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$BTC to 120k-130kBitcoin sell-side liquidity has been slowly eaten away by buying pressure. The order book isn't as tilted towards sellers as it was last month, it's getting more balanced. Buyers are still gobbling up what's left of the supply, liquidity was being eroded. With less supply, it's easier for buyers to push the price up. Buyers keep chowing down on the supply that's slowly disappearing. There's not much big supply until we hit 110k, the trend is still strong. On this vertical accumulation, if we can stay above 104k to 102k (weekly rvwap) , I'm expecting a rally towards 120k-130k zone, before we move in range again. Coinbase had a negative premium all the way up to 106k, which is weird because spot trading was mostly at a premium (which is a good sign). We're in one of those moments where Bitcoin is just soaking up all the liquidity. The altcoins are looking pretty weak while Bitcoin hits all-time highs. This isn't unusual when Bitcoin starts figuring out its price. Just be patient; the market will cycle back around.
by Tealstreet
2
Start of decline: Below 97821.58 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- The Market Cap chart will be updated again when a new candle is created. I think the gap increase of USDT, USDC is a trace of funds flowing in. The increase in BTC dominance means that funds are concentrated on BTC. You cannot predict the rise and fall of BTC with BTC dominance. The rise in USDT dominance is likely to be reflected in the decline of the coin market. The start of the decline in the coin market is expected to begin when it rises above 4.97 and is maintained. ------------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1W chart) The point to watch is whether the StochRSI indicator shows a downward trend from the 100 point or whether it switches to a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA. Since the StochRSI indicator is a lagging indicator, you can know the exact value when a new candle is created. However, if there is a change in the value of the StochRSI indicator when a movement occurs, it means that an important point has been passed. In that sense, the fact that the StochRSI indicator is maintained at the 100 point despite the current price decline means that an important point has not been passed. However, there may be fluctuations in the StochRSI indicator value when a new candle is created while the price is falling. - (1D chart) The HA-High indicator is expected to be created at 101947.24. Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported near 101947.24. If not, it falls and shows resistance near the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator or 97821.58, there is a possibility of meeting the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. Therefore, before meeting the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, you should check whether it is supported near 87.8K-89K or whether the HA-Low indicator or BW(0) indicator is newly created. If the HA-Low indicator or BW(0) indicator is generated, it is important to see if there is support in the vicinity. If the HA-Low indicator is generated, it is expected that the current wave will end and a movement to create a new wave will begin. The start of the decline is expected to start when it falls below 97821.58. The volatility period is around December 27 (maximum December 26-28). - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) In the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) As you can see from the LOG chart, the upward trend is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the upward trend that started in 2015. In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the upward wave. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the upward trend that started in 2019. Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. It is up to you to decide how to view and respond to this. When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance. This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci. Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies. 1st : 44234.54 2nd : 61383.23 3rd : 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting) 4th : 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting) 5th : 178910.15 -----------------
by readCrypto
2
WHAT NEXT FOR BITCOIN?Will December Be Good for Bitcoin? A Look at Past Trends As December approaches, Bitcoin traders often wonder if this month will be positive for crypto or if it will end in losses. Let's look at how Bitcoin has performed each December for the past 10 years: Bitcoin's December Trends (2013–2023) 2013: Started at ~$1,000 and ended at ~$750 (-25%). Early excitement faded due to profit-taking and worries about Mt. Gox. 2014: Started at ~$375 and ended at ~$320 (-15%). The Mt. Gox hack earlier in the year hurt confidence. 2015: Started at ~$360 and ended at ~$430 (+19%). Renewed optimism brought a small rally. 2016: Started at ~$740 and ended at ~$960 (+30%). This steady increase hinted at the big run in 2017. 2017: Started at ~$10,800 and ended at ~$14,000 (+30%). Bitcoin reached a peak mid-month but started a bear market by year-end. 2018: Started at ~$4,000 and ended at ~$3,800 (-5%). The market was down 80% from its peak. 2019: Started at ~$7,500 and ended at ~$7,200 (-4%). Modest losses as the market was stable. 2020: Started at ~$19,500 and ended at ~$29,000 (+48%). COVID-19 increased Bitcoin’s popularity, leading to big gains. 2021: Started at ~$57,000 and ended at ~$46,000 (-19%). Concerns about inflation led to a drop. 2022: Started at ~$17,000 and ended at ~$16,500 (-3%). The FTX collapse kept the market weak. 2023: Started at ~$40,000 and ended at ~$42,500 (+6%). A recovery year with modest gains. What to Watch for in December 2024 1. Federal Reserve Policy: An expected rate cut on December 18 has supported market optimism. A change in this plan could affect prices. 2. Institutional Investment: Bitcoin ETFs have gained popularity, attracting over $100 billion in 2024. 3. Market Sentiment: With Bitcoin above $100,000, the target is now $125,000, but volatility is possible. 4. Political Factors: President-elect Trump’s pro-crypto stance, with promises of favorable policies, adds to the market’s positive outlook. Looking to 2025 Bitcoin’s future looks promising with growing institutional and consumer interest, friendly regulations, and a supportive economic environment. While $108,000 is a milestone, many expect even higher prices as Bitcoin continues to evolve. As 2024 ends, traders can expect more action. Stay ready, watch the market, and best of luck in the new year.
