OIL IDEA /30 06 25So we are looking for this Short position, but first we need a better Premium position
USOIL trade ideas
USOIL - Bearish Double TOPHello Traders !
The USOIL failed to create a new higher high.
The price formed a double top pattern.
Currently, The neckline is broken !
So, I expect a bearish move📉
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TARGET: 64.970🎯
USOIL long WTI crude oil is approaching strong support around $71, with oversold technicals and stabilizing demand outlook. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and potential U.S.–Iran friction may limit downside. A long position targets a rebound from this key level.
Elliot...
USOIL Will Go Lower! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 66.917.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 62.519 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Does someone knows something that we don't?It seems to me we are getting in an accumulation phase on oil. Is there another war rally on the horizon or something else!? They can manipulate price but they can't manipulate volume that easily. Notice that every time price rises, volume rises with it and when price falls, volume decreases with it. My bet would be buying bellow the last lows, where a sea of stop loss rests, before ripping up the page.
TRADING IDEA - US CRUDE OIL - BEARISH FLAG, CONCERNS ON GLOBAL EFOREXCOM:USOIL
The US Crude Oil prices went down yesterday, mostly because of the tariffs and concerns on demand.
Here is what the Bloomberg is writing: " OPEC+ is discussing a pause in its oil production increases from October is fueling concerns about a slowdown in global energy demand. In addition, the intensification of US tariffs risks slowing global economic growth and energy demand after President Trump ramped up tariffs on numerous countries this week, including a 50% tariff on Brazil."
So, despite the pause in oil production increase, which is supposed to be bullish factor the oil prices, we may see the slowdown in global economy and supposedly a recession because of Trump's tariffs. This is a long-term bearish factor for the oil. I think that we will see another bearish impulse here, according to what we observe on the chart.
There is a nice bearish flag and i am planning to short it with a target nearby 6,540.00 support level.
🔽 a pending sell stop order at 6615.3 with
❌a stop loss at 6680.9 and
🤑a take profit at 6544.0
Trade cautiously! Preserve your deposits!
Bullish bounce>WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 65.65
1st Support: 63.74
1st Resistance: 68.24
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Crude oil under pressure after OPEC+WTI Crude oil had rejected the 20-moving average area, having reversed off the $68 price area after the OPEC+ announcement about the upcoming production increase. The short-term energy outlook forecast from eia.org had lowered the expected fair price for CL futures based on supply and demand estimation for 2025 - the average price is projected around $60 with a possibility to drive lower.
COT reports show the increasing short position for commercial traders, which had almost reached the new bottom - a potential short signal for the oil.
Given the weak sentiment (we’ve seen the massive drop of oil futures after the resolution of Israel-Iran situation) and overall downtrend, we can project the downside move as shown at the chart.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own reserch and never forget to manage your risk!
US OIL LONG POSITION After the very strong dump in Oil from the major resistance Trendline and zone, but also held and showed signs of rejection from the DTF Support.
I decided to open a Long Position and it's still running, so we'll see how long it can run.
XTIUSD* Bullish Trend after consolidation box break.
* Bullish flag pattern is formed.
* Entry will be taken at the break of the pole.
* Stoploss is below the last HL.
USOIL🛢️ USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) – Technical Outlook & Forecast
Current Price: $64.55
Bias: Bullish Only
Forecast Levels: $82.00 → $85.00 → $90.00+
🔍 Market Overview:
Crude oil (USOIL) is currently trading around $64.55, showing early signs of a potential bullish reversal from multi-month lows. Despite recent volatility and macroeconomic uncertainties, the technical structure indicates the formation of a solid accumulation base, potentially preparing for a significant upward move.
📈 Technical Perspective:
Price Action: Oil is attempting to reclaim key support zones that have held historically during large-scale recoveries.
Momentum: Oscillators (like RSI/MACD) may be turning up from oversold territory (subject to chart confirmation), further supporting the bullish scenario.
Volume Profile: Accumulation at lower levels hints at smart money interest around the $60–$65 zone.
🎯 Bullish Targets:
$82.00 – Psychological and technical resistance
$85.00 – Previous swing high / Fib extension zone
$90.00+ – Medium-term projection if momentum sustains
🧭 Conclusion:
The bias for USOIL remains bullish only while the $60–$62 zone holds firm as support. Breakout above near-term resistances could open the way for a strong move toward $82, $85, and even $90+. Keep an eye on macro events and inventory data for short-term volatility.
🟢 Trade Setup Idea (For Reference Only):
Long bias above $64–$65 support zone, targeting $82–$90 over the coming weeks/months. Use proper risk management.
Usoil buy trade am holding since last week📈 USOIL Trade Update – Long Position Holding Strong Since Last Week 🔥
Guess I didn't post this last week...
Caught this buy from the demand zone around $64.16, with a clean structure shift and bullish momentum confirmation.
The market is respecting structure with higher highs and higher lows forming beautifully. As price approaches my target zone, I’m locking in profits and managing risk. Trade has been running smoothly for days 💪🏽
SL at break even now, Holding patiently for that final push to the $70+ area. Let's see how the market reacts at that key zone.
WTI Crude Oil volatility spikeWTI prices ticked higher as renewed Houthi attacks in the Red Sea raised supply and shipping risk concerns.
A drone and speedboat strike on a Greek-operated vessel killed four crew members, marking the second attack in a day and signaling a fresh escalation after a temporary Middle East truce.
The Red Sea remains a critical route for crude flows, and heightened tensions could support oil prices due to potential disruptions.
However, US inventory data is a key counterweight:
The API reported a surprise 7.1 million barrel build in crude stockpiles last week (vs. expected 2.8M draw).
This adds to an 11 million barrel increase in inventories year-to-date, which could limit upside momentum in WTI.
Traders now await the official EIA report later today, which could confirm or challenge API’s bearish signal.
Trading Implications:
Geopolitical premium is re-entering the market—bullish for WTI in the short term.
Inventory build limits gains—if confirmed by EIA, could lead to price pullbacks.
Key levels and positioning will hinge on EIA stock data and any further escalation in shipping threats.
Bias:
Short-term: Bullish with upside risk from Red Sea conflict
Medium-term: Capped by high U.S. stock levels unless demand outlook improves
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 7120
Resistance Level 2: 7260
Resistance Level 3: 7375
Support Level 1: 6650
Support Level 2: 6460
Support Level 3: 6290
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CRUDE OIL (WTI): Will It Rise More?
Quick update for my yesterday's analysis for WTI Crude Oil.
As I predicted yesterday, the price went up to the target.
We got one more strong bullish confirmation after a New York
session opening:
the price violated a resistance of a horizontal range on a 4H time frame.
I think that the market may rise even more and reach 69.25 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Strong USOIL Setup: Long from Support + 4.34 R/RHey Guys, hope you're all doing well!
I've placed a limit buy order on USOIL from a key support level. Below are the relevant levels for your reference:
- 🔵 Entry Level: 67.424
- 🔴 Stop Loss: 66.803
- 🟢 Target 1 (TP1): 67.908
- 🟢 Target 2 (TP2): 68.456
- 🟢 Target 3 (TP3): 70.036
📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 4.34
Your likes and support are what keep me motivated to share these analyses consistently.
Huge thanks to everyone who shows love and appreciation! 🙏
WTI Oil Heist: Bullish Breakout Plan for Big Gains!🚨 Ultimate WTI Oil Heist Plan: Bullish Breakout Strategy for Big Profits! 🚀💰
🌟 Hello, Wealth Chasers & Market Mavericks! 🌟
Hola, Bonjour, Hallo, Marhaba! 🗺️
Get ready to execute the Ultimate WTI / US Oil Spot Heist using our 🔥 Thief Trading Style 🔥, blending sharp technicals with powerful fundamentals! 📈💡 This swing trade plan targets the energy market’s bullish potential, but stay sharp—volatility lurks! 🚨 Follow the chart setup for a long entry, and let’s aim for those juicy profits while dodging the high-risk ATR zone where the market “police” might trap overzealous traders. 🏦⚠️
📊 The Heist Plan: WTI / US Oil Spot (Swing Trade)
Entry 📈:
The breakout is your signal! 🎯 Wait for the Moving Average crossover and a confirmed pullback at $68.00 on the 2H timeframe. Once it triggers, go long and ride the bullish wave! 🐂 Set an alert to catch the breakout in real-time. 🚨
Stop Loss 🛑:
Protect your capital like a pro! 💪 Place your stop loss below the recent swing low at $65.00 (2H timeframe, candle body wick). Adjust based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and number of positions. Rebels, beware—straying too far from this level could burn you! 🔥
Target 🎯:
Aim for $73.80 or exit early if momentum fades. Scalpers, stick to long-side trades and use a trailing stop to lock in gains. 💰 Swing traders, follow the plan and secure profits before the market consolidates or reverses. 🏴☠️
📊 Market Context & Key Drivers
The WTI / US Oil Spot market is currently consolidating with a bullish bias 🐂, driven by:
Fundamentals: Check macroeconomic data, seasonal trends, and intermarket correlations. 📉
COT Report: shows net-long positions increasing, signaling bullish sentiment. 📅
Sentiment & Quantitative Analysis: Market mood leans positive, but overbought risks loom near the ATR zone. ⚠️
Stay informed! 📰 Monitor news releases, as they can spike volatility. Avoid new trades during major announcements and use trailing stops to protect open positions. 🔒
📊 Pro Tips for the Heist
Scalpers: Go long with tight trailing stops to safeguard profits. 💸
Swing Traders: Stick to the plan, adjust stops based on risk, and exit before the high-risk ATR zone ($73.80+). 🚪
Risk Management: Never risk more than you can afford. Tailor your lot size and stop loss to your account size. 🛡️
Stay Updated: Market conditions shift fast—keep an eye on fundamentals and sentiment to stay ahead. 👀
📊 Why Join the Heist?
