BITCOIN Bitcoin and the Potential Move to $136,000 based on my price action +sma+ema advanced strategy.
Current Market Context
Bitcoin (BTC) is trading near all-time highs, recently surpassing $117,000-118000
The market is characterized by strong institutional inflows, robust ETF demand, and bullish technical momentum.
Is a Move to $136,000 Possible?
Analyst and Model Forecasts
Bitwise Asset Management and several market analysts see a 30% rally possible in July, which could push Bitcoin to the $136,000 level. This projection is based on:
Historical post-crisis rallies (average 31% gains after macro/geopolitical shocks).
Institutions buying more BTC than miners can supply.
Global rate cuts increasing liquidity and risk appetite.
Quantitative models and technical forecasters also predict a range between $136,000 and $143,000 as a potential 2025 high, with some models extending targets to $151,000 and beyond.
Other major banks and analysts (e.g., Standard Chartered, Bernstein, Fundstrat) maintain even higher year-end targets ($150,000–$200,000), but $136,000 is seen as a key intermediate technical and psychological level.
Technical Analysis
Bullish momentum is confirmed across short, medium, and long-term timeframes.
Key resistance levels to watch: $120,000 (psychological), $130,000 (round number), and $136,000 (target zone highlighted by several analysts).
Sustained trading above $112,000–$118,000 would support a move toward $130,000–$136,000, especially if ETF inflows and institutional demand remain strong.
Drivers Supporting the $136K Scenario
ETF and Institutional Inflows: Demand from US spot Bitcoin ETFs and corporate treasuries remains robust.
Macro Tailwinds: Expectations of US Federal Reserve rate cuts and a weakening dollar are fueling risk-on sentiment.
Supply Dynamics: The recent Bitcoin halving has reduced miner supply, amplifying the impact of new demand.
Technical Breakouts: Bull flag and breakout patterns suggest further upside, with $136,000 cited as a technical extension target.
Risks and Considerations
Volatility: Bitcoin remains highly volatile; sharp pullbacks are possible even in a strong uptrend.
Regulatory and Macro Risks: Changes in regulatory stance or a major shift in macro conditions could impact the trajectory.
Profit-Taking: Approaching major round numbers like $130,000 or $136,000 could trigger profit-taking and temporary corrections.
Summary Table: Bitcoin 2025 Price Targets
Source/Model 2025 Target Range $136K Move Outlook
Bitwise, Polymarket $136,000 (July 2025) High probability if current trends persist
Coinfomania AI Model Up to $143,440 $136K within model range
Investing Haven $80,840–$151,150 $136K within bullish scenario
Changelly, CoinDCX $100,000–$150,000 $136K is a key resistance
Standard Chartered $120,000–$200,000 $136K as a stepping stone
Conclusion
A move to $136,000 for Bitcoin is considered plausible in 2025 by my market structure advanced strategy , This scenario is supported by strong institutional demand, favorable macro conditions, and bullish technical patterns. However, volatility and macro/regulatory risks remain, so price action should be monitored closely as BTC approaches key resistance levels at 120k and 136k level
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