US OIL: Price is at Value Area for a swing sellOil bounced up.
World economy is slowing down and entering into recession. The demand is/will be the FA for a Sell Outlook for ST&MT.
Only risk factor will prevent this (i.e., attack on Iran).
USDWTI trade ideas
WTI rises to test major resistance WTI has risen in the last couple of weeks after staging an oversold bounce from around the key $65.00 long-term support level at the start of the month. However, it is now testing a key resistance area between $69.15 - $70.00 range, which is where WTI last sold off from. It is a pivotal zone. Given the underlying long-term bearish trend, I am more inclined to look for bearish setups to form here, than to chase this move higher. However, that being said, I would have to drop my short-term bearish bias in the event WTI were to break decisively above $70.00 level in the days ahead.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
WTI CRUDE OIL: Hard rebound on 1.5 year support targeting $72.WTI Crude Oil is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.748, MACD = -1.080, ADX = 23.603), which indicates the slow transition from a bearish trend to bullish. This started when the price hit the S1 level, a 1.5 year Support, and bottomed. The slow rebound that we're having since formed a Channel Up on a bullish 1D RSI, much like the one in September 2024, which eventually peaked after a +10.70% price increase. A similar rebound is expected to test the 1D MA200. The trade is long, TP = 72.00.
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USOIL: Rally, Resistance, and Technical ReversalThe recent trend of USOIL has been continuously rising in a volatile manner, and the current intraday price has reached a three - week high.
Currently, the bullish sentiment in the market is greatly influenced by fundamental news, mainly due to the combined effects of the United States increasing sanctions on Iran's energy and the ineffective and substantive implementation of the 30 - day cease - fire agreement between Russia and Ukraine.
Analyzing the short - term trend from the one - hour chart of USOIL, during the US trading session last night, the crude oil price surged again, hitting the resistance of $69.5 in the market. However, after encountering resistance, part of the bullish momentum took profits and fled, and the price slightly retreated to the support of $69 without further decline.
After today's opening, the bullish momentum was obviously insufficient, and the price did not rise further. The upper track of the Bollinger Bands extended downward, exerting pressure. The moving average of the Macd indicator formed a cross at a high level and has a downward extension trend, and the momentum column began to release downward.
USOIL Trading strategy
Sell@69.5-69
tp:68-67.5
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
USOIL SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 68.25
Target Level: 65.67
Stop Loss: 69.99
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Oil Surges Toward Four-Week Highs on U.S. Inventory DropOil extended gains and approached four-week highs, supported by an unexpected decline in U.S. crude inventories and persistent geopolitical tensions that keep international markets on edge.
The price of WTI has once again surpassed $70 per barrel, its highest level in nearly a month. This bullish move is mainly driven by a 3.3 million barrel drop in U.S. commercial inventories, a figure that doubles analysts' initial expectations of only a 1.6 million barrel reduction.
This significant inventory drawdown, reported by the latest release from the Energy Information Administration (EIA), reflects a robust domestic demand, largely fueled by increased activity at U.S. refineries. Over the past week, these facilities boosted their daily processing to an average of 15.8 million barrels, reaching a utilization rate of 87%, a considerable rise from the previous period.
Similarly, there was a further decline in key refined product stocks: gasoline fell by 1.4 million barrels, while distillates dropped by 0.4 million barrels. These reductions suggest a healthy recovery in fuel consumption, though differences remain compared to historical averages: gasoline inventories are still 2% above the five-year average, while distillates remain a concerning 7% below.
For oil-exporting countries like Mexico and Colombia, this situation presents a significant opportunity. Although average U.S. crude imports remain 11% below the same period last year, a sustained recovery could positively boost the economic outlook of these nations, offering key revenue amid a globally uncertain economic context.
However, geopolitics remains a key player in the evolution of the oil market. The U.S. threat to impose 25% tariffs on Venezuelan crude imports has added pressure on the trade flow to China, the main buyer of Venezuelan oil. At the same time, new sanctions on Iran could further tighten global supply, once again placing Saudi Arabia in a position to cover any supply shortfall.
Moreover, recent agreements between the U.S., Ukraine, and Russia to reduce attacks on energy infrastructure suggest an effort to partially stabilize the market; however, any breakdown in these negotiations could quickly reintroduce volatility in oil prices.
Overall, while economic risks from trade tensions persist, the current balance between strong U.S. demand and supply constraints due to geopolitical factors is creating a bullish environment for oil. The energy market continues to show clear signs of strengthening, suggesting that prices could remain firm in the short term, with close monitoring of any unexpected shifts in the global landscape.
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Bullish rise?USO/USD has reacted off the support level which is a pullback support and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 68.43
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 67.07
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 70.43
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that line sup with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
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USOIL:sell @ 68.5USOIL will test the resistance near the range of $68.5 - $69 this week. When it reaches this area, you can start shorting crude oil.
