USDZAR-BUY strategy 4-hourly chart Heikin AshiThe daily chart dominates, as noted yesterday that there was downside potential. Now we have moved beyond the suggested buy levels yesterday, but nothing has changed. we are oversold, and low stochastic levels, and the chance GOLD may retreat, poses upside risks.
The Heikin Ashi is not confirming yet a turnaround as a note.
Strategy BUY @ 18.0850-18.1200 and place SL according to risk appetite and profit order @ 18.3150 for now. one may already be long, so add based on the strategy if one is able too.
USDZAR trade ideas
USDZAR-BUY strategy 4-hourly Heikin AshiThe daily chart shows more downside potential, but based on 4-hourly, we see a chance of move higher whilst we have firm GOLD price. I would treat this carefully of course. The stochastic is positive.
Strategy BUY @ 18.1750-18.2150 and take profit @ 18.3950 for now. SL as per risk appetite.
Bearish drop?USD/ZAR is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support level.
Pivot: 18.30934
1st Support: 18.12993
1st Resistance: 18.43011
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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USDZAR-BUY strategy 3-hourly chart Heikin AshiThe pair is under pressure, and likely will move lower into 18.1750-18.2000 area. this would mean trading below the channel support, and usually will encounter a rebound.
Strategy BUY @ 18.1950-18.2100 and place SL according to risk appetite. Profit order somewhere 18.3950-18.4350.
Bearish drop?USD/ZAR is reacting off the pivot and could potentially drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 18.39589
1st Support: 18.17481
1st Resistance: 18.55218
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDZAR 15 MIN TF- The 4H TF is bullish.
- The 15 min TF has re-aligned with the 4H bullish trend.
- Now we wait for price to mitigate the 15 min OB.
- Once price reaches the OB, switch to the 1 min TF and wait for the 1 min TF to align with 15 min bullish trend.
- After the 1 min TF aligns with the 15 min trend, refine the OB on the 5 min TF and set your limit order on the 5 min OB.
- 1ST TP is the 15 min high.
2nd TP is the 4H High.
USDZAR-SELL strategy 4-hourly chart Heikin AshiThe downside pressure continues and I suspect we will see a test of 18.2350 again.
the stochastic is negative and AO shows the same.
Strategy SELL @ 18.3950-18.4350 and place SL based on risk appetite and profit order @ 18.2400 for now or lower. Observe the stochastic level and change of AO when it happens.
Rand to feel the carry trade squeeze The rand held up well despite the spike in volatility over the past two week however the macroeconomic back drop does not bode well for our local unit. The carry trade is unwinding forcing investors to close their Yen shorts which is the cause of the massive spike in volatility.
The Nikkei is down 8% while the USDJPY has already dropped another 2% in early morning trade, this is not normal behavior. The rand is a risk-on asset and market sentiment is aggressively swinging to risk-off sentiment which is rand negative.
The support at 18.12 is holding its ground and if the rand fails to pull the pair below this rate it will signal that the rand post-election rand strength has petered out. The pair is currently testing the resistance rate at 18.37 and a break above this level will see the pair break the downward channel to climb and test the 200-day MA at 18.62. If the current stress from the unwinding of the carry trade persists and we see a continued sell-off in risk assets the rand will soon find itself testing the downward trend line around the psychological 19.00 mark with a move towards 19.35 firmly on the cards.
USDZAR-SELL strategy 3-hourly chart Heikin AshiThe pair is in negative territory, Heikin Ashi shows downside pressure and stochastic is negative a well. The AO is RED period, so also signifying similar direction as the stochastic does.
Strategy SELL @ 18.4000-18.4750 and place SL base on financial stop. Profit level @ 18.2350 for now.
trend following breakout & retest1.Bullish trend - the trend is a bullish one which is a clear indication that buyers have overwhelmed the sellers and are in control
2.Breakout & retest- the B&R shows that buyers are still in control and the candlesticks is showing the continuation of a buy
Direction- Buy
USDXZAR-NEUTRAL SELL 4-hourly chart Heikin ashithe pair has had extreme ranges, and of course major reason is the unwinding of JPY crosses. I see JPY correction, and therefore I suspect the pair will move lower to 18.1500 again.
Strategy SELL 18.3900-18.4300 and place SL as per your risk appetite and profit let;'s say @ 18.2150.
USDZAR-SELL strategy Daily chart Heikin AshiNo change in view. This the pair has downward pressure, signified by stochastic and other indicators.
We have resistance above 18.5300 and the support area is 17.7700 area, and it will attract slowly that direction, is my view.
Strategy SELL @ 18.2150 - 18.2850 and place SL based on financial SL.
Profit order @ 17.9150 at first.
PreFed ZARThe rand has been on the back foot in the second half of July despite the broad based dollar weakness which has seen the USDZAR pair touch a high of 18.53. The rand has however managed to pull the pair back below the 50-day MA rate at 18.30. The critical level to watch is the blue resistance range between 18.50 and the 61.8% Fibo retracement level of 18.56. A failed break above this level will allow the rand to pull the pair back below the 18.00 handle towards 17.80. A break above the 200-day MA at 18.64 will however invalidate this move. The break out of the rising wedge is rand positive as well as the fact that is managed to close last week below the 50-day MA resistance rate.
USDZAR-SELL strategy Daily chart Heikin AshiThe pair is stagnant locked in a tight range. The stochastic is negative, and 4-hourly chart shows we may not go very far currently. GOLD is higher, so it appears we should lower levels again near term.
Strategy SELL @ 18.2350-18.2850 and take profit @ 18.0150. SL maybe @ 18.3450.
USDZAR-BUY strategy 4-hourly chart Heikin AshiDifferent charts have different uses, like Renko chart is a non-time related trend chart, whilst Heikinn Ashi can use to spot short-term changes nd direction.
That is why SHORT TERM I see BUY signal for the pair. The stochastic is turning positive and Heikin Ashi shows we have a likely reversal.
I re-instated BUY @ 18.1850-18.2350 and take profit @ 18.3950 for now. SL let's say 18.0950