Oil short I have been trying to fade oil for a month. Took another shot at it. After taking out Aug 24 high, oil sold off just before Trumps inauguration. This is a trade i would like to hold on to. My stops are already at BE as anything could happen. Shortby Golb1
WTIUSD - BearishWTI is reversing from a potential reversal zone of ABCD harmonic pattern. Place sell stop below the previous low.Shortby mohduzair91
USOIL, DailyUSOIL, daily Oil prices fell as speculation about Trump relaxing energy restrains on Russia offset concerns of supply disruptions from the sanctions. The new US sanctions could impact nearly 1 million barrels per day of oil from Russia, but Trump's potential action may determine the duration of recent price gains. Also an easing of tensions in the Middle East where Hamas and Israel exchanged hostages on Sunday kept oil prices for further progressing as well as the potential impact of a cold snap of the weather in Texas and New Mexico could affect oil production which is an additional factor influencing the oil market. On the technical side, the price had a rather aggressive bullish boost in the past couple of weeks and has recently corrected to the downside after finding sufficient resistance on the upper band of the Bollinger bands. The level of the 61.8% of the weekly Fibonacci retracement is what is supporting the price at the time of this report being written however the 50-day moving average has crossed above the 100-day possibly pointing at the retest of the the latest high around $79 or even $80. On the other hand, the Stochastic oscillator is already in extremely overbought levels hinting that the $80 mark might not be strong enough to hold the price that high and could potentially test again the 61.8% of the Fibonacci retracement level in the medium-term outlook. by Exness_Official0
USOIL - Fib LevelThe US oil rallied in previous week and reached its resistance level of 80$ now the price is retracing to its fib levels. A key level is its 0.5- & 0.618 level which is also supported by trendline. If these level are able to sutain then entry can be taken. Cautious approachmust be taken as it bearish divergence is in play and drop the price more low.Longby kiki_crypto0
Bullish momentum to extend?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 78.09 1st Support: 76.04 1st Resistance: 80.79 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.Longby ICmarkets6
USOIL POSSIBLE SELL?The market is currently testing the current Weekly area. Based on Daily TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal. We could see SELLERS coming in strong should the current level hold. Disclaimer: Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. High-Risk Warning Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor. Shortby WiLLProsperForex1
USOIL H1 | Potential Bearish BreakoutBased on the H1 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 77.058, which is a pullback resistance. This level is expected to act as a potential reversal point in the bearish setup. Our take profit is set at 75.240, a pullback support level, marking a logical target for the trade. The stop loss is set at 79.010, above the recent swing high, providing room for price fluctuations while protecting against invalidation of the bearish bias. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (โCompanyโ, โweโ) by a third-party provider (โTFA Global Pte Ltdโ). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants. Shortby FXCM5
Oil Heading LowerWe are in the latter stages of a running impulse move-up. However, the move has run into a corrective phase on which I do see it sliding lower to at least 77.35. At this level, I find a cluster of resistance factors that work great to set as a minimum target, which includes 100 equality in depth between waves A and C, as well as having just underneath an unfilled gap, which we might be seeing the price target to fill finally. The most recent price action looks to be contracting in what I suspect is a triangle formation. After enough accumulation has happened I expect to see the break below occur. That is why I've set the entry price right below the second wave of the triangle. Stop is set a few points from the top of the pattern. Thread carefully since I do expect this move to end violently and swiftly, and turn around right afterward to thrust upward once more. It might even be best for some to stay on the sidelines for this drop and wait for the entry to come on the next big move up. Happy Trading :)Shortby HydraFinance1
USOIL - Expect retracement !!Hello traders! โผ๏ธ This is my perspective on USOIL. Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. After price filled the imbalance we can see price to start the retracement, I expect continuation till level 74.00 where we have huge imbalance. Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!Shortby Snick3rSD14
JAN 19TH 2025 ANLYSIS /SENTIMENT ๐ฅ Futures Market Analysis: Friday Recap & Monday Domination Plan ๐ฅ Friday Recap (January 19, 2025): Crushing the Week ๐ช Fridayโs futures market wrapped up with some serious moves and setups for next week: 1. ๐ Equity Futures: โข S&P 500 E-mini climbed steadily, flirting with key resistance at 4,500. Bulls stayed in control, setting up for what could be a breakout week. โข Nasdaq Futures stole the spotlight ๐, smashing through resistance as tech stocks carried the load. If youโre not watching this, what are you even doing? โข Dow Jones Futures cooled off as industrials and energy weighed down the index. Time to let the big dogs rest. 2. ๐ข๏ธ Commodities: โข Crude Oil Futures tapped the brakes (-1.3%) after a red-hot rally earlier in the week. The sell-off screams profit-taking, not panic. Watch for a bounce next week. โข Gold Futures hit a six-month high ๐ฐโsafe-haven buyers are loving inflation fears and global tension. Itโs shiny for a reason. 3. ๐ Treasury Yields & Volatility: โข Bond futures relaxed, with yields dipping as traders priced in Fed softness. โข The VIX dropped as if it knew Monday would be quiet. But donโt let the low volatility fool youโbig moves are brewing. ๐ฅ Monday Outlook: Dominate the Holiday Gap ๐ฅ With markets closed Monday (MLK Day), hereโs how to stay ahead of the game: 1. Sunday Night Action (Overnight Session): โข Expect light trading volumesโperfect for quick volatility spikes. โข ๐ Focus Areas: โข News from Asia & Europe could dictate overnight direction. โข Crypto futures (Bitcoin ๐, anyone?) may provide early clues for risk appetite. 2. Tuesday Gap Risk: โข Big Gaps Ahead? With no trading Monday, markets could open Tuesday with serious energy. Gaps up or down will depend on weekend newsโdonโt sleep on this! โข Levels to Watch: โข S&P 500 E-mini: ๐ง Resistance at 4,500, support at 4,420. โข Nasdaq Futures: Ready to rumble between 15,800 (resistance) and 15,300 (support). ๐ Whatโs Coming Next Week? ๐ก Tuesday: Flash PMI data could shake things up. ๐ฅ Thursday: Initial jobless claimsโare we still #winning in the labor market? ๐ฃ Friday: Core PCE inflation (aka: what the Fed really cares about). This will be the weekโs mic drop. Your Game Plan: From Crushing It to Kicking Ass ๐ฅ 1. ๐จ Be Ready for Whipsaws: Low volume means traps are everywhere. Stay sharp, and donโt let the algos outsmart you. 2. ๐ Monitor Key Indicators: โข VIX: A spike = risk-off. โข Crude Oil: If it starts bouncing, it could set the tone for energy stocks. 3. ๐ช Scenario Mindset for Tuesday: โข Bullish Setup: Earnings and macro optimism light the fuse. โข Bearish Setup: Bad news (or no news) throws cold water on the rally. Youโre not here to play nice. Youโre here to dominate. So bring the heat Tuesday and make sure your strategy is locked and loaded. Letโs kick ass and take names this week. ๐ฅ Let me know if you want me to tweak the energy or tone! by bencryptoknight112
USOILWe need more down side for USOil, next reaction is going to be below 75 level.Shortby WeTradeWAVES3
USOIL SHORT FROM RESISTANCE Hello, Friends! USOIL uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 72.06 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the USOIL pair. โ LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEASโ Shortby EliteTradingSignals117
WTI Crude continues with bearish tilt until Trendline is brokenBLACKBULL:WTI Crude has reached the top of the long-term triangular structure. Momentum benefits the upside but the long-term liquidity trendline is more important. Optimism (as per Sentimentrader data) shows a potential optimism. I will wait for the breakdown of near support to enter short Shortby SensumCommunem0
US oil selling zone Possible selling orders to be filled, sellers would want to defend their selling volumes, at 81.30 dollars per barrel and 82. 15 . This is due to selling pressure placed by bearish influence at this proce level Shortby SNIPERFLOW1
USOil WTI Bullish 1:2 Trade1. Market Analysis: Asset: US Oil (WTI Crude) Timeframes: 1-hour (1H) and 4-hour (4H) Setup: Bullish divergence observed on both 1-hour and 4-hour timeframes Support Level: Price is near a strong support zone, providing a solid base for a potential bounce. 2. Divergence Details: Bullish Divergence: Both 1-hour and 4-hour charts are showing bullish divergence, indicating weakening bearish momentum as the price approaches strong support. This divergence can signal a potential reversal to the upside if confirmed by bullish price action. 3. Trade Setup: Entry Point: Enter a long position when a bullish confirmation candle forms (such as a bullish engulfing or hammer candle) on the 1-hour chart after divergence confirmation. This candle should close above the support level for a stronger entry signal. Stop-Loss: Place the stop-loss just below the strong support level to protect against further downside risk. This positioning ensures risk is limited in case the support does not hold. Take-Profit: Aim for a 1:2 or higher risk-reward ratio, targeting the next resistance levels on the chart. Consider recent highs or Fibonacci retracement levels on the 4-hour timeframe as potential take-profit areas. 4. Risk Management: Position Size: Determine position size based on risk tolerance, ensuring only a small percentage of capital is risked on this trade (e.g., 1-2%). Risk-Reward Ratio: Aiming for at least a 1:2 risk-reward ratio provides an advantageous setup, enhancing potential reward relative to risk. 5. Additional Confirmation: Volume Analysis: Look for an increase in volume on the 1-hour chart as the price bounces from support to confirm strong buying interest. Support-Resistance Alignment: Ensure the support level aligns well with recent price structure and support zones on higher timeframes to reinforce the strength of this setup. 6. Trade Execution: Place Orders: Set buy orders, stop-loss, and take-profit levels according to the criteria above. Monitor the Trade: Manage the trade by adjusting the stop-loss to break even or trailing it if the price moves strongly in your favor. 7. Review and Adjust: Post-Trade Analysis: After closing the trade, review the outcome to evaluate effectiveness and learn from the trade setup.Longby MAAwanUpdated 10
(WTI Crude Oil) US oil Short - 1.62RR - Head And ShoulderTrade Idea: Short US Oil (WTI Crude Oil) Analysis: Head and Shoulders Pattern: The Head and Shoulders pattern is a classical reversal pattern that typically forms after an uptrend and indicates a potential trend reversal to the downside. In this case, the presence of a Head and Shoulders pattern on US Oil suggests a possible reversal from bullish to bearish sentiment. Technical Indicators: Confirmation: Look for additional technical indicators or chart patterns to confirm the potential reversal signaled by the Head and Shoulders pattern. This could include bearish divergence on oscillators like RSI or MACD, bearish candlestick patterns, or a break below key support levels. Trade Setup: Entry: Place a sell stop order below the neckline of the Head and Shoulders pattern. The neckline acts as a key support level, and a break below this level confirms the pattern's completion and the potential downtrend continuation. Ensure the entry is triggered only when the price breaches the neckline. Stop-loss: Set the stop-loss order above the recent swing high or above the right shoulder of the Head and Shoulders pattern to protect against potential losses if the price reverses unexpectedly. Place the stop-loss level outside of the pattern to avoid being stopped out by normal market fluctuations. Take-profit: Determine the take-profit target based on key support levels, Fibonacci extensions, or a favorable risk-reward ratio. Consider scaling out of the position as the trade progresses to lock in profits. Risk Management: Position Size: Calculate your position size based on your risk tolerance and the distance between your entry point and stop-loss level, ensuring that you only risk a predetermined percentage of your trading capital per trade. Risk-Reward Ratio: Aim for a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2 or higher to ensure that potential profits outweigh potential losses. Conclusion: With the formation of a Head and Shoulders pattern indicating a potential reversal to the downside for US Oil, a short position presents a favorable trading opportunity. However, always conduct thorough analysis, practice proper risk management, and remain vigilant for any unexpected market developments.Shortby MAAwanUpdated 4
WTI - Bearish 1Hour Divergence. Daily Trendline Tested. Market Analysis: Asset: WTI (US Oil) Timeframes: 1-Hour: Bearish divergence observed, suggesting weakening bullish momentum. Daily: Trendline resistance tested and validated with three touchpoints, reinforcing its strength. 2. Divergence and Trendline Details: Bearish Divergence: The price is making higher highs on the 1-hour chart, while oscillators (RSI, MACD) are making lower highs, signaling potential reversal to the downside. Trendline Resistance: On the daily chart, the trendline has been tested three times, confirming a strong resistance area. 3. Trade Setup: Entry Point: Enter a short position once a bearish confirmation candle forms on the 1-hour chart (e.g., bearish engulfing or shooting star). Alternatively, use a sell stop order just below the most recent 1-hour low to confirm the downward momentum. Stop-Loss: Place the stop-loss above the recent swing high on the 1-hour chart to account for potential volatility near resistance. Take-Profit: Aim for a 1:2 or higher risk-reward ratio. Target key support levels or Fibonacci retracement zones on the 4-hour or daily chart. 4. Risk Management: Position Size: Calculate based on the distance between entry and stop-loss, risking no more than 1-2% of trading capital. Risk-Reward Ratio: Prioritize setups with at least a 1:2 risk-reward ratio to ensure favorable potential outcomes. 5. Additional Confirmation: Volume Analysis: Look for decreasing volume as the price approaches the resistance trendline, signaling reduced bullish strength. Support-Resistance Levels: Ensure targets align with well-defined support zones from prior price action. 6. Trade Execution: Place Orders: Set a sell order with predefined stop-loss and take-profit levels. Monitor for bearish momentum indicators, such as trendline rejection or break of lower time-frame support. Adjust Stops: If the price moves in your favor, trail the stop-loss to lock in profits as the trade develops.Shortby MAAwanUpdated 3
USOIL Is Nearing An Important SupportHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring USOIL for a buying opportunity around 75.80 zone, USOIL is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend a 75.80 support and resistance area. Trade safe, Joe.Longby JoeChampion5
OUR TRADE TODAY ON OILToday, we took 3 trades, A profitable and 2 in loss. I will share the 3 of them so I share with you the other side of trading with only few people show which is losses. Our trade on OIL went as expected, but the other one on NASDAQ and GOLD didn't go as planned which left me and my clients with couple $ up. And that's normal since we're still in profit on the weekly and monthly basis. Follow for more!Longby YassineAnalysis2
Oil Market: WTI Barrel Faces the $78 BarrierOver the past two sessions, the price of crude oil has dropped more than 2%. This decline coincides with the Israeli Prime Minister reaching a ceasefire agreement in Gaza. The temporary peace deal has been perceived as favorable for oil production, as it eliminates a geopolitical conflict that could have disrupted operations in the Middle East. As a result, production expectations have risen, contributing to downward pressure on crude prices. Uptrend The WTI crude market has maintained a steady upward trend since early December 2024. However, the most recent bullish peak showed significant momentum, which could signal the emergence of bearish corrections in the price. MACD Indicator The MACD and signal lines remain bullish but have begun to exhibit a negative slope. Additionally, the histogram has fallen to a fully neutral position around the 0 line of the indicator. These developments suggest a potential exhaustion of previous bullish momentum, creating opportunities for bearish movements. RSI Indicator The RSI line remains close to the overbought territory, hovering near the 70 level. Any future movements that revisit this level could increase the likelihood of short-term bearish corrections. Key Levels $78: This is the current resistance level, coinciding with the highs from August 2024. Sustained moves above this level could strengthen the bullish outlook and potentially accelerate the ongoing uptrend. $72: A crucial support zone where bearish corrections are likely to see significant activity. Moves near or below this level could jeopardize the formation of the current upward channel. By Julian Pineda, CFA - Market Analyst by FOREXcom2
USOILUSOIL is in declining phase. Potentially printing LH and LL. Bearish flag continuation pattern also form. We wait and watch for the breakout of flagpole. Shortby Naqash913
USOIL LongThe first higher high after a downtrend indicates a potential trend reversal to the upside. It shows that buyers are starting to regain control, signaling the possibility of a new bullish trend. Trendline Break: A break above a significant trendline further confirms the shift in sentiment from bearish to bullish. The trendline break signifies that selling pressure has weakened, and the market is poised for further upward movement. Retest of Trendline: After breaking the trendline, the price often retests the broken trendline, which now acts as support. This retest offers a low-risk buying opportunity as it confirms the strength of the new uptrend.Longby SohailChaudharyUpdated 9
WTI OIL expecting a +10% rise.WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a Channel Up, supported by the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) since the December 27 break-out. The price has already made contact with the bottom of the pattern (Higher Lows trend-line) so it is already a buy opportunity. The ultimate buy signal technically, however, has been the 4H RSI Higher Lows since the December 06 Low, so it is possible to see one more small pull-back before the trend reverses. Since the previous two Bullish Legs have increased by at least +10% since their 4H RSI Lows, we are targeting $84.40, which is the Resistance 1 level, exactly on the +10% mark. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE ๐, FOLLOW โ , SHARE ๐ and COMMENT โ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐Longby TradingShot16