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Bitcoin (BTC): Smaller Correction Is Over, Sellers Push Again!We are starting this week with sharp moves, where we are seeing the weekend selling pressure continue into the new week. As we are approaching the end of the month for March, we are expecting to see a big volatility, and as we still have not touched our major support zone, we expect the next month to start with some sharp moves as well to lower zones. The week has started well so far! We been talking about our major target being near $70-73K for long time, so we wait patiently Swallow Team
Short
by SwallowAcademy
Btcusdt/M15Bitcoin's structure is currently bearish, and after a retracement to approximately 87,000 units, it might experience an upward move if it can break through the upcoming zone. However, it is expected to continue its downward trend to touch its lower range once again. 💫 For those looking to purchase for long-term holding, it may be better to wait for lower price levels. 💫 For those interested in swing trading, you can consider entering step-by-step positions if the price returns to the previous lower zone before touching the upcoming range. Hold the position until the first target is reached or potentially until the main range mentioned, followed by updating the analysis. 💫 If the price breaks through the upcoming range, I will update the analysis for re-entry opportunities. 💥 I’d be happy to receive your reactions and support
by H_Rsp
1
BTCUSDTBTC Retest Before the Next Uptrend 🚀 Bitcoin is not going to make a new low—it’s simply retesting the previous support zone around $76K–$78K before continuing its upward movement. This is a classic market structure where price revisits key levels before the next bullish leg. All the noise, fear, and uncertainty in the market are designed to shake out weak hands and keep retail traders away from big profits. Institutions and smart money are accumulating while the majority panic. Don’t let market manipulation fool you—stay focused on the bigger trend! What do you think? Are you holding strong or waiting on the sidelines? 🚀💎
Long
by Traderscorpion
2
BTC USD Weekly AnalysisKey Observations: Resistance Zone (~95,963 - 97,880 USDT) Price previously rejected this zone. The red highlighted area with a downward arrow suggests a potential short setup. Support Levels: 91,414 USDT (current resistance-turned-support level). 80,223 USDT (next major support). 72,848 USDT (critical lower support). 200-Week Moving Average (Red Line) Currently acting as dynamic support. If price breaks below, it signals a strong bearish trend. RSI Indicator (Bottom of Chart) Shows bearish divergence. The "Bear" label suggests momentum weakness. Bearish Scenario: If BTC fails to break above resistance (~91,414 - 97,880 USDT) and forms a lower high, it could lead to a downtrend. A breakdown below the ascending trendline could trigger a move toward 80,223 USDT, the next significant support. If BTC loses 80,223 USDT, then 72,848 USDT (previous demand zone) could be tested. A bearish RSI structure further confirms a weakening trend. Final Thoughts: If BTC fails to sustain above 91,414 USDT, a rejection could trigger selling pressure. A break below the trendline and 200-week MA could accelerate the downtrend. Bullish invalidation happens if BTC closes above 97,880 USDT, breaking resistance.
Short
by ForexLords
1
Bitcoin has broken out from its downward channelBitcoin has broken out from its downward channel. I changed my bearish view to cautiously bullish. Broader market also digested the trump tariffs and US federal reserve has starting to ease despite high inflation to counter short term effects of tariffs. FED also started slowing its balance sheet reduction from April and more rate cuts are planned in 2025. US favorable environment for crypto helps generally for bitcoin and other crypto to rally. Only issue is TradFi markets may see more downside due to reduced earnings due to tariffs which would drag bitcoin with it.
Long
by njmanura
1
How to Actually Do Backtesting?Welcome back guys, I’m Skeptic! Today, I’m gonna break down one of the most important and fundamental skills every trader needs: Backtesting . Backtesting is the very first step on your trading journey and probably the most crucial one. It’s all about putting your theoretical knowledge and trading plan to the test by evaluating them against historical market data. The goal? To see whether your strategy actually works — with what win rate, R/R ratio , and more. But here’s the problem: many traders do it wrong. They end up getting unreliable results, which leads to self-doubt when it comes to forward testing. The real issue is not your strategy but how you conduct your backtest. Let’s dive into the complete process! 💪 🛠️ Tools You Need To start backtesting, you’ll need some software that supports the replay feature, allowing you to move through historical data as if it were live. The best platforms for this are TradingView and MetaTrader . Personally, I use TradingView because it’s super intuitive and has great backtesting capabilities. Also, make sure to choose appropriate timeframes for backtesting that align with your strategy. 🕰️ Choosing Market Conditions: You need to backtest your strategy in all types of market conditions: Uptrend Downtrend Range-bound High Volatility 🚀 Step-by-Step Backtesting 1.Choose the Timeframe: Make sure your backtesting timeframe matches your strategy’s timeframe. For example, if your strategy works on the 4H chart, don’t backtest on the 1H chart. 2.Select Your Strategy: Stick to your written trading plan without improvising. 3.Pick the Asset Pair: Test on at least three different pairs or assets (e.g., EUR/USD, XAU/USD, GBP/NZD) to get diverse results. 4.Define Entry and Exit Rules: Clearly specify your entry, stop loss, and target levels. Never change these rules mid-backtest, even if it seems illogical. In real trading, you won’t have the luxury of endless contemplation. 🎯 Running the Backtest Use the Replay Tool to move through historical data. Never peek at the future price movement. If you accidentally see it, restart from a different point. Open a minimum of 30 positions for each market condition (e.g., uptrend, downtrend, range). Record each trade in a spreadsheet (Excel, Google Sheets, etc.) with the following columns: Date Time Entry strategy Stop loss Target Result (profit/loss as R/R ratio) Exit time 📊 Analyzing Your Results After completing your backtest, it’s time to analyze the data. Key metrics to focus on include: R/R Ratio Win Rate (%) Drawdown (%) Losing Streaks Position Frequency 🚩 Common Mistakes to Avoid Inconsistent Strategy: Changing your rules during backtesting is a no-go. Stick to the plan. Incomplete Testing: Don’t cut corners and always aim for a substantial number of trades. Ignoring Market Conditions: Make sure your strategy is tested in all four market scenarios. Lack of Patience: Just because the first few trades are losses doesn’t mean the strategy is a failure. Sometimes, a losing streak can be followed by a winning trade that covers it all. 💡 Conclusion Backtesting is the beating heart of any trader’s skill set. It builds confidence and lays the foundation for a profitable strategy. If you found this tutorial helpful, give it a boost and share it with your fellow traders. Let’s grow together, not alone! And as Freddie Mercury once said: We are the champions, my friends! :)🏆 Happy trading, and see you in the next analysis! 💪🔥
Education
by SkepticWise
11
BTC Roadmap: Pump to 85.5K Before Sharp Correction to 73K?I'm expecting a short-term bullish move on Bitcoin towards the $85,500 zone, followed by a pullback to around $83,100. After that, a bounce to $84,000 is likely before a potential major correction down to the $73,000 area. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $85,500 Support: $83,100 and $84,000 Major Downside Target: $73,000 This is not financial advice — just sharing my technical outlook. Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Short
by artin_zarghami
$BTC multi-timeframe analysisCRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently at a critical juncture, with three distinct trends emerging on the same chart: Weekly Bearish Downtrend (Green): This 1W bearish channel remains intact. Despite bullish optimism, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has not broken out of this green channel, meaning we are technically still in a bearish trend. Daily Recovery Bullish Uptrend (Red): On the 1D timeframe, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has been following a recovery bullish channel. However, this channel is now colliding with the top of the bearish weekly channel, creating significant resistance. Hourly Bearish Downtrend (Yellow): A new bearish downtrend on the 1H timeframe has formed as a result of CRYPTOCAP:BTC failing to break through the top of the 1W green bearish falling wedge. Potential Scenarios: Bullish Scenario 1: If CRYPTOCAP:BTC breaks through the $90k resistance level and exits the weekly bearish channel (green), it could signal a strong long position and confirm the end of the downtrend, marking a reversal. Bearish Scenario 2: If CRYPTOCAP:BTC continues to follow the yellow downtrend and breaks down through the red recovery channel, this would invalidate the recovery and indicate further downside potential. Outlook and Timeframe: In my bearish warning from February 2025, I projected the end of the bearish consolidation by May 2025. If the bearish Scenario 2 plays out, it will confirm that this early warning was once again accurate. However, if CRYPTOCAP:BTC manages to pump above $90k and sustain this level for at least a week, it would signal an early consolidation (one month ahead of schedule) and suggest that we are out of trouble. Conclusion: Watch for a confirmed breakout or breakdown. Patience is key; wait for confirmation before making significant moves. As always, DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
by CryptoNikkoid
Bitcoin Short-Term: Double Top Formation & Market DirectionHello, I'm Dusk, a full time trader. If you find this helpful, please "Follow" and "Boost". BINANCE:BTCUSD Bitcoin: Movement Analysis After Double Top Formation Bitcoin recently dropped to S:1 ($76,600) due to gold strength and tariff concerns, before bouncing back toward R:1 ($88,600) as outlined in my previous idea. Currently, we are seeing a mild pullback on the 4H chart. 📌 Previous idea: Since price broke above the trendline highlighted earlier, a retest toward the Test Zone ($83,400–$85,000) is likely. This area will be critical for gauging direction, especially when watching for price reaction and volume behavior. A direct move toward R:2 ($90,000) is possible, but due to a double top pattern on the daily chart, the following two scenarios seem more probable: A retest of the Test Zone Sideways consolidation to relieve downward pressure Trading Perspective BTC/USDT on the 4H chart still looks constructive. However, the daily chart shows declining volume despite rising price, suggesting caution against chasing longs. 📈 Chart snapshot: Will keep you updated as things develop.
by TraderDusk
1
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #42👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let's delve into the analysis of Bitcoin and other key crypto indices. As usual, I will review the futures triggers for the New York session for you. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe In the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, the price still maintains a range box between 83808 and 84734, and the market volume has decreased even more from yesterday. 📊 The less the volume, the closer we are to a price movement, so again, keep an eye on the market to ensure you don't miss any active triggers. ⚡️ For a short position, you can enter with a break of 83808, and for a long position, with a break of 84734. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Let's move to the analysis of Bitcoin dominance. Yesterday, the support at 61.43 was broken, and it's moving towards 61.08. ✔️ Currently, I don’t have any specific triggers for confirmation in dominance, but as long as the dominance stays below 61.43, I see it continuing its downward trend. 📅 Total2 Analysis On to the analysis of Total2, the trigger at 1.05 is about to be activated, and the price could move towards 1.07 with a break of this area. 🔽 The short trigger remains at 1.04 for now. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Finally, looking at the Tether dominance, this index is still ranging between 5.25 and 5.34. 💫 A break of either of these areas could determine the next leg of the price movement. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
3
BTC - 1H Clean Liquidity Hunt & Bearish Continuation BINANCE:BTCUSDT - 1H Update Bitcoin remains in a bearish trend on the 4H and daily timeframes. After hunting the liquidity above the resistance zone, price began to drop exactly from our shared short entry at 83,700—and it's now on the move toward deeper targets. 🔹 Key Insights: BTC grabbed liquidity just above resistance before reversing. Price is now likely heading toward the liquidation zone below the support, aligning with the broader downtrend. This setup offered a perfect short opportunity from $83,700, with clearly defined targets and risk. 🎯 Last Target: 80,200 💡 Congrats to all who followed our signal! The move is unfolding as expected. 📊 Stay locked in for the next big setups—follow for precise, real-time trade ideas! 🔔
Short
by Sober_Trading