Crude oil trading strategy:
usoil sell@68.5-69
tp:67.5-67
Currently, my account balance has grown from an initial $40,000 to $800,000 in profits. I will share accurate trading signals every day, and you have the option to copy my trading orders. If you're interested in getting these signals, you can click on the link below this article.
WTI Crude Oil The Week Ahead 24th March '25WTI Crude Oil bearish & oversold, the key trading level is at 69.50
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Bullish bounce?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the overlap resistance level.
Pivot: 68.47
1st Support: 67.43
1st Resistance: 70.38
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OIL Today's strategyIn the medium term, because the lower edge of the channel has been broken, the short force is relatively dominant, and crude oil may face certain downward pressure.
However, today's crude oil prices are affected by tightening expectations on the supply side, geopolitics and other factors, and the short-term trend is strong, and there is a certain upward momentum on the technical side. Investors need to pay close attention to the breakout of key support and resistance levels.
OIL Today's strategy
buy@67.5-68
tp:69-69.5
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Continue to be bearish.I'm bearish on USOIL. Despite hitting 69.555 today, the 70.000 resistance has repeatedly held firm.
Global economic slowdown weakens oil demand, while OPEC's growing production plans may lead to oversupply. With a strong dollar adding downward pressure, USOIL is likely to decline.
๐๐๐ USOIL ๐๐๐
๐ Sell@68.500 - 69.000
๐ TP 67.000 - 66.300
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed๏ผFollow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
USOil:When it rebounds to the resistance, continue go shortIn terms of crude oil, in the short term, with the decline in US crude oil inventories, the escalation of US sanctions against Iran and Venezuela, and the resumption of hostilities between Russia and Ukraine, efforts at reconciliation have been ineffective. Therefore, the short-term market has hyped up the reduction in crude oil supply, causing crude oil to fluctuate repeatedly at high levels without being able to decline. However, as tariffs are upgraded and concerns about the global economic downturn intensify, the demand for crude oil has further decreased. At the same time, in order to control inflation, the control of crude oil prices remains a top priority.
Therefore, the medium- to long-term downward trend remains unchanged. Currently, from a technical perspective, when crude oil rebounds to the resistance level, it is advisable to continue taking short positions as before.
USOIL Trading Strategy:
Sell@69.7-70
TP:68.5-68
Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
WTI Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionOil prices are showing signs of recovery after a strong bearish move, with $68.00 as a key level that will play a significant role in guiding our trading decisions for the new week.
๐ Key Technical Outlook:
๐น Oil is currently trading within an ascending channel on the 4H timeframe.
๐น Iโll be watching for a breakout/retest of the channel resistance and $68.50 for buying opportunities.
๐น If selling pressure remains below the resistance line of the channel and the $68.00 key level, I will be considering selling opportunities.
๐ Major Market Drivers:
๐น US Sanctions on Iran: The US Treasury imposed new sanctions targeting entities involved in supplying Iranian crude oil to China. Analysts expect a 1 million bpd drop in Iranian exports, which could support prices.
๐น OPEC+ Production Cuts: A new plan will see seven member nations cut production by 189,000โ435,000 bpd per month until June 2026.
๐น Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing tensions in the Middle East & the Russia-Ukraine war continue to add a risk premium to oil prices.
๐
Key Economic Events on Our Radar Next Week:
๐ข Tuesday: API Crude Oil Stock Report โ Offers insight into US oil inventory levels.
๐ข Wednesday: EIA Crude Oil Inventories Report โ A key supply indicator affecting price movements.
๐ Tuesday: US S&P Global PMI โ Important for economic sentiment and demand expectations.
๐ Thursday: US GDP (Q4 Final) โ Provides clues on economic growth and potential impact on oil demand.
๐ Friday: US Core PCE Index โ The Fedโs preferred inflation measure, critical for policy direction.
Oil remains bullish in the short term, but Iโll be monitoring price action closely at $68.00 and $68.50 for trade setups. Weโll break it all down in Forex Morning Mastery tomorrowโstay tuned! ๐ฅ๐
USOIL and The Elliott Wave Updates. The structure seen is a 5 Wave move and is part of a B(3 Wave structure) of a Flat marked in Black. In this 5 Wave move marked in Red we can see that Wave 2 was a Zigzag, meaning our Wave 4 would be a Flat. Wave 3 hits the 161.8% mark and moves back to form an A of the Flat marked in Green. B must be a 3 Wave move and must move beyond the ending of 3(Red). When this occurs, a Wave C is formed(Green) and hence Wave 4(Red). What is left is a final Wave, a 5, to complete the first impulse of B(Black). Upon completion there must be a corrective structure to separate the impulse that just ended and Wave B's final impulse. Marked in Blue, is Wave A that just ended, a Wave B that we can expect to be against the trend and a final one that will begin soon after. Note, Wave B(Blue) MUST be a 3-Wave move.
