Will it break the all-time high again?
Over the past week, the Bitcoin market has seen volatile trends, attracting widespread attention. In terms of price performance, Bitcoin carried forward the upward momentum from the previous week, opening at $103,500 and continuing its upward trend. On May 22nd, Bitcoin reached a high point, breaking through the $110,000 mark and hitting a record high of $112,000. Its market capitalization also surged to over $2.15 trillion, ranking among the top five global asset market capitalizations.
In terms of market capital flows, Bitcoin ETF products saw a total net outflow of up to $616 million on May 30th, with IBIT alone experiencing an outflow of $431 million, ending a consecutive 10-day net inflow trend. However, BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin ETF recorded a total net inflow of over $6.35 billion in May, with assets under management exceeding $71 billion, indicating that institutional investors maintain a long-term optimistic view of Bitcoin, and the short-term outflows are mostly profit-taking.
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USDTBTC trade ideas
Bitcoin Retests Breakout Zone – Will It Bounce Again?Hello traders, here is the Quick CRYPTOCAP:BTC update
Bitcoin is currently holding right at the previous breakout zone, which also aligns with the rising trendline and previous accumulation area.
This zone has acted as a strong launchpad in the past — where BTC accumulated and exploded higher. If buyers defend this level again, we could see another rebound play out from here.
As long as BTC holds this structure, the bullish trend remains intact.
BTC/USDT – Tactical Bullish Consolidation__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
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Momentum : STRONG BUY signal confirmed across all timeframes via the Risk On / Risk Off Indicator (stable green line, dominant bullish momentum).
Support & Resistance : Major multi-timeframe support at 104,000 USDT , with key resistance between 108,000–111,000 USDT .
Volume : No extreme spikes, below EMA – no panic-buy or selling climax detected.
Behavioral Indicators (ISPD) : Neutral sentiment across the board – no signs of overheating or capitulation.
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Strategic Summary
__________________________________________________________________________________
Overall Bias : Bullish. Technical momentum is aligned with supportive macro drivers and resilient on-chain dynamics.
Trade Opportunities : Tactical buys on confirmed re-tests of 104k support; upside targets at 107k, 108k, with potential extension to 111k.
Risk / Invalidation : Strong rejection below 104k combined with fading Risk On / Risk Off Indicator → could trigger a flush toward 100k or even 94k–97k.
Macro Catalysts : US/China tensions (volatility), altcoin breakouts (risk appetite), on-chain data in euphoric phase.
Action Plan : Active monitoring, scalp bullish impulses, partial TPs under resistance, hedge on volume spikes to the downside.
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Multi-Timeframe Analysis – BTC/USDT
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1D : Consolidating below major resistance (108k–111k), with key support at 104k. Bullish momentum, neutral volume. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator : STRONG BUY .
12H : Technical rejection at 104k–108k clusters, firm support at 100k–104k. Momentum holds, no behavioral excess.
6H : Same price levels as higher TFs. Strong momentum and neutral sentiment, no anomalies detected.
4H : Bullish rebound off 104k, facing resistance at 108k+. STRONG BUY signal intact, normal volume.
2H : Support holding firm, bulls in control. No weakness observed.
1H : Price compressing within 104k–107k. Underlying bullish momentum remains solid.
30min : Consolidation under 105.5–107k resistance. Indicator remains bullish. No sign of capitulation.
15min : Repeated tests of 104k support, slight softening in signal but bullish bias remains.
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Conclusion – Execution & Position Management
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Directional Bias : Bullish. Constructive consolidation with strong sector momentum.
Key Levels : 104k (support) and 108k–111k (resistance).
Strategy : Buy dips on validated re-tests, scalp breakouts, swing above 108k.
Risk Triggers : Breakdown below 104k with volume spike, or bearish reversal in Risk On / Risk Off Indicator .
Watchlist : Unusual volume spikes, ISPD turning red, abrupt macro changes.
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$BTCUSD Top SoonI believe CRYPTOCAP:BTC will reach maximum $124–128K—either earlier or, at the latest, by September–October 2025—before shifting into a bear market.
