USDZAR-SELL strategy 4-hourlyThe pair made further highs and it did not change my overall viewpoint.
We are overextended short-term and pullback is expected.
Strategy SELL @ 18.4500-18.4900 and take profit around 18.2350 now. SL is up to the risk appetite, but feel @ 18.5950 a possibility, but noting it would still be a SELL up there. Of course we need to be financial management profits and losses.
USDZAR trade ideas
USDZAR-SELL strategy 4-hourly chartThe BUY strategy has paid-off and indeed we move north swiftly due to the precious metals corrective action. In how far this may go, will provide guidance on our pair.
My feeling is stochastic is extending far out, but it is possible, we may move little more higher towards 18.35-18.3900 area before a decline may set in again.
Strategy SELL @ 18.3650 - 18.3800 and place SL above 18.4750 and take profit @ 18.1450.
looking at shorting opportunitiesUSDZAR WEEKLY chart
We have been in a bullish trend and price made a new all-time @19.92392 high which is relevantly close to the pre.high @19.35768. Price is currently consolidating at this price level of pre.high area.
We now have to pay attention to price behaviour at these minor swing areas for signals to take trades from. We have two key HL areas to look for buying opportunities from respectively:
18.10895 Which is unlikely to hold as price has retested this area previously several time & 17.42504 as this is a fresh area we expect price to rally from this area. This rally will be fuelled by the increase in positions of the sells that will enter the market as price breaks out of the consolidations low and signal a change in trend. We will be looking for selling opportunities to get price to the untested minor swing low @17.42504 for better buying trades and considering the gold relation with the Zar currency. We want to see gold maintaining its bullishness for this to take place and for the US dollar to be weak.
USDZAR-BUY strategy 4-hourly chartNo change of view really. The daily chart (not shown) suggests we may see move back towards 8.5750 again. The 4-houlry is battling moving higher, but coupled with the precious metals recovery down, I would see 18.4350 for 4-houlry possible for now.
Strategy BUY @ 18.1650-18.2150 and take profit near 18.3950 for now. SL below 18.0750 I feel.
USDZAR ANALYSIS FOR THE WEEK (starting 20/05)USDZAR has been bearish for quite some time now, breaking several structures downwards too. On both the weekly and daily TFs you can see some imbalance downwards which seems to be attracting the price further downwards to demand.
From what I can see on the 4H - price has actually respected previously created blocks, especially after the most significant break (the one that broke the low on the daily) making me wonder whether it’ll continue to do so while continuing it’s downwards push to demand.
USDZAR is bearish and I’d only short.
TP1: 17.86800
Final TP: 17.66375
USDZAR-BUY strategy 4-hourlyI cannot be a seller currently, and have not been for awhile, but have been traveling as well and observed the movements from a distance. Now back, and judging GOLD which is overbought and still should recover back to low $ 2,100s I would expect our pair to reach 18.5750 again in the near future.
It is hunting for lows, and this may remain until GOLD establishes a recovery mode.
Strategy BUY @ 18.1150 -18.1350 and take profit @ 18.3750. SL below 18.0650 for now. I prefer to keep it tight to re-enter in case.
USDZAR-BUY strategy 4-hourly chartI have seen the movements during my traveling, and surely it has moved lower than expected. this was due to prolonged strength in GOLD plus weakness USD.
Now we are at the lower end, and I feel still BUY is the way to go, as GOLD still is expected to move much lower towards $ 2,100.00.
Strategy BUY @ 18.1650-18.2100 and place SL below the previous lows. Profit order @ 18.4350 for now.
Daily Breakdown | The Modern Day TraderHi Everyone! My name is Sam and welcome to my first daily breakdown.
In these sessions I'll be analyzing the 4 pairs on my watchlist GBPJPY, US30, USDZAR & EURUSD.
Today I give a brief introduction to myself and my trading style which is an adaptation of ICT and then proceed to breakdown each pair. See bias below.
DXY - Bullish.
GBPJPY - Bullish, On watch for long entries.
US30 - Bearish, On watch but needs further development to consider short entries
USDZAR - Bearish, On watch but needs further development to consider short entries
EURUSD - Bearish, On watch for long entries (Confusing I know but watch the video and it will make sense)
U.S Macro Supports ZAR MomentumDespite the South African local election being only 14 days away, speculation of U.S. interest rate cuts over the last two months has supported the rand momentum.
We're approaching a crucial level at the Fibonacci retracement, but a reversal may be unlikely given a widening USDZAR carry trade and a disinflationary U.S. environment, which will support the ZAR's momentum until the end of Q2.
A momentum break of 18.27 will spur price action toward 17.95 and 17.78 if the stars align. However, I'm cautious ahead of the recent shipment of weapons from the U.S. to Israel this week. This will add further tension in the Middle East if Israel aggressively pursues the Rafah Region. However, we may remain range-bound below 18.60 to 18.20 in the present macro environment.
Keep in mind that April and May data will show a level of skewness due to loadshedding suspension ahead of the elections.
USDZAR-BUY strategy 4-hourly chartI have been traveling, and still am. Market has moved the pair far lower than I previously suspected, due to the fact I felt GOLD should move lower, and the opposite happened.
Now, stochastic is very low, and other indicators suggest we may see a turn around the corner. Of course, at the same time, we are near support 18.3750 and below would open the direction towards 18.2000 support.
Strategy BUY @ 18.3700-18.4000 and place SL tight below 18.3450. If executed, we BUY lower @ 18.2650-18.2800. Profit order @ 18.5350 for now. This is GANN resistance area.