by SherrySOC
1
Entering the volatility period Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- If USDT and USDC continue their gap uptrend, I think it is a sign that funds are flowing into the coin market. I think that for the altcoin bull market to start, BTC dominance must fall below 55.01 and be maintained or continue to fall. Therefore, the key is whether it can fall after receiving resistance near the M-Signal indicator or Fibonacci ratio 0.5 (57.95) on the 1W chart. The decline in USDT dominance is likely to result in a rise in the coin market. The USDT dominance is expected to touch around 2.84 at the most. Therefore, the key is whether it can fall after receiving resistance near 3.99-4.16. If the USDT dominance rises above 4.97, the coin market is likely to show a sharp decline. Therefore, if it is maintained above 4.97, I think the coin market is likely to turn into a downtrend. -------------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1W chart) If BTC continues to rise like this, I also hope so. However, since the StochRSI indicator is maintained at 100 and the StochRSI EMA indicator is approaching 100, BTC will eventually show a downward trend. Therefore, even if it continues to rise further, it will touch the Fibonacci ratio 2 (106178.85) and show a downward trend. The StochRSI indicator does not tell us how much the fluctuation will occur. If it starts to decline, 1st: 87.8K-89K 2nd: 79.9K-80.9K There is a possibility that it will touch the 1st and 2nd areas above. If not, and it shows a sideways pattern, it seems that volatility is likely to occur when touching the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. The volatility period on the 1W chart is around the week including December 23rd. Therefore, it can be seen that the volatility period is from December 16th to January 5th. If the BW(100) indicator or the HA-High indicator is newly created during the volatility period, it is important to see if it can be supported near it. - (1D chart) I will update after a new candle is created. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015. That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019. Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. It is up to you how to view and respond to it. Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role. The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci. Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies. 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 -----------------
by readCrypto
4
With Major Liquidity Swept and RSI reset Bitcoin is now going UPIn the last few days, after achieving a new all-time high of $108,000, Bitcoin has experienced a massive dump, liquidating many retail traders using leverage. This market downturn was caused by several factors. First, Bitcoin was severely overbought and overdue for a correction. Second, Jerome Powell added to the market uncertainty by making strong anti-Bitcoin statements, dashing hopes of the U.S. adding BTC to its Federal Reserve reserves. As a result, the market saw a steep fall, with major altcoins such as SOL and DOGE dropping over 30%. The Main Question: What’s Next? Bitcoin is unlikely to go up from here in the immediate term. Instead, it may be better to position for a short targeting the $90-91K range. The market might remain bearish over the Christmas holidays, giving “holiday discount” vibes. It’s not a good idea to buy Bitcoin with leverage at this moment. Waiting until next Monday to reevaluate might be a safer option. Technical Analysis: As highlighted, Bitcoin has broken out of an ascending channel and dropped significantly. One of the key technical reasons for this is the overbought RSI. Major resistance is currently around $99.7K , while key support lies between $89.5K and $87.5K . A break below these levels could indicate a strong move in either direction. The most liquidity is around $92.2K , where Bitcoin is likely to gravitate before making an upward move. Additionally, RSI has hit a support level, which increases the possibility of a bounce from here. Outlook: After the holidays and once Bitcoin sweeps the lower liquidity levels, we could see an excellent buying opportunity . There is potential for BTC to reach $118K by the end of January . Moreover, Donald Trump’s inauguration could act as a catalyst to drive Bitcoin’s price higher once again.