It has already enjoyed a 2.5-year bull run, during which the lower tier of coins, including ETH, failed to meet expectations; this time was different.
When the downturn begins, everything else will plunge to much deeper lower lows.
$BTC #Bitcoin is monthly and there is such a situation monthly.There is such a situation in CRYPTOCAP:BTC #Bitcoin weekly and monthly. I hope it doesn't work. If it works, there will be destruction in altcoins. There is no prediction right now. Everyone is expecting targets like 140k 250k. But I was here in the last double top but unfortunately it fell 15k. I hope they make a rally in altcoins before it works and then drop them. YTD. PLEASE TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK.
BTC Elliott wave analysis 5/23/2025For me , I think that the BTC price is on the way to their target price around 128,000-133,000 that we derive from Gann fann resistance.The wave structure suggest us that the impulse that create new high is just the beginning. The invalidate point is the point below wave 2 (around 101,000).
BTC/USDT - Daily Time Frame🧠 BTC/USDT – Daily Market Structure Analysis | Critical Decision Point
Bitcoin is currently sitting at a crucial decision zone around the $105K level, right after breaking its bullish trendline to the downside. This structural break has already formed a Lower Low (LL), raising the possibility of a deeper correction unless bulls step in strongly from the current support zone.
In this analysis, I’ll walk you through both bullish and bearish scenarios, the market structure logic, and why this zone might be the trigger for the next major move in BTC.
🔍 Market Context:
The recent trendline break occurred after a strong upward leg, with buyers showing exhaustion near the $111.7K resistance. Once price broke below the rising trendline, it created a new LL, officially shifting the structure to bearish in the short term. However, that doesn't mean the trend has fully reversed — yet.
✅ Bullish Scenario (Green Path):
For bulls to regain control, price must hold above the $104K key support.
If BTC can form a Higher Low (HL) in this area and break back above $111.7K, it would confirm a bullish re-accumulation structure.
In that case, a long setup would be valid upon confirmation, with a Target Price (TP) at $129,984, which is a major liquidity level from the previous macro range.
This scenario aligns with continuation of the overall macro uptrend, and could be fueled by fresh momentum entering the market.
❌ Bearish Scenario (Red Path):
Failure to hold $104K support and a confirmed bearish break could lead to continuation of the short-term downtrend.
In this case, a Short position becomes valid upon break and retest, targeting the $94,317 support zone, which aligns with previous demand and potential Fibonacci retracement clusters.
This scenario suggests deeper correction or possible start of a broader consolidation phase before the next major leg up.
📌 Key Technical Levels:
Resistance: $111,707
Support: $104,022
Bullish TP: $129,984
Bearish TP: $94,317
🔑 What to Watch For:
Price action around $104K: Will bulls defend it, or will it flip to resistance?
Structure formation: Look for either a clean HL + Break, or another LL to determine direction.
Volume confirmation on breakouts is critical — don’t enter without it.
📢 Follow me for more institutional-level market structure breakdowns, trade setups, and real-time BTC updates.
This is not just a prediction — it’s a probability-based roadmap that puts structure first and emotion last.
Let the chart speak.
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BTC eliot wave prediction
106,600$ → 100,300$ → 116,000$
The third extended wave of Bitcoin has completed, and it is now going through a correction phase.
Wave 4 corrections often retrace to the 0.382 Fibonacci level.
Therefore, a price drop to that level is expected — around $106,600.
This correction is unfolding as a W–X–Y pattern.
In wave W, the internal ABC subwaves completed with wave C reaching 1.618 times the length of wave A.
Currently, Bitcoin is in the rising phase of wave X.
No one knows how high wave X will go,
but what’s important is that after wave X finishes,
one more lower low is expected — again around $106,600.
At that price level, I plan to open a $2 billion long position with 10x leverage.
BTC - $100k liquidity nextThis move looks like a classic liquidity grab, setting the stage for a deeper retrace unless reclaimed quickly.
• Watch the 0.5–0.618 retracement zone
• If price loses $99K, next downside target sits around $92K, the next major support level
don’t fight the structure, let the levels lead.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Technical Analysis | Key Resistance Test 📉 Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Technical Analysis | Key Resistance Test – What's Next?
As shown in the 15-minute chart, Bitcoin is currently testing a short-term resistance zone that has previously acted as a strong rejection area. The market is now approaching a decision point that could define the next short-term move.
🟢 Bullish Scenario: Breakout and Momentum Continuation
If BTC successfully breaks above the current resistance with a strong bullish candle, we could see a continuation of the upward move. In this case, the next key targets are:
🔺 Descending trendline (pink) – a significant dynamic resistance level
🔺 $105,940 – a key resistance zone with previous price reactions
A breakout above these levels could trigger a fresh wave of buying pressure.
🔻 Bearish Scenario: Rejection and Pullback
However, if BTC gets rejected from this resistance once again, bearish momentum may resume. Key support levels to watch on the downside include:
🔻 $103,585 – short-term support with historical significance
🔻 $102,605 – stronger support and recent local bottom
Failure to hold these levels could lead to a deeper retracement or consolidation.
📌 Summary
Bitcoin is at a critical inflection point. A breakout could trigger a bullish continuation, while a rejection may lead to a short-term correction. Keep an eye on candle confirmations and volume before making any moves.
📍If you find this analysis helpful, make sure to follow me for more real-time updates and trade setups. Let's grow together as traders. 🔔
BTCUSDT: Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
The Trump administration supports adding Bitcoin to strategic reserves, improving regulatory expectations.
Institutions continue increasing positions, with ETF capital inflows and USDT issuance ensuring ample liquidity.
Technical Analysis:
Price is near $104,000, having previously broken above $110,000. A short-term pullback is underway, with $103,000 as support and $108,000 as near-term resistance.
Trading Recommendations:
Aggressive traders may initiate light long positions near $103,000–$104,000.
Trading Strategy:
buy@ 103000–104000
TP:106000-108000
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Strategy & Education: Trading with Fibonacci and Order Blocks🔍 Trading Strategy Based on Fibonacci Levels and Order Blocks
This chart showcases three consecutive sell trades I executed on the BTCUSDT pair, each resulting in a profitable outcome. The purpose of this explanation is to demonstrate how Fibonacci retracement levels can be combined with Order Block zones to identify high-probability trade setups.
🧩 The Foundation: Understanding Price Retracement Behavior
The ABC, abc, and (a)(b)(c) structures marked on the chart are not Elliott Waves. Instead, these labels are used to represent simple retracement movements in the market. The focus here is not wave theory, but recognizing how price reacts and pulls back after a move, and how we can benefit from these reactions.
📌 Trade 1: Primary Fibo-OB Confluence
I drew a Fibonacci retracement from the A wave to the B wave.
The price then retraced to the C area, landing between the 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci levels, where an Order Block (OB) was also present.
This overlap created a strong technical and structural resistance zone.
I entered the first sell trade from this confluence.
📌 Trade 2: Internal Retracement and OB Alignment
Inside the first corrective move, a smaller abc pattern formed.
I applied Fibonacci again from small a to small b.
The c leg reached the same key Fibonacci zone (0.618–0.786) and overlapped with a second OB.
This confluence offered a second sell entry.
📌 Trade 3: Micro Structure – Same Logic Reapplied
I repeated the exact same logic one more time on a micro (a)(b)(c) structure.
Fibonacci from (a) to (b), price touched 0.618–0.786, coinciding again with an OB.
This became the third and final sell position.
🧠 The Logic Behind the Strategy:
Price doesn’t move in straight lines—it flows in waves. During pullbacks, if Fibonacci levels align with Order Block zones, the market tends to react strongly. My focus here was to identify these areas of confluence in advance and enter trades at high-probability turning points.
Bitcoin at Critical Support – Can a New All-Time High Follow?
The question on many traders’ minds right now is whether Bitcoin is setting up for a new all-time high. Currently, price action has reverted to a critical support zone ranging from $103,000 to $102,000, which has managed to absorb recent aggressive selling. This zone is significant not only due to its psychological importance but also because it has helped slow downside momentum, allowing price action to consolidate into a smaller time frame range.
This support level aligns with a previous key low established in the low $90,000s, which was a major turning point in the prior leg of the uptrend. That low marked a region of high volume and buyer interest, and it now forms a confluence zone alongside daily timeframe support. These overlapping factors increase the validity of this area as a strong base for a potential reversal.
From a technical perspective, holding this zone is essential if Bitcoin is to maintain its bullish structure and attempt another push higher. If a bounce occurs from current levels, it significantly increases the odds of retesting the all-time high in the coming weeks. The structure would then remain intact, showing a sequence of higher lows and higher highs.
However, if this support range fails to hold, it would likely expose Bitcoin to a much deeper correction, possibly invalidating the current uptrend. While a breakdown hasn’t occurred yet, it’s a scenario worth monitoring closely as it would shift the broader market sentiment and strategy.
In conclusion, $103K–$102K is the battleground, and how Bitcoin behaves around this area will determine the next major move. Bulls must defend this zone to keep the all-time high scenario alive.
btc 4hMy expectation for BTC is a movement like this. The first stage is $97,500-98,000 (needles may come under gold), the second stage is an increase towards the $113,500-115,000 range. The last stage is a decrease towards the $89,000-88,000 range.Since it is a 3-stage movement, it may take more than a few weeks.
Taming the Trend: Mastering the Williams Alligator IndicatorEver wondered how to spot when the market is sleeping or ready to roar? At Xuantify , we use the Williams Alligator Indicator to decode market behavior with precision. Whether you're trading crypto, forex, stocks, or indices — this tool adapts across all markets. Let's take a closer look using BINANCE:BTCUSDT
🧠 How We Use It at Xuantify
We treat the Alligator as a trend confirmation and timing tool . We don’t just look for crossovers — we analyze the distance , angle , and alignment of the lines to gauge market momentum and trend maturity. It’s especially powerful when combined with volume and volatility filters.
⭐ Key Features
Three Smoothed Moving Averages
Jaw (Blue) : 13-period, shifted 8 bars forward
Teeth (Red) : 8-period, shifted 5 bars forward
Lips (Green) : 5-period, shifted 3 bars forward
Visual Trend Clarity :
The spacing and direction of the lines reveal trend strength and direction
Built-in Delay :
Forward shifting helps anticipate rather than react
💡 Benefits Compared to Other Indicators
Trend Clarity
Alligator : Strong — bold trend visualization
Moving Averages : Moderate — can lag or overlap
MACD : Good — clear histogram and signal line
Noise Filtering
Alligator : Excellent — smooths out market noise
Moving Averages : Low — sensitive to short-term fluctuations
MACD : Good — filters minor moves
Early Signals
Alligator : Moderate — waits for confirmation
Moving Averages : Fast — quick crossovers
MACD : Fast — early divergence signals
Visual Simplicity
Alligator : Clear — easy to interpret trend phases
Moving Averages : Cluttered — multiple lines can overlap
MACD : Complex — requires interpretation of histogram + lines
⚙️ Settings That Matter
For shorter timeframes : Reduce periods (e.g., 8-5-3) for faster signals
For longer timeframes : Stick with defaults or increase smoothing for clarity
Shift values : Keep them forward-shifted to maintain predictive edge
📊 Enhancing Signal Accuracy
Wait for clear separation between the lines
Confirm with volume spikes or breakouts
Use price action (e.g., higher highs/lows) as confirmation
🧩 Best Combinations with This Indicator
Fractals : For entry/exit signals
ATR : For dynamic stop-loss placement
RSI or Stochastic : To avoid overbought/oversold traps
Volume Profile : To validate breakout zones
⚠️ What to Watch Out For
Flat Alligator = No Trade Zone : Avoid trading when lines are tangled
Lag in Fast Markets : In high-volatility assets, the Alligator may react late
Over-reliance : Always combine with other tools for confirmation
🚀 Final Thoughts
The Williams Alligator isn’t just an indicator — it’s a market behavior model . At Xuantify, we use it to stay aligned with the market’s rhythm, avoid chop, and ride trends with confidence.
🔔 Follow us for more educational insights and strategy breakdowns!
Bitcoin - Summer predictionMARKETSCOM:BITCOIN :
Based on global liquidity and an inverted DXY, we should see a strong move soon — potentially pushing us toward $130K+ by late June to mid-July, where we should set a local top.
After that, we’ll likely enter a chop phase, though it's unclear how long it will last but likely throughout the entire Q3
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 :
Should start pumping as soon as BTC does — and likely follow along until Bitcoin finally sees a price correction.
⛔ Remember:
We can't know the exact top on CRYPTOCAP:BTC or $TOTAL3.
That’s why everyone needs a clear plan — when, where, and how much profit to take.
This is my plan for the summer. I believe we’ll see the all-time high in MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN — as well as in altcoins — in Q4.
That’s why I’ll only be taking modest profits on my altcoin positions for now.
LFG
BTC isn’t bearish. It’s just collecting fuelPrice didn’t fail — it paused.
BTC retraced into the 0.382–0.5 zone after rejecting from the local high, and what looks like weakness to most is actually compression — perfectly staged above a clean 1D OB and nested FVG.
Below the current level sits the real opportunity: the imbalance between 102.4K–100.1K, backed by a 1D demand zone and high-volume support. If Smart Money wants to rebalance before the next leg, that’s where they’ll do it.
The path is simple:
Sweep into the 100.5K–102.4K zone
React off the OB
Expand to rebalance the FVG at 106.2K
Displace toward the next draw: 110.5K (final inefficiency + liquidity shelf)
Only a close below 96.9K changes the macro intent.
Execution mindset:
🔑 Optimal long: 100.5K–102.4K (OB/FVG zone)
🎯 Target 1: 106.2K
🎯 Target 2: 110.5K
❌ Invalidation: Full body close below 96.9K — structure must reset
Most traders chase the move.
I wait where Smart Money needs to act.
I’m not reacting. I’m positioned.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youFrom the historical price trend of Bitcoin, although its price fluctuates violently, it generally shows a long-term upward trend. Despite a recent correction, it previously broke through $110,000, reaching an all-time high. Such a sharp price increase indicates strong bullish momentum in the market and growing market recognition of Bitcoin. Price corrections often present new entry opportunities, similar to how the tide recedes before rising again. During corrections, profit-taking and panic selling by some investors cause temporary price declines, but this also offers new investors relatively lower buying prices. When market sentiment stabilizes and bullish momentum gathers again, prices are expected to launch a new upward trend.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
BTCUSDT BUY@103000~104000
SL:101000
TP:105000~107000
BITCOIN → Correction or trend reversal? Why is 101K important?BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is exiting the upward channel after a false breakout of the key resistance level of 110K (previous ATH). Liquidation?
Quite an interesting situation with James Wynn. As they say, money loves silence, especially when it comes to a highly manipulated market... A week after the whale's actions, Trump decided to play the market again by creating emotional swings: he announced tariffs on the EU, canceled them, then made claims against China and is now ready to reintroduce tariffs on the EU. Things didn't end well with James... Liquidation before the rally?
On the weekly timeframe, Bitcoin is making a false breakout of the key resistance level of 110K. The phase and nature of the market are changing, the price is falling, breaking the structural support of 106500. The main question is where the stop and recovery will be. And will there be one...
After exiting consolidation and the upward channel, the price within the distribution is moving towards liquidity and the order block. I would not rush to say that this is a change in the global trend; the current data fits the “correction” format.
Support levels: 102000, 101400
Resistance levels: 106700, 108800
102-100K is a fairly important zone for the market; a breakout in this area could open the way to a (local) bottom. Bulls may not be able to hold the market, in which case a global sell-off could form. Therefore, I believe that retesting the 102000 level will end with a liquidity grab and a correction along the trend, during which the price may test the 106K - 108K level, which will determine the future of the market: consolidation, growth, or decline...
Best regards, R. Linda!