OIL TO PUMP UPOil has broken the downtrend and turned bullish. Tump's Iran threads is also likely to accelerate the bullish push faster.
Risk no more than one per cent.
Swing trade so expect to hold it for weeks
Once trade over 200 pips in profit, set breakeven
Follow us for more perfect swing setups
USOil:Profit realized by shorting on reboundsOn Thursday, crude oil dipped and then rallied towards the end of the trading session, reaching a low of around 69.1. Today, it rebounded to around 69.8 and then started to decline. The short-selling strategy implemented in the morning resulted in a profit.
Next, attention should be paid to whether the upper resistance level of 70 can be broken through. If it cannot be broken through in a short period of time, consider shorting again during the subsequent rebound.
USOIL Trading Strategy:
Sell@69.7-70
TP:68.5-68
Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
69.374-70.880 section is a crossroads
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The April TradingView competition is sponsored by PEPPERSTONE.
Accordingly, we will look at the coins (tokens) and items that can be traded in the competition.
Let's talk about the SPOTCRUDE chart.
--------------------------------------
(SPOTCRUDE 1M chart)
We need to see whether it will rise along the trend line (1) or fall along the trend line (2).
Since the volume profile section is formed around 75.723, the key is whether it can rise above this section.
If it fails to rise, it will eventually meet the HA-Low indicator of the 1M chart.
Currently, the HA-Low indicator of the 1M chart is formed at 43.327.
-
(1D chart)
The M-Signal indicators of the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts are in reverse arrangement.
Therefore, in order to continue the upward trend, it must eventually rise above the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart.
Therefore, the key is which direction it deviates from the 69.374-70.880 section.
When the competition started,
- If the price is maintained above 70.880, the long position is expected to be advantageous,
- If the price is maintained below 69.374, the short position is expected to be advantageous.
However, since the overall trend of the chart is down, a short and quick response is required when trading with a long position.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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USOil:When to short at high levels?During the evening session yesterday, the price of crude oil surged again, reaching the resistance level of 69.5 per barrel in the session. However, after encountering resistance, part of the bullish momentum took profits and fled the market, causing the price to decline slightly to the support level of 69 per barrel without further drops.
After today's opening, the bullish momentum is obviously insufficient, and the price has not risen further, showing a downward extension trend.
Today's trading strategy: Focus on taking short positions at relatively high levels. Currently, the support at 69 per barrel is relatively solid. Observe whether the price can reach the resistance range of 69.5 per barrel again. If it breaks through upwards, look at the important psychological resistance level of 70 per barrel. Choose to take short positions again within the range of 69.5 - 70 per barrel, with the target price at $68 per barrel. Participate with a small position.
USOIL Trading Strategy:
Sell@68.5-69
TP:68-67
Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
CFD on WTI CRUDEOIL (US OIL)ITS A T4HR TRADE FOR USOIL
1. Got Activated.
2. Stop loss @ 69.65 and resp. Target 1 @ 69.65 and Target 2 @ 67.59
3. Its a swing trade for 1 week trade working days duration.
4. Kindly make your orders accordingly to the duration period mentioned.
God bless. Happy trading Days
ITS A T15 min TRADE FOR USOIL
1. Got Activated @ 69.64
2. Stop loss @ 69.77 and resp. Target @68.40
3. Its a swing trade for 2 Days trade working days duration.
4. Kindly make your orders accordingly to the duration period mentioned.
God bless. Happy trading Days
USOil Sell 70.000Crude oil has been fluctuating and rising recently, reaching a three-week high. From a fundamental perspective:
Supply: The United States has intensified its energy sanctions against Iran. Attacks on Saudi facilities have affected their performance. The OPEC+ will gradually lift the voluntary production cuts starting from April and may increase production for the second time in May. The 30-day ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has not been effectively implemented in substance. However, recently, the United States, Russia, and Ukraine have reached some consensus on Black Sea navigation and the protection of energy facilities.
Inventory: According to API data, for the week ending March 25, U.S. crude oil inventories dropped significantly by nearly 9 million barrels. However, commercial crude oil inventories have been increasing continuously for several weeks, and the overall inventory remains at a high level.
Geopolitics: The U.S. airstrikes against the Houthi armed group in Yemen and Israel's military operations in the Gaza Strip have heightened concerns about the disruption of crude oil supplies in the Middle East. The United States' continuous strengthening of sanctions against Iran and Venezuela also includes a plan to impose a 25% tariff on countries importing Venezuelan crude oil.
Production Increase Pressure: The daily supply increments of non-OPEC countries (such as the United States and Brazil) far exceed the global demand growth rate, which has long-term downward pressure on the oil price center.
๐๐๐ USOIL ๐๐๐
๐ Sell@70.000 - 70.200
๐ TP 68.5 68.0 67.5
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed๏ผFollow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