Long
by LeoMessi_
1
EconOptic| BTC's bullish move isn't done yet!KUCOIN:BTCUSDT **Bitcoin Technical Analysis for Today in 4-Hour Timeframe** Bitcoin is currently moving within an ascending channel in the 4-hour timeframe, forming higher highs and higher lows. Based on this trend, our goal is to align with the price's upward movement and open long positions. Given the market's high volatility, it is essential to set wider and more secure stop losses and enter trades only with strong triggers to minimize risks during potential price consolidations. At present, the price is interacting with the midline support of the ascending channel. The decreasing volume of bearish candles and their shrinking size indicate a possible power shift from sellers to buyers in a short-term cycle. Additionally, this level coincides with Bitcoin's previous resistance, which has now turned into support, acting as a crucial barrier against further declines. This confluence with the channel's midline creates a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). On the other hand, the RSI is moving along the lower Bollinger Band, which, in an uptrend, signals the exhaustion of selling pressure and the potential resurgence of buyers. This serves as further confirmation for seeking a reliable trigger to open a long position. The entry trigger for a long position in this analysis is marked at the price level of **107,538** with a green line. Upon price stabilization above this level, you can proceed with a buy position. The stop loss placement depends on your risk tolerance and expectations: - For a closer stop loss, you may place it around the white line and the midline of the channel. - For a safer stop loss, set it below the red line at **99,422**, which coincides with the SMA 99 and provides an additional barrier to further price drops. **Conclusion:** Considering the confluence of support factors, reduced selling pressure, and technical indicators, Bitcoin appears poised to continue its upward trend. However, adhering to risk management principles and entering trades only with confirmed triggers is crucial to capitalize on this movement.
Long
by EconOptic
2
BITCOIN → Consolidation before the breakout. When do we go up?BINANCE:BTCUSD continues to consolidate, but within a strong bullish structure. The price is approaching the trigger, the breakout of which may provoke the formation of an upward impulse Globally, the coin is still in the phase of realizing a global " cup and handle ", which I reminded one of the first back in August: A good signal that hints that the growth is likely to continue is the fact that after a strong growth and testing 100K the price does not fall, but consolidates with gradually rising local lows, it is also worth paying attention to MA-50, which acts as a strong support. Within this consolidation we have clear zones, within which the price is trading and accumulating potential, and there is also a clear trigger, the breakout of which can provoke the continuation of growth (distribution). But next week is the Fed meeting on December 17-18, and there may be short-term market manipulative reactions. Be careful Resistance levels: 101.8K, 104.1K Support levels: 98.9K, 94.15K Technically, the focus is on 101.8 - 98.9. Consolidation is forming inside this channel. I do not exclude a chance of support retest in the format of a false breakdown before further growth. Another deep correction to the lower liquidity zone - 94.1K is also possible. But until the price breaks 101.8, bitcoin will not go up, and based on the chart, the event is close and the chance is high Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSDT ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
33
Bitcoin Euphoria: Correction Ahead?BamBooChain 🎋⛓️ Good morning, friends! Let's discuss the current market situation. After reaching a new all-time high of around $108,000, Bitcoin is showing signs of a potential correction. Technically, we're in an interesting situation: the market has reached the extreme euphoria zone I mentioned earlier. RSI and MACD indicators are showing signs of divergence, which often precedes corrective movements. Key points: Trading volumes are decreasing while price is rising, creating potential divergence Funding remains relatively neutral, indicating balanced positions Long-term holders aren't taking significant profits yet Possible scenarios: Consolidation in the $100,000-108,000 range Correction to $88,000-92,000 levels (this would be a healthy 20% correction) Regarding altcoins - they're showing relative weakness, and Bitcoin dominance is increasing. This is a typical pattern before a possible correction. Recommendation: maintain protective stop orders and be prepared for a possible correction. However, the global trend remains bullish, and such a correction could become a good entry point for new positions. Stay tuned for updates! 🎋⛓️
Short
by BamBooChain
1
$BTC correction bottom is $85000All the fanboys—Crypto Rover, Ash Crypto, Satoshi Stacker, Banter, etc.—are singing the same tune: *"We're back!"* They claim CRYPTOCAP:BTC is still in a bullish pattern, that the December 20th -15% crash was just an anomaly, and so on. As usual, these CRYPTOCAP:BTC enthusiasts are acting like PR agents for Blackrock and Sailor, hyping the market to attract your money. If you're into altcoins, be cautious—the charts are telling a different story than their optimistic chatter. Remember June 2024? They were promising rewards if CRYPTOCAP:BTC hit $80K by the end of the week. How generous! And yet, CRYPTOCAP:BTC dropped -31%, with many altcoins plunging -80% over the following three months. I sent my weekly chart showing bearish divergence to all of them back then. None paid attention, and I was right. This time, while we're not in an identical scenario (the weekly timeframe still looks bullish), the daily timeframe shows a clear downward trend. Until this plays out, there's no reason to get overly optimistic. This means we could see selling pressure for the next week, dragging most altcoins down with CRYPTOCAP:BTC as the correction completes. The expected bottom for CRYPTOCAP:BTC is around $85,000, give or take. After that, the bull run should resume—I don’t think we’re heading into a bear market just yet. As always, DYOR!
