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USDTBTC trade ideas

Spring is ComingThe last months in crypto markets have been firmly in the shadow of the looming US presidential elections. Whatever one's political stance, it was hard to argue that a Donald Trump victory would not be immensely positive for the crypto industry. The ongoing legal fights between US regulators such as the SEC and the crypto industry and the Biden administration's open hostility to the industry were a constant backdrop of the past years. In sharp contract, Republican candidate Trump had embraced the industry in early 2024. His appearance at a large Bitcoin conference in Nashville, his announcement to fire SEC chairman Gary Gensler on day 1 of a Trump administration and also his promise to build a national US Bitcoin reserve have been music to the ears of many a crypto trader. No wonder that as soon as Trump started to take the lead on election night, Bitcoin rallied sharply. A new all-time-high of $75,000 per one Bitcoin was reached nearly effortlessly. Bitcoin has been trading above $76,000 for most of the post-election days. Across the industry, the drop in tension is almost palpable. No longer will a bad faith regulator pursue legitimate companies such as Coinbase, Uniswap or Consensys at will. No longer will Senate block common-sense crypto regulatory frameworks. The possibilities now seem almost limitless. Coins of Decentralized Finance (DeFi) projects have seen some of the largest rallies since election days. Not only will these projects benefit from regulatory clarity, but their tokens might also start to receive genuine utility such as revenue shares. The fundraising environment for projects should become more open. Maybe more onchain projects will open up to American users. It is common practice for projects to geo-block American users for fear of the long arms of US law enforcement. It is nearly poetic justice that mainstream pollsters predicting a tight election were outperformed by Polymarket, a crypto-based prediction market that continuously showed Trump well ahead of his Democrat opponent Kamala Harris. What will the next months hold? US presidential elections tend to be bullish for crypto markets. After Obama’s 2012 victory, Bitcoin rose nearly 2,400% within a year. In 2016, following Trump’s success, Bitcoin soared 960% over the following 12 months. One year after Biden’s 2020 win, Bitcoin rose another 360%. Of course, Bitcoin's large market cap means that much more new capital must enter to move the price substantially. Yet, the optimism in the industry right now makes everything seem possible. Sure, disappointment could always come next year, but for now, Spring has arrived early. Let's enjoy the party while it lasts.
Long
by Coinrule
1
BTC/USDT LOCAL Short SignalI'm observing a bearish trend on BTC/USDT. Bitcoin has broken through a significant support level around $67,606, indicating potential further downside. The setup is clear, with an entry just below the support level, aiming for a substantial move lower. Bitcoin has shown continued selling pressure, with lower highs and lower lows, indicating a downtrend. The breakdown of support aligns with this trend, suggesting a continuation of the bearish momentum. This trade follows the momentum, aiming to capitalize on the downward move. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and use appropriate risk management in trading.
Short
by HedonistTrade
2
BITCOIN| Smaller Timeframe | Deadcat bounce?BTC has recently broken through a key supply zone, making a strong push to reclaim its previous highs. On smaller timeframes, indicators show a pronounced bullish trend, but higher timeframes paint a more cautious picture. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 82%, signaling an overbought condition that may foreshadow a correction. Volatility, meanwhile, is holding at a moderate 50% on a smaller 5 MIN timeframe, suggesting that BTC isn’t facing extreme price fluctuations—for now. This combination of high RSI and moderate volatility reflects a moment of tension, where the current rally’s sustainability is in question. Will BTC hold its momentum and break back into its previous range, or is it time for investors to secure their gains from recent months? Adding to the uncertainty, global news flows could potentially influence BTC’s next move. With world events often impacting investor sentiment, it’s worth considering whether developments on the economic or regulatory fronts might shift the current bullish trend. As BTC continues to test its limits in this overbought zone, it remains to be seen if this is a breakout with staying power or a moment to capitalize on recent gains. For now, BTC stands on the edge, with time—and perhaps global factors—ultimately deciding its direction.
by ifro09
2
Important Levels Defined on the 4H ChartWhat you see in this chart is 2 resistance levels that are acting as support now. For this bull run to continue price needs to hold above the blue support level. It is also possible for the price to pull back to the red support level, but I would say it is improbable given the two 4H candle printed on the newly established blue support level. This chart also is showing you how previous support levels have morphed into support levels. As long as price stays above the blue support level I would lean toward bullish continuation. Breaking below red support would shake me out and scare me a little. In conclusion, watch out for these levels.
