below 100K. This would simply lead to a bounce and a recovery later down the road. It also works in reverse, if Bitcoin moves higher, nothing happens, the market will continue to be and exist, it will continue to grow and evolve. Right now we are mixed, this is a decision point. The action is determined by the price, depending on what prices we get we can know what comes next. Since the week is yet to close, we remain in doubt but the bearish bias has the upper-hand short-term. Short-term bearish potential is strong based on the ath, triple-top and lower high. Mid-term the market is in a bullish trend facing resistance. The wave from 7-April through present day. Retraces and corrections are normal. Long-term Bitcoin is bullish, because it has been growing since November 2022. Thank you for reading. 👉 If you would like to see an update when the week closes hit boost! Namaste.
by MasterAnanda
1
As I said earlier, the real correction is STARTING right now!Hello, everyone! I started writing this review when Bitcoin was at $105,200, and I'm finishing it at $104,150. ⚡️ So far, my thesis is completely correct — we filled the GAP at $104,763 and are going lower to collect liquidity and close the GAPs. But let's take a look at where and when something might change: ➡️ Today, there is a vote on the stablecoin bill. It is being hyped up a lot and in the short term, it could be a catalyst for a small rebound. But in reality, it has no global value right now. And it will take a very long time to truly feel its impact. But this law is definitely a breakthrough. ➡️ June 18 — the Fed's interest rate decision. The market expects the rate to remain at 4.5%. But in a bearish momentum, anything other than a rate cut (and even that is not always the case) is a bearish catalyst. Remember April, when positive news came out in droves, but Bitcoin at $75,000 didn't care. However, if the rate is lowered, we can definitely expect a rebound. But I don't think it will be very high. ⚙️ Metrics and indicators: Money flow - in complete harmony with the price. Position closing and liquidity outflow continue. It is clear that most of it has flowed into ETH and altcoins. But don't forget that if Bitcoin goes down, this liquidity from altcoins will evaporate even faster. Support/Resistance Zones - as we can see, the level of 105,500 - 106,000 is still key, and without consolidating above it, we are going down. As long as the price is below this level, it is a bearish signal. Liquidation Levels - just look at the amount of liquidity from below. As we know, the price moves from one liquidity to another; it is literally its fuel. And now, there is simply no liquidity from above, but there is plenty of it from below. 📌 Conclusion: So far, everything is quite predictable for me and my subscribers. So, leaning back in our chairs, we continue to enjoy the show and wait for real discounts! Have a great week, everyone!
Short
by Crypto_Inside_trading
1
Bitcoin - Bulls in Control: Aiming For $110kBitcoin has just confirmed a strong bullish breakout after consolidating beneath a prior fair value gap. The market not only broke out of that zone cleanly but did so with conviction, creating a new inversion fair value gap (IFVG) along the way. This type of structure often indicates a shift in sentiment, especially when paired with increasing volume and impulsive candles. Fair Value Gap Break and Continuation Context Following the breakout, price surged straight through another 4H FVG overhead, flipping it with strength and no hesitation. That kind of move shows clear intent. The market didn't pause or stall at resistance, which increases the probability that the same pattern could play out again, clean break, shallow pullback, and continuation. The breakout level now holds as short-term support. Near-Term Expectations – FVG Fill Before Higher With this latest 4H candle close, I’m now expecting a short pullback to fill the newly created 4H FVG below. This would provide the market with the fuel it needs to continue higher without leaving inefficient price action behind. The structure is setting up a classic breakout-fill-continue sequence, and the next key objective sits just below a clear resistance zone overhead. Conclusion Bitcoin broke out of a compression zone, formed an IFVG, and followed up with a strong push through the next fair value gap. I’m expecting a controlled retracement to fill the new 4H imbalance, after which price could continue pushing toward the major resistance area. The momentum is clean and structured—until that changes, continuation remains the more likely path. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Long
by TehThomas
53
#BTC Ascending Triangle📊#BTC Ascending Triangle 🧠From a structural perspective, the daily upward trend has ended, which means that the correction expectation at the daily level has always existed, so we need to be alert to this possibility and do a good job of risk management. At present, there is no short structure, so if you want to participate in short trading, you need to look for opportunities in the heavy resistance area (106500-108200). ➡️From a graphical perspective, we have been sideways for nearly a month, and the price is gradually being squeezed to form an ascending triangle. At present, the price shows signs of stabilization at the lower edge of the triangle, and we need to be alert to the risk of rebound. Only when the closing price at the 4h level is lower than the lower edge of the triangle or the price falls below the inflection point of 102611, can we think that the market direction has chosen to go down. ⚠️Note that there will be a Fed interest rate decision and geopolitical negotiations in the Middle East today, and the market may fluctuate violently, so be sure to do a good job of risk management. Let's take a look👀 🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
by wolf_king888
1