by CryptoNikkoid
2
Bitcoin pump and dump with patternsHi, this month bitcoin made a good positive move but not able sustain it and gave a sharp down move, well bitcoin is moving within 2 major patterns, one is rising and other is falling well u can see how the pattern impacts the bitcoin bitcoin also formed a LL patten with wider spread, will show it in next graphic,also show the levels i posted in bitcoin chat especially weekly and 12M, from where it got the resistance and now trying to take a support at the weekly after taking support at a day/4H level the previous day will post the important levels for the week and month in coming graphics sorry chosen the wrong layout,its my mtf setup i use for trading, u will find the day chart in next graphic
by omvats1
2
BTC BEARISH SCENARIO IF WE BREAK 95K KEY STRUCTUREPersonally, I don’t think this scenario will play out, but as traders, we always need to consider two possibilities to gauge the likelihood of each unfolding. This is my bearish scenario if we lose the 95K support. The next support level would be at 92K, followed by an oversold bounce toward 99K-100K. This bounce might deceive people into thinking the bottom is in, but it would likely face rejection, leading to a harder fall toward 87K. Again, let me emphasize—I don’t see this scenario playing out, but it’s still a possibility we need to keep in mind. What can you do? Exit altcoins altogether and wait to see if BTC moves back into the 100K region, which would invalidate this scenario from playing out.
by Asma7assan
2
DAY 2 - Daily BTC Update Yesterday's Update I’ve dropped the chart to a daily timeframe to analyse signals that upward momentum could return. Here's what I’m seeing: STOCH RSI: The indicator is nearing a cross, historically pointing to a potential bounce. 0.236 Fibonacci Level: The current candle at this level is a Dragonfly Doji, which, if confirmed by the next few candles, is often a signal for reversal. Many of you have asked why markets dipped despite the 25bps rate cut. Here’s the insight: Federal Reserve Outlook: The Fed has signalled fewer rate cuts in 2025, tempering market enthusiasm and creating uncertainty in risk assets, including Bitcoin. BTC Exchange Net Outflows: Over the past 24 hours, 4,169 BTC have been removed from exchanges, continuing a two-day streak of net outflows. This suggests a decreasing supply of Bitcoin on exchanges, a possible sign that holders are moving assets to cold storage or other off-exchange wallets, signalling confidence in holding for the longer term. Supply and Demand in Bitcoin Understanding supply and demand is crucial for interpreting Bitcoin’s price movements: Supply: When the supply of Bitcoin on exchanges decreases, as we’re seeing now, it often indicates that fewer people are willing to sell. Holders moving BTC to cold storage or off-exchange wallets typically signal confidence in Bitcoin’s future value and reduce the immediate availability for trading. Demand: If demand for Bitcoin remains constant or increases while supply decreases, basic economic principles suggest that prices will likely rise. Conversely, if demand weakens while supply remains limited, the price can stagnate or fall. Right now, the net outflows from exchanges suggest supply is tightening, setting the stage for potential upward price pressure if demand increases. Now we need to watch and wait for a TETHER print that often happens with increased demand. Please give me a like if this has helped and see you again tomorrow :)
by LisaNEdwards
BTC/USDT: Head and Shoulders Pattern with Bullish Continuation Phello guys. let's dive into btcusdt! Analysis: Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern: A clear inverse head and shoulders pattern is visible on the 4-hour chart, signaling a potential trend reversal. The head is formed at 93,842 USDT, with left and right shoulders forming near 96,598 USDT. Neckline Resistance: The neckline resistance at 102,698 USDT has been tested multiple times, hinting at potential upward momentum. Fib Retracement Levels: The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at 96,598 USDT acted as strong support for the right shoulder. The breakout target aligns with the 108,991 USDT zone, derived from the measured move of the pattern. Bullish Projection: The price could rally toward the 105,798 USDT mid-resistance zone, with a higher probability of reaching the 108,991 USDT target. Summary: Support Levels: 96,598 USDT (Fibonacci and right shoulder support). 93,842 USDT (head level). Resistance Levels: 102,698 USDT (neckline). 108,991 USDT (target zone). Outlook: A confirmed breakout above 102,698 USDT could lead to a sharp upward move, targeting the 108,991 USDT zone. Trade Idea: Watch for a neckline breakout with strong volume or consider a pullback toward the right shoulder for better risk-to-reward opportunities.
Long
by melikatrader94
3