by Se7enSkies
1
BTC - Thesis Now- SHORT!Overview This report outlines an intraday scalping strategy for Bitcoin (BTC) over the next 4 hours, leveraging short-term price movements. The analysis is updated every 25 minutes to allow for dynamic adjustments, optimizing potential profits and minimizing losses. The strategy is neutral, exploring both long and short positions based on current market conditions. Data Analysis Open Interest: Monitoring open interest at intervals of 1m, 5m, and 8h to gauge market participation and potential liquidity traps. Weighted Funding Rate: Analyzing funding rates to understand trader sentiment and potential funding costs. Liquidation Data: Identifying potential liquidation points to anticipate abrupt price movements exploitable in scalping. 2. CoinMarketCap Data Volume Analysis: Assessing trading volumes over 1m, 5m, 8h, and 24h intervals to determine liquidity and market activity levels. Circulating Supply: Observing changes in circulating supply that may affect price dynamics. Liquidity Score: Evaluating the liquidity score to understand the ease of entering and exiting positions. Candlestick Patterns: Identifying significant patterns that may signal upcoming price movements. Market Capitalization: Considering market cap for broader market context. 3. Sentiment Market Sentiment Analysis: Utilizing sentiment analysis to gauge top crypto sentiments, aiding in anticipating potential market shifts. 4. Sentiment News and Social Media Sentiment: Monitoring the latest news and social media trends to understand broader market mood and potential impacts on BTC's price. 5. Binance Data via TradingView Volatility Index: Assessing to determine the market's suitability for scalping strategies. Order Book Dynamics: Analyzing depth to identify significant buy or sell walls. Price Action Signals: Observing price action and candlestick patterns for potential breakouts or reversals. Momentum Indicators: Using RSI, MACD, Stochastic Oscillator, and Momentum to gauge the strength and direction of price trends. Technical Analysis Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently below 40, indicating potential oversold conditions. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): Showing a bearish crossover, suggesting downward momentum. Moving Averages: Price is below key moving averages, reinforcing bearish sentiment in the short term. Average True Range (ATR): Rising ATR indicates increasing market volatility, suitable for scalping but requires careful entry timing. Bollinger Bands: Price breaking below the lower band, signaling potential continuation of the downtrend or an oversold bounce. Stochastic Oscillator: Entering the oversold region, which may precede a short-term bounce but also confirm the current downtrend. Volatility Analysis Increased Volatility: Ideal for scalping but necessitates vigilant monitoring to avoid sudden adverse price movements. Bollinger Bands Expansion: Confirms heightened volatility. Order Book Dynamics Sell Walls: Significant sell walls detected, possibly indicating strong resistance levels and potential for price declines. Buy Walls: Less pronounced, suggesting weaker support levels in the current market context. Price Action Signals Bearish Candlestick Patterns: Observed patterns like bearish engulfing suggest potential further downside. Breakouts and Reversals: Monitoring for any signs of trend reversals to adjust strategy accordingly. Momentum Indicators Negative Momentum: Supports the bearish outlook, aligning with other technical indicators. Convergence of Indicators: Multiple indicators pointing toward a short position increase confidence in the trade setup. Market Sentiment Mixed Sentiments: News and social media show mixed feelings, but prevailing negative sentiments could exert additional downward pressure on BTC's price. Sentiment Shifts: Keeping an eye on any sudden changes that could impact price movements. Trade Recommendation Outcome: OPEN_SHORT Confidence Level: 85% Current Price: $69,400.61 Stop Loss: $70,500 Take Profit: $67,500 Exit Point: $68,000 Entry Signal Criteria Timeframe: 15-minute charts. RSI: Below 40. MACD: Bearish crossover confirmed. ATR: Rising, indicating increasing volatility. Bollinger Bands: Price breaking below the lower band. Stochastic Oscillator: Entering oversold region. Important Considerations Alignment of Indicators: Only enter OPEN_SHORT positions when all enhanced indicators align to signal a strong entry point. Risk Management: Avoid entries during high-risk periods, such as significant news releases or market anomalies. Continuous Monitoring: Vigilantly monitor the market for sudden changes and adjust the strategy to prevent losses due to unexpected price movements. Current Open Positions Open LONG Positions: 0 Open SHORT Positions: 0
Short
by titankarma
1
