Record levels of complacency means market topping outIn this post, I have shown the put-call ratio which is a reliable measure of sentiment in the market. When everyone is optimistic, that's typically when the market tops out.
Sentiment switch from panic to complacencyAfter the selloff in early August due to the Yen carry trade, panic levels exploded. However, over the past 3 weeks, the market is back to extreme complacency and that's not a good sign for the bulls.
Extreme complacency is a major warningThe analysis done here shows extreme complacency in the market which is indicating a top could be forming. When everyone is bullish you have to be worried.
Extreme Panic in Put/Call Ratio = Bottom in Equities soon?Yesterday's spike in the CBOE Put/Call Ratio brings it closer to the spikes seen during Covid fall and the December '22 bottom. This is a sign of extreme panic and we could be very near to the bottom in US Equities.
SPX as of 4th Oct closing = 4263.76
Pre FOMC quick takeAll in the video, I cover a few of the sectors and point out this area has been tough resistance for the market in the past. Noone seems to be expecting more problems with the banks, which to me is sort of strange as we don't know the full fall out yet.
Good luck tomorrow - FOMC at 2pm and 2:30 p
PCC & QQQ: PUT TO CALL RATIO / MARKET BOTTOM NEARING???DESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have included an overlapping analysis of PCC which is a PUT TO CALL RATIO INDICATOR & QQQ a LEADING INDEX in the OVERALL MARKET.
POINTS:
1. A PUT TO CALL RATIO LEVEL OF 2:1 HAS ALWAYS BEEN INDICATIVE THAT A MARKET BOTTOM IS NEARING OR IN.
2. MACD is has official
Is this level of pessimism justified ?The put/call ratio is at extreme levels which is reflecting a very pessimistic sentiment in the market. Typically, this indicator is to be used as a contrarian signal which means some sort of a major bottom could be forming over the next couple weeks.
PCC Ratio is looking BullishI have an alert for when the 10-day moving average falls below .8. The PCC spends most of its time between.8 and 1 when the 10 moving average falls below .8 you can count on a bearish reversal in the market. As of right now, we are above that with plenty of room. The reason why I bring this up now i
NASDAQ The Put/Call Ratio shows it's time to buy stocks NOW!This is another stock index long-term analysis and this time our focus is on the Nasdaq (NDX). For better illustration we are displaying the Nasdaq as a line instead of candles (black trend-line) and the Put/ Call Ratio (blue trend-line) on the 1W time-frame.
First let's explain what this ratio is.
i think put/call has peakedthis is another reason to think maybe there is some rebound in the works in index futures. puts have let off steam, and the general direction at this peak level is calls to return for indices futures.
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Displays a symbol's price movements over previous years to identify recurring trends.