WTI short bias We saw us oil broke a major support yesterday the 71 support zone. Many trader will now look for a retest to short. But I speculate the retest might happen around the 72 to 73 resistance zone where we can WTI drop to the down side.Shortby kifordtrader1
OIL: Day 3 short traders triggered in the marketHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you! “Trade setups, not movements” 1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion) Monday DAY 1 Opening Range Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week ✅ Thursday DAY 2 Friday DAY 3 Closing Range 2. SIGNAL DAY First Red Day First Green Day 3 Days Long Breakout 3 Days Short Breakout ✅ Inside Day 3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE Pump&Dump Dump&Pump ✅ Frontside ✅ Backside 4. THESIS: Long: Primary, market reversing at the low of the week, day 3 short is a potential signal of reversing market. No setup yet has been identified, and don't forget that even if the reversal is possible, the market is still on the frontside down move, it can give a scalp, retesting the LOW for a better setup by the end of the week. Short: Considering the current situation, I wouldn't exclude this market keep going lower if setups for that scenario. Eventually the market will place a HOD and locked it, I would be willing to short OIL after the news Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement. GianniLongby GianniPichichero2210
WTI Oil H4 | Overhead pressures remainWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 71.65 which is a pullback resistance. Stop loss is at 72.60 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 68.19 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.Short03:16by FXCM4
Will oil go further down??? We might be seeing a further downside on oil… Last week we saw a rejection on the weekly and price is around a key zone. If price sustains bow we might be seeing a further down side… by Wealth_from_the_west333
USOIL Potential Support Breakout At $69.26. 04.09.2024USOIL: 4HR chart shows potential downside support breakout at $69.26. Downside Target: $64.32 and $58.03 if breakout confirms. Upside Target: $73.15 and $76.20 if breakout fails. Always Apply Risk Management Apply risk management Risk Warning: Trading in CFDs is highly speculative and carries a high level of risk. It is possible to lose all of your invested capital. These products may not be suitable for everyone, and you should ensure that you fully understand the risks taking into consideration your investment objectives, level of experience, personal circumstances as well as personal resources. Speculate only with funds that you can afford to lose. Seek independent advice if necessary. Please refer to our Risk Disclosure. BDSwiss is a trading name of BDS Markets and BDS Ltd. BDS Markets is a company incorporated under the laws of the Republic of Mauritius and is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Commission of Mauritius ( FSC ) under license number C116016172, address: 6th Floor, Tower 1, Nexteracom Building 72201 Ebene. BDS Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority Seychelles (FSA) under license number SD047, address: Suite 3, Global Village, Jivan’s Complex, Mont Fleuri, Mahe, Seychelles. Payment transactions are managed by BDS Markets (Registration number: 143350) DisclaimerShortby Stuart_Cowell1
Will the theme of weak demand and oversupply dampen oil prospectMacro theme: - Oil prices have declined since last week as investors expect an OPEC+ supply increase in Oct and a potential deal in Libya to resume production, possibly adding over 500,000 barrels per day. - Weak economic data from China, including Tue's ISM Manufacturing PMI, highlighted the country's sluggish recovery, fuelling calls for more stimulus. - Concerns over China's weak demand and the prospect of increased supply are likely to keep oil prices under pressure in the short term. Technical theme: - USOIL tested EMAs' area confluence with 77.00 resistance before breaking below 71.50 support to maintain a bearish structure. - If USOIL maintains below the 71.50 level, the price may continue to decline to test 67.80 support. - On the contrary, if USOIL can close above 71.50, the price may retrace to retest its EMA21 along with the upper bound of its descending channel.Shortby DatTong5
Oil Short: Broke down trendlineI believe that oil will go down a lot more these 2 months for 2 reasons: 1. Broke down of trendline, and 2. Presidential election and democrats will want to bring down oil prices in order to win votes.Shortby yuchaosng2
XTIUSD Out look Wti crude oil is has move in bearish direction and has broken its support also going to retest its broke below resistance level also 50 SMA is showing us on 1H a bearish trend and that bearish move is likely to continue Shortby Wakeel_Saab2
USOIL.. one n only area, hold or not??#USOIL... First market HITT our upside targeted areas and then dropped. Now it reached near to his one of the most important supporting area 72.10 That level can change the overall acnerios of market. Keep close it because if there is any kind of buying scnerio exist then it should be hold this area. 72.10 Keep close and stay sharp. Good luck Trade wisely by AdilHussain731333Updated 1
WTI Rises Above $84.50 Amid Summer Demand ExpectationsWith the peak of the summer travel season, marked by the Independence Day holiday this week, US oil demand is expected to surge. The American Automobile Association (AAA) projects travel during this period to be 5.2% higher than in 2023, with car travel alone increasing by 4.8% compared to the previous year, according to Reuters. Crude oil markets are further supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The Israel-Palestinian Hamas conflict continues to create volatility in energy markets. Investors are concerned that a potential cross-border spillover could involve direct action from Iran, a Hamas supporter, threatening crude oil supplies and logistical stability in the region. The American Petroleum Institute (API) reported the steepest week-on-week decline in US Weekly Crude Oil Stocks in nearly two years. API data showed a significant weekly decrease of -9.163 million barrels, far exceeding the forecasted -150K drawdown and following the previous week’s -3 million barrel decline. Given our forecast, we are currently considering a short position in the supply area. Typically, crude oil production for summer demand occurs in the preceding months, leading to higher oil prices before the summer season. Our seasonality analysis indicates that crude oil prices generally decline in trading from the end of July through September. Therefore, we are now looking for a short position. ✅ Please share your thoughts about WTI in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.Shortby FOREXN1Updated 1111
USOIL / TRADING BELOW FVG AREA - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME The overall trend is downward , until trading below FVG . As long as prices stay below the turning level of 74.78, a decline is expected, potentially reaching the support level (1) at 73.03, and then 71.51. However, if prices break above the turning level and close a 4-hour candle above it, the trend may shift upward, with potential to reach the resistance level at 76.18. Breaking this resistance could lead to further gains, targeting 77.52. KEY LEVELS : TURNING LEVEL : 74.78 RESISTANCE LEVELS : 76.18 , 77.52 SUPPORT LEVELS :73.03 , 71.51 Shortby ArinaKarayiUpdated 13
Weekly outlook Sep2-6 $USOILTVC:USOIL staring its trend toward $61 oil as expected. It would have to be an alarming geopolitical situation to turn the course of OIL back upShortby SolenyaResearch1
WTI Oil Updated Plans On FallsFears of lessening demand have dropped the value of Oil per barrel. Key levels exist below and are very much worth noting for long side entries.03:05by WillSebastian448
USOIL - Retest at 76.55 Before Bullish Momentum Aims for 79.49 Market Update: Retest and Bullish Continuation Expected The price has already reached the resistance zone at 77.95, as noted in our previous analysis. Now, the price is expected to retest the 76.55 level before resuming its bullish trend towards 79.49. Bullish Scenario: For the bullish trend to continue, the price should stabilize above 77.94, targeting 79.49, with further potential to reach 80.73. Bearish Scenario: If the price stabilizes below 77.94, it could support a decline toward 76.55 and possibly down to 73.35. Key Levels: - Pivot Line: 77.94 - Support Levels: 76.55, 75.35, 72.72 - Resistance Levels: 79.49, 80.73, 82.20 Today's Expected Range: The price is anticipated to move between the support at 75.35 and the resistance at 82.20.by SroshMayiUpdated 9
USOIL: Downside Potential RemainsUSOIL still has room to move down, based on my personal strategy and market analysis. Traders should assume their own risk when considering this viewpoint. This is not financial advice.Shortby Remora_traders0
Oil baby, common you can do it! Do it!FA: Historically, when the Fed rate is lowered in the U.S., there is one very simple pattern - the collapse of commodities! Of course, there are nuances related to the rate of downgrade.... Prices do not start falling at once... most often there is a time lag from 2-3 months to 8 months. It is important to understand the following... The USA controls oil prices (directly or indirectly - but the fact remains). Oil reserves in the states are low but last report showed very nice numbers (actual -0.8M vs forecast -2.7M) Now catch the train of thought: US will start a cycle of rate cuts- US has more than enough oil reserves - historically rate cuts are a drop in oil prices TA: After aggressive movement till 4h gap, price went down as expected with first MS, then price went up to test BTS zone and made second shift (BoS) and came into bullish 4h fvg. Now there are 3 options: 1 - move higher till 4h fvg into premium , rebalance and final move till EQL at 71.4$ area 2 - fail 73.3 area from market opening with potential move downwards till EQL 3 - Breaking above 4h FVG with target at 77.55$, this option can be considered only after closing above 4h fvg on 1h+ time frame with candle's bodyby AlmenioUpdated 3
$77.78 possible!?From here stops looks narrow. R/R BIG. Maybe some stop hunt kinda thing can happen.. Trade your way...Longby anandnarapaneni476
USOIL BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG Hello, Friends! The BB lower band is nearby so USOIL is in the oversold territory. Thus, despite the downtrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bullish reaction from the support line below and a move up towards the target at around 76.95. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅Longby EliteTradingSignals117
WTI OIL formed 1st 1W Death Cross in 4.5 years!The last long-term signal (July 09, see chart below) on WTI Oil (USOIL) was a rejection (sell) at the top of the former Triangle (Lower Highs trend-line): The price not only broke below both the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) but also the bottom of the Triangle. The result this week is the formation of a 1W Death Cross, the first one since the COVID crash back in March 2020! Naturally this is a strong bearish signal, which will be confirmed if the price breaks below the Higher Lows trend-line. If it does we may see a fatal market collapse, as this is a cyclical signal (observe the Sine Waves). In May 2009, it was invalid as the Housing Crisis preceded it, in November 2014 it was halfway through the sell-off of the Oil Crisis and Chinese economic slowdown and in March 2020 it came earlier relative to the previous two but still after the price broke below the Higher Lows trend-line. As a result, this trend-line is of the utmost importance currently and only if broken (and close a 1M candle below it) can we consider a similar collapse. If it does, we expect at least $45.00, on the way to the Symmetrical Support Zone test. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇by TradingShot26
Crude Oil Quarterly Will crude oil signal another INFLATIONARY cycle OR a DEFLATIONARY bust? We are entering quarterly defined support zone, currently on BRINK OF COLLAPSE. I DO NOT want to see quarterly closes BELOW 67$. #inflation #recession #energy #crudeoil #oilby Badcharts2
Oil longReady for bullish move guys? Elliot wave correction due Last push up as B wave Let's goLongby HuntingTraps10
USOIL : Weekly Technical AnalysisHi Traders! Crude oil prices declined on Tuesday due to demand concerns driven by weak economic growth in China, the world's biggest crude importer. Brent crude fell 1% to US$76.77 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate crude lost 0.1% to US$73.50/b at last look early Tuesday. Demand concerns offset impacts of the production and export halt at Libya due to a political dispute, Reuters said in a Tuesday report. China's purchasing managers' index hit a six-month low in August and new home prices grew in the month at their weakest pace this year. Meanwhile, Libya's National Oil Corp declared force majeure at its El Feel oil field from Sept. 2. Total production in the country had dropped to just over 591,000 barrels per day (b/d) as of Aug. 28 from nearly 959,000 b/d on Aug. 26, Reuters reported, citing NOC. However, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries is reportedly set to proceed with its planned output boost in October regardless of demand concerns, Reuters reported, citing unnamed industry sources. From a technical point of view, the break of the support (left wing) should confirm our bearish harmonic structure and subsequently push the price around $55. If OPEC confirms an increase in production, this element could support our idea. What do you think?Shortby TheAnonymousBanker7742
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Intraday Bearish Confirmation Update for our yesterday's setup on WTI Crude Oil. The price successfully retested a broken structure. Our intraday bearish confirmation is a breakout of a support line of a bearish flag pattern on an hourly time frame. The fall will continue now at least to 72.1 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ Shortby VasilyTrader115