BTC before final moments: ready to jump? (1H)Hello, fellow traders! I want to share my thoughts on BTC. Looking at the 1H chart, we see the price has recently touched the weekly resistance line. It is now hovering just above the line instead of breaking out, which is ideal. I've adjusted the time of the US election and Federal reserve interest rate announcement based on where I live. The US election is scheduled on the 5th and the initial result will most likely be available before the day ends. Even if it doesn't, general projection would be informative enough to stimulate the market to move accordingly. Western states including California will be the last to close the polls and start processing the votes, but it's likely that the outcome become clear enough before they even finish the process. So my guess is the market would already start moving by 10-11PM (ETZ) since market tends to move ahead based on assumptions. This is around 6PM of 6th in where I live. If the vote process takes longer (because of the close race or whatever other reasons) than usual, it might take additional 2-3 days which would cause a lot of volatilities that would eventually abate as the result becomes more comprehensible. I also want to address the US federal reserve interest rate announcement which is scheduled this Thursday - just after the election. This will again impact the crypto market heavily - many are expecting the rate cut for economical growth and if this is true, chances of BTC bull run will definitely increase. Many are predicting BTC to reach ATH, even up to 90k, 100k, 1m, and some are saying that the bull run will begin no matter who becomes the next potus. Back to the chart, we see price slightly rebounding as it touches the weekly resistance line. However, the breakout of the downtrend (marked as a red line) is yet to happen. If the outcome of this election and the interest rate announcement come out favorable to the market, I can only imagine a breakout, then a bull run starting with big momentum. I've read a lot of posts, comments and news about BTC, I see some saying the halving will begin after the election, others saying BTC will double - interestingly both side had evidence to back them up. Maybe both are true! I don't think we can comfortably rely on the past data. People have different strategies, different experiences, resulting in different conclusion. What I understand though is nature of market movements - it moves according to the psychology. And the outcome of the upcoming election and change of interest rate will definitely either encourage people to invest more or withdraw their investments. Conclusion: My strategy for BTC is if the breakout (of the red line) occurs and both election and interest rate come out favorable for the market, I will enter LONG. All the hypes around BTC, current election predictions, news about rate cut really give us the excitement but I don't want to assume anything yet. I'm just hoping the timing of the breakout aligns with these two events to maximize momentum. Frankly, I'm looking forward to seeing the results but I'm also not going to try to predict them because I've been wrong many times and have learned from those experiences not to make predictions. Instead, I will react. If the market moves opposite direction, we'll just simply enter opposite position and take profit. It's that simple.
Long
by QJEEE
2
Examining Support at $68,500 and Resistance at $70,600🔹 Market Overview: Bitcoin has managed to hold the significant support level at $68,500 after a recent struggle, closing the daily candle above this level. This stabilization creates an opportunity for the price to move towards the $70,600 resistance. 🚩 Key Levels: Fair Value Gap (FVG) at $70,600: This area, aligned with the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the previous wave, serves as a strong resistance for Bitcoin. Upon reaching this level, there’s a high chance of a bearish reaction and price rejection. Order Block at $71,200: Another resistance at $71,200, overlapping with the 61.8% Fibonacci level, acts as an additional resistance zone that could potentially trigger a trend reversal. 📉 Potential Trend Reversal: If the price encounters these areas (FVG or OB), there’s a high probability of a weekly correction initiating from these points. 📈 Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern: An inverse head and shoulders pattern is currently forming. If the neckline is broken, it could open a short-term buying opportunity. 🔔 Conclusion: Breaking through these key resistance levels may indicate further bullish movement; otherwise, a pullback to support and a corrective phase might follow.
Short
by arzdigitalistha
1
Bitcoin Shows Upward Momentum, Targets Key ResistanceBitcoin (BTCUSDT) is displaying an upward trend, currently trading around $69,078 as it nears critical resistance levels. The chart suggests BTC is consolidating within an ascending channel, with immediate resistance expected around the $70,000 mark. A break above this zone could propel BTC towards the $72,755 target, signaling stronger bullish momentum. Analysts highlight that maintaining support above $68,730 is crucial for sustaining this upward move. Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with traders closely watching for potential breakout signals in the coming sessions.
Long
by Sanhara
1