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What About The RSI? BitcoinDaily MA200 has been working as support; support confirmed, for Bitcoin on the daily timeframe. This is a good signal, a strong one and all is good. I also looked at the trading volume and this is also good. Clearly rising for a while now. A bullish bias. I was wondering about the RSI. How is Bitcoin's daily RSI looking like? Great news. Bitcoin's daily RSI hit its lowest level in February 2025 since August 2023. That's a strong one. The low in February on this oscillator ended up being higher than August 2024. This produces the hidden bullish divergence signal. Very interesting. MA200 sits perfectly between 0.5 and 0.618 Fib. retracement level support. This level now sits at $83,000. Bitcoin will never trade again below 80K. The bottom is in. Hold on, I have more. Let's revisit an update that I shared in a previous publications (5 days ago) related to the correction dynamics. 🅱️ Bitcoin's Correction Is Over An advance from $74,000 to 110K is not the same as an advance from $20,000 to 74K. The correction from 74 to 49K, -33%, took five months because of the prolonged consolidation between 20,000 and 74,000. The correction from 110 to 78K totals a nice -28%. Support is found at 0.5 Fib. retracement in relation to the previous bullish phase. This is the exact same level that was hit in the previous correction from 74 to 49K in July/August 2024. The current correction does not need to extend any longer. The rise from 49 to 110K amounts to 124%. The rise from 20 to 74K amounts to 270%. It is logical for the previous correction to be stronger than the current one because of the size of the bullish wave. Since this bullish wave was smaller, the correction also becomes small. We are now in 2025 and everybody knows that Bitcoin is going up. If the market couldn't push Bitcoin past 49K last year when doubt was the norm, remember the evil tendencies of the SEC, why would the market produce a stronger correction now when the SEC has been transformed to reasonable and conscious? Instead of a weapon this institution is now doing the job that it was supposed to do in the first place; guidance and support. The SEC is now offering strong support to the Cryptocurrency market and this is great. Conditions are better now and fundamentals continue to improve. There is reason to believe that the bottom is in, not only based on the correction size but also based on the fact that Altcoins are turning strongly green. The correction is over. This is great news. We are going up. Once the market hits bottom... The new All-Time High will happen in late 2025. Bitcoin can easily hit $180,000, $200,000 or more (can be $500,000 to $1,000,000). The Altcoins portion of the market will blow up. Not everything will grow, but most of the market will. All those projects without a real base will lose momentum and the real Cryptocurrencies will shine the most. There are lots of choices; choose wisely. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!" 🏁Buy entry above 93000 🏁Sell Entry below 84000 📌However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side. Stop Loss 🛑: 🚩Thief SL placed at 88000 (swing Trade Basis) for Bullish Trade 🚩Thief SL placed at 92000 (swing Trade Basis) for Bearish Trade Using the 4H period, the recent / swing low or high level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 🏴‍☠️Bullish Robbers TP 11000 (or) Escape Before the Target 🏴‍☠️Bearish Robbers TP 68000 (or) Escape Before the Target 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, On Chain Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future Prediction: BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto market is currently experiencing a Neutral Trend (slightly Bearish🐼),., driven by several key factors. 1. Fundamental Analysis⭐⚡🌟 Fundamental analysis evaluates Bitcoin’s intrinsic drivers: Adoption Trends: Institutional inflows via Bitcoin ETFs remain strong, with $1.5 billion added in Q1 2025. MicroStrategy holds 300,000 BTC, reinforcing corporate adoption—bullish. Regulatory Environment: The U.S. signals a pro-crypto stance with talks of a strategic Bitcoin reserve, boosting confidence—bullish. However, global regulatory uncertainty (e.g., EU tax proposals) adds mild bearish pressure. Halving Impact: Post-2024 halving (April), supply issuance dropped to 450 BTC/day. Historical patterns suggest price appreciation 12-18 months later, supporting a bullish outlook for 2025. Network Usage: Transaction volume is up 10% year-over-year, driven by Layer 2 solutions (e.g., Lightning Network)—bullish for utility and value. Inflation Hedge Narrative: With U.S. inflation at 3.0%, Bitcoin’s appeal as a store of value grows—bullish, though tempered by short-term risk-off sentiment. Detailed Explanation: Fundamentals are strongly bullish long-term due to adoption, supply scarcity, and macro trends. Short-term bearish pressures from regulatory uncertainty and profit-taking explain the current dip to 87,000. 2. Macroeconomic Factors⭐⚡🌟 Macroeconomic conditions influencing BTC/USD: U.S. Economy: Fed rates at 3.0% with no immediate cuts signal tighter conditions—bearish short-term as capital favors yield-bearing assets. Unemployment steady at 4.2% supports economic stability—neutral. Global Growth: China’s GDP growth slows to 4.2%, reducing demand for risk assets like Bitcoin—bearish. Eurozone PMI at 47.8 indicates contraction, pressuring global markets—bearish. Currency Markets: USD strength (DXY at 106) weighs on BTC/USD, as a stronger dollar reduces Bitcoin’s appeal—bearish short-term. Commodity Prices: Oil at $68/bbl and gold at $2,950 reflect a mixed risk environment—neutral for Bitcoin. Geopolitical Risk: Middle East tensions elevate safe-haven demand, but Bitcoin’s correlation with gold is weakening—neutral to mildly bearish. Detailed Explanation: Macro factors tilt bearish short-term due to USD strength and global slowdown, countering Bitcoin’s long-term bullish fundamentals. This tension explains the current downward trend from higher levels. 3. Commitments of Traders (COT) Data⭐⚡🌟 COT data reflects futures positioning: Speculative Traders: Net long positions at 15,000 contracts, down from 25,000 at the 95,000 peak. Reduced bullishness suggests caution—bearish signal. Commercial Hedgers: Net short at 20,000 contracts, stable. Hedgers locking in gains indicate no panic—neutral. Open Interest: 45,000 contracts, down 10% from February highs. Declining participation hints at fading momentum—bearish. Detailed Explanation: COT data supports a bearish short-term view. Speculators unwinding longs and falling open interest align with the downward trend, though hedgers’ stability prevents a sharper collapse. 4. On-Chain Analysis⭐⚡🌟 On-chain metrics provide insights into Bitcoin’s network activity: Exchange Balances: 2.6 million BTC on exchanges, up 5% in March. Rising supply suggests selling pressure—bearish. Transaction Volume: Daily volume at $10 billion, flat month-over-month. Lack of growth signals reduced buying interest—neutral to bearish. HODLing Behavior: 70% of BTC unmoved for over a year (13.8 million coins). Strong holder conviction limits downside—bullish long-term. Miner Activity: Miners hold 1.8 million BTC, with minimal outflows. Stable miner behavior supports price floors—mildly bullish. Realized Price Levels: Realized cap indicates a cost basis of 78,000 for recent buyers, acting as support—bullish if held. Detailed Explanation: On-chain data is mixed. Short-term bearish signals from exchange inflows contrast with long-term bullishness from HODLing and miner stability, suggesting a correction rather than a collapse. 5. Intermarket Analysis⭐⚡🌟 Correlations with other markets: USD Strength: DXY at 106 pressures BTC/USD inversely—bearish short-term. S&P 500: At 5,900, down 2% this week, reflecting risk-off sentiment. Bitcoin’s 0.6 correlation with equities adds downward pressure—bearish. Gold: At $2,950, gold rises as a safe haven, decoupling from Bitcoin—neutral to bearish. Bond Yields: U.S. 10-year yields at 3.8% attract capital away from risk assets—bearish. Altcoins: ETH/BTC ratio at 0.035, with altcoins underperforming Bitcoin, reinforcing BTC’s relative strength—mildly bullish. Detailed Explanation: Intermarket signals are bearish short-term due to USD strength, equity declines, and yield competition. Bitcoin’s resilience versus altcoins offers some support, but broader risk-off trends dominate. 6. Market Sentiment Analysis⭐⚡🌟 Investor and trader mood: Retail Sentiment: Social media analysis shows 45% bullish sentiment, down from 60% at 95,000. Fear of further drops prevails—bearish. Analyst Views: Consensus targets range from 80,000 (short-term support) to 100,000 (Q3 2025), reflecting uncertainty—mixed. Options Market: Call/put ratio at 0.9, with balanced positioning. No strong directional bias—neutral. Fear & Greed Index: At 40 (neutral), down from 70 (greed) in February, indicating cooling enthusiasm—bearish shift. Detailed Explanation: Sentiment has turned bearish short-term as retail investors react to the decline from 95,000. Analysts’ mixed views and neutral options activity suggest a wait-and-see approach, aligning with the current trend. 7. Next Trend Move and Future Trend Prediction⭐⚡🌟 Price projections across timeframes: Short-Term (1-2 Weeks): Range: 84,000 - 88,500 Likely to test support at 86,000-84,000 if selling persists; a bounce to 88,500 possible on relief rally. Catalysts: U.S. economic data (e.g., CPI on March 12), ETF flows. Medium-Term (1-3 Months): Range: 80,000 - 92,000 Below 84,000 targets 80,000 (realized price support); above 88,500 aims for 92,000 if risk appetite returns. Catalysts: BOJ policy update, institutional buying. Long-Term (6-12 Months): Bullish Target: 100,000 - 110,000 Driven by halving cycle, adoption, and inflation hedging—65% probability. Bearish Target: 70,000 - 75,000 Triggered by global recession or regulatory crackdown—35% probability. Catalysts: U.S. strategic reserve decision, Q3 GDP data. Detailed Explanation: Short-term downside to 84,000 aligns with current bearish momentum. Medium-term consolidation reflects macro uncertainty, while long-term upside to 100,000+ hinges on fundamentals prevailing over temporary setbacks. 8. Overall Summary Outlook⭐⚡🌟 BTC/USD at 87,000 is in a short-term bearish correction within a broader bullish cycle. Fundamentals (adoption, halving) and on-chain HODLing support long-term gains, but macro headwinds (USD strength, global slowdown), COT unwinding, and risk-off sentiment drive the current downward trend. Exchange inflows and declining sentiment reinforce near-term weakness, with support at 84,000-80,000 likely to hold. Medium-term recovery to 92,000 and long-term growth to 100,000+ remain plausible if catalysts align. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
by Thief_Trader
1
Bitcoin Daily Update : Holding Support1. Price Above the 200-Day Moving Average (MA): The price has reclaimed and is trading above the 200-day MA (red line), which is typically considered a bullish signal in technical analysis. This suggests potential long-term support and a shift in sentiment. 2. Month Support Zone: The blue rectangular area marks a significant support zone that has held for approximately 4 months. This indicates strong buyer interest in this range, providing a foundation for potential upward momentum. 3. Volume Increasing: The recent increase in volume (visible on the volume bars) supports the breakout above the 200-day MA and suggests growing market participation, which strengthens the bullish case.
Long
by Trading_Consults
1
Congrats if you longed yesterday! Wednesday trades! Bitcoin Morning Update - London Open 📉 We got a nice move from the level we were watching on Tuesday morning—congrats if you snatched that trade! It wasn’t an easy one, and I’ll discuss why in the next lesson. Bullish Scenario 🟢 We’ve seen an aggressive internal BOS, and ideally, we get a retracement into one of our 30m demand zones 📈 If that holds, we could see a long scalp up to the 2H zone above and the old supply range, fulfilling a deeper primary retracement I’ll be looking for market structure confirmation longs at these key zones Bearish Scenario 🔴 On higher time frames, we broke bearishly from the range, meaning our primary structure is still bearish ⛔ If we react off the 2H supply zone above or the zone just above us, we could see a flush lower I’ll be watching for shorts at these levels and look to de-risk immediately Key Notes ⚡ We are also watching for our range deviation plays into supply and demand—a nice supply and demand sandwich 🥪 No change, no trade—patience is key 1% risk only—secure profits where possible If you’re still in the long from yesterday, now is a good time to lock in profits I won’t be streaming today or tomorrow, but I might squeeze in a lesson on Friday Let’s see what Wednesday brings! 🚀
Long
by Trade-Journal
1
BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USDT "Bitcoin Tether" Crypto Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : The heist is on! Wait for the breakout of (80000) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell stop below the MA line or Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in swing/retest. 📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (84000) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 68000 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, On Chain Analysis, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook: The BTC/USDT "Bitcoin Tether" Crypto Market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bearishness).., driven by several key factors. ⭐Fundamental Analysis Fundamental analysis assesses Bitcoin's core metrics and market position. Here are the key factors: Market Capitalization: Approximately 1.68 trillion USD, calculated using the circulating supply of 19.83 million BTC multiplied by the current price of 85,000 USDT. This reflects Bitcoin’s significant presence in the crypto market. Trading Volume (24h): Around 31.44 billion USD, indicating robust liquidity and active trading activity over the past day. Circulating Supply: 19.83 million BTC, out of a maximum supply of 21 million BTC, meaning 94.4% of the total supply is already in circulation. Price Context: Bitcoin’s current price of 85,000 USDT is below its all-time high of 109,356 USD (reached on January 20, 2025), suggesting it is in a corrective phase but still well above historical lows (e.g., 2 USD on October 20, 2011). Key Insight: Bitcoin’s fundamentals remain strong with a high market cap and active trading volume, but the price being below its recent peak indicates potential vulnerability or a consolidation period. ⭐Macroeconomic Factors Macroeconomic conditions influence Bitcoin’s price as a global asset. Here are the relevant factors: Global GDP Growth: Forecasted at 3.0% to 3.3% for 2025, suggesting moderate economic expansion worldwide. This level of growth may support risk assets like Bitcoin but isn’t strong enough to trigger significant inflation concerns. Commodity Prices: Expected to decline by 5% in 2025, potentially reducing Bitcoin’s appeal as an inflation hedge since falling commodity prices signal lower inflationary pressure. Stock Market Performance: U.S. stock indices are up 5% year-to-date (YTD) as of early 2025, reflecting a positive risk-on sentiment that often correlates with Bitcoin’s performance as a speculative asset. Interest Rate Policies: The U.S. Federal Reserve is anticipated to cut interest rates in 2025, which could weaken the USD and make Bitcoin more attractive relative to USDT (a USD-pegged stablecoin). Conversely, the Bank of Japan may raise rates, though this has a limited direct impact on BTC/USDT. Key Insight: Macroeconomic conditions are mixed—declining commodity prices may dampen Bitcoin’s inflation-hedge narrative, but stock market gains and potential Fed rate cuts could bolster its price. ⭐Global Market Analysis Global market trends and events provide context for BTC/USDT’s performance: Geopolitical Events: No significant geopolitical tensions are currently reported as of March 5, 2025. This reduces demand for Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset, unlike during periods of global unrest. Central Bank Policies: Federal Reserve: Expected rate cuts could weaken the USD, potentially driving BTC/USDT higher as investors seek alternatives. Bank of Japan: Anticipated rate hikes may strengthen the JPY, but this has minimal direct influence on BTC/USDT unless it triggers broader currency shifts. Commodity Trends: A projected 5% decline in commodity prices may ease inflation fears, indirectly reducing Bitcoin’s appeal as a store of value. Global Risk Sentiment: Mixed stock market performance globally suggests a neutral stance on risk assets, with no strong directional push for Bitcoin. Key Insight: Without major geopolitical catalysts, Bitcoin’s price may hinge on central bank actions, particularly Fed rate cuts that could weaken the USD and support BTC/USDT. ⭐Commitment of Traders (COT) Data COT data offers insights into large trader positions, though specific BTC/USDT COT reports are not directly available. Here’s an inferred analysis: Technical Ratings: Current indicators for BTC/USDT show a “sell” signal, with oscillators (e.g., RSI, MACD) and moving averages (e.g., 50-day, 200-day) trending strongly bearish. Trader Positioning: The bearish technical outlook suggests large traders (e.g., speculators) are likely net short, anticipating further price declines. Market Implications: This positioning could amplify downward pressure if selling continues, though a reversal in sentiment could trigger a short squeeze. Key Insight: The inferred COT data points to bearish sentiment among large traders, aligning with technical signals and suggesting a downward bias. ⭐On-Chain Analysis On-chain data reflects Bitcoin’s blockchain activity and holder behavior: Unmoved BTC: Approximately 151,000 BTC, acquired at an average price of 97,800 USDT, has not moved despite recent volatility. This indicates strong conviction among holders at higher levels, potentially acting as resistance. Accumulation Patterns: Some accumulation occurred near 83,000 USDT, suggesting buying interest at lower levels. However, rapid selling has dominated, with one-third of BTC accumulated between 96,000–97,500 USDT redistributed during the recent decline. Supply Concentrations: Thin supply exists between 93,000 and 83,000 USDT, with notable clusters at 84,200 USDT (23,000 BTC), 86,900 USDT (25,800 BTC), and 88,900 USDT (46,000 BTC), indicating key price levels where holders may act. Key Insight: On-chain data shows a mix of strong holding at higher prices and selling pressure at current levels, hinting at capitulation but also potential support forming near 83,000–85,000 USDT. ⭐Market Sentiment Analysis Market sentiment reflects trader and investor psychology: Social Media Sentiment: Posts on platforms like X reveal a split outlook—some traders predict a drop to 75,000–73,000 USDT, citing technical weakness, while others see a potential bullish reversal if support holds. Sentiment Index: Total positive sentiment is estimated at 0.75 (on a scale from -1 to 1), suggesting moderate optimism despite recent declines. Fear and Greed Index: Specific data is unavailable, but the mixed sentiment aligns with a neutral-to-slightly bullish stance. Key Insight: Sentiment is mixed but leans slightly bullish, indicating cautious optimism amid uncertainty. ⭐Positioning Positioning reflects how traders are aligned in the market: Speculative Positions: Likely net short, inferred from bearish technical signals and COT-like trends, suggesting traders are betting on a decline. Institutional Positioning: Hedge funds have increased exposure to Bitcoin ETFs, indicating growing long-term interest that could counterbalance short-term selling. Market Dynamics: Short positions may dominate near-term price action, but institutional buying could stabilize or reverse the trend. Key Insight: Short-term bearish positioning contrasts with potential long-term bullish institutional interest. ⭐Next Trend Move The next likely price movement is based on current data: Direction: Downward pressure is favored, driven by technical sell signals and bearish positioning. Key Levels: Support: 80,000 USDT; if breached, 75,000–73,000 USDT becomes the next target. Resistance: 95,000 USDT, a level that would need to be overcome for a bullish reversal. Triggers: A break below 80,000 USDT could accelerate selling, while holding above 85,000 USDT might signal stabilization. Key Insight: The next trend move likely tests lower support levels, with a potential drop to 75,000–73,000 USDT if momentum persists. ⭐Other Data Additional factors impacting BTC/USDT: Institutional Adoption: Hedge funds are increasing exposure to Bitcoin ETFs, a bullish signal for long-term price support as institutional capital flows in. Regulatory Changes: The SEC’s employee buyout program in 2025 could lead to shifts in crypto regulation, introducing uncertainty and potential volatility. Market Trends: Bitcoin’s limited supply (21 million BTC cap) and growing mainstream acceptance bolster its long-term value proposition. Key Insight: Institutional interest is a positive wildcard, but regulatory uncertainty could shake confidence in the near term. ⭐Overall Summary Outlook Overview: On March 5, 2025, BTC/USDT at 85,000 USDT exhibits a cautiously bearish outlook. Technical sell signals, bearish trader positioning, and recent on-chain selling pressure point to downside risks. However, strong holding behavior at higher levels (e.g., 97,800 USDT), potential institutional support via ETF exposure, and a slightly bullish market sentiment suggest a reversal is possible if support holds. Macroeconomic factors like expected Fed rate cuts could weaken the USD and provide tailwinds, though declining commodity prices may temper Bitcoin’s inflation-hedge appeal. Risks include a drop below 80,000 USDT or volatility from regulatory shifts. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Short
by Thief_Trader
2
BTC/USDT – 30-Min Long Trade Setup !📌 🚀 🔹 Asset: BTC/USDT (Bitcoin) 🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart 🔹 Setup Type: Bullish Reversal Trade 📌 Trade Plan (Long Position) ✅ Entry Zone: Above $86,204 (Support Bounce Confirmation) ✅ Stop-Loss (SL): Below $83,954 (Invalidation Level) 🎯 Take Profit Targets: 📌 TP1: $89,594 (First Resistance Level) 📌 TP2: $93,531 (Extended Bullish Move) 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation 📉 Risk (SL Distance): $86,204 - $83,954 = $2,250 risk per BTC 📈 Reward to TP1: $89,594 - $86,204 = $3,390 (1:1.5 R/R) 📈 Reward to TP2: $93,531 - $86,204 = $7,327 (1:3.2 R/R) 🔍 Technical Analysis & Strategy 📌 Descending Wedge Breakout: Price has formed a descending wedge, a bullish reversal pattern indicating a possible uptrend. 📌 Support Rejection: The price tested $86,204 support and showed signs of reversal with a green candle. 📌 Volume Confirmation Needed: Ensure high buying volume when price holds above $86,204 to confirm bullish momentum. 📌 Momentum Shift Expected: If price remains above $86,204, it could push toward $89,594, and further to $93,531. 📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels 🟢 $83,954 – Stop-Loss / Support Level 🟡 $86,204 – Reversal Level / Long Entry 🔴 $89,594 – First Resistance / TP1 🔴 $93,531 – Final Target / TP2 📉 Trade Execution & Risk Management 📊 Volume Confirmation: Ensure high buying volume above $86,204 before entering. 📉 Trailing Stop Strategy: Move SL to entry ($86,204) after TP1 ($89,594) is hit. 💰 Partial Profit Booking Strategy: ✔ Take 50% profits at $89,594, let the rest run toward $93,531. ✔ Adjust Stop-Loss to Break-even ($86,204) after TP1 is reached. ⚠️ Fake Breakout Risk ❌ If the price fails to hold above $86,204 and drops back, exit early to avoid losses. ❌ Wait for a strong bullish candle close above $86,204 before entering aggressively. 🚀 Final Thoughts ✔ Bullish Setup – Bouncing from support at $86,204 suggests a potential reversal. ✔ Momentum Shift Possible – Watch for volume confirmation. ✔ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio – 1:1.5 to TP1, 1:3.2 to TP2. 💡 Stick to the plan, manage risk, and trade smart! 🚀📈 🔗 #CryptoTrading #BTC #LongTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #MomentumCrypto #ProfittoPath #TradingView #CryptoMarket #SwingTrading #RiskManagement #ChartAnalysis 📈🔥
Long
by ProfittoPath
2
BTC – hold here or it's lights out?We took out the bad highs and single prints we identified, then overshot a bit on a news squeeze during illiquid Sunday hours. If you mark the Feb 3 lows, which is the low before the entire Feb range, we reclaimed, but did failed auction and then gave a perfect bearish retest before selling off again. At the time of writing we backfilled the entire imbalance, but from previous examples this kind of momentum rarely holds with that much targets below us. I can see a small bounce, usually we get 236 or a bit higher during these waterfall sell-offs, so looking for weakness around there is a great continuation short if you can find a local setup and invalidation. Reclaim Feb 3 lows would probably cause us the squeeze a bit higher, but we'll deal with that if we get it. Expecting our imbalance below to get tagged in the near future if we lose 85k. From there it's 'pray that the lows hold' because it's not looking good. One more thing: we have a huge CME gap that is almost backfilled now. The level on a perp chart would be around 84.1, which would be a level to watch for potential bounces.
by Tealstreet
1
What is Double Top or Double Bottom and how it works?Hello in this educational content we are talking about one of the major reversal pattern in market or maybe even the most important reversal pattern which is exist. Double Top: Like the pattern mentioned on the chart now double Top is made by two reject from resistance but it is complete when the support or neckline of this two top break and then the pattern is complete and we can say this is a valid double Top and market now can get correction and get bearish. here is chart & example take a look at Two kinds of Double Top available in my View: As we can see sometimes price even made fake breakout to the upside or downside of the pattern and in these kinds of situation we can expect more fall if we had Advance Double Top because the liquidity was more at the beginning of second phase rejection. We also have other Strong Reversal patterns like Head & shoulders and ... which you can mention them in comments or we may have another live post for them in next Educational posts. most of You know about Regular Double top or Double Bottom and in this Educational post we mention some data about Advance form of it too and also so many know this form as regular form and consider this fake breakout a sign of good double Top and .... Double Bottom is the same like the Double Top but reverse(This time support can not break two times and price after breaking neckline or resistance start to pump and bear market turn to bullish with Double Bottom). DISCLAIMER: ((Always trade based on your own decision))-----this post is not signal content or analysis and just Try to talk about an important Reversal pattern with Example which happened also on Bitcoin in previous days in my Opinion. <<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
Education
by MMBTtrader
2
BTCUSD is ready to push againNo comment needed. All information is in the chart analysis. Steps to follow: Analyze yourself. Take the position with SL and Take Profits. Wait, it may take a couple of days, so take a break and step away from the screen from time to time, just like I do :) Get the result. I will update the trade every day. Like, comment with your good mood or viewpoint, share with your circle. It’s together that we get stronger! Good trades, Traders! The golden bear
Long
by thegoldenbear
3
Bitcoin's First Green Day: Bullish Bitcoin Around The CornerNormally these moves, this type of break of support, don't end in a single day. It tends to expand and be prolonged. Like we had those three red days and after a minor stop we get more 'blood.' That's normally how it works, but, we have some signals. Trading volume is really weak. A three months long support breaks down and yet there is no real volume. We have the Altcoins signal which we looked at deeply, many bottomed on the 3rd of February which is a long time ago in Cryptocurrency terms. Bitcoin is becoming older and the older it becomes it also becomes more stable. There is less volatility. Each time there is a bear-market, it is smaller than the previous one. Each time there is a bull-market, it ends up being smaller compared to previous ones. So normal market behavior would call for the extension of the bearish move, a long correction but the correction is already long. The fact is that Bitcoin is really strong and people are just not ready to part with their Bitcoins, they are happy and ready to hold. Looking from a detached perspective, being the devils advocate, we can see two sides but we are obviously bullish. How would an even bigger drop look like? It would have to be a flash crash because of the date. Say the bearish wave extends, it wouldn't go much further than the 5th of March because we are bullish in March 2025 and beyond. Again, the Altcoins are bullish and many are moving up. So technically speaking and without getting our own bias on the way, it is too early to say. At the same time, the drop is weak, there is no volume and the Altcoins are already breaking up. This is the final flush. While Bitcoin has been sideways for months, as expected, many Altcoins went through a massive corrective phase. The truth is that Bitcoin is bigger now, Bitcoin is better now, Bitcoin is more stable now and it is not easy to continue selling. Some people will sell only to buy back when prices are higher. Some people will sell and never get their Bitcoins back. What if a whale decides to trick the market and ends up with a bad hand? We already saw many of those. Right now is not the time to sell. Right now is the time to either buy or hold. It doesn't matter what happens, focus on the long-term because we are going up. We are just days away, no, hours away... Hold strong. First, the news change but they produce no-effect. This is already happening. Then, the sentiment changes but the prices is not yet up. This is the next step. Finally, the entire market starts rising and everybody joins to enjoy the fun. The bullish dynamics are already in place. It will only take a small amount of time before it spreads to all corners of the world. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
6
TradeCityPro Academy | Dow Theory Part 1👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Welcome to the Educational Content Section of Our Channel Technical Analysis Training We aim to produce educational content in playlist format that will teach you technical analysis from A to Z. We will cover topics such as risk and capital management, Dow Theory, support and resistance, trends, market cycles, and more. These lessons are based on our experiences and the book The Handbook of Technical Analysis 🎨 What is Technical Analysis? Technical Analysis (TA) is a method used to predict price movements in financial markets by analyzing past data, especially price and trading volume. This approach is based on the idea that historical price patterns tend to repeat and can help traders identify profitable opportunities. 🔹 Why is Technical Analysis Important? Technical analysis helps traders and investors predict future price movements based on past price action. Its importance comes from several key benefits: Faster Decision-Making: No need to analyze financial reports or complex news—just focus on price patterns and trading volume. Better Risk Management: Tools like support & resistance, indicators, and chart patterns help traders find the best entry and exit points. Applicable to All Markets: Technical analysis can be used in Forex, stocks, cryptocurrencies, commodities, and even real estate. Understanding Market Psychology: Charts reveal investor emotions like fear and greed, allowing traders to react accordingly. 📌 Real-Life Example Imagine you own a mobile phone shop and want to predict whether phone prices will go up or down in the next few months. 🔹 Fundamental Analysis Approach You follow the news and see that the USD exchange rate is rising, and phone manufacturers plan to increase prices. Based on this, you predict that phone prices will go up soon. 🔹 Technical Analysis Approach You analyze past price trends and notice that every year, phone prices tend to increase before the New Year. This pattern has repeated for several years, so you assume it will happen again. As a result, you buy stock before the price hike and make a profit. This example shows that technical analysis allows you to make decisions based on past market behavior without relying on external news. 📊 I ntroduction to Dow Theory Today, for the first part of our lessons, we will begin with Dow Theory, which was developed by American journalist Charles Dow. Many traders still use this method for analysis and trading. Dow Theory is one of the fundamental concepts in technical analysis, developed by Charles Dow, the founder of The Wall Street Journal and co-founder of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). This theory provides a structured approach to understanding market trends and price movements and is still widely used today by traders and analysts. Dow Theory consists of six core principles, which we will explain in detail: 📑 Principles of Dow Theory 1 - The Averages Discount Everything (Not applicable to crypto) 2 - The Market Has Three Trends 3 - Trends Have Three Phases 4 - Trend Continues Until a Reversal is Confirmed 5 - The Averages Must Confirm Each Other 6 - Volume Confirms the Trend 💵 Principle 1: Price is All You Need According to this principle, all available information is already reflected in asset prices. This includes economic data, political events, earnings reports, trader expectations, and even market sentiment. If a company releases strong earnings, its stock price might not rise significantly because investors had already anticipated this and bought in advance. ❗ Why This Is Important Technical analysts focus on price movements rather than external news since all information is already factored into the market. Instead of reacting to news, traders analyze historical price trends to predict future price movements. 📊 Principle 2: The Market Has Three Types of Trends Dow Theory states that markets move in three types of trends, each occurring over different timeframes: 1 - Primary Trend: This is the main movement of the market, dictating the long-term direction, and can last for years. 2 - Secondary Trends: These are corrective movements that run opposite to the primary trend. For instance, if the primary trend is bullish, the corrective trend will be bearish. These trends can last from weeks to months. 3- Minor Trends: These are the daily price fluctuations in the asset. Although minor trends can last for weeks, their direction will always align with the primary trend, even if they contradict the secondary trend. 💡 Final Thoughts for Today This is the end of this part, and I must say we have a long journey ahead. We will continually strive to produce better content every day, steering clear of sensationalized content that promises unrealistic profits, and instead, focusing on the proper learning path of technical analysis. ⚠️ Please remember that these lessons represent our personal view of the market and should not be considered financial advice for investment.
Education
by tradecitypro
8