This Thief Trading Style plan is your ticket to navigating the WTI market with confidence! 💪 Boost this idea to strengthen our trading crew and share the wealth-making vibe. 🚀💥 Like, follow, and stay tuned for more high-octane strategies! 🤑🐱👤
Disclaimer: This is a general market analysis, not personalized investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before trading. Markets are dynamic—stay vigilant and adapt to new developments. 📡
Let’s make this heist legendary! 🌟💰 See you at the next breakout! 🤝🎉
USOIL BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 68.26
Target Level: 63.78
Stop Loss: 71.23
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Crude Oil Eyes 3-Year Resistance Once AgainWTI has rebounded cleanly from the neckline of an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern—formed ahead of the June Middle East conflict—establishing a strong support zone above $63.40.
Prices are currently trading above $67. A sustained hold above this level could target $69 and $72, aligning with the upper edge of the 3-year declining channel. A confirmed breakout above $72 may extend gains toward $78, $80, $84, and $88 respectively.
On the downside, a close below $63.80 may trigger renewed selling pressure toward $60, $58, and $56—within the mid-zone of the broader down trending channel.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
USOIL: Historic Full CyclesResearch Notes
Documenting historic examples of fractal loops for future references and research.
Fractal full cycles
70's; 80's; 90's
Late 90's & Early 00's
00's
10's
10's & 20's
Crude oil shock trend direction
💡Message Strategy
During the European trading session on Monday, the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange recovered the previous losses and rebounded to around $67.50 per barrel. Although OPEC+ confirmed that the increase in oil production in August will be higher than expected, oil prices still rebounded.
From the daily chart level, the medium-term trend of crude oil fluctuated upward and tested around 78. The K-line closed with a large real negative line, which has not yet destroyed the moving average system and is still supported. The medium-term objective upward trend remains unchanged. However, from the perspective of momentum, the MACD indicator crosses downward above the zero axis, indicating that the bullish momentum is weakening. It is expected that the medium-term trend of crude oil will fall into a high-level oscillating upward pattern.
📊Technical aspects
The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil failed to continue to hit a new low and showed a rebound rhythm. The oil price crossed the moving average system, and the short-term objective trend entered a transition period. From the perspective of momentum, the MACD indicator crossed the zero axis, and the red column indicated that the bullish momentum was sufficient. At present, the price is running in a wide range, with a range of 65.50-67.80. It is expected that the trend of crude oil will repeatedly test the upper edge of the range within the range.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:67.00-67.50，SL：65.50，Target:70.00
WTI crude oil Wave Analysis – 8 July 2025- WTI crude oil reversed from the support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 70.00
WTI crude oil recently reversed up from the support zone located between the key support level 64.55 (former resistance from the end of April), the lower daily Bollinger Band and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from May.
The upward reversal from this support zone started the active medium-term ABC correction (2).
WTI crude oil can be expected to rise to the next round resistance level 70.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave i).
CRUDE OIL WTI LONG TRADE PLANThe instrument is trading in a global bull trend. It recently retested a strong confluence area. From this zone I expect the bullish rally to continue.
Please do your own analysis before placing any trades.
Cheers and Happy Trading !!!
Bearish reversal off 38.2% Fibonacci resistance?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 70.08
1st Support: 65.56
1st Resistance: